The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
France will host the final tournament.
The qualifying format is already known (but things will most likely change): 9 groups (1 x 5, 8 x 6)
Top two from each group and the best team in third place advance. The other eight play-off for the final four spots.
Luxembourg replace Cyprus in the fifth pot.
Best movers:
3 - Denmark, Switzerland and Turkey
2 - Hungary, Slovenia, Bulgaria and Latvia
Worst movers:
-4 - Israel and Montenegro
-3 - Czech Republic and Republic of Ireland
Most points gained:
2541 - Turkey
2520 - Germany
2480 - Russia
2461 - Slovenia
2440 - Italy, Greece, Sweden and Denmark
Rank - Previous Rank - Team - Points
1 1 Spain 39083 2 2 Germany 38865 3 3 Netherlands 35961 4 4 Italy 34543 5 5 England 32385 6 6 Portugal 31791 7 8 Russia 31266 8 9 Greece 31140 9 7 Croatia 30221 ------------------------------- 10 11 Sweden 30048 11 10 Bosnia-Herzegovina 28935 12 12 Ukraine 28152 13 16 Denmark 27939 14 17 Switzerland 27131 15 13 Belgium 27112 16 18 Hungary 26702 17 14 Czech Republic 25754 18 15 Republic of Ireland 25553 ------------------------------- 19 20 Norway 25001 20 21 Slovakia 24952 21 24 Turkey 24755 22 22 Serbia 24704 23 19 Israel 24642 24 26 Slovenia 24595 25 25 Austria 23332 26 27 Romania 23241 27 23 Montenegro 23111 ------------------------------- 28 28 Poland 22524 29 29 Finland 22076 30 30 Armenia 21241 31 31 Scotland 20993 32 34 Bulgaria 20431 33 35 Latvia 20411 34 32 Estonia 20068 35 33 Belarus 19671 36 36 Wales 18931 ------------------------------- 37 38 Northern Ireland 18841 38 37 Albania 18771 39 40 Iceland 18176 40 39 Lithuania 17806 41 42 FYR Macedonia 17476 42 41 Georgia 16816 43 43 Moldova 15781 44 44 Azerbaijan 15261 45 46 Luxembourg 14190 ------------------------------- 46 45 Cyprus 13876 47 47 Kazakhstan 13601 48 48 Liechtenstein 12320 49 49 Faroe Islands 11410 50 50 Malta 10920 51 51 Andorra 8680 52 52 San Marino 7640 53 53 Gibraltar 0
NORGE! <3 NORWAY! <3 NORUEGA! <3 NORWEGEN! <3
ReplyDeleteMagyarország! <3 HUNGARY! <3
ReplyDeleteDoes it take into account the playoff matches? Or will we know the seeding when the October matches are over?
ReplyDeleteKjello, the play-offs are to be included for the UEFA NT-coefficient and they come with a bonus of 6000 points.
DeleteSo teams get more points for failing to win their group? That sounds like rewarding failure
DeleteEoin, you got a valid point there. I don't know the exact reasoning behind it, but here's what is said about it in the introduction of the UEFA NT-coefficients in 2008:
DeleteTo acknowledge the different levels of difficulty encountered in different stages of a competition and to give it a weighting in the calculation, bonus points are awarded to teams for any match in the qualifying competition play-offs and in the final tournaments.
The bonus points are calculated on a statistical basis to reflect the actual average increased strength of opponents in the various rounds.
The logic is teams can't be punished because they reach the play offs instead of finishing 3rd.
DeleteJeroen, nobody said something about 'punishing'. The extra reward (bonus) for playing a play-off match was the subject.
DeleteThe normal reward for a team ending second in the group is already two extra play-off matches with the implied chance to score extra NT-coefficient points. An extra bonus seems not necessary.
if i'm right, losing twice would mean your ranking would go down instead of the situation when you don't play the 2 games, but just end up third.
DeleteJeroen, that is true, but then even a bonus of 6000 points is not enough to limit the damage.
DeleteRegarding the play-offs for EURO 2012: the 4 losers all went down between 400 (EST) and 900 points (MNE) and the 4 winners all went up between 300 (CRO, IRL) to 1700 points (CZE).
The logic behind this is that the 2nd that qualified through play-offs should get a "near-1st" coefficient while the 2nd that failed should get a "near-third". Thus, it may also lessen the effects of an imbalanced draw in the groups (such as the World Cup ones). A runner-up that ends up with two losses in the play-offs would perhaps not end up 2nd in a more difficult group.
DeleteNo Kjello - in this update they were not included. See this one.
DeleteMaybe not the most appropriate place to post this, but I just read this in the Dutch press. It talks (in Dutch, sorry) about possibly replacing friendlies with a league system. I haven't checked, but it looks like the UEFA ranking would be used.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.ad.nl/ad/nl/6144/Uefa/article/detail/3525425/2013/10/11/UEFA-wil-af-van-vriendschappelijke-interlands.dhtml
I quite fancy this idea :)
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ReplyDeletewhat makes you sure that they would use 8x6 and 1x5 groups?
ReplyDeleteThe 53 teams could also be split as follows:
5x7 and 3x6 --> 8 winners, 8 runners-up, 6 third-placed teams, with the two worst third-placed teams in a playoff for the final place.
3x6 and 7x5 --> 10 winners + 10 runners-up + 3 third-placed teams (out of 3 playoffs of the six best third-placed teams)
9x5 and 2x4 --> 11 winners + 11 runners-up + best third-placed team (out of 1 playoff of the two best third-placed teams)
5x5 and 7x4 --> 12 winners + 10 best runners-up + 1 runner-up (out of 1 playout of the two worst runners-up)
The last two variations would help to reduce the number of qualifiers per team with only 8 or 10 matches in the cycle, sth UEFA would prefer, i think.
The good thing in having 8, or 12 groups instead of 9, 10 or 11 is, that best case half of the teams of a single group will qualify.
The idea of a group with 7 teams has been rejected by UEFA (too many match days are needed). The other are possible, but not as likely as the 8x6 plus 1x5. One advantage of this proposal is that France can be the "6th team" in the group of 5 which will give all the team a chance to play each match day
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