Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. For minimum/maximum points see the preview.
First spot up for grabs - Argentina, Germany, Belgium and Portugal could claim it, but only Germany don't have to watch the other teams' results. With wins vs. Republic of Ireland and Georgia they will return to the top.
Probable November 2015 rank - Team - Probable November 2015 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
1 | Germany | 1524 | 1 | 123 |
2 | Argentina | 1514 | -1 | 95 |
3 | Belgium | 1440 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Portugal | 1364 | 0 | 129 |
5 | Colombia | 1270 | 0 | 42 |
6 | Brazil | 1242 | 1 | 38 |
7 | Spain | 1199 | -1 | -24 |
8 | England | 1179 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Chile | 1174 | 0 | -3 |
10 | Austria | 1130 | 1 | 30 |
11 | Romania | 1123 | 2 | 81 |
12 | Netherlands | 1113 | 2 | 109 |
13 | Switzerland | 1073 | -1 | 29 |
14 | Italy | 1040 | 3 | 78 |
15 | Wales | 1032 | -7 | -163 |
16 | Uruguay | 969 | 4 | 50 |
17 | Czech Republic | 953 | -2 | -30 |
18 | Slovakia | 942 | 0 | 6 |
19 | Croatia | 924 | -3 | -41 |
20 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 923 | 10 | 136 |
21 | Algeria | 903 | -2 | -24 |
22 | Russia | 885 | 4 | 40 |
23 | France | 881 | -1 | -18 |
24 | Côte d'Ivoire | 877 | -3 | -39 |
25 | Ukraine | 854 | -1 | -20 |
26 | Mexico | 843 | 1 | 1 |
27 | Iceland | 836 | -4 | -46 |
28 | Turkey | 804 | 9 | 87 |
29 | Hungary | 802 | 4 | 61 |
29 | USA | 802 | 0 | -5 |
31 | Ghana | 786 | -6 | -63 |
32 | Ecuador | 771 | -1 | 6 |
33 | Cape Verde Islands | 762 | 8 | 61 |
34 | Denmark | 743 | -6 | -92 |
35 | Poland | 712 | 8 | 32 |
36 | Tunisia | 704 | 0 | -18 |
37 | Iran | 702 | 2 | -1 |
38 | Albania | 698 | -6 | -57 |
39 | Senegal | 687 | -1 | -26 |
40 | Northern Ireland | 674 | -5 | -50 |
41 | Greece | 671 | 3 | -5 |
42 | Costa Rica | 663 | 0 | -28 |
43 | Scotland | 649 | -3 | -53 |
44 | Sweden | 647 | 1 | -25 |
45 | Israel | 639 | 2 | -20 |
46 | Norway | 637 | -12 | -102 |
47 | Finland | 625 | 17 | 91 |
48 | Australia | 623 | 10 | 56 |
49 | Peru | 617 | 1 | -6 |
50 | Nigeria | 610 | 2 | 10 |
51 | Cameroon | 606 | -3 | -34 |
51 | Korea Republic | 606 | 2 | 16 |
53 | Japan | 595 | 2 | 13 |
54 | Congo | 593 | -5 | -43 |
54 | Slovenia | 593 | -8 | -69 |
56 | Egypt | 583 | -5 | -37 |
57 | Trinidad and Tobago | 574 | 2 | 10 |
58 | Mali | 565 | 4 | 19 |
59 | Jamaica | 559 | -2 | -17 |
60 | Panama | 536 | 5 | 7 |
61 | Congo DR | 532 | -1 | -31 |
62 | Guinea | 529 | -7 | -53 |
63 | Paraguay | 528 | -2 | -24 |
64 | Serbia | 513 | -1 | -25 |
65 | United Arab Emirates | 509 | 5 | 18 |
66 | Bulgaria | 497 | 12 | 83 |
67 | Equatorial Guinea | 487 | 0 | -23 |
68 | Zambia | 485 | 3 | -2 |
69 | Gabon | 476 | -4 | -53 |
69 | Republic of Ireland | 476 | -15 | -111 |
71 | Uganda | 473 | 4 | 18 |
72 | Uzbekistan | 455 | 2 | -9 |
73 | Haiti | 453 | 4 | 35 |
74 | South Africa | 443 | -1 | -22 |
75 | Bolivia | 442 | -8 | -68 |
76 | Venezuela | 435 | -7 | -66 |
77 | Montenegro | 426 | -5 | -44 |
78 | China PR | 418 | 3 | 13 |
79 | Antigua and Barbuda | 417 | 4 | 17 |
80 | Togo | 411 | -1 | 0 |
81 | Iraq | 407 | 4 | 11 |
82 | Liberia | 394 | 13 | 34 |
83 | Honduras | 387 | 6 | 8 |
84 | Faroe Islands | 385 | 1 | -11 |
85 | Morocco | 383 | -5 | -24 |
86 | Belarus | 378 | 12 | 28 |
87 | Qatar | 372 | 5 | 7 |
88 | Estonia | 370 | -1 | -18 |
89 | Saudi Arabia | 369 | -1 | -15 |
90 | Central African Republic | 366 | 36 | 95 |
91 | Guatemala | 357 | -9 | -44 |
92 | Rwanda | 356 | 1 | -8 |
93 | Burkina Faso | 354 | -17 | -73 |
94 | El Salvador | 352 | 0 | -11 |
95 | Jordan | 346 | 4 | -2 |
95 | Malawi | 346 | 6 | 7 |
97 | Latvia | 341 | 6 | 6 |
98 | Oman | 340 | 4 | 2 |
98 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 340 | 14 | 37 |
100 | Benin | 333 | 0 | -8 |
101 | Armenia | 330 | -10 | -47 |
102 | Botswana | 327 | 9 | 22 |
103 | Nicaragua | 326 | -8 | -34 |
104 | Ethiopia | 324 | 4 | 9 |
105 | Angola | 323 | -8 | -30 |
105 | Canada | 323 | -1 | -10 |
107 | Mauritania | 316 | -18 | -63 |
108 | Cuba | 312 | 9 | 18 |
108 | Libya | 312 | -3 | -16 |
110 | Bahrain | 310 | 13 | 27 |
111 | Korea DPR | 305 | 18 | 53 |
111 | Zimbabwe | 305 | -2 | -8 |
113 | Burundi | 303 | 0 | 1 |
114 | Georgia | 301 | -4 | -7 |
115 | Aruba | 299 | 0 | 0 |
115 | Niger | 299 | 5 | 12 |
117 | Kenya | 298 | 14 | 53 |
118 | Azerbaijan | 293 | -13 | -35 |
119 | Belize | 292 | -1 | 0 |
120 | Sudan | 285 | -36 | -114 |
121 | Cyprus | 282 | -7 | -18 |
122 | Turkmenistan | 281 | 33 | 109 |
123 | Kyrgyzstan | 277 | 23 | 82 |
124 | Kuwait | 270 | 4 | 10 |
125 | Sierra Leone | 268 | -4 | -18 |
126 | Mozambique | 265 | -19 | -62 |
127 | Namibia | 263 | -2 | -11 |
128 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 262 | -6 | -22 |
129 | Palestine | 261 | 1 | 15 |
130 | Syria | 260 | -7 | -23 |
131 | Swaziland | 258 | 4 | 34 |
132 | South Sudan | 246 | 12 | 48 |
133 | Madagascar | 243 | -6 | -19 |
134 | Lithuania | 241 | -18 | -57 |
135 | Philippines | 225 | -1 | -13 |
136 | Lesotho | 220 | 4 | 19 |
137 | Guinea-Bissau | 216 | 10 | 23 |
138 | Lebanon | 213 | 2 | 12 |
139 | Tanzania | 210 | -3 | -8 |
140 | Barbados | 206 | 14 | 31 |
141 | St. Lucia | 204 | -2 | -4 |
142 | Hong Kong | 199 | 11 | 19 |
143 | FYR Macedonia | 198 | -11 | -41 |
144 | Luxembourg | 197 | -2 | -2 |
145 | Gambia | 195 | 16 | 41 |
146 | Thailand | 191 | -1 | -5 |
147 | Dominican Republic | 187 | -28 | -103 |
148 | Kazakhstan | 184 | -6 | -15 |
149 | Curaçao | 182 | 3 | 1 |
149 | Vietnam | 182 | 0 | -5 |
151 | Bermuda | 181 | -13 | -28 |
152 | Guyana | 179 | -15 | -31 |
152 | Singapore | 179 | 5 | 15 |
154 | Moldova | 177 | -22 | -62 |
155 | Guam | 170 | -5 | -13 |
156 | Afghanistan | 168 | -6 | -15 |
157 | Malta | 164 | 0 | 0 |
158 | New Zealand | 163 | -10 | -25 |
159 | Tajikistan | 159 | 1 | 3 |
160 | Myanmar | 157 | 3 | 10 |
161 | Chad | 155 | 14 | 55 |
162 | Liechtenstein | 154 | -6 | -16 |
163 | Samoa | 152 | -1 | 0 |
164 | American Samoa | 144 | 0 | 0 |
165 | Maldives | 141 | 11 | 45 |
166 | Grenada | 137 | -7 | -22 |
167 | Timor-Leste | 134 | 3 | 16 |
168 | Cook Islands | 132 | -2 | 0 |
169 | Malaysia | 131 | 2 | 20 |
170 | Puerto Rico | 129 | -5 | -5 |
171 | India | 122 | -4 | -6 |
172 | Indonesia | 108 | -1 | -3 |
173 | Dominica | 104 | 1 | 2 |
173 | Mauritius | 104 | -5 | -19 |
175 | Laos | 90 | 4 | 5 |
176 | US Virgin Islands | 88 | 2 | 0 |
177 | Yemen | 81 | 3 | -1 |
178 | Bangladesh | 80 | 4 | 3 |
178 | Bhutan | 80 | -5 | -26 |
178 | New Caledonia | 80 | -9 | -40 |
181 | Cambodia | 78 | 5 | 12 |
182 | Suriname | 77 | -1 | -2 |
183 | Pakistan | 76 | -6 | -13 |
184 | Brunei Darussalam | 74 | 3 | 13 |
185 | Chinese Taipei | 71 | -2 | 2 |
186 | Montserrat | 67 | -2 | 0 |
187 | Fiji | 60 | 2 | 0 |
187 | Seychelles | 60 | -3 | -7 |
189 | Tahiti | 56 | -1 | -4 |
190 | Nepal | 51 | 0 | 0 |
191 | Cayman Islands | 49 | 0 | 0 |
192 | São Tomé e Príncipe | 48 | 1 | 0 |
193 | Comoros | 46 | 0 | -2 |
194 | Sri Lanka | 45 | -3 | -4 |
195 | Macau | 44 | -2 | -4 |
196 | San Marino | 35 | 0 | 0 |
197 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 33 | 0 | 0 |
198 | British Virgin Islands | 27 | 1 | 0 |
199 | Solomon Islands | 26 | -2 | -7 |
200 | Tonga | 17 | 0 | 0 |
201 | Vanuatu | 13 | 0 | 0 |
202 | Eritrea | 8 | 0 | 0 |
203 | Mongolia | 6 | 0 | 0 |
203 | Somalia | 6 | 0 | 0 |
205 | Andorra | 5 | 0 | 0 |
206 | Papua New Guinea | 4 | 0 | 0 |
207 | Anguilla | 0 | 1 | 0 |
207 | Bahamas | 0 | 1 | 0 |
207 | Djibouti | 0 | -1 | -4 |
Huge chance for Belgium now to take the #1. I hope they know this and don't send out the reserves vs Israel.
ReplyDeletethey know this :).
ReplyDeleteRep Ireland beat No.1 ranked team and only move up 6 or 7 places in rankings..... seems harsh
ReplyDeleteGer, these ratings are not worth looking at they are only projections based on guessed results, if you look at the set of results these rankings are based on you will see the Rep Ireland were down as losing to Germany, N.Ireland drawing with Greece etc etc
DeleteExactly, the ranking above is based on predicted match results, using elo ratings to produce a probable result. Who could have foreseen Ireland winning against Germany?
DeleteAs it turns out, Ireland gets a whopping 133 points for the win, resulting in an (intermediate) 17 spots climb. Let's see what the do-or-die match tonight against the Poles delivers for Ireland. Good luck !
Well done Poland!
DeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteI have a question. Ecuador beat Argentina 2-0, so opponent strength factor for ARG is 199 or 200??? in fifa.com they use 199
ReplyDeleteFor this match the October ranking is used and Argentina is still number 1 there, so an opponent strength factor of 200 should be used for Ecuador.
DeleteThat FIFA prediction tool has never been flawless, but this is just plain stupid, once again.
What is the Decembre ranking for Egypt after 2 wins against Chad in WQ2018 next month?
ReplyDelete