2016 UEFA EURO 2016 qualifying draw pots simulations (13 September 2013)

More about the simulations in the second and third paragraphs of the first 'Road to Brazil' post.

I know the EURO 2016 qualifying format will most likely change, but since I already had the code in place, here are the updated simulations.

Pot 6:

100% - Andorra
100% - San Marino
100% - Malta
100% - Faroe Islands
99.99% - Liechtenstein
82.74% - Luxembourg
73.57% - Kazakhstan
43.16% - Cyprus
0.54% - Azerbaijan




Pot 5:

100% - Moldova
100% - Georgia
99.46% - Azerbaijan
96.82% - FYR Macedonia
90.39% - Lithuania
85.23% - Iceland
66.36% - Northern Ireland
57.69% - Albania
56.84% - Cyprus
55.56% - Belarus
43.6% - Wales
26.43% - Kazakhstan
17.26% - Luxembourg
4.28% - Estonia
0.05% - Latvia
0.02% - Bulgaria
0.01% - Liechtenstein

Pot 4:

100% - Scotland
99.95% - Latvia
99.44% - Armenia
99.27% - Bulgaria
97.09% - Finland
95.72% - Estonia
88.99% - Poland
56.4% - Wales
44.44% - Belarus
42.31% - Albania
33.64% - Northern Ireland
14.77% - Iceland
9.61% - Lithuania
8.9% - Montenegro
5.54% - Austria
3.18% - FYR Macedonia
0.74% - Romania
0.01% - Turkey

Pot 3:

99.5% - Serbia
96.6% - Romania
94.93% - Slovenia
94.1% - Austria
93.36% - Slovakia
92.79% - Israel
91.07% - Montenegro
90.71% - Turkey
72.08% - Norway
38.78% - Republic of Ireland
19.52% - Czech Republic
11.01% - Poland
2.91% - Finland
0.71% - Bulgaria
0.64% - Belgium
0.56% - Armenia
0.41% - Hungary
0.32% - Switzerland

Pot 2:

99.68% - Switzerland
99.59% - Hungary
99.36% - Belgium
99% - Denmark
97.52% - Ukraine
89.04% - Bosnia-Herzegovina
80.48% - Czech Republic
61.22% - Republic of Ireland
57.43% - Sweden
46.36% - Croatia
27.92% - Norway
9.28% - Turkey
7.21% - Israel
6.64% - Slovakia
5.23% - Greece
5.07% - Slovenia
4.87% - Russia
2.66% - Romania
0.5% - Serbia
0.43% - Portugal
0.36% - Austria
0.12% - England
0.03% - Montenegro

Pot 1:

100% - Italy
100% - Netherlands
100% - Germany
100% - Spain
99.88% - England
99.57% - Portugal
95.13% - Russia
94.77% - Greece
53.64% - Croatia
42.57% - Sweden
10.96% - Bosnia-Herzegovina
2.48% - Ukraine
1% - Denmark

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.