2018 FIFA World Cup qualifying draw seeding for UEFA (1 November 2013)

Assumptions:

- UEFA will keep the current qualifying system
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- UEFA will choose the July 2015 ranking for seeding

The July 2015 FIFA ranking will include matches played between July 2011 and July 2015. This means we're currently in the 0.5 time frame and things will start to get interesting.

This the July 2015 ranking (for UEFA only) using matches played up to and including October 31st, 2013 and matches scheduled up to July 2014 (only those on fifa.com).

The "0.5" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).

Changes since the last update:

Armenia and Slovenia climb from pot 4 to pot 2.
Moldova climb from pot 6 to pot 4.

England and Netherlands climb from pot 2 to pot 1.
Sweden and Serbia climb from pot 3 to pot 2.
Iceland, Turkey and Finland climb from pot 4 to pot 3.
FYR Macedonia, Azerbaijan and Northern Ireland climb from pot 5 to pot 4.

Croatia dropped from pot 1 to pot 3.
Montenegro, Republic of Ireland and Bulgaria dropped from pot 3 to pot 5.

Portugal dropped from pot 1 to pot 2.
Hungary, Czech Republic and Wales dropped from pot 2 to pot 3.
Norway and Albania dropped from pot 3 to pot 4.
Estonia dropped from pot 4 to pot 5.
Malta dropped from pot 5 to pot 6.

Pot 1: Switzerland, Spain, Germany, Belgium, Italy, England, Greece, Netherlands, Bosnia-Herzegovina
Pot 2: Armenia, Sweden, Portugal, Ukraine, France, Slovenia, Denmark, Serbia, Romania
Pot 3: Scotland, Croatia, Hungary, Czech Republic, Iceland, Wales, Turkey, Austria, Finland
Pot 4: FYR Macedonia, Slovakia, Norway, Poland, Azerbaijan, Moldova, Albania, Northern Ireland, Israel
Pot 5: Montenegro, Republic of Ireland, Bulgaria, Latvia, Belarus, Estonia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Georgia
Pot 6: Kazakhstan, Cyprus, Malta, Liechtenstein, Faroe Islands, Andorra, San Marino

Rank - Team - Points

 1 Switzerland          648
 2 Spain                579
 3 Germany              563
 4 Belgium              540
 5 Italy                500
 6 England              481
 7 Greece               471
 8 Netherlands          445
 9 Bosnia-Herzegovina   442
---------------------------
10 Armenia              419
11 Sweden               411
12 Portugal             401
13 Ukraine              391
14 France               388
15 Slovenia             382
16 Denmark              377
17 Serbia               365
18 Romania              360
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19 Scotland             358
20 Croatia              350
21 Hungary              349
22 Czech Republic       336
23 Iceland              334
24 Wales                333
25 Turkey               316
26 Austria              285
27 Finland              268
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28 FYR Macedonia        267
29 Slovakia             258
30 Norway               231
31 Poland               228
32 Azerbaijan           227
33 Moldova              225
34 Albania              219
35 Northern Ireland     208
36 Israel               207
---------------------------
37 Montenegro           206
38 Republic of Ireland  197
39 Bulgaria             194
40 Latvia               171
41 Belarus              159
42 Estonia              153
43 Lithuania            148
44 Luxembourg           141
45 Georgia              119
---------------------------
45 Kazakhstan           119
47 Cyprus                90
48 Malta                 73
49 Liechtenstein         34
50 Faroe Islands         14
51 Andorra               11
52 San Marino             0

Looking to improve your FIFA ranking before the draw? Use the e-mail address from my profile to contact me.

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.