Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.
Based on these results, Antigua and Barbuda, and Guyana expected to climb more than 50 spots, while Guatemala and Dominican Republic are expected to climb more than 40. Macedonia, Venezuela and Luxembourg will drop around 30 places.
In the top 50, Cape Verde Islands, Bulgaria and Wales would be the best movers, while Venezuela, Sierra Leone and Slovakia would be the worst movers.
Probable September 2014 rank - Team - Probable September 2014 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
1 | Germany | 1800 | 0 | 64 |
2 | Argentina | 1591 | 0 | -13 |
3 | Netherlands | 1560 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Colombia | 1503 | 0 | 8 |
5 | Belgium | 1453 | 0 | 46 |
6 | Brazil | 1267 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Spain | 1245 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Portugal | 1230 | 3 | 78 |
9 | Uruguay | 1220 | -3 | -96 |
10 | Switzerland | 1215 | -1 | -3 |
11 | France | 1198 | -1 | -14 |
12 | Greece | 1151 | 1 | 59 |
13 | Chile | 1124 | -1 | 24 |
14 | Costa Rica | 1061 | 1 | 38 |
15 | Italy | 1019 | -1 | -50 |
15 | Ukraine | 1019 | 7 | 118 |
17 | Côte d'Ivoire | 972 | 8 | 132 |
18 | Mexico | 953 | -1 | 11 |
19 | Croatia | 928 | -3 | -36 |
20 | Algeria | 926 | 4 | 46 |
21 | USA | 916 | -3 | -21 |
22 | Denmark | 895 | 4 | 77 |
23 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 891 | -4 | -34 |
24 | Ecuador | 889 | -3 | -21 |
25 | Russia | 875 | -2 | -24 |
26 | England | 862 | -6 | -53 |
27 | Scotland | 714 | 1 | -24 |
27 | Wales | 714 | 14 | 91 |
29 | Egypt | 700 | 9 | 55 |
29 | Turkey | 700 | 3 | -11 |
31 | Ghana | 690 | 5 | 42 |
32 | Nigeria | 679 | 1 | 6 |
33 | Slovenia | 668 | 6 | 25 |
34 | Romania | 663 | -7 | -77 |
35 | Sweden | 662 | -6 | -62 |
36 | Hungary | 660 | -2 | 4 |
37 | Czech Republic | 651 | -2 | 1 |
38 | Austria | 622 | 2 | -2 |
38 | Serbia | 622 | -7 | -101 |
40 | Cape Verde Islands | 604 | 34 | 193 |
41 | Japan | 595 | 3 | 2 |
42 | Montenegro | 591 | 7 | 38 |
43 | Iran | 572 | 5 | 9 |
44 | Bulgaria | 570 | 28 | 141 |
45 | Armenia | 569 | -9 | -79 |
46 | Peru | 563 | 6 | 41 |
47 | Uzbekistan | 556 | 4 | 28 |
48 | Tunisia | 553 | -6 | -64 |
49 | Honduras | 552 | -6 | -44 |
50 | Senegal | 546 | 9 | 55 |
51 | Mali | 526 | 9 | 38 |
52 | Guinea | 512 | 12 | 41 |
53 | Iceland | 507 | -7 | -66 |
54 | Republic of Ireland | 506 | 12 | 58 |
55 | Burkina Faso | 504 | 3 | 11 |
56 | Panama | 496 | 7 | 22 |
57 | Finland | 491 | -2 | -11 |
58 | Paraguay | 487 | -11 | -77 |
59 | Congo DR | 482 | 34 | 138 |
60 | Korea Republic | 480 | -3 | -19 |
61 | Venezuela | 474 | -32 | -250 |
62 | Cameroon | 470 | -8 | -37 |
63 | South Africa | 458 | 6 | 20 |
64 | Israel | 457 | 4 | 18 |
65 | Slovakia | 451 | -20 | -133 |
66 | Jordan | 450 | -10 | -50 |
67 | United Arab Emirates | 447 | -2 | -17 |
68 | Libya | 440 | -6 | -35 |
69 | Congo | 439 | 9 | 44 |
70 | Gabon | 437 | 32 | 126 |
71 | Poland | 436 | -10 | -46 |
72 | Sierra Leone | 424 | -22 | -109 |
73 | Norway | 421 | -20 | -91 |
73 | Oman | 421 | -6 | -26 |
75 | Benin | 420 | 2 | 15 |
76 | Belarus | 414 | 12 | 51 |
77 | Morocco | 411 | 4 | 30 |
78 | Zambia | 404 | 6 | 29 |
79 | Saudi Arabia | 402 | 4 | 25 |
80 | Dominican Republic | 401 | 46 | 171 |
81 | Albania | 395 | -11 | -42 |
82 | Australia | 390 | -3 | -1 |
83 | Uganda | 377 | -2 | -4 |
84 | Trinidad and Tobago | 374 | -4 | -10 |
85 | Angola | 373 | -10 | -35 |
86 | Guatemala | 368 | 48 | 165 |
87 | Iraq | 357 | 4 | 0 |
88 | Botswana | 356 | -2 | -15 |
88 | El Salvador | 356 | 39 | 133 |
90 | Zimbabwe | 353 | 0 | -5 |
91 | Antigua and Barbuda | 349 | 58 | 193 |
91 | Rwanda | 349 | 10 | 31 |
93 | Bolivia | 346 | -22 | -88 |
94 | China PR | 341 | 3 | 7 |
95 | Guyana | 333 | 58 | 197 |
95 | Qatar | 333 | -3 | -15 |
97 | Azerbaijan | 329 | -24 | -84 |
98 | Jamaica | 327 | -13 | -46 |
99 | Moldova | 320 | 0 | -5 |
100 | Palestine | 308 | -12 | -55 |
101 | Namibia | 305 | 13 | 36 |
102 | Togo | 303 | -15 | -62 |
103 | Mozambique | 302 | 4 | 13 |
104 | Lithuania | 295 | -1 | -11 |
105 | Malawi | 293 | 1 | -2 |
106 | Latvia | 292 | -6 | -32 |
107 | Georgia | 290 | -12 | -51 |
107 | Tanzania | 290 | 3 | 5 |
109 | Kenya | 288 | -5 | -17 |
110 | FYR Macedonia | 286 | -34 | -121 |
111 | Estonia | 284 | -18 | -60 |
112 | Bahrain | 282 | -5 | -7 |
113 | Equatorial Guinea | 280 | 0 | 10 |
114 | New Zealand | 274 | -16 | -56 |
115 | Grenada | 272 | 27 | 90 |
116 | Haiti | 266 | 1 | 4 |
116 | Kuwait | 266 | -5 | -14 |
118 | Lebanon | 264 | -3 | 1 |
119 | Northern Ireland | 259 | -24 | -82 |
120 | Cuba | 257 | 4 | 24 |
121 | Lesotho | 254 | -16 | -48 |
122 | St. Lucia | 243 | 16 | 48 |
123 | Ethiopia | 241 | -11 | -34 |
123 | Liberia | 241 | -4 | -19 |
125 | Kazakhstan | 239 | 6 | 26 |
126 | Aruba | 233 | -2 | 0 |
126 | Canada | 233 | -4 | -17 |
126 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 233 | 8 | 30 |
129 | Guinea-Bissau | 226 | -6 | -16 |
130 | Philippines | 225 | -2 | 4 |
131 | Niger | 217 | -13 | -44 |
131 | Suriname | 217 | 0 | 4 |
133 | Afghanistan | 214 | -4 | -3 |
134 | Burundi | 213 | -5 | -4 |
134 | Tajikistan | 213 | -14 | -39 |
136 | Central African Republic | 209 | -16 | -43 |
136 | New Caledonia | 209 | 0 | 10 |
138 | Sudan | 208 | -23 | -55 |
139 | Mauritania | 198 | -6 | -6 |
140 | Turkmenistan | 197 | -3 | 0 |
141 | Luxembourg | 193 | -32 | -95 |
141 | Vietnam | 193 | -2 | 1 |
143 | Chad | 185 | -3 | 1 |
144 | Maldives | 183 | 1 | 9 |
145 | Madagascar | 180 | -2 | 1 |
146 | Singapore | 174 | 6 | 34 |
147 | Puerto Rico | 168 | 8 | 34 |
148 | Cyprus | 164 | -8 | -20 |
149 | Korea DPR | 160 | -3 | -7 |
150 | Kyrgyzstan | 158 | -6 | -18 |
151 | Syria | 154 | -4 | -7 |
152 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 143 | 7 | 19 |
153 | Malaysia | 142 | 2 | 8 |
154 | Malta | 133 | -4 | -10 |
155 | Indonesia | 128 | -2 | -8 |
156 | Myanmar | 126 | 4 | 5 |
157 | Swaziland | 118 | 1 | -7 |
158 | India | 116 | -8 | -27 |
158 | Thailand | 116 | -1 | -10 |
160 | Tahiti | 106 | 11 | 21 |
161 | Belize | 103 | 1 | -14 |
162 | Guam | 102 | 1 | 0 |
162 | Seychelles | 102 | 18 | 34 |
164 | Gambia | 101 | -16 | -56 |
165 | Hong Kong | 94 | -4 | -24 |
166 | Dominica | 89 | 2 | -4 |
167 | Montserrat | 86 | -2 | -13 |
168 | Laos | 84 | 4 | 0 |
169 | Bermuda | 83 | 4 | 0 |
169 | Nicaragua | 83 | 6 | 5 |
171 | Barbados | 82 | -2 | -10 |
172 | Liechtenstein | 81 | -5 | -13 |
173 | Comoros | 80 | 2 | 2 |
174 | Pakistan | 77 | -10 | -23 |
175 | Sao Tome e Principe | 72 | 2 | 0 |
176 | Chinese Taipei | 70 | 3 | 0 |
177 | Curacao | 69 | 5 | 6 |
178 | Faroe Islands | 67 | 5 | 6 |
179 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 66 | 2 | 0 |
180 | Bangladesh | 65 | -10 | -22 |
181 | Solomon Islands | 64 | -8 | -19 |
182 | Nepal | 62 | -16 | -33 |
183 | Yemen | 56 | 1 | -3 |
184 | Sri Lanka | 51 | -6 | -20 |
185 | South Sudan | 43 | 0 | 0 |
186 | Macau | 41 | 0 | 0 |
187 | Samoa | 37 | 4 | 9 |
188 | Vanuatu | 33 | -2 | -8 |
189 | Mauritius | 32 | -1 | -5 |
190 | Fiji | 30 | -1 | -1 |
191 | Mongolia | 29 | -1 | 0 |
192 | US Virgin Islands | 28 | -1 | 0 |
193 | American Samoa | 26 | 5 | 8 |
193 | Bahamas | 26 | 0 | 0 |
193 | Brunei Darussalam | 26 | 0 | 0 |
193 | Timor-Leste | 26 | 0 | 0 |
193 | Tonga | 26 | 0 | 0 |
198 | Cayman Islands | 23 | -1 | 2 |
199 | British Virgin Islands | 13 | 2 | 0 |
199 | Cambodia | 13 | 2 | 0 |
199 | Papua New Guinea | 13 | 1 | -1 |
202 | Eritrea | 11 | 1 | 0 |
203 | Andorra | 9 | -4 | -7 |
204 | Somalia | 8 | 0 | 0 |
205 | Cook Islands | 6 | 1 | 1 |
205 | Djibouti | 6 | 0 | 0 |
207 | Anguilla | 1 | 0 | 0 |
208 | Bhutan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
208 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
England 26, Scotland =27, Wales =27
ReplyDeleteSeriously?
Based on the ELO-predicted results yes. In the meantime England has won against Switzerland instead of the predicted draw so in the September ranking England will climb to spot 18 and Scotland and Wales land on spot 29.
DeleteThanks Ed!
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