FIFA Ranking: November 2015 probable ranking (II)

FIFA will publish the ranking on 5 November.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. For minimum/maximum points see the preview.



Belgium are the new number 1 team. Germany would have been on top with a win vs. the Republic of Ireland.

The top 21 is set.

Best movers:

38 - Cyprus
36 - São Tomé e Príncipe
31 - Turkmenistan

Worst movers:

-34 - Armenia
-29 - Dominican Republic
-22 - Moldova

Best movers in the top 50:

19 - Turkey
12 - Republic of Ireland
11 - Paraguay

Worst movers in the top 50:

-16 - Slovenia
-12 - Norway and Israel
- 9 - Slovakia

Four teams will improve their best ever ranking:

Belgium (1 - 2 in June 2015)
Chile (5 - 6 in April 1998)
Austria (10 - 11 in October 2015)
South Sudan (at least 135 - 144 in October 2015)

9 teams will drop to new lows:

Lithuania (at most 121 - 119 in November 2012)
Kuwait (at most 132 - 128 in February 2015)
Moldova (154 - 149 in July 1994)
New Zealand (159 - 156 in September 2007)
Indonesia (174 - 171 in October 2015)
Suriname (184 - 181 in October 2015)
Nepal (at most 192 - 190 in October 2015)
Sri Lanka (at most 194 - 193 in February 2013)
Solomon Islands (at most 199 - 197 in October 2015)

Some teams will reach their best ranking in the last couple of years:

Liberia (at least 89 - 88 in December 2002) - 12 years and 11 months
Kyrgyzstan (at least 127 - 127 in October 2008) - 7 years and 1 month
Turkey (18 - 12 in June 2009) - 6 years and 5 months
Northern Ireland (at least 30 - 30 in October 2009) - 6 years and 1 month

Others will drop to their worst ever ranking in the last couple of years:

FYR Macedonia (at most 138 - 147 in May 1994) - 21 years and 6 months
Honduras (at most 93 - 95 in November 1998) - 17 years
Netherlands (16 - 21 in June 2000) - 15 years and 5 months
New Caledonia (180 - 188 in May 2006) - 9 years and 6 months
Slovenia (at most 62 - 62 in July 2009) - 6 years and 4 months
Armenia (at most 125 - 125 in September 2009) - 6 years and 2 months
Denmark (35 - 36 in May 2010) - 5 years and 6 months
Puerto Rico (170 - 170 in September 2010) - 5 years and 2 months
Tahiti (at most 191 - 194 in September 2010) - 5 years and 2 months

Chile will be ranked above Brazil for the first time ever.
Northern Ireland will be ranked above USA for the first time ever.
Cape Verde Islands will be ranked above Denmark and USA for the first time ever.
Hungary will be ranked above Denmark for the first time ever.
Turkmenistan and Kyrgyzstan will be ranked above Kuwait for the first time ever.
Kazakhstan will be ranked above FYR Macedonia for the first time ever.
Guam will be ranked above New Zealand for the first time ever.
Timor-Leste will be ranked above India for the first time ever.

Probable November 2015 rank - Team - Probable November 2015 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1	Belgium	1440	2	53
2	Germany	1388	0	-13
3	Argentina	1383	-2	-36
4	Portugal	1364	0	129
5	Chile	1288	4	111
6	Spain	1287	0	64
7	Colombia	1233	-2	5
8	Brazil	1208	-1	4
9	England	1179	1	18
10	Austria	1130	1	30
11	Switzerland	1073	1	29
12	Uruguay	1051	8	132
13	Italy	1040	4	78
14	Romania	1039	-1	-3
15	Wales	1032	-7	-163
16	Netherlands	976	-2	-28
17	Czech Republic	974	-2	-9
18	Turkey	941	19	224
19	Croatia	924	-3	-41
20	Bosnia-Herzegovina	923	10	136
21	Ecuador	921	10	156
22	Côte d'Ivoire	900	-1	-16
23	Russia	885	3	40
24	France	881	-2	-18
24	Mexico	881	3	39
26	Algeria	872	-7	-55
27	Slovakia	857	-9	-79
28	Ukraine	806	-4	-68
29	Northern Ireland	797	6	73
30	Iceland	792	-7	-90
31	Ghana	777	-6	-72
32	Cape Verde Islands	762	9	61
33	Hungary	759	0	18
33	USA	759	-4	-48
35	Denmark	743	-7	-92
36	Albania	723	-4	-32
37	Greece	718	7	42
38	Poland	712	5	32
39	Tunisia	689	-3	-33
40	Senegal	687	-2	-26
41	Costa Rica	671	1	-20
42	Republic of Ireland	659	12	72
43	Iran	651	-4	-52
44	Scotland	649	-4	-53
45	Sweden	647	0	-25
46	Norway	637	-12	-102
47	Paraguay	610	14	58
48	Korea Republic	606	5	16
49	Serbia	605	14	67
50	Japan	603	5	21
51	Nigeria	601	1	1
52	Cameroon	597	-4	-43
53	Congo	593	-4	-43
54	Trinidad and Tobago	588	5	24
55	Finland	586	9	52
56	Egypt	583	-5	-37
56	Peru	583	-6	-40
58	Australia	573	0	6
58	Congo DR	573	2	10
60	Guinea	570	-5	-12
61	Mali	565	1	19
62	Israel	559	-15	-100
62	Jamaica	559	-5	-17
64	Slovenia	547	-18	-115
65	Panama	515	0	-14
66	Bulgaria	497	12	83
67	United Arab Emirates	495	3	4
68	Equatorial Guinea	487	-1	-23
69	Zambia	485	2	-2
70	Belarus	479	28	129
71	Gabon	478	-6	-51
72	Uzbekistan	477	2	13
73	Uganda	474	2	19
74	Haiti	470	3	52
75	South Africa	464	-2	-1
76	Cyprus	444	38	144
77	Bolivia	442	-10	-68
78	Montenegro	426	-6	-44
79	Antigua and Barbuda	417	4	17
79	Saudi Arabia	417	9	33
81	Jordan	411	18	63
81	Togo	411	-2	0
83	Venezuela	408	-14	-93
84	China PR	403	-3	-2
85	Qatar	397	7	32
86	Liberia	394	9	34
87	Iraq	392	-2	-4
88	Faroe Islands	385	-3	-11
89	Estonia	370	-2	-18
90	Guatemala	367	-8	-34
91	Oman	365	11	27
92	Morocco	364	-12	-43
93	El Salvador	361	1	-2
94	Honduras	359	-5	-20
95	Rwanda	356	-2	-8
96	Burkina Faso	354	-20	-73
97	Malawi	351	4	12
98	Latvia	342	5	7
99	Nicaragua	341	-4	-19
100	St. Kitts and Nevis	340	12	37
101	Canada	335	3	2
102	Benin	333	-2	-8
103	Burundi	329	10	27
104	Botswana	327	7	22
105	Angola	323	-8	-30
106	Mauritania	316	-17	-63
107	Zimbabwe	315	2	2
108	Cuba	312	9	18
108	Libya	312	-3	-16
110	Georgia	301	0	-7
111	Aruba	299	4	0
111	Niger	299	9	12
113	Azerbaijan	293	-8	-35
113	Bahrain	293	10	10
115	Belize	292	3	0
116	Madagascar	290	11	28
116	Namibia	290	9	16
118	Korea DPR	288	11	36
119	Sudan	285	-35	-114
120	Ethiopia	282	-12	-33
121	Sierra Leone	281	0	-5
121	Turkmenistan	281	34	109
123	Lithuania	279	-7	-19
124	Kyrgyzstan	277	22	82
125	Kenya	274	6	29
126	Armenia	271	-35	-106
127	Central African Republic	269	-1	-2
128	Mozambique	265	-21	-62
129	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	262	-7	-22
130	Swaziland	258	5	34
131	Kazakhstan	256	11	57
132	Syria	254	-9	-29
133	Kuwait	252	-5	-8
134	South Sudan	246	10	48
135	Tanzania	245	1	27
136	Philippines	236	-2	-2
137	Palestine	233	-7	-13
138	FYR Macedonia	230	-6	-9
139	Lebanon	228	1	27
140	Guinea-Bissau	216	7	23
141	Barbados	206	13	31
142	St. Lucia	204	-3	-4
143	Thailand	202	2	6
144	Hong Kong	199	9	19
145	Luxembourg	197	-3	-2
146	Vietnam	193	3	6
147	Lesotho	188	-7	-13
148	Dominican Republic	187	-29	-103
149	Chad	183	26	83
150	Curaçao	182	2	1
151	Bermuda	181	-13	-28
152	Guyana	179	-15	-31
152	Singapore	179	5	15
154	Moldova	177	-22	-62
155	Guam	170	-5	-13
156	Afghanistan	168	-6	-15
157	São Tomé e Príncipe	165	36	117
158	Malta	164	-1	0
159	New Zealand	163	-11	-25
160	Tajikistan	159	0	3
161	Myanmar	157	2	10
162	Timor-Leste	155	8	37
163	Liechtenstein	154	-7	-16
164	Samoa	152	-2	0
165	American Samoa	144	-1	0
166	Maldives	141	10	45
167	Grenada	137	-8	-22
168	Gambia	135	-7	-19
169	Cook Islands	132	-3	0
170	Puerto Rico	129	-5	-5
171	Malaysia	127	0	16
172	India	122	-5	-6
173	Mauritius	117	-5	-6
174	Indonesia	108	-3	-3
175	Dominica	104	-1	2
176	Laos	90	3	5
177	Comoros	89	16	41
178	US Virgin Islands	88	0	0
179	Yemen	81	1	-1
180	Bangladesh	80	2	3
180	Bhutan	80	-7	-26
180	New Caledonia	80	-11	-40
183	Cambodia	78	3	12
184	Suriname	77	-3	-2
185	Pakistan	76	-8	-13
186	Brunei Darussalam	74	1	13
187	Chinese Taipei	71	-4	2
188	Montserrat	67	-4	0
189	Fiji	60	0	0
189	Seychelles	60	-5	-7
191	Tahiti	56	-3	-4
192	Nepal	51	-2	0
193	Cayman Islands	49	-2	0
194	Sri Lanka	45	-3	-4
195	Macau	44	-2	-4
196	San Marino	35	0	0
197	Turks and Caicos Islands	33	0	0
198	British Virgin Islands	27	1	0
199	Solomon Islands	26	-2	-7
200	Tonga	17	0	0
201	Vanuatu	13	0	0
202	Eritrea	8	0	0
203	Mongolia	6	0	0
203	Somalia	6	0	0
205	Andorra	5	0	0
206	Papua New Guinea	4	0	0
207	Anguilla	0	1	0
207	Bahamas	0	1	0
207	Djibouti	0	-1	-4

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Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.