Because I've received lots of "What are my team's chances if they do this and that and everything else stays the same" questions, I've decided to run 10000 sims for each possible scenario. Lost patience after Serbia and dropped to 1000 sims per scenario.
As usual with competition/pot sims, I used ClubElo's expected goals formula. Games up to and including 3 June 2015.
The usual simulations can be found here.
Some very important matches:
Croatia vs. Italy - both fighting for a pot 1 spot.
Iceland vs. Czech Republic - Iceland need to win to be in pot 2, the Czechs need to win to (almost) be in pot 1.
Wales vs. Belgium - Wales need to win to be in pot 1.
Denmark vs. Serbia - both fighting for a pot 2 spot.
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Israel - both fighting for a pot 2 spot.
Republic of Ireland vs. Scotland - hosts need to win for pot 3, Scotland need to win to be in pot 2.
Albania vs. France - hosts need to win to be sure of a pot 3 spot.
Finland vs. Hungary - pot 4 / pot 3.
Germany
Pot 1: 100%
Belgium
Pot 1: 100%
Netherlands
Pot 1: 100%
Romania
Pot 1: 100%
England
Defeat vs. Republic of Ireland; Defeat vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 94.24%; Pot 2: 5.76%
Defeat vs. Republic of Ireland; Draw vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 97.32%; Pot 2: 2.68%
Defeat vs. Republic of Ireland; Win vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 100%
Draw vs. Republic of Ireland; Defeat vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 94.46%; Pot 2: 5.54%
Draw vs. Republic of Ireland; Draw vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 98.36%; Pot 2: 1.64%
Draw vs. Republic of Ireland; Win vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 100%
Win vs. Republic of Ireland; Defeat vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 96.81%; Pot 2: 3.19%
Win vs. Republic of Ireland; Draw vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 100%
Win vs. Republic of Ireland; Win vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 100%
Portugal
Defeat vs. Armenia; Defeat vs. Italy - Pot 1: 81%; Pot 2: 19%
Defeat vs. Armenia; Draw vs. Italy - Pot 1: 95.32%; Pot 2: 4.68%
Defeat vs. Armenia; Win vs. Italy - Pot 1: 98.11%; Pot 2: 1.89%
Draw vs. Armenia; Defeat vs. Italy - Pot 1: 95.08%; Pot 2: 4.92%
Draw vs. Armenia; Draw vs. Italy - Pot 1: 97.5%; Pot 2: 2.5%
Draw vs. Armenia; Win vs. Italy - Pot 1: 100%
Win vs. Armenia; Defeat vs. Italy - Pot 1: 100%
Win vs. Armenia; Draw vs. Italy - Pot 1: 100%
Win vs. Armenia; Win vs. Italy - Pot 1: 100%
Spain
Defeat vs. Costa Rica; Defeat vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 4.92%; Pot 2: 95.08%
Defeat vs. Costa Rica; Draw vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 32.68%; Pot 2: 67.32%
Defeat vs. Costa Rica; Win vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 94.66%; Pot 2: 5.34%
Draw vs. Costa Rica; Defeat vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 12.03%; Pot 2: 87.97%
Draw vs. Costa Rica; Draw vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 83.77%; Pot 2: 16.23%
Draw vs. Costa Rica; Win vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 96.88%; Pot 2: 3.12%
Win vs. Costa Rica; Defeat vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 87.3%; Pot 2: 12.7%
Win vs. Costa Rica; Draw vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 94.09%; Pot 2: 5.91%
Win vs. Costa Rica; Win vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 100%
Croatia
Defeat vs. Italy - Pot 1: 0.91%; Pot 2: 99.09%
Draw vs. Italy - Pot 1: 82.54%; Pot 2: 17.46%
Win vs. Italy - Pot 1: 100%
Italy
Defeat vs. Croatia; Defeat vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 0.33%; Pot 2: 99.67%
Defeat vs. Croatia; Draw vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 0.86%; Pot 2: 99.14%
Defeat vs. Croatia; Win vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 11.68%; Pot 2: 88.32%
Draw vs. Croatia; Defeat vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 11.93%; Pot 2: 88.07%
Draw vs. Croatia; Draw vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 53.88%; Pot 2: 46.12%
Draw vs. Croatia; Win vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 96.49%; Pot 2: 3.51%
Win vs. Croatia; Defeat vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 100%
Win vs. Croatia; Draw vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 100%
Win vs. Croatia; Win vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 100%
Slovakia
Defeat vs. FYR Macedonia - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. FYR Macedonia - Pot 1: 0.54%; Pot 2: 99.46%
Win vs. FYR Macedonia - Pot 1: 44.44%; Pot 2: 55.56%
Czech Republic
Defeat vs. Iceland - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. Iceland - Pot 1: 1.56%; Pot 2: 98.44%
Win vs. Iceland - Pot 1: 96.18%; Pot 2: 3.82%
Wales
Defeat vs. Belgium - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. Belgium - Pot 1: 4.63%; Pot 2: 95.37%
Win vs. Belgium - Pot 1: 100%
Switzerland
Defeat vs. Liechtenstein; Defeat vs. Lithuania - Pot 2: 100%
Defeat vs. Liechtenstein; Draw vs. Lithuania - Pot 2: 100%
Defeat vs. Liechtenstein; Win vs. Lithuania - Pot 1: 1.26%; Pot 2: 98.74%
Draw vs. Liechtenstein; Defeat vs. Lithuania - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. Liechtenstein; Draw vs. Lithuania - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. Liechtenstein; Win vs. Lithuania - Pot 1: 1.84%; Pot 2: 98.16%
Win vs. Liechtenstein; Defeat vs. Lithuania - Pot 2: 100%
Win vs. Liechtenstein; Draw vs. Lithuania - Pot 2: 100%
Win vs. Liechtenstein; Win vs. Lithuania - Pot 1: 7.59%; Pot 2: 92.41%
Austria
Defeat vs. Russia - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. Russia - Pot 2: 100%
Win vs. Russia - Pot 1: 13.72%; Pot 2: 86.28%
France
Defeat vs. Belgium; Defeat vs. Albania - Pot 2: 100%
Defeat vs. Belgium; Draw vs. Albania - Pot 2: 100%
Defeat vs. Belgium; Win vs. Albania - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. Belgium; Defeat vs. Albania - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. Belgium; Draw vs. Albania - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. Belgium; Win vs. Albania - Pot 2: 100%
Win vs. Belgium; Defeat vs. Albania - Pot 2: 100%
Win vs. Belgium; Draw vs. Albania - Pot 2: 100%
Win vs. Belgium; Win vs. Albania - Pot 1: 1.53%; Pot 2: 98.47%
Denmark
Defeat vs. Montenegro; Defeat vs. Serbia - Pot 3: 99.95%; Pot 4: 0.05%
Defeat vs. Montenegro; Draw vs. Serbia - Pot 2: 5.05%; Pot 3: 94.95%
Defeat vs. Montenegro; Win vs. Serbia - Pot 2: 98.61%; Pot 3: 1.39%
Draw vs. Montenegro; Defeat vs. Serbia - Pot 3: 100%
Draw vs. Montenegro; Draw vs. Serbia - Pot 2: 10.54%; Pot 3: 89.46%
Draw vs. Montenegro; Win vs. Serbia - Pot 2: 100%
Win vs. Montenegro; Defeat vs. Serbia - Pot 2: 0.49%; Pot 3: 99.51%
Win vs. Montenegro; Draw vs. Serbia - Pot 2: 67.66%; Pot 3: 32.34%
Win vs. Montenegro; Win vs. Serbia - Pot 2: 100%
Iceland
Defeat vs. Czech Republic - Pot 3: 100%
Draw vs. Czech Republic - Pot 2: 14.99%; Pot 3: 85.01%
Win vs. Czech Republic - Pot 2: 100%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Defeat vs. Israel - Pot 3: 82.81%; Pot 4: 17.19%
Draw vs. Israel - Pot 3: 100%
Win vs. Israel - Pot 2: 85.27%; Pot 3: 14.73%
Scotland
Defeat vs. Qatar; Defeat vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 3: 99.26%; Pot 4: 0.74%
Defeat vs. Qatar; Draw vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 3: 100%
Defeat vs. Qatar; Win vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 2: 88.61%; Pot 3: 11.39%
Draw vs. Qatar; Defeat vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 3: 98.87%; Pot 4: 1.13%
Draw vs. Qatar; Draw vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 2: 0.31%; Pot 3: 99.69%
Draw vs. Qatar; Win vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 2: 95.24%; Pot 3: 4.76%
Win vs. Qatar; Defeat vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 3: 99.99%; Pot 4: 0.01%
Win vs. Qatar; Draw vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 2: 3.46%; Pot 3: 96.54%
Win vs. Qatar; Win vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 2: 100%
Poland
Defeat vs. Georgia; Defeat vs. Greece - Pot 3: 91.65%; Pot 4: 8.35%
Defeat vs. Georgia; Draw vs. Greece - Pot 3: 99.73%; Pot 4: 0.27%
Defeat vs. Georgia; Win vs. Greece - Pot 2: 1.17%; Pot 3: 98.83%
Draw vs. Georgia; Defeat vs. Greece - Pot 3: 99.59%; Pot 4: 0.41%
Draw vs. Georgia; Draw vs. Greece - Pot 3: 99.96%; Pot 4: 0.04%
Draw vs. Georgia; Win vs. Greece - Pot 2: 7.12%; Pot 3: 92.88%
Win vs. Georgia; Defeat vs. Greece - Pot 2: 0.29%; Pot 3: 99.71%
Win vs. Georgia; Draw vs. Greece - Pot 2: 3.99%; Pot 3: 96.01%
Win vs. Georgia; Win vs. Greece - Pot 2: 57.63%; Pot 3: 42.37%
Ukraine
Defeat vs. Georgia; Defeat vs. Luxembourg - Pot 2: 0.05%; Pot 3: 99.91%; Pot 4: 0.04%
Defeat vs. Georgia; Draw vs. Luxembourg - Pot 3: 100%
Defeat vs. Georgia; Win vs. Luxembourg - Pot 2: 8.44%; Pot 3: 91.56%
Draw vs. Georgia; Defeat vs. Luxembourg - Pot 2: 0.05%; Pot 3: 99.95%
Draw vs. Georgia; Draw vs. Luxembourg - Pot 2: 1.25%; Pot 3: 98.75%
Draw vs. Georgia; Win vs. Luxembourg - Pot 2: 18.4%; Pot 3: 81.6%
Win vs. Georgia; Defeat vs. Luxembourg - Pot 2: 0.19%; Pot 3: 99.81%
Win vs. Georgia; Draw vs. Luxembourg - Pot 2: 2.69%; Pot 3: 97.31%
Win vs. Georgia; Win vs. Luxembourg - Pot 2: 22.91%; Pot 3: 77.09%
Northern Ireland
Defeat vs. Romania - Pot 3: 73.4%; Pot 4: 26.6%;
Draw vs. Romania - Pot 3: 99.85%; Pot 4: 0.15%;
Win vs. Romania - Pot 2: 97.27%; Pot 3: 2.73%;
Greece
Defeat vs. Faroe Islands; Defeat vs. Poland - Pot 3: 16.76%; Pot 4: 83.24%;
Defeat vs. Faroe Islands; Draw vs. Poland - Pot 3: 60.95%; Pot 4: 39.05%;
Defeat vs. Faroe Islands; Win vs. Poland - Pot 3: 99.67%; Pot 4: 0.33%;
Draw vs. Faroe Islands; Defeat vs. Poland - Pot 3: 85.97%; Pot 4: 14.03%;
Draw vs. Faroe Islands; Draw vs. Poland - Pot 3: 98.75%; Pot 4: 1.25%;
Draw vs. Faroe Islands; Win vs. Poland - Pot 3: 100%;
Win vs. Faroe Islands; Defeat vs. Poland - Pot 3: 100%;
Win vs. Faroe Islands; Draw vs. Poland - Pot 2: 0.2%; Pot 3: 99.8%;
Win vs. Faroe Islands; Win vs. Poland - Pot 2: 42.67%; Pot 3: 57.33%;
Sweden
Defeat vs. Norway; Defeat vs. Montenegro - Pot 3: 55.16%; Pot 4: 44.84%;
Defeat vs. Norway; Draw vs. Montenegro - Pot 3: 93.62%; Pot 4: 6.38%;
Defeat vs. Norway; Win vs. Montenegro - Pot 3: 100%;
Draw vs. Norway; Defeat vs. Montenegro - Pot 3: 80.29%; Pot 4: 19.71%;
Draw vs. Norway; Draw vs. Montenegro - Pot 3: 99.48%; Pot 4: 0.52%;
Draw vs. Norway; Win vs. Montenegro - Pot 2: 0.33%; Pot 3: 99.67%;
Win vs. Norway; Defeat vs. Montenegro - Pot 3: 97.12%; Pot 4: 2.88%;
Win vs. Norway; Draw vs. Montenegro - Pot 3: 99.87%; Pot 4: 0.13%;
Win vs. Norway; Win vs. Montenegro - Pot 2: 5.16%; Pot 3: 94.84%;
Serbia
Defeat vs. Azerbaijan; Defeat vs. Denmark - Pot 3: 15.9%; Pot 4: 84.1%;
Defeat vs. Azerbaijan; Draw vs. Denmark - Pot 3: 93.01%; Pot 4: 6.99%;
Defeat vs. Azerbaijan; Win vs. Denmark - Pot 2: 31.01%; Pot 3: 68.99%;
Draw vs. Azerbaijan; Defeat vs. Denmark - Pot 3: 41.91%; Pot 4: 58.09%;
Draw vs. Azerbaijan; Draw vs. Denmark - Pot 3: 99.17%; Pot 4: 0.83%;
Draw vs. Azerbaijan; Win vs. Denmark - Pot 2: 67.39%; Pot 3: 32.61%;
Win vs. Azerbaijan; Defeat vs. Denmark - Pot 3: 58.73%; Pot 4: 41.27%;
Win vs. Azerbaijan; Draw vs. Denmark - Pot 3: 99.69%; Pot 4: 0.31%;
Win vs. Azerbaijan; Win vs. Denmark - Pot 2: 93.05%; Pot 3: 6.95%;
Israel
Defeat vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Pot 3: 91.3%; Pot 4: 8.7%;
Win vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Pot 2: 91.3%; Pot 3: 8.7%;
Hungary
Defeat vs. Lithuania; Defeat vs. Finland - Pot 4: 100%;
Defeat vs. Lithuania; Draw vs. Finland - Pot 3: 48.9%; Pot 4: 51.1%;
Defeat vs. Lithuania; Win vs. Finland - Pot 3: 100%;
Draw vs. Lithuania; Defeat vs. Finland - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Lithuania; Draw vs. Finland - Pot 3: 52.1%; Pot 4: 47.9%;
Draw vs. Lithuania; Win vs. Finland - Pot 3: 100%;
Win vs. Lithuania; Defeat vs. Finland - Pot 3: 42.6%; Pot 4: 57.4%;
Win vs. Lithuania; Draw vs. Finland - Pot 3: 91.9%; Pot 4: 8.1%;
Win vs. Lithuania; Win vs. Finland - Pot 2: 0.7%; Pot 3: 99.3%;
Slovenia
Defeat vs. England - Pot 3: 3.5%; Pot 4: 96.5%;
Draw vs. England - Pot 3: 89.4%; Pot 4: 10.6%;
Win vs. England - Pot 2: 35.3%; Pot 3: 64.7%;
Republic of Ireland
Defeat vs. England; Defeat vs. Scotland - Pot 4: 100%;
Defeat vs. England; Draw vs. Scotland - Pot 4: 100%;
Defeat vs. England; Win vs. Scotland - Pot 3: 97.1%; Pot 4: 2.9%;
Draw vs. England; Defeat vs. Scotland - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. England; Draw vs. Scotland - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. England; Win vs. Scotland - Pot 3: 99.2%; Pot 4: 0.8%;
Win vs. England; Defeat vs. Scotland - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. England; Draw vs. Scotland - Pot 3: 57.4%; Pot 4: 42.6%;
Win vs. England; Win vs. Scotland - Pot 3: 100%;
Albania
Defeat vs. France - Pot 3: 19.2%; Pot 4: 80.8%;
Draw vs. France - Pot 3: 68.9%; Pot 4: 31.1%;
Win vs. France - Pot 3: 100%;
Turkey
Defeat vs. Bulgaria; Defeat vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 4: 100%;
Defeat vs. Bulgaria; Draw vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 4: 100%;
Defeat vs. Bulgaria; Win vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Bulgaria; Defeat vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Bulgaria; Draw vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Bulgaria; Win vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Bulgaria; Defeat vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Bulgaria; Draw vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Bulgaria; Win vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 3: 2%; Pot 4: 98%;
Norway
Defeat vs. Sweden; Defeat vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 99.3%; Pot 5: 0.7%;
Defeat vs. Sweden; Draw vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 99.3%; Pot 5: 0.7%;
Defeat vs. Sweden; Win vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Sweden; Defeat vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 98.5%; Pot 5: 1.5%;
Draw vs. Sweden; Draw vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Sweden; Win vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Sweden; Defeat vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Sweden; Draw vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Sweden; Win vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 100%;
Bulgaria
Defeat vs. Turkey; Defeat vs. Malta - Pot 4: 86.3%; Pot 5: 13.7%;
Defeat vs. Turkey; Draw vs. Malta - Pot 4: 97.2%; Pot 5: 2.8%;
Defeat vs. Turkey; Win vs. Malta - Pot 4: 99.5%; Pot 5: 0.5%;
Draw vs. Turkey; Defeat vs. Malta - Pot 4: 96%; Pot 5: 4%;
Draw vs. Turkey; Draw vs. Malta - Pot 4: 98.4%; Pot 5: 1.6%;
Draw vs. Turkey; Win vs. Malta - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Turkey; Defeat vs. Malta - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Turkey; Draw vs. Malta - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Turkey; Win vs. Malta - Pot 4: 100%;
Montenegro
Defeat vs. Denmark; Defeat vs. Sweden - Pot 4: 75.2%; Pot 5: 24.8%;
Defeat vs. Denmark; Draw vs. Sweden - Pot 4: 98.6%; Pot 5: 1.4%;
Defeat vs. Denmark; Win vs. Sweden - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Denmark; Defeat vs. Sweden - Pot 4: 93.2%; Pot 5: 6.8%;
Draw vs. Denmark; Draw vs. Sweden - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Denmark; Win vs. Sweden - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Denmark; Defeat vs. Sweden - Pot 4: 99.3%; Pot 5: 0.7%;
Win vs. Denmark; Draw vs. Sweden - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Denmark; Win vs. Sweden - Pot 3: 57.3%; Pot 4: 42.7%;
Finland
Defeat vs. Estonia; Defeat vs. Hungary - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Estonia; Draw vs. Hungary - Pot 4: 28.3%; Pot 5: 71.7%;
Defeat vs. Estonia; Win vs. Hungary - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Estonia; Defeat vs. Hungary - Pot 4: 5.8%; Pot 5: 94.2%;
Draw vs. Estonia; Draw vs. Hungary - Pot 4: 79.5%; Pot 5: 20.5%;
Draw vs. Estonia; Win vs. Hungary - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Estonia; Defeat vs. Hungary - Pot 4: 71.8%; Pot 5: 28.2%;
Win vs. Estonia; Draw vs. Hungary - Pot 4: 98.5%; Pot 5: 1.5%;
Win vs. Estonia; Win vs. Hungary - Pot 4: 100%;
Armenia
Defeat vs. Portugal - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Portugal - Pot 4: 80.7%; Pot 5: 19.3%;
Win vs. Portugal - Pot 4: 100%;
Belarus
Defeat vs. Russia; Defeat vs. Spain - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Russia; Draw vs. Spain - Pot 4: 1.2%; Pot 5: 98.8%;
Defeat vs. Russia; Win vs. Spain - Pot 4: 97.4%; Pot 5: 2.6%;
Draw vs. Russia; Defeat vs. Spain - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Russia; Draw vs. Spain - Pot 4: 30.2%; Pot 5: 69.8%;
Draw vs. Russia; Win vs. Spain - Pot 4: 98%; Pot 5: 2%;
Win vs. Russia; Defeat vs. Spain - Pot 4: 23.5%; Pot 5: 76.5%;
Win vs. Russia; Draw vs. Spain - Pot 4: 73.8%; Pot 5: 26.2%;
Win vs. Russia; Win vs. Spain - Pot 4: 100%;
Estonia
Defeat vs. Finland; Defeat vs. San Marino - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Finland; Draw vs. San Marino - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Finland; Win vs. San Marino - Pot 4: 5.6%; Pot 5: 94.4%;
Draw vs. Finland; Defeat vs. San Marino - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Finland; Draw vs. San Marino - Pot 4: 6.5%; Pot 5: 93.5%;
Draw vs. Finland; Win vs. San Marino - Pot 4: 34.9%; Pot 5: 65.1%;
Win vs. Finland; Defeat vs. San Marino - Pot 4: 12.3%; Pot 5: 87.7%;
Win vs. Finland; Draw vs. San Marino - Pot 4: 39.4%; Pot 5: 60.6%;
Win vs. Finland; Win vs. San Marino - Pot 4: 48.8%; Pot 5: 51.2%;
Latvia
Defeat vs. Netherlands - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Netherlands - Pot 4: 65.6%; Pot 5: 34.4%;
Win vs. Netherlands - Pot 4: 100%;
Lithuania
Defeat vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 80.9%; Pot 5: 19.1%;
Defeat vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 82.5%; Pot 5: 17.5%;
Defeat vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 86.9%; Pot 5: 13.1%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 91.4%; Pot 5: 8.6%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 92.5%; Pot 5: 7.5%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 0.7%; Pot 5: 99.3%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 90.3%; Pot 5: 9.7%;
Win vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 22%; Pot 5: 78%;
Win vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 97.1%; Pot 5: 2.9%;
Win vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 17.9%; Pot 5: 82.1%;
Win vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 98.5%; Pot 5: 1.5%;
Win vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 29.8%; Pot 5: 70.2%;
Win vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 99.3%; Pot 5: 0.7%;
Cyprus
Defeat vs. Andorra - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Andorra - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Andorra - Pot 4: 19.1%; Pot 5: 80.9%;
FYR Macedonia
Defeat vs. Slovakia - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Slovakia - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Slovakia - Pot 4: 99.4%; Pot 5: 0.6%;
Azerbaijan
Defeat vs. Serbia; Defeat vs. Norway - Pot 5: 91.5%; Pot 6: 8.5%;
Defeat vs. Serbia; Draw vs. Norway - Pot 5: 99.3%; Pot 6: 0.7%;
Defeat vs. Serbia; Win vs. Norway - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Serbia; Defeat vs. Norway - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Serbia; Draw vs. Norway - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Serbia; Win vs. Norway - Pot 4: 17.3%; Pot 5: 82.7%;
Win vs. Serbia; Defeat vs. Norway - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Serbia; Draw vs. Norway - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Serbia; Win vs. Norway - Pot 4: 53%; Pot 5: 47%;
Faroe Islands
Defeat vs. Greece - Pot 5: 73.5%; Pot 6: 26.5%;
Draw vs. Greece - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Greece - Pot 4: 85.6%; Pot 5: 14.4%;
Moldova
Defeat vs. Luxembourg; Defeat vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Luxembourg; Draw vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 5: 51.4%; Pot 6: 48.6%;
Defeat vs. Luxembourg; Win vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 5: 95.5%; Pot 6: 4.5%;
Draw vs. Luxembourg; Defeat vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Luxembourg; Draw vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 5: 59.5%; Pot 6: 40.5%;
Draw vs. Luxembourg; Win vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 5: 97.6%; Pot 6: 2.4%;
Win vs. Luxembourg; Defeat vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 5: 49%; Pot 6: 51%;
Win vs. Luxembourg; Draw vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 5: 87.1%; Pot 6: 12.9%;
Win vs. Luxembourg; Win vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 5: 98.6%; Pot 6: 1.4%;
Kazakhstan
Defeat vs. Turkey; Defeat vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Turkey; Draw vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Turkey; Win vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Turkey; Defeat vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Turkey; Draw vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 5: 8.2%; Pot 6: 91.8%;
Draw vs. Turkey; Win vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 5: 83.3%; Pot 6: 16.7%;
Win vs. Turkey; Defeat vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 5: 93.9%; Pot 6: 6.1%;
Win vs. Turkey; Draw vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 5: 95.3%; Pot 6: 4.7%;
Win vs. Turkey; Win vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 5: 100%;
Georgia
Defeat vs. Ukraine; Defeat vs. Poland - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Ukraine; Draw vs. Poland - Pot 5: 8.8%; Pot 6: 91.2%;
Defeat vs. Ukraine; Win vs. Poland - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Ukraine; Defeat vs. Poland - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Ukraine; Draw vs. Poland - Pot 5: 75.1%; Pot 6: 24.9%;
Draw vs. Ukraine; Win vs. Poland - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Ukraine; Defeat vs. Poland - Pot 5: 23.6%; Pot 6: 76.4%;
Win vs. Ukraine; Draw vs. Poland - Pot 5: 99.4%; Pot 6: 0.6%;
Win vs. Ukraine; Win vs. Poland - Pot 4: 29.7%; Pot 5: 70.3%;
Liechtenstein
Defeat vs. Switzerland; Defeat vs. Moldova - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Switzerland; Draw vs. Moldova - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Switzerland; Win vs. Moldova - Pot 5: 20.2%; Pot 6: 79.8%;
Draw vs. Switzerland; Defeat vs. Moldova - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Switzerland; Draw vs. Moldova - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Switzerland; Win vs. Moldova - Pot 5: 83.9%; Pot 6: 16.1%;
Win vs. Switzerland; Defeat vs. Moldova - Pot 6: 100%;
Win vs. Switzerland; Draw vs. Moldova - Pot 5: 67.2%; Pot 6: 32.8%;
Win vs. Switzerland; Win vs. Moldova - Pot 5: 98.6%; Pot 6: 1.4%;
Malta
Defeat vs. Lithuania; Defeat vs. Bulgaria - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Lithuania; Draw vs. Bulgaria - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Lithuania; Win vs. Bulgaria - Pot 5: 24.7%; Pot 6: 75.3%;
Draw vs. Lithuania; Defeat vs. Bulgaria - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Lithuania; Draw vs. Bulgaria - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Lithuania; Win vs. Bulgaria - Pot 5: 64.3%; Pot 6: 35.7%;
Win vs. Lithuania; Defeat vs. Bulgaria - Pot 6: 100%;
Win vs. Lithuania; Draw vs. Bulgaria - Pot 6: 100%;
Win vs. Lithuania; Win vs. Bulgaria - Pot 5: 89.4%; Pot 6: 10.6%;
Luxembourg
Defeat vs. Moldova; Defeat vs. Ukraine - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Moldova; Draw vs. Ukraine - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Moldova; Win vs. Ukraine - Pot 5: 99.3%; Pot 6: 0.7%;
Draw vs. Moldova; Defeat vs. Ukraine - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Moldova; Draw vs. Ukraine - Pot 5: 36.6%; Pot 6: 63.4%;
Draw vs. Moldova; Win vs. Ukraine - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Moldova; Defeat vs. Ukraine - Pot 6: 100%;
Win vs. Moldova; Draw vs. Ukraine - Pot 5: 68.3%; Pot 6: 31.7%;
Win vs. Moldova; Win vs. Ukraine - Pot 5: 100%;
San Marino
Pot 6: 100%;
Andorra
Pot 6: 100%;
hvala! go Croatia!
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