Friday, August 8, 2014

FIFA Ranking: August 2014 final preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on 14 August.

Two issues regarding AFCON 2015 qualifiers - I haven't been able to find the regulations and got no reply from CAF.

1. Equatorial Guinea were disqualified for using an ineligible player, but the matches against Mauritania were not awarded 3 - 0.
2. Seychelles withdrew, but there's no decision regarding the result of their home match vs. Sierra Leone. If the match is awarded 3 - 0 to Sierra Leone, they will climb to 43rd.


Two friendlies left:

08/Aug Tajikistan - Malaysia
10/Aug Gabon - Rwanda

This is how the points and rankings could change for these 4 teams:

Team - Minimum points - Maximum points - Minimum rank - Maximum rank


Rwanda 304 323 104 101
Gabon 302 325 104 99
Tajikistan 227 252 126 120
Malaysia 134 156 155 149

In the table below, I've used the minimum points for these 4 teams.

The top 100 is already set, unless CAF awards the matches I've mentioned above.

Best movers:

26 - Lesotho
18 - Macau
15 - Malawi

It will be the best move ever for both Lesotho and Macau. Lesotho climbed 25 spots in September 2011, while Macau climbed 17 places in February 1996.

Worst movers:

-30 - Panama
-19 - Niger
-13 - Guinea

Best movers in the top 50:

14 - Sierra Leone
5 - Armenia
4 - Hungary

Worst movers in the top 50:

-30 - Panama
-3 - USA, Honduras
-2 - Egypt, Slovenia

Five teams will improve their best ever ranking:

Costa Rica (15 - 16 in July 2014)
Venezuela (29 - 30 in July 2014)
Sierra Leone (50 - 51 in January 1996)
Lesotho (104 - 120 in August 2003)
Montserrat (165 - 166 in December 2012)

One team will return to its best ever ranking:

South Sudan (185 - 185 in June 2014)

One team will return to its worst ever ranking:

Somalia (204 - 204 in November 2013)

Five teams will drop to new lows:

Canada (121 - 118 in July 2014)
Cayman Islands (197 - 196 in April 2013)
British Virgin Islands (201 - 200 in June 2012)
Cambodia (201 - 200 in July 2014)
Eritrea (203 - 202 in July 2014)

Some teams will reach their best ranking in the last couple of years:

Guinea-Bissau (at least 123 - 123 in September 1996) - 17 years and 11 months
Jordan (56 - 54 in June 2005) - 9 years and 2 months
Oman (67 - 63 in October 2006) - 7 years and 10 months
Uzbekistan (51 - 50 in February 2007) - 7 years and 6 months
Angola (75 - 75 in February 2009) - 5 years and 6 months
Romania (27 - 26 in September 2009) - 4 years and 11 months
Rwanda (at least 104 - 102 in December 2009) - 4 years and 8 months
Swaziland (158 - 157 in June 2011) - 3 years and 2 months
Macau (186 - 183 in June 2011) - 3 years and 2 months
Botswana (86 - 78 in August 2011) - 3 years
Senegal (59 - 43 in January 2012) - 2 years and 7 months

Others will drop to their worst ever ranking in the last couple of years:

Australia (79 - 89 in May 2004) - 10 years and 3 months
Gabon (at most 99 - 99 in May 2008) - 6 years and 3 months
El Salvador (127 - 131 in September 2008) - 5 years and 11 months
Jamaica (85 - 116 in October 2008) - 5 years and 10 months
Belarus (88 - 88 in March 2009) - 5 years and 5 months
Mongolia (190 - 193 in March 2009) - 5 years and 5 months
Chinese Taipei (179 - 180 in April 2009) - 5 years and 4 months
Morocco (81 - 95 in September 2010) - 3 years and 11 months
Zambia (84 - 90 in May 2011) - 3 years and 3 months
Bahamas (193 - 197 in June 2011) - 3 years and 2 months
Papua New Guinea (200 - 203 in June 2011) - 3 years and 2 months
Panama (63 - 65 in July 2011) - 3 years and 1 month
Haiti (117 - 117 in July 2011) - 3 years and 1 month
Samoa (191 - 204 in November 2011) - 2 years and 9 months
Tonga (193 - 202 in November 2011) - 2 years and 9 months
Central African Republic (120 - 123 in May 2012) - 2 years and 3 months


Costa Rica will be ranked above USA for the first time ever.
Jordan will be ranked above Korea Republic for the first time ever.
Congo will be ranked above Morocco for the first time ever.
Aruba will be ranked above El Salvador for the first time ever.

August 2014 rank - Team - August 2014 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Germany 1736 0 12
2 Argentina 1604 0 -2
3 Netherlands 1507 0 11
4 Colombia 1495 0 3
5 Belgium 1407 0 6
6 Uruguay 1316 0 -14
7 Brazil 1241 0 0
7 Spain 1241 1 12
9 Switzerland 1218 0 2
10 France 1212 0 10
11 Portugal 1152 0 4
12 Chile 1100 0 2
13 Greece 1092 0 1
14 Italy 1069 0 13
15 Costa Rica 1023 1 37
16 Croatia 964 1 9
17 Mexico 942 1 12
18 USA 937 -3 -52
19 Bosnia-Herzegovina 925 0 8
20 England 915 0 4
21 Ecuador 910 0 9
22 Ukraine 901 0 3
23 Russia 899 0 2
24 Algeria 880 0 8
25 Côte d'Ivoire 840 0 -10
26 Denmark 818 0 11
27 Romania 740 1 7
28 Scotland 738 -1 4
29 Sweden 724 0 0
29 Venezuela 724 1 4
31 Serbia 723 0 6
32 Turkey 711 0 -3
33 Nigeria 673 1 9
34 Hungary 656 4 14
35 Czech Republic 650 0 4
36 Armenia 648 5 13
36 Ghana 648 2 6
38 Egypt 645 -2 0
39 Slovenia 643 -2 -1
40 Austria 624 3 10
41 Wales 623 3 17
42 Tunisia 617 0 -4
43 Honduras 596 -3 -41
44 Japan 593 1 -11
45 Slovakia 584 1 -4
46 Iceland 573 1 3
47 Paraguay 564 1 -2
48 Iran 563 1 0
49 Montenegro 553 1 -6
50 Sierra Leone 533 14 64
51 Uzbekistan 528 1 5
52 Peru 522 7 35
53 Norway 512 0 -8
54 Cameroon 507 -1 -13
55 Finland 502 0 -6
56 Jordan 500 1 0
57 Korea Republic 499 -1 -2
58 Burkina Faso 493 0 -2
59 Senegal 491 3 15
60 Mali 488 0 5
61 Poland 482 0 4
62 Libya 475 1 4
63 Panama 474 -30 -210
64 Guinea 471 -13 -84
65 United Arab Emirates 464 0 -2
66 Republic of Ireland 448 4 8
67 Oman 447 2 4
68 Israel 439 -1 -5
69 South Africa 438 -3 -12
70 Albania 437 -3 -7
71 Bolivia 434 0 5
72 Bulgaria 429 0 4
73 Azerbaijan 413 0 3
74 Cape Verde Islands 411 1 10
75 Angola 408 4 31
76 FYR Macedonia 407 -2 1
77 Benin 405 14 51
78 Congo 395 4 20
79 Australia 391 -3 -6
80 Trinidad and Tobago 384 4 15
81 Morocco 381 -2 4
81 Uganda 381 6 23
83 Saudi Arabia 377 -5 -7
84 Zambia 375 -7 -21
85 Jamaica 373 -2 0
86 Botswana 371 13 39
87 Togo 365 1 8
88 Belarus 363 -7 -13
88 Palestine 363 -3 1
90 Zimbabwe 358 8 24
91 Iraq 357 -2 1
92 Qatar 348 -6 -13
93 Congo DR 344 3 6
93 Estonia 344 -1 -1
95 Georgia 341 1 3
95 Northern Ireland 341 -6 -15
97 China PR 334 -3 -8
98 New Zealand 330 3 0
99 Moldova 325 3 0
100 Latvia 324 3 10
101 Lithuania 306 3 -6
102 Kenya 305 -7 -34
103 Rwanda 304 6 28
104 Gabon 302 -11 -42
104 Lesotho 302 27 89
106 Malawi 295 15 61
107 Bahrain 289 -2 1
107 Mozambique 289 7 32
109 Luxembourg 288 -1 10
110 Tanzania 285 -4 -2
111 Kuwait 280 -4 -1
112 Ethiopia 275 -2 2
113 Equatorial Guinea 270 -2 0
114 Namibia 269 -2 5
115 Lebanon 263 4 14
115 Sudan 263 0 7
117 Haiti 262 -4 0
118 Niger 261 -19 -71
119 Liberia 260 -4 4
120 Central African Republic 252 -3 -1
121 Canada 250 -3 0
122 Guinea-Bissau 242 14 43
123 Aruba 233 0 0
123 Cuba 233 -3 -12
125 Dominican Republic 230 0 0
126 Tajikistan 227 -2 -5
127 El Salvador 223 -6 -11
128 Philippines 221 0 3
129 Afghanistan 217 0 0
129 Burundi 217 -3 -5
131 Kazakhstan 213 -4 -7
131 Suriname 213 0 0
133 Mauritania 204 0 -4
134 Guatemala 203 0 -1
134 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 203 1 0
136 New Caledonia 199 0 0
137 Turkmenistan 197 3 14
138 St. Lucia 195 0 0
139 Vietnam 192 -10 -25
140 Chad 184 0 1
140 Cyprus 184 -1 -9
142 Grenada 182 0 0
143 Madagascar 179 0 0
144 Kyrgyzstan 176 0 0
145 Maldives 174 0 3
146 Korea DPR 167 1 4
147 Syria 161 -1 -8
148 Gambia 157 0 -4
149 Antigua and Barbuda 156 0 4
150 India 143 1 -1
150 Malta 143 0 -3
152 Singapore 140 2 0
153 Guyana 136 2 0
153 Indonesia 136 0 -5
155 Malaysia 134 -4 -10
155 Puerto Rico 134 1 0
157 Thailand 126 0 -2
158 Swaziland 125 1 2
159 St. Kitts and Nevis 124 -1 0
160 Myanmar 121 0 -1
161 Hong Kong 118 1 4
162 Belize 117 -1 0
163 Guam 102 11 23
164 Pakistan 100 1 0
165 Montserrat 99 1 0
166 Nepal 95 -2 -7
167 Liechtenstein 94 0 1
168 Dominica 93 -1 0
169 Barbados 92 0 0
170 Bangladesh 87 -7 -16
171 Tahiti 85 0 0
172 Laos 84 -2 -3
173 Bermuda 83 0 0
173 Solomon Islands 83 2 5
175 Comoros 78 -3 -6
175 Nicaragua 78 0 0
177 Sao Tome e Principe 72 0 0
178 Sri Lanka 71 0 0
179 Chinese Taipei 70 -1 -1
180 Seychelles 68 2 4
181 Turks and Caicos Islands 66 0 0
182 Curacao 63 1 0
183 Faroe Islands 61 1 0
184 Yemen 59 -4 -11
185 South Sudan 43 1 0
186 Macau 41 18 34
186 Vanuatu 41 1 3
188 Mauritius 37 -3 -19
189 Fiji 31 -1 0
190 Mongolia 29 -1 0
191 Samoa 28 -1 0
191 US Virgin Islands 28 -1 0
193 Bahamas 26 -1 0
193 Brunei Darussalam 26 -1 0
193 Timor-Leste 26 -1 0
193 Tonga 26 -1 0
197 Cayman Islands 21 -1 0
198 American Samoa 18 -1 0
199 Andorra 16 -1 0
200 Papua New Guinea 14 -1 0
201 British Virgin Islands 13 -1 0
201 Cambodia 13 -1 0
203 Eritrea 11 -1 0
204 Somalia 8 -1 0
205 Djibouti 6 0 0
206 Cook Islands 5 0 0
207 Anguilla 1 0 0
208 Bhutan 0 0 0
208 San Marino 0 0 0
 

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

3 comments:

  1. How come is that Croatia is in better position, after Mexico beat Croatia in the world cup?
    Also why the US is below Mexico and Croatia?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Rankings include many matches - remember Costa Rica also beat Uruguay in the World Cup - should Costa Rica be number 5?

      Mexico lost to Honduras in World up qualifying, does that mean Honduras should be above Mexico?

      This is the way rankings work - they take an average performance of a national team over several matches. Croatia's average performance (in this ranking system) is above Mexico's average performance, and so Croatia is above Mexico.

      Delete