2018 FIFA World Cup qualifying draw seeding for CONCACAF (6 December 2013)

Assumptions:

- CONCACAF will keep the current qualifying system
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- CONCACAF will choose the March 2015 ranking for seeding



The March 2015 FIFA ranking will include matches played between March 2011 and March 2015. This means we're currently in the 0.5 time frame and things will start to get interesting.

This the March 2015 ranking (for CONCACAF only) using matches played up to and including December 5th, 2013 and matches scheduled up to March 2014 (only those on fifa.com).

The "0.5" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).

Looking to improve your FIFA ranking before the draw? Use the e-mail address from my profile to contact me.

Changes since the last update:

El Salvador replace Haiti in pot 2 of the third round.
Guatemala replace Dominican Republic in pot 1 of the second round.
St. Lucia replace Antigua and Barbuda in pot 2 of the second round.

First round

Pot 1: Barbados, Dominica, Curacao, Bahamas, Montserrat
Pot 2: US Virgin Islands, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Anguilla, Turks and Caicos Islands

Second round (group stage)

Pot 1: Haiti, Trinidad and Tobago, Jamaica, Cuba, Canada, Guatemala
Pot 2: Dominican Republic, Suriname, Belize, St. Lucia, Grenada, St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Pot 3: Antigua and Barbuda, Puerto Rico, Guyana, St. Kitts and Nevis, Aruba, Bermuda
Pot 4: Nicaragua + 5 winners from the first round

Third round (group stage)

Pot 1: USA, Mexico, Costa Rica
Pot 2: Honduras, Panama, El Salvador
Pot 3: 6 group winners from the second round

Rank - Team - Points

 1  1 USA                             527
 2  2 Mexico                          457
 3  3 Costa Rica                      402
-----------------------------------------
 4  5 Honduras                        385
 5  4 Panama                          377
 6  7 El Salvador                     255
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 7  6 Haiti                           237
 8  8 Trinidad and Tobago             235
 9  9 Jamaica                         203
10 11 Cuba                            157
11 12 Canada                          142
12 13 Guatemala                       127
-----------------------------------------
13 10 Dominican Republic              123
14 15 Suriname                         94
15 14 Belize                           88
16 20 St. Lucia                        85
17 16 Grenada                          77
17 16 St. Vincent and the Grenadines   77
-----------------------------------------
19 18 Antigua and Barbuda              74
20 19 Puerto Rico                      73
21 21 Guyana                           63
22 22 St. Kitts and Nevis              58
23 22 Aruba                            55
23 22 Bermuda                          55
-----------------------------------------
25 25 Nicaragua                        51
-----------------------------------------
26 26 Barbados                         48
27 28 Dominica                         33
28 30 Curacao                          30
29 27 Bahamas                          26
30 28 Montserrat                       20
-----------------------------------------
31 31 US Virgin Islands                16
32 32 British Virgin Islands            8
33 33 Cayman Islands                    5
34 34 Anguilla                          2
35 35 Turks and Caicos Islands          0

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.