Needless to say, some big teams have had an unimpressive start or should I say they forgot to start?
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This is the top 40 (had to use 40 just to include England) of the intermediate October 2017 ranking:
1 | Germany | 204 |
2 | Argentina | 180 |
3 | Netherlands | 179 |
4 | Colombia | 168 |
5 | France | 141 |
6 | Uruguay | 138 |
7 | Brazil | 134 |
7 | Belgium | 134 |
9 | Costa Rica | 127 |
10 | Chile | 122 |
11 | Portugal | 120 |
12 | Switzerland | 113 |
13 | Greece | 93 |
14 | Mexico | 92 |
15 | Algeria | 82 |
16 | USA | 77 |
17 | Scotland | 74 |
18 | Croatia | 69 |
19 | Côte d'Ivoire | 65 |
20 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 62 |
21 | Spain | 61 |
22 | Nigeria | 59 |
23 | Ecuador | 58 |
24 | Ukraine | 56 |
25 | Palestine | 54 |
25 | Italy | 54 |
27 | Japan | 53 |
28 | Iran | 51 |
29 | Serbia | 50 |
29 | Egypt | 50 |
31 | Romania | 47 |
32 | Benin | 46 |
33 | Iraq | 45 |
33 | Botswana | 45 |
33 | Saudi Arabia | 45 |
36 | Austria | 43 |
36 | Ghana | 43 |
36 | England | 43 |
39 | Congo | 42 |
39 | Turkey | 42 |
Right now, the seeds for the 2018 World Cup would be: Russia, Germany, Argentina, Netherlands, Colombia, France, Uruguay and Brazil.
With every confederation except CONMEBOL and UEFA at 0.85 in the new confederation weightings, it seems unlikely a team not in the big 2 will land a seed. However, there is hope (not for AFC nor OFC).
CAF have their Nations Cup in 2015 and 2017. CONCACAF too, and they also the Copa America 2016. It will be interesting to see how FIFA handle these matches - friendlies or continental final?
How would one of the CONCACAF teams make up the 300 pts to get a top seed? Would they have to win both Gold Cups and the Copa America or just do very well in all three?
ReplyDeleteBesides a good competitive record, they also need to know how to schedule friendlies.
Delete1) Schedule beneficial friendlies
Delete2) Win Gold Cup
3) Finals/Win Confed and Copa America
4) Near Perfect Record in WC qualifying
5) Hope that teams above them schedule poor friendlies
6) Hope that team above struggle a bit in qualifying for Euros, Copa America, WCQ
It's extremely unlikely for a CONCACAF team to get to get a top seed absent hosting until CONCACAF strengthens it's modifier or FIFA changes the qualifying model.
Thanks Raphael thats about what I thought the bar would be: Good summary.
Delete