FIFA Ranking: December 2014 preview and probable ranking

FIFA will publish the ranking on 18 December.

A quiet interval in terms of matches. The AFF Championship trudges along. This tournament will have matches included in three editions of the FIFA ranking, as the final matches will be included in the January 2015 ranking. There's also an odd South Africa - Côte d'Ivoire friendly, plus some friendlies in Asia as teams begin final preparations for the AFC Asian (thanks thebear!) Cup.

Only the aforementioned African friendly will affect the top 50, with China's and Uzbekistan matches affecting the top 100.


This is how the points and rankings could change:

Team - Minimum Points - Maximum Points - Worst Rank - Best Rank

Côte d'Ivoire	833	860	28	24
South Africa	544	579	58	52
Uzbekistan	419	457	79	74
China PR	323	334	101	97
Palestine	271	296	113	109
Kuwait	241	259	124	118
Philippines	218	241	134	124
Myanmar	197	222	142	129
Vietnam	180	229	144	129
Thailand	154	206	152	138
Kyrgyzstan	137	169	155	146
Singapore	131	159	159	149
Malaysia	125	154	159	150
Laos	121	132	160	156
Indonesia	112	137	164	153

Here's the list of probable results. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

28/Nov Indonesia - Laos 1 (Friendly)
28/Nov Vietnam - Philippines 1 (Friendly)
29/Nov Singapore - Malaysia 1 (Friendly)
29/Nov Thailand - Myanmar 1 (Friendly)
30/Nov South Africa - Côte d'Ivoire X (Friendly)
06/Dec Singapore - Vietnam X (Friendly)
07/Dec Philippines - Thailand X (Friendly)
10/Dec Uzbekistan - Kuwait 1 (Friendly)
10/Dec Vietnam - Singapore 1 (Friendly)
11/Dec Thailand - Philippines 1 (Friendly)
13/Dec China PR - Kyrgyzstan 1 (Friendly)
13/Dec Uzbekistan - Palestine 1 (Friendly)

Best movers:

22 - Rwanda
17 - Zambia
9 - Maldives

Worst movers:

-34 - Cuba
-15 - Dominican Republic
-14 - Antigua and Barbuda

Best movers in the top 50:

Only Zambia are on the move - jumping 17 spots.

Worst movers:

-3 - Albania
-1 - Slovenia, Serbia, Northern Ireland, Turkey, Mali

One team will improve its best ever ranking:

Rwanda (68 - 78 in December 2008)

One team will return to its best ever ranking:

Faroe Islands (104 - 104 in July 1999)

Three teams will return to their worst ever ranking:

Serbia (47 - 47 in December 2005)
Gambia (168 - 168 in October 2014)
Vanuatu (191 - 191 in June 2013)

Three teams will drop to new lows:

India (171 - 170 in November 2014)
Cayman Islands (205 - 204 in November 2014)
Djibouti (206 - 205 in July 2014)

Probable December 2014 rank - Team - Probable December 2014 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1	Germany	1725	0	0
2	Argentina	1538	0	0
3	Colombia	1450	0	0
4	Belgium	1417	0	0
5	Netherlands	1374	0	0
6	Brazil	1316	0	0
7	France	1160	0	0
7	Portugal	1160	0	0
9	Spain	1142	0	0
10	Uruguay	1135	0	0
11	Italy	1103	0	0
12	Switzerland	1091	0	0
13	England	1032	0	0
14	Chile	1022	0	0
15	Romania	1014	0	0
16	Costa Rica	997	0	2
17	Czech Republic	987	0	0
18	Algeria	948	0	0
19	Croatia	946	0	0
20	Mexico	913	0	0
21	Slovakia	891	0	0
22	Tunisia	867	0	0
23	Austria	863	0	0
24	Greece	856	1	0
25	Ukraine	854	1	0
26	Ecuador	852	1	0
27	Côte d'Ivoire	842	-3	-19
28	USA	836	0	0
29	Bosnia-Herzegovina	817	0	9
30	Denmark	804	0	0
31	Russia	789	0	0
32	Israel	788	0	0
33	Iceland	761	0	0
34	Wales	748	0	0
35	Senegal	734	0	0
36	Scotland	729	0	0
37	Ghana	714	0	0
38	Guinea	706	0	8
39	Cape Verde Islands	693	0	0
40	Poland	680	0	-4
41	Cameroon	665	0	1
42	Nigeria	656	0	0
43	Sweden	646	0	0
44	Hungary	632	0	0
45	Zambia	625	17	109
46	Slovenia	622	-1	0
47	Serbia	617	-1	0
48	Northern Ireland	615	-1	0
49	Turkey	604	-1	0
50	Mali	603	-1	0
51	Iran	580	5	33
52	Albania	577	-2	0
53	Peru	565	-1	0
54	Japan	563	-1	0
55	South Africa	556	-4	-12
56	Trinidad and Tobago	551	-2	-2
57	Congo DR	548	-2	0
58	Panama	547	-2	0
59	Montenegro	537	-1	0
60	Egypt	531	0	4
61	Congo	529	-2	0
62	Togo	524	0	8
63	Burkina Faso	523	2	13
64	Republic of Ireland	519	-3	0
65	Gabon	511	-1	0
66	Bulgaria	506	0	0
67	Norway	500	0	0
68	Rwanda	494	22	127
69	Korea Republic	481	0	0
70	Finland	468	0	0
71	Honduras	461	1	0
72	Guatemala	458	1	0
72	Haiti	458	-4	-26
74	Uzbekistan	457	0	9
75	Jamaica	449	-4	-18
76	Paraguay	438	-1	0
76	Uganda	438	2	13
78	Libya	437	-2	0
79	Armenia	436	-2	0
80	Angola	395	1	1
81	Jordan	393	5	11
81	Morocco	393	1	0
81	United Arab Emirates	393	4	8
84	Estonia	390	-1	0
85	Bolivia	375	2	0
86	Sierra Leone	374	-2	-13
87	Cyprus	372	1	0
88	Venezuela	369	1	0
89	Benin	361	2	0
90	El Salvador	358	3	0
90	Malawi	358	4	1
92	Lithuania	355	3	0
93	Oman	347	3	-4
94	Antigua and Barbuda	344	-14	-69
95	Qatar	342	3	4
96	Latvia	339	1	0
97	China PR	334	2	-2
98	Mozambique	332	2	-2
99	Belarus	331	2	0
100	Australia	324	2	-3
100	FYR Macedonia	324	3	0
102	Saudi Arabia	323	4	9
103	Iraq	320	1	-1
104	Faroe Islands	317	1	0
105	Tanzania	314	7	29
106	Dominican Republic	310	-15	-51
107	Botswana	309	1	0
108	Zimbabwe	308	-2	-6
109	Namibia	295	0	0
110	Sudan	294	5	29
111	Ethiopia	290	-1	3
112	Canada	287	-2	0
113	Cuba	271	-34	-152
113	Palestine	271	0	-5
115	Liberia	268	6	19
116	Kenya	261	-2	-10
116	Niger	261	0	0
118	St. Kitts and Nevis	258	-1	0
119	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	256	-1	0
120	Equatorial Guinea	251	-1	0
121	Moldova	250	-1	0
122	Bahrain	249	3	6
123	Lesotho	247	-1	0
124	Kuwait	241	-1	-5
125	Georgia	239	1	0
126	Lebanon	238	1	0
127	Burundi	232	-3	-13
128	Luxembourg	230	1	0
129	Aruba	221	2	3
130	Maldives	220	12	36
130	Philippines	220	-2	-11
132	Liechtenstein	219	-2	0
133	Guinea-Bissau	218	-2	0
134	New Zealand	216	-1	0
135	Azerbaijan	215	0	0
135	Tajikistan	215	0	0
135	Vietnam	215	3	9
138	Mauritania	211	3	16
139	Kazakhstan	205	0	0
140	St. Lucia	202	5	23
141	Myanmar	200	-1	-2
142	Thailand	194	2	12
143	Afghanistan	190	-10	-26
144	Barbados	183	-1	0
145	Central African Republic	178	1	0
146	Chad	172	1	0
147	Madagascar	166	1	0
147	Malta	166	1	0
147	Turkmenistan	166	1	0
150	Korea DPR	156	-13	-55
151	Syria	154	0	6
152	New Caledonia	142	2	0
153	Grenada	137	-1	-10
153	Kyrgyzstan	137	0	-9
153	Singapore	137	5	14
156	Hong Kong	134	3	14
157	Curaçao	125	-1	-2
157	Malaysia	125	-2	-12
159	Indonesia	123	-2	-3
160	Laos	121	-1	1
161	Guam	119	4	14
161	Puerto Rico	119	0	0
163	Suriname	115	1	6
164	Swaziland	113	-2	0
165	Bangladesh	103	-2	-8
166	Tahiti	100	0	0
167	Guyana	92	3	8
168	Gambia	90	-1	0
169	Montserrat	86	-1	0
170	Sao Tome e Principe	84	0	0
171	India	79	-1	-5
172	Sri Lanka	78	-3	-7
173	Comoros	75	0	-2
173	Nicaragua	75	1	0
175	Belize	74	2	0
176	Yemen	69	-2	-6
177	Turks and Caicos Islands	66	1	0
178	Seychelles	61	-4	-14
179	Bermuda	55	1	0
179	Cambodia	55	1	0
179	San Marino	55	1	0
182	Chinese Taipei	54	6	7
183	Solomon Islands	53	1	0
184	Dominica	52	3	4
185	Timor-Leste	51	0	0
186	Macau	49	0	0
186	Nepal	49	-7	-9
188	Pakistan	45	-5	-9
189	South Sudan	43	0	0
190	Mauritius	36	1	4
191	Vanuatu	33	-1	0
192	Fiji	30	0	0
192	Samoa	30	0	0
194	Mongolia	29	0	0
195	Bahamas	26	0	0
196	Tonga	17	0	0
197	US Virgin Islands	16	0	0
198	Brunei Darussalam	15	0	0
199	Papua New Guinea	13	0	0
200	American Samoa	12	0	0
201	Andorra	9	0	0
202	British Virgin Islands	8	0	0
202	Eritrea	8	0	0
204	Somalia	6	2	2
205	Cayman Islands	5	-1	0
206	Cook Islands	4	0	0
206	Djibouti	4	-2	-1
208	Anguilla	2	0	0
209	Bhutan	0	0	0

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.