The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
France will host the final tournament.
The qualifying format is already known (but things could change): 9 groups (1 x 5, 8 x 6)
Top two from each group and the best team in third place advance. The other eight play-off for the final four spots.
Bosnia-Herzegovina replace Croatia in Pot 1.
Cyprus replace Luxembourg in Pot 5.
Best movers:
3 - Serbia, Slovenia and Wales
2 - Bosnia-Herzegovina, Denmark, Armenia and Moldova
Worst movers:
-5 - Croatia
-4 - Norway and Slovakia
-2 - Finland, Bulgaria and Georgia
Most points gained:
3075 - Spain
2580 - Netherlands and Moldova
2500 - Germany and England
In the table below, the two play-off matches are already included in the calculations for the 7 teams involved (that's 8 minus France).
Rank - Previous Rank - Team - Points
1 1 Spain 42158 2 2 Germany 41365 3 3 Netherlands 38541 4 4 Italy 35343 5 5 England 34885 6 7 Russia 32946 7 6 Portugal 32414 8 8 Greece 32307 9 11 Bosnia-Herzegovina 31416 ------------------------------- 10 10 Sweden 30278 11 13 Denmark 29660 12 12 Ukraine 29652 13 14 Switzerland 29572 14 9 Croatia 29418 15 15 Belgium 28732 16 17 Czech Republic 28234 17 16 Hungary 27802 18 18 Republic of Ireland 26733 ------------------------------- 19 22 Serbia 25985 20 21 Turkey 25955 21 24 Slovenia 25835 22 23 Israel 25442 23 19 Norway 25341 24 20 Slovakia 25333 25 26 Romania 24871 26 25 Austria 24572 27 27 Montenegro 22991 ------------------------------- 28 30 Armenia 22861 29 28 Poland 22464 30 31 Scotland 22233 31 29 Finland 22001 32 33 Latvia 20771 33 36 Wales 20551 34 32 Bulgaria 20391 35 34 Estonia 19988 36 35 Belarus 19646 ------------------------------- 37 37 Northern Ireland 19201 38 38 Albania 19151 39 39 Iceland 19076 40 40 Lithuania 19026 41 43 Moldova 18301 42 41 FYR Macedonia 17376 43 44 Azerbaijan 16901 44 42 Georgia 16766 45 46 Cyprus 14236 ------------------------------- 46 45 Luxembourg 14050 47 47 Kazakhstan 13961 48 48 Liechtenstein 12220 49 49 Faroe Islands 11751 50 50 Malta 10740 51 51 Andorra 8560 52 52 San Marino 7420 53 53 Gibraltar 0
This is how the point totals could change for the 7 teams:
Team - Minimum points (two 10 - 0 losses) - Maximum points (two 10 - 0 wins)
| Portugal | 32081 | 34748 |
| Greece | 31974 | 34641 |
| Sweden | 29945 | 32612 |
| Ukraine | 29319 | 31986 |
| Croatia | 29085 | 31752 |
| Romania | 24538 | 27205 |
| Iceland | 18743 | 21410 |
So we can have these groups:
ReplyDeleteGreece, Hungary, Slovenia, Estonia, Moldova, Gibraltar (I would really like to see Hungary at the EURO).
Germany, Belgium, Serbia, Poland, Iceland, Luxembourg.
At least 2 from each group at the EURO best 3rd plus play offs... I don't understand this 24 team EURO.
Juan GG
Me neither - I think we'll just have to accept it. I hope they don't ruin the World Cup too, by increasing it to 40 teams.
DeleteMy proposal for qualifiers:
ReplyDeleteTake the bottom 10 teams from the coefficient table and make them play-off each other. So, assuming the above is the final table:
Georgia
Cyprus
Luxembourg
Kazakhstan
Liechtenstein
vs
Faroe Islands
Malta
Andorra
San Marino
Gibraltar
After the play-offs, there would be exactly 48 teams lefts. Goup them in 12 groups of 4 teams, using the above coefficients. The top 2 from each group qualify for the EURO Cup, except for the worst 2nd.
Short, simple and direct. What about the teams losing the playoffs? I think they stand no chance, we always see ridiculous results with these teams. They are not yet ready to compete.
Juan (Arg)
UEFA don't like preliminary rounds.
DeleteHow's about prelims as you suggest - but instead of 12 groups of 4, have 8 groups of 6. Top 2 go through, then last 8 3rd place teams play knockout for the last 7 places on neutral grounds - the 8 teams drawn randomly and loser stays on in each round (any win sends you through) - the 'final' will be the teams that have lost the last 2 rounds and the winner will go through with the other 6, loser can GTFO
DeleteWhat does GTFO mean? I shudder to think!
DeleteJuan I think that is very smart, this should be considered.
DeleteJuan this sounds like a good idea,but the only problem is you say these teams are not et ready to compete,but the only way the will improve is by playing competitive games,so it is an awkward one.
DeleteI think if they took the bottom 8 in coefficient and made them into two groups of 4,with the top teams going through to the qualifiers and the 2 runners up playing a playoff for the 3rd team to join the rest making 48 in total. then have the 12 groups of 4.
I think it would give those teams a better chance to improve by competitive games against teams much the same as them,and it would get rid of those teams getting slaughtered in every game,which can't be good for confidence and the growth of the game in those country's,
where is France?
ReplyDeleteFrance are hosts so not included
Delete