FIFA Ranking: July 2013 probable ranking (III)

Next update: 28 June 2013.

FIFA will publish the ranking on 4 July.

I'm aware of the disciplinary procedures opened against 3 African teams. I expect Ethiopia and Togo to lose 3 - 0 their matches against Botswana and Cameroon. The Equatorial Guinea issue has to do with player nationality (most likely Ricardinho). I will update the ranking when the decisions will be final.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings.

The total points are already set for all teams, with the exception of the 12 teams involved in the remaining matches. For minimum and maximum points see the preview.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

22/Jun Italy - Brazil 2 (FIFA Confederations Cup)

22/Jun Japan - Mexico X (FIFA Confederations Cup)

23/Jun Nigeria - Spain 2 (FIFA Confederations Cup)

23/Jun Swaziland - Angola 2 (Friendly)

23/Jun Uruguay - Tahiti 1 (FIFA Confederations Cup)

26/Jun Brazil - Uruguay 1 (FIFA Confederations Cup)

27/Jun Spain - Italy 1 (FIFA Confederations Cup)

29/Jun Angola - Swaziland 1 (Friendly)

29/Jun Grenada - Dominica 1 (Friendly)

30/Jun Brazil - Spain X Brazil PSO (FIFA Confederations Cup)

30/Jun Italy - Uruguay X Italy PSO (FIFA Confederations Cup)

Best movers:

25 - Senegal
24 - Scotland and Guinea
23 - Cape Verde Islands, Armenia and Malta

Worst movers:

-30 - Central African Republic
-28 - Jamaica
-16 - Tahiti

Best movers in the top 50:

24 - Scotland
23 - Cape Verde Islands
12 - Brazil

Worst movers in the top 50:

-28 - Jamaica
-11 - Zambia
-8 - Ecuador and Panama

Eight teams will improve their best ever ranking:

Colombia (3 - 4 in December 1996)
Belgium (9 - 12 in June 2013)
Bosnia-Herzegovina (14 - 15 in June 2013)
Peru (19 - 25 in July 2011)
Cape Verde Islands (49 - 51 in October 2012)
Dominican Republic (90 - 92 in November 2012)
Tajikistan (106 - 112 in April 2013)
Guam (176 - 178 in October 2012)

One team will return to its best ever ranking:

Timor-Leste (182 - 182 in December 2012)

Two teams will return to their worst ever ranking:

Cameroon (71 - 71 in October 2012)

Poland (75 - 75 in March 2012)

Five teams will drop to new lows:

Latvia (120 - 119 in June 2013)
Fiji (191 - 182 in June 2013)
Cambodia (198 - 192 in July 2012)
Seychelles (200 - 199 in July 2011)
Cook Islands (204 - 202 in April 2009)

Probable July 2013 rank - Team - Probable July 2013 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1	Spain	1602	0	-12
2	Germany	1273	0	-143
3	Colombia	1206	4	83
4	Argentina	1204	-1	-83
5	Netherlands	1180	0	22
6	Italy	1107	2	10
7	Portugal	1099	-1	-38
8	Croatia	1098	-4	-124
9	Belgium	1079	3	44
10	Brazil	1065	12	193
11	Greece	1038	5	32
12	Uruguay	1016	7	103
13	Côte d'Ivoire	1009	0	-13
14	Bosnia-Herzegovina	995	1	-13
15	England	994	-6	-101
16	Switzerland	987	-2	-23
17	Russia	979	-6	-80
18	Ecuador	932	-8	-134
19	Peru	898	11	107
20	Chile	872	5	31
21	USA	865	7	67
22	France	838	-4	-84
23	Ghana	830	-2	-57
24	Mexico	828	-7	-100
25	Norway	801	4	7
26	Czech Republic	797	-2	-56
27	Denmark	788	-7	-102
28	Mali	774	-5	-95
29	Montenegro	774	-3	-67
29	Ukraine	774	11	87
31	Sweden	765	-4	-65
32	Hungary	749	1	-10
33	Romania	732	1	-18
34	Algeria	730	1	-7
35	Nigeria	724	-4	-61
36	Japan	721	-4	-44
37	Venezuela	704	0	-8
38	Albania	689	0	-1
38	Costa Rica	688	9	71
40	Australia	671	7	52
41	Serbia	661	-5	-62
42	Burkina Faso	656	9	62
43	Korea Republic	642	-3	-24
44	Republic of Ireland	639	-3	-20
45	Slovenia	634	10	66
46	Wales	630	-1	-8
47	Tunisia	627	-5	-25
48	Paraguay	622	-4	-18
49	Cape Verde Islands	620	23	134
50	Scotland	610	24	129
51	Panama	601	-8	-48
52	Bulgaria	596	-6	-32
53	Iran	596	15	90
54	Austria	595	22	126
55	Honduras	582	-3	0
56	New Zealand	582	2	31
57	Turkey	573	-3	0
58	Uzbekistan	563	0	13
59	South Africa	558	1	16
60	Zambia	554	-11	-48
61	Guinea	545	24	107
62	Egypt	543	9	52
63	Slovakia	542	-7	-23
64	Israel	540	-2	0
65	Finland	537	19	95
66	Armenia	534	23	126
67	Equatorial Guinea	532	-3	9
68	Bolivia	528	-15	-50
69	Haiti	522	-6	-16
70	Libya	518	-1	20
71	Cameroon	517	-6	0
71	Togo	511	1	28
73	Iceland	499	-12	-42
74	Senegal	497	25	131
75	Poland	493	-10	-24
76	Jordan	489	-1	17
77	Jamaica	484	-28	-118
78	Belarus	482	-11	-24
78	Morocco	470	-2	7
80	Uganda	466	13	65
81	Gabon	459	1	15
82	Cuba	458	9	52
83	Sierra Leone	443	-13	-54
84	Congo DR	434	-5	-20
85	United Arab Emirates	432	2	8
86	Estonia	423	3	15
87	Trinidad and Tobago	419	-6	-28
88	Canada	413	-5	-30
89	Central African Republic	398	-30	-145
90	Congo	396	-10	-56
91	Dominican Republic	396	4	0
92	FYR Macedonia	395	-14	-65
93	Guatemala	388	-5	-22
94	El Salvador	382	-8	-47
95	Ethiopia	381	11	53
96	Angola	380	-5	-26
97	New Caledonia	377	0	6
98	Georgia	369	-2	-22
99	Oman	361	2	10
100	China PR	339	-5	-54
101	Iraq	335	-3	-35
102	Mozambique	326	1	-23
103	Liberia	324	-3	-32
104	Lithuania	321	1	-9
105	Saudi Arabia	315	3	-8
106	Tajikistan	314	6	2
107	Niger	313	0	-12
108	Malawi	312	1	-5
109	Suriname	311	4	0
110	Kuwait	309	1	-6
111	Northern Ireland	307	5	3
112	Korea DPR	306	2	-3
112	Qatar	306	-8	-32
114	Zimbabwe	304	-12	-46
115	Benin	302	0	-6
116	Botswana	301	11	56
117	Azerbaijan	298	1	7
118	Grenada	291	6	25
119	Bahrain	286	-2	-6
120	Latvia	280	-1	-7
121	Burundi	273	4	17
121	Tanzania	271	-13	-46
123	Antigua and Barbuda	265	-2	-15
123	Kenya	264	-1	-4
125	Cyprus	256	-3	-13
126	Moldova	256	9	26
127	Namibia	252	-7	-29
128	Guyana	250	-2	1
129	Lebanon	246	2	13
130	Belize	242	-1	3
131	Puerto Rico	241	-3	0
132	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	238	-2	0
133	Malta	236	23	88
134	Rwanda	233	1	9
135	Sudan	233	1	9
136	Turkmenistan	232	-4	0
137	Kyrgyzstan	227	6	21
138	Thailand	223	4	14
139	St. Kitts and Nevis	218	-2	0
139	Afghanistan	214	0	4
141	Luxembourg	210	4	24
142	St. Lucia	210	-1	0
142	Syria	205	-5	-10
144	Philippines	203	0	0
145	Vietnam	182	-12	-49
146	India	178	1	0
147	Barbados	175	2	0
148	Hong Kong	173	-1	-5
148	Liechtenstein	173	10	28
150	Kazakhstan	172	-4	-8
151	Palestine	167	0	5
152	Bangladesh	166	0	5
153	Aruba	163	-3	0
154	Maldives	147	3	1
154	Tahiti	147	-16	-68
156	Singapore	146	9	12
157	Bermuda	139	4	0
158	Nicaragua	138	4	0
159	Malaysia	136	0	-8
160	Chad	134	-6	-18
161	Lesotho	133	-8	-23
162	Solomon Islands	132	4	2
163	Myanmar	129	-8	-20
164	Gambia	126	-2	-12
165	Dominica	124	2	0
166	Sao Tome e Principe	120	-7	-24
167	Pakistan	114	1	-4
168	Indonesia	112	2	-4
169	Nepal	106	2	-2
170	Yemen	96	3	0
171	Sri Lanka	95	1	-4
172	Mauritania	94	2	0
173	Laos	87	-5	-31
174	Faroe Islands	81	-12	-57
175	Chinese Taipei	77	0	-13
176	Guam	70	2	5
177	Montserrat	66	-1	0
178	Curacao	65	0	0
179	Swaziland	60	-1	-5
180	Guinea-Bissau	58	1	-4
181	Bahamas	53	-5	-13
182	Brunei Darussalam	52	3	0
182	Mauritius	52	3	0
182	Timor-Leste	52	3	0
185	Madagascar	51	-1	-4
186	Mongolia	49	-4	-12
187	Samoa	46	1	0
187	US Virgin Islands	46	6	7
189	Tonga	43	1	-1
189	Vanuatu	43	2	0
191	Comoros	41	1	0
191	Fiji	41	-9	-20
193	British Virgin Islands	34	2	0
194	Cayman Islands	33	2	0
195	American Samoa	30	2	0
196	Eritrea	24	2	0
197	Papua New Guinea	23	-3	-15
198	Cambodia	20	-9	-25
198	South Sudan	20	2	0
200	Seychelles	19	-1	-3
201	Somalia	14	1	0
202	Macau	12	0	-2
203	Djibouti	11	1	0
204	Cook Islands	9	-3	-7
205	Andorra	8	0	0
206	Anguilla	3	0	-1
207	Bhutan	0	0	0
207	San Marino	0	0	0
207	Turks and Caicos Islands	0	0	0

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.