Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. For minimum/maximum points see the preview.
Probable July 2015 rank - Team - Probable July 2015 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
1 | Argentina | 1580 | 2 | 84 |
2 | Germany | 1411 | -1 | -364 |
3 | Belgium | 1391 | -1 | -118 |
4 | Colombia | 1356 | 0 | -79 |
5 | Brazil | 1344 | 0 | -48 |
6 | Romania | 1277 | 6 | 162 |
7 | Netherlands | 1204 | -1 | -174 |
8 | England | 1157 | 7 | 106 |
9 | Portugal | 1136 | -2 | -93 |
10 | Spain | 1110 | 0 | -37 |
11 | Chile | 1106 | 8 | 117 |
12 | Uruguay | 1093 | -4 | -90 |
13 | Croatia | 1023 | 5 | 31 |
14 | Italy | 1020 | -1 | -81 |
15 | Slovakia | 1016 | 2 | 4 |
16 | Switzerland | 997 | -5 | -149 |
17 | Czech Republic | 983 | -1 | -53 |
18 | Algeria | 941 | 3 | 0 |
19 | Côte d'Ivoire | 930 | 5 | 14 |
20 | France | 926 | -11 | -238 |
21 | Russia | 915 | 5 | 82 |
22 | Wales | 910 | 0 | -19 |
23 | Denmark | 876 | 6 | 68 |
24 | Austria | 854 | -4 | -92 |
25 | Ghana | 827 | 9 | 27 |
26 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 819 | 6 | 17 |
27 | Poland | 818 | 5 | 16 |
28 | Ukraine | 791 | 7 | 7 |
29 | Tunisia | 789 | 0 | -19 |
30 | Iceland | 786 | 7 | 17 |
31 | Sweden | 752 | 8 | 15 |
32 | USA | 748 | -5 | -75 |
33 | Iran | 740 | 8 | 23 |
34 | Greece | 731 | -9 | -168 |
34 | Scotland | 731 | -6 | -87 |
36 | Mexico | 728 | -13 | -198 |
37 | Ecuador | 717 | -6 | -89 |
38 | Senegal | 715 | -2 | -67 |
39 | Republic of Ireland | 714 | 21 | 133 |
40 | Costa Rica | 695 | -26 | -361 |
41 | Hungary | 688 | 1 | 3 |
42 | Cameroon | 672 | 7 | 31 |
43 | Northern Ireland | 663 | 1 | -13 |
44 | Serbia | 662 | 1 | -11 |
45 | Congo | 656 | 2 | -10 |
46 | Albania | 641 | 5 | 17 |
47 | Japan | 636 | 5 | 13 |
48 | Turkey | 627 | 9 | 37 |
49 | Slovenia | 626 | -1 | -27 |
50 | Guinea | 622 | -5 | -51 |
51 | Israel | 620 | -11 | -105 |
52 | Cape Verde Islands | 608 | -14 | -138 |
52 | Korea Republic | 608 | 6 | 21 |
54 | Egypt | 606 | 1 | 10 |
55 | Nigeria | 601 | -12 | -80 |
56 | Equatorial Guinea | 584 | -6 | -51 |
57 | Australia | 559 | 6 | 27 |
58 | Mali | 556 | -6 | -67 |
59 | Congo DR | 555 | -3 | -36 |
60 | Panama | 549 | -6 | -48 |
61 | Trinidad and Tobago | 543 | 6 | 24 |
62 | Norway | 537 | 2 | 9 |
63 | Venezuela | 521 | 9 | 24 |
64 | Gabon | 513 | -5 | -70 |
65 | Zambia | 497 | 3 | -20 |
66 | South Africa | 493 | 3 | -22 |
67 | Bulgaria | 489 | -5 | -48 |
68 | United Arab Emirates | 487 | 5 | -9 |
69 | Burkina Faso | 481 | -3 | -39 |
70 | Uganda | 462 | 1 | -42 |
71 | Paraguay | 459 | 14 | 77 |
71 | Uzbekistan | 459 | 3 | -20 |
73 | Peru | 448 | -12 | -98 |
74 | Jamaica | 437 | -9 | -87 |
75 | China PR | 436 | 4 | 27 |
76 | Haiti | 428 | 0 | -14 |
77 | Montenegro | 423 | -7 | -90 |
78 | Estonia | 420 | 13 | 50 |
78 | Finland | 420 | 0 | 10 |
80 | Honduras | 416 | -5 | -46 |
81 | Togo | 415 | -4 | -23 |
82 | Morocco | 402 | 10 | 33 |
83 | Mozambique | 399 | -2 | 8 |
84 | Cyprus | 391 | 3 | 14 |
85 | Iraq | 382 | 1 | 1 |
86 | Latvia | 377 | -4 | -13 |
87 | El Salvador | 374 | 2 | 3 |
88 | Armenia | 373 | -4 | -10 |
89 | Sudan | 371 | 19 | 79 |
90 | Angola | 363 | -2 | -11 |
91 | Jordan | 355 | 12 | 39 |
91 | Saudi Arabia | 355 | 7 | 26 |
93 | Qatar | 345 | 4 | 11 |
94 | Belarus | 341 | -14 | -59 |
95 | Cuba | 339 | 12 | 44 |
96 | Malawi | 334 | -1 | -11 |
97 | Guatemala | 333 | -4 | -15 |
98 | Oman | 329 | 3 | 10 |
99 | Canada | 328 | 10 | 38 |
100 | Rwanda | 325 | -6 | -21 |
101 | Sierra Leone | 317 | -18 | -70 |
102 | Ethiopia | 314 | -3 | -10 |
103 | FYR Macedonia | 311 | -3 | -10 |
104 | Niger | 305 | 13 | 54 |
105 | Lithuania | 301 | -9 | -40 |
106 | Bolivia | 294 | -17 | -77 |
107 | Libya | 287 | 12 | 49 |
108 | Bahrain | 282 | -2 | -17 |
108 | Benin | 282 | 2 | -7 |
110 | Antigua and Barbuda | 281 | -6 | -32 |
111 | Moldova | 275 | 13 | 56 |
112 | Namibia | 271 | -7 | -32 |
113 | Azerbaijan | 264 | 2 | -8 |
114 | Botswana | 261 | -3 | -24 |
115 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 260 | -3 | -19 |
116 | Kenya | 256 | 7 | 36 |
117 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 254 | -3 | -21 |
118 | Madagascar | 250 | -5 | -28 |
119 | Kuwait | 242 | 6 | 24 |
119 | St. Lucia | 242 | 17 | 56 |
121 | Syria | 240 | 0 | 6 |
122 | Faroe Islands | 239 | -20 | -79 |
123 | Dominican Republic | 238 | -7 | -19 |
123 | Palestine | 238 | -5 | -4 |
125 | Barbados | 227 | 7 | 31 |
126 | Zimbabwe | 226 | -7 | -12 |
127 | India | 225 | 14 | 64 |
128 | Philippines | 221 | 9 | 38 |
129 | Lebanon | 218 | 6 | 30 |
130 | Burundi | 217 | 4 | 23 |
131 | Guyana | 213 | 27 | 84 |
131 | Lesotho | 213 | -9 | -13 |
133 | Afghanistan | 212 | 18 | 74 |
133 | Tajikistan | 212 | 6 | 39 |
135 | New Zealand | 209 | 3 | 29 |
136 | Belize | 206 | 19 | 75 |
137 | Thailand | 199 | -8 | -8 |
138 | Kazakhstan | 195 | -5 | 0 |
139 | Tanzania | 191 | -12 | -24 |
140 | Vietnam | 188 | -13 | -27 |
141 | Luxembourg | 187 | -10 | -14 |
142 | Korea DPR | 181 | 4 | 30 |
143 | Suriname | 179 | 7 | 38 |
144 | Bermuda | 177 | -18 | -40 |
145 | Georgia | 165 | -6 | -8 |
146 | Grenada | 163 | 14 | 39 |
146 | Hong Kong | 163 | 18 | 45 |
148 | Liechtenstein | 161 | -19 | -46 |
149 | Kyrgyzstan | 160 | 28 | 71 |
150 | Malta | 157 | -5 | 3 |
151 | Mauritania | 153 | -2 | 7 |
151 | Nicaragua | 153 | 0 | 15 |
153 | Curaçao | 152 | -9 | -7 |
154 | Singapore | 149 | 0 | 13 |
155 | Myanmar | 145 | -12 | -15 |
156 | Indonesia | 134 | -1 | 3 |
156 | Puerto Rico | 134 | 11 | 20 |
158 | Gambia | 133 | 2 | 9 |
159 | Guinea-Bissau | 131 | -4 | 0 |
160 | Timor-Leste | 130 | -14 | -21 |
161 | Bhutan | 128 | -2 | 0 |
161 | Malaysia | 128 | 1 | 7 |
163 | Liberia | 126 | -15 | -23 |
164 | Aruba | 125 | -13 | -13 |
165 | Guam | 122 | 9 | 25 |
166 | New Caledonia | 118 | 3 | 7 |
166 | Yemen | 118 | -1 | 1 |
168 | Central African Republic | 111 | -27 | -50 |
169 | Swaziland | 108 | -7 | -13 |
170 | Pakistan | 101 | 0 | -5 |
171 | Chad | 100 | 1 | 0 |
172 | Turkmenistan | 99 | 1 | 0 |
173 | Dominica | 98 | -5 | -14 |
174 | Bangladesh | 97 | -8 | -19 |
174 | US Virgin Islands | 97 | -3 | -7 |
176 | Maldives | 87 | 2 | 1 |
177 | Laos | 86 | -2 | -8 |
178 | Montserrat | 74 | 3 | 0 |
179 | Chinese Taipei | 72 | -1 | -14 |
180 | Mauritius | 71 | -4 | -19 |
181 | Cambodia | 66 | -3 | -20 |
181 | Macau | 66 | 4 | 0 |
183 | Sri Lanka | 62 | 3 | -2 |
184 | Brunei Darussalam | 61 | 0 | -8 |
185 | Nepal | 60 | -2 | -10 |
186 | Seychelles | 52 | 1 | -8 |
187 | Tahiti | 50 | -5 | -21 |
188 | Cayman Islands | 48 | 1 | 0 |
188 | Sao Tome e Principe | 48 | 0 | -10 |
190 | Solomon Islands | 44 | 0 | 0 |
191 | San Marino | 40 | 1 | 0 |
192 | Comoros | 37 | -2 | -7 |
193 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 33 | 0 | 0 |
194 | British Virgin Islands | 27 | 0 | -2 |
195 | South Sudan | 24 | 2 | 0 |
196 | Samoa | 19 | 2 | -2 |
197 | Tonga | 17 | 3 | 0 |
197 | Vanuatu | 17 | 3 | 0 |
199 | Fiji | 16 | -4 | -12 |
200 | Bahamas | 13 | -4 | -13 |
201 | American Samoa | 12 | 2 | 0 |
202 | Andorra | 9 | 2 | 1 |
202 | Papua New Guinea | 9 | 0 | -4 |
204 | Eritrea | 8 | 0 | 0 |
205 | Mongolia | 6 | -6 | -13 |
205 | Somalia | 6 | 1 | 0 |
207 | Cook Islands | 4 | 0 | 0 |
207 | Djibouti | 4 | 0 | 0 |
209 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Hi!
ReplyDeleteI was wondering if Mexico and Jamaica have an unfair advantage as they're playing both Copa America and Gold Cup, which means more competitive matches.
Yes, there was an opportunity, but both failed to perform.
DeleteYeah that's true :)
DeleteYay! Romania will be on 6th place! ^^ (I'm Romanian)
ReplyDeleteno offense because i have nothing against romania, but its completely undeserved.
DeleteUndeserved? You mustn't be seen Romania performance in Group F of Euro 2016 Qualifiers. I think they deserved it.
DeleteAnd then they're in Pot 1.
DeleteRomania haven't been that good. Only 1 point clear of a team with only 1 world class player in Lafferty in a group they should be walking
Delete@Andrei - At most 7th.
Delete@Anonymous Romania have no world class player.
@Edgar But had some ;)
DeleteCosta Rica are losing 23 places this month; where will they end in August ranking should they win the Gold Cup?
ReplyDeleteAndres, elo predicts that they win their three group matches and the quarter final (against Panama), but then lose to the USA in the semis and win in the third place play-off against Guatemala. With that set of results Costa Rica will end at around spot 23 in August.
DeleteIf they win their semi and consequently the final against Mexico then Costa Rica will land at around spot 18, making up for almost all the lost ground in July. But for that a good, deep run in the Gold Cup is necessary anyhow. Success !
Thanks Ed!
DeleteSlovakia in 1 basket :) when portugal won against italy
ReplyDeleteno Croatia is the last team in Pot 1, Slovakia is still behind Italy as 2nd and 1st in Pot 2 respectively
DeleteNo, actually Slovakia is the top ranked team in pot 2, then Austria, and only then Italy with only 1001 points.
Deletethank you for the correction, I think I was using the Italy numbers if they had a draw against Portugal like elo predicted
DeletePoor Slovakia...
DeleteMy nt (greece) after her loss by Faroe will go very very down..I think somewhere between 50th and 40th place...
ReplyDeleteBetween 46 and 44.
DeleteHi Edgar,
ReplyDeleteCould you please post the rankings, not taking friendlies into account?
"On vacation from 12 June. Will return in one or two weeks."
DeleteThanks nepoznat - still waiting for a reply on LinkedIn.
DeleteQuick question,
ReplyDeleteDoes anybody have a complete excel doc for FIFA Rankings that I could use and another question how come when I use the FIFA Ranking tool, the Confederation Coefficient changes, for example CONCACAF has .92, .925, and .95 and UEFA has both .99 and .92.
Thanks!
Thanks Jeroen!
ReplyDeleteWill the 3 - 0 result (FIFA sanctioned Barbados for fielding an ineligible player) awarded to Aruba also count for the FIFA ranking points?
ReplyDeleteyes, Aruba collects 211 points in the July-ranking (instead of 125 points with the loss) and jumps from spot 151 in June to somewhere around spot 135, close to their all-time high of 120 reached in June 2014.
ReplyDeleteThanks Ed!
DeleteAccording to the latest FIFA Rankings calculator it'll should be like this:
ReplyDelete1. Argentina 1438 +2
2. Germany 1411 -1
3. Belgium 1244 -1
4. Colombia 1217 -
5. Netherlands 1204 +1
6. Brazil 1186 -1
7. Portugal 1177 -
8. Romania 1166 +4
9. England 1157 +6
10. Wales 1155 +12
11. Spain 1110 -1
12. Chile 1089 +7
13. Uruguay 1036 -5
14. Croatia 1023 +4
15. Slovakia 1016 +2
16. Austria 1016 +4
17. Italy 1001 -4
18. Switzerland 997 -7
19. Algeria 941 +2
20. Czech Republic 933 -4
21. Ivory Coast 917 +3
22. France 882 -13
23. Iceland 877 +14
24. Denmark 876 +5
25. Ghana 827 +9
26. Bosnia Herze 819 +6
27. Ukraine 791 +8
28. USA 786 -1
29. Russia 782 -3
30. Poland 769 +2
31. Costa Rica 764 -17
32. Hungary 763 +10
33. Scotland 774 -5
34. Tunisia 758 -5
35. Sweden 752 +4
36. Ecuador 738 -5
37. Albania 722 +14
38. North Ireland 721 +6
39. Iran 716 +2
40. Mexico 709 -17
41. Senegal 709
42. Serbia 662
43. Greece 661
44. Venezuela 643
45. Congo 630
46. Slovenia 626
47. Japan 621
48. Israel 620
49. Cape Verde 608
50. Egypt 606
My mistake Scotland should be 30, Poland 31, Costa Rica 32, Hungary 33
ReplyDelete