2018 FIFA World Cup qualifying draw seeding for UEFA (4 July 2014)

I received last week an e-mail from someone at Deloitte with questions about the 2018 seeding for Europe. I planned to update this after the World Cup, but since the 4 remaining UEFA teams are in the first pot and there are no other matches involving European teams before the 0.5 time frame closes, here's the current situation.

Assumptions:

- UEFA will keep the current qualifying system
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- UEFA will choose the July 2015 ranking for seeding


The July 2015 FIFA ranking will include matches played between July 2011 and July 2015. This means the 0.5 time frame is set for all European teams except Germany, Belgium, Netherlands and France.

This the July 2015 ranking (for UEFA only) using matches played up to and including July 2nd, 2014 and matches scheduled up to July 2014 (only those on fifa.com).

The "0.5" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).

Looking to improve your FIFA ranking before the draw? Use the e-mail address from my profile to contact me.

Changes since the last update:

Netherlands and France replace Ukraine and England in pot 1.
Romania and Serbia replace Armenia and Slovenia in pot 2.
Bulgaria replace Moldova in pot 4.

Pot 1: Germany, Belgium, Netherlands, Switzerland, Spain, France, Portugal, Greece, Italy
Pot 2: Croatia, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Ukraine, England, Denmark, Scotland, Romania, Serbia, Sweden
Pot 3: Turkey, Czech Republic, Wales, Hungary, Austria, Armenia, Slovenia, Iceland, Slovakia
Pot 4: Finland, Poland, Montenegro, Norway, Albania, FYR Macedonia, Republic of Ireland, Bulgaria, Azerbaijan
Pot 5: Israel, Estonia, Latvia, Northern Ireland, Belarus, Moldova, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Georgia
Pot 6: Kazakhstan, Cyprus, Malta, Liechtenstein, Faroe Islands, Andorra, San Marino

Rank -Previous Rank - Team - Points

 1  2 Germany              723
 2  6 Belgium              714
 3 11 Netherlands          645
 4  1 Switzerland          630
 5  3 Spain                628
 6 10 France               594
 7  5 Portugal             576
 8  4 Greece               550
 9  7 Italy                532
------------------------------
10 12 Croatia              477
11 13 Bosnia-Herzegovina   470
12  8 Ukraine              468
13  9 England              451
14 17 Denmark              401
15 15 Scotland             384
16 19 Romania              380
17 20 Serbia               354
18 15 Sweden               347
------------------------------
19 22 Turkey               342
20 23 Czech Republic       340
21 25 Wales                337
22 24 Hungary              331
23 26 Austria              317
24 14 Armenia              314
25 18 Slovenia             313
26 21 Iceland              305
27 27 Slovakia             278
------------------------------
28 28 Finland              267
29 34 Poland               245
30 32 Montenegro           241
31 34 Norway               239
32 32 Albania              223
33 29 FYR Macedonia        216
34 36 Republic of Ireland  214
35 39 Bulgaria             211
36 31 Azerbaijan           204
------------------------------
37 38 Israel               200
38 40 Estonia              174
39 41 Latvia               166
40 37 Northern Ireland     165
41 42 Belarus              164
42 30 Moldova              153
43 43 Lithuania            145
44 44 Luxembourg           143
45 45 Georgia              142
------------------------------
46 45 Kazakhstan           103
47 47 Cyprus                93
48 48 Malta                 84
49 49 Liechtenstein         34
50 50 Faroe Islands         14
51 51 Andorra                9
52 52 San Marino             0

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.