The best opponent to play against is determined using a combination of
Elo ratings and FIFA rankings. Let's look at the August FIFA ranking and
we'll see the impact of one extra friendly. The difference in ranking is
computed assuming all things remain equal, except the points of the
given team.
The most popular opponent for the month of July were Equatorial Guinea and Albania - each of them best opponent for 72 teams.
5 of the top 20 teams (England +11, Uruguay +8, Germany +6, Portugal +5, Mexico +1) would have gained points, but only England would have climbed in the ranking - 2 spots by defeating Albania.
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Friday, August 30, 2013
August 2013: FIFA Ranking vs. Elo Ratings
Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating:
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
| Syria | 147 | 82 | 65 |
| South Sudan | 203 | 139 | 64 |
| Fiji | 185 | 123 | 62 |
| Korea DPR | 110 | 58 | 52 |
| Kuwait | 112 | 72 | 40 |
| China PR | 95 | 58 | 37 |
| Gambia | 163 | 128 | 35 |
| Guinea-Bissau | 182 | 147 | 35 |
| Vanuatu | 178 | 144 | 34 |
| Papua New Guinea | 197 | 164 | 33 |
Friday, August 23, 2013
FIFA Ranking: September 2013 probable ranking
Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.
Based on these probable results:
Uzbekistan will advance to the AFC-CONMEBOL World Cup playoff.
The pots for the CAF playoff draw will be:
Pot 1: Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Nigeria, Algeria, Tunisia
Pot 2: Burkina Faso, Egypt, Cameroon, South Africa, Senegal
Northern Ireland will climb 40 spots, Benin 25, Poland 20.
Suriname will drop 34 spots, Puerto Rico 29, Slovakia 22, Scotland 18.
Based on these probable results:
Uzbekistan will advance to the AFC-CONMEBOL World Cup playoff.
The pots for the CAF playoff draw will be:
Pot 1: Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Nigeria, Algeria, Tunisia
Pot 2: Burkina Faso, Egypt, Cameroon, South Africa, Senegal
Northern Ireland will climb 40 spots, Benin 25, Poland 20.
Suriname will drop 34 spots, Puerto Rico 29, Slovakia 22, Scotland 18.
FIFA Ranking: September 2013 probable results
Here are the probable results used for the September 2013 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.
Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)
1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins
Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)
1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins
FIFA Ranking: September 2013 preview
FIFA will publish the ranking on September 12th.
Very important month for Uzbekistan and Jordan - involved in the AFC World Cup play-off. Also the CAF group stage ends this month and besides the actual qualification, teams will also be interested in their FIFA ranking as it will be used to seed the play-off draw.
Most points gained (worst case scenario):
124 - Northern Ireland
49 - Cuba
35 - Tahiti
32 - Iran
31 - Antigua and Barbuda
25 - St. Vincent and the Grenadines
19 - Panama
18 - Syria
16 - Samoa
15 - Equatorial Guinea
Very important month for Uzbekistan and Jordan - involved in the AFC World Cup play-off. Also the CAF group stage ends this month and besides the actual qualification, teams will also be interested in their FIFA ranking as it will be used to seed the play-off draw.
Most points gained (worst case scenario):
124 - Northern Ireland
49 - Cuba
35 - Tahiti
32 - Iran
31 - Antigua and Barbuda
25 - St. Vincent and the Grenadines
19 - Panama
18 - Syria
16 - Samoa
15 - Equatorial Guinea
Friday, August 2, 2013
Premier league work permit update (August 2013)
See my previous post about the work permit.
I can't quite explain why the FIFA ranking averages published by the FA are one month behind. When the FA release their next ranking of averages, three countries will break in the top 70.
I can't quite explain why the FIFA ranking averages published by the FA are one month behind. When the FA release their next ranking of averages, three countries will break in the top 70.
FIFA Ranking: August 2013 final preview
FIFA will publish the ranking on August 8th.
Three matches left - all CHAN qualifiers (friendlies for FIFA ranking purposes): Zambia - Botswana, Namibia - Mozambique and Zimbabwe - Mauritius.
This is how the points could change for these 6 teams:
Zambia (L: 538, D: 542, W: 550)
Botswana (L: 339, D: 348, W: 365)
Mozambique (L: 314, D: 319, W: 328)
Zimbabwe (L: 288, D: 292, W: 299)
Namibia (L: 219, D: 226, W: 240)
Mauritius (L: 70, D: 82, W: 106)
In the table below, the values displayed for these 6 teams are the lowest possible, thus even if they lose, their totals won't drop.
Three matches left - all CHAN qualifiers (friendlies for FIFA ranking purposes): Zambia - Botswana, Namibia - Mozambique and Zimbabwe - Mauritius.
This is how the points could change for these 6 teams:
Zambia (L: 538, D: 542, W: 550)
Botswana (L: 339, D: 348, W: 365)
Mozambique (L: 314, D: 319, W: 328)
Zimbabwe (L: 288, D: 292, W: 299)
Namibia (L: 219, D: 226, W: 240)
Mauritius (L: 70, D: 82, W: 106)
In the table below, the values displayed for these 6 teams are the lowest possible, thus even if they lose, their totals won't drop.