FIFA Ranking: April 2016 probable ranking

FIFA will publish the ranking on 7 April.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. For minimum/maximum points + simulations see the preview.




Belgium have only 1.47% chance of remaining on top of the pile. More info in the preview.

Two teams will drop to new lows:

Indonesia (at most 182 - 180 in February 2016)
New Caledonia (at most 190 - 188 in May 2006)

Probable April 2016 rank - Team - Probable April 2016 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1	Argentina	1467	1	10
2	Belgium	1423	-1	-83
3	Chile	1383	2	76
4	Germany	1380	0	25
5	Brazil	1375	1	121
6	Colombia	1337	2	122
7	Spain	1317	-4	-57
8	Portugal	1163	-1	-71
9	Austria	1134	1	39
10	Uruguay	1120	1	38
11	Ecuador	1084	2	45
12	England	1066	-3	-46
13	Switzerland	1044	-1	-26
14	Italy	959	0	-40
15	Mexico	934	7	32
16	Turkey	927	4	-16
17	Hungary	925	2	-26
18	Romania	898	-2	-92
19	Netherlands	887	-4	-110
20	Wales	882	-3	-102
21	Ukraine	880	6	35
22	France	870	2	-1
23	Costa Rica	866	10	82
24	Croatia	856	-6	-109
25	Bosnia and Herzegovina	851	-4	-66
26	Czech Republic	843	-1	-18
26	USA	843	4	51
28	Poland	821	3	32
28	Russia	821	-5	-71
30	Algeria	813	7	70
31	Cape Verde Islands	789	0	0
31	Republic of Ireland	789	-2	-20
33	Slovakia	788	-7	-70
34	Northern Ireland	773	-6	-60
35	Côte d'Ivoire	758	1	14
36	Sweden	748	-2	-21
37	Ghana	726	4	70
38	Greece	711	1	-7
39	Denmark	702	1	-4
40	Iceland	698	-2	-43
41	Iran	672	3	45
42	Peru	666	0	20
43	Senegal	651	5	48
44	Panama	635	11	59
45	Albania	632	-10	-122
46	Paraguay	622	-3	-20
47	Tunisia	620	0	11
48	Trinidad and Tobago	614	1	16
49	Nigeria	610	13	63
50	Norway	605	1	11
51	Australia	601	16	95
52	Korea Republic	596	5	30
53	Guinea	593	10	53
54	Cameroon	591	7	40
55	Serbia	581	-5	-15
56	Japan	577	0	2
56	Slovenia	577	-2	0
58	Congo DR	575	0	10
59	United Arab Emirates	571	5	54
60	Scotland	568	-15	-49
61	Egypt	567	-8	-22
62	Jamaica	563	-10	-30
63	Finland	558	-17	-57
64	Uzbekistan	549	10	65
65	Uganda	539	2	33
66	Congo	536	-7	-28
67	Saudi Arabia	523	-7	-39
68	Mali	522	5	32
69	South Africa	490	1	-10
70	Zambia	487	8	30
71	Haiti	474	-7	-43
72	Israel	467	-5	-39
73	Belarus	465	-9	-52
74	Equatorial Guinea	455	2	-24
75	Benin	452	2	-12
76	Venezuela	443	-1	-37
77	Bolivia	440	-5	-59
78	Cyprus	426	1	-16
78	Morocco	426	3	2
80	China PR	423	16	72
81	Bulgaria	421	-11	-79
81	Rwanda	421	4	24
83	Jordan	418	-1	4
84	Qatar	416	-4	-25
85	Antigua and Barbuda	413	5	40
86	Honduras	403	3	28
87	Botswana	402	5	32
88	Gabon	399	-5	-13
89	Burkina Faso	398	-3	6
90	Iraq	387	1	16
91	St. Kitts and Nevis	368	30	84
92	Estonia	366	-4	-10
92	Faroe Islands	366	1	9
94	Montenegro	365	-10	-44
95	Kenya	359	8	28
96	Canada	357	-9	-28
97	El Salvador	354	2	14
98	Korea DPR	346	-4	-10
98	Oman	346	-1	4
100	Libya	341	7	22
101	Togo	334	0	1
102	Liberia	322	-1	-11
103	Guatemala	319	-8	-35
104	Armenia	316	12	20
105	Mozambique	312	-5	-25
106	Angola	310	3	4
107	Georgia	308	15	25
107	Nicaragua	308	3	6
109	Belize	307	10	21
109	Mauritania	307	-3	-13
111	Burundi	302	18	29
111	Malawi	302	-7	-27
111	Tanzania	302	14	26
114	Kyrgyzstan	301	-9	-23
115	Latvia	298	-17	-43
115	Madagascar	298	15	26
117	Niger	296	-9	-16
118	Thailand	295	0	7
119	Syria	293	4	14
120	Cuba	285	15	22
121	Central African Republic	281	-11	-21
121	Zimbabwe	281	10	10
123	Kuwait	279	10	14
124	Azerbaijan	278	-12	-22
125	Palestine	273	-8	-17
125	Sierra Leone	273	-10	-24
127	Bahrain	271	5	2
128	Kazakhstan	269	-3	-7
128	Swaziland	269	-4	-8
130	Ethiopia	268	-10	-17
131	Aruba	259	-18	-39
132	Lithuania	254	-4	-20
133	Turkmenistan	253	-20	-45
134	Namibia	250	-1	-15
135	FYR Macedonia	249	3	-8
136	Chad	246	-9	-29
137	St. Lucia	238	7	22
138	Hong Kong	234	1	-19
139	Sudan	233	-4	-30
140	Barbados	231	3	4
141	Vietnam	228	5	18
142	Guyana	227	14	62
143	Philippines	225	-8	-38
144	Tajikistan	224	6	31
145	Lesotho	223	8	37
146	Luxembourg	221	-4	-12
147	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	220	-6	-23
148	South Sudan	219	-8	-27
149	Dominican Republic	214	10	64
150	Singapore	213	-2	15
151	Puerto Rico	212	19	85
152	Gambia	211	12	76
153	Afghanistan	196	-2	4
154	Lebanon	190	-9	-25
155	Guinea-Bissau	181	-8	-26
155	Moldova	181	1	16
157	Grenada	173	4	34
158	India	165	2	23
158	Maldives	165	0	4
160	New Zealand	163	-11	-33
161	Curaçao	156	-10	-36
161	Guam	156	-7	-13
163	Malta	149	-2	10
164	Myanmar	144	-10	-25
165	Dominica	137	11	28
166	Bermuda	135	-2	0
166	Liechtenstein	135	-3	-2
168	American Samoa	128	-1	0
168	Cook Islands	128	-1	0
168	Samoa	128	-1	0
171	Malaysia	126	-5	-3
172	Mauritius	122	0	2
173	Timor-Leste	110	-3	-17
174	Comoros	98	-1	-21
174	São Tomé e Príncipe	98	0	-19
174	Yemen	98	1	-14
177	Bangladesh	87	0	-13
178	Nepal	80	7	10
179	Solomon Islands	72	21	46
180	Cambodia	68	3	-11
180	Fiji	68	6	0
182	Laos	66	-4	-22
183	Indonesia	65	-5	-23
184	Bhutan	64	9	15
185	Chinese Taipei	60	-4	-20
186	Sri Lanka	58	3	-4
187	Montserrat	57	0	-10
187	Suriname	57	3	0
189	Pakistan	54	-2	-13
189	Seychelles	54	2	-2
191	New Caledonia	53	-10	-27
192	Vanuatu	47	2	0
193	US Virgin Islands	44	-15	-44
194	Brunei Darussalam	37	-10	-37
195	Tahiti	35	-4	-21
196	Macau	33	-1	-11
196	Turks and Caicos Islands	33	1	0
198	Cayman Islands	20	-2	-22
198	San Marino	20	0	-8
200	British Virgin Islands	14	-1	-13
201	Andorra	5	0	-1
202	Mongolia	4	0	0
202	Papua New Guinea	4	0	0
204	Anguilla	0	0	0
204	Bahamas	0	0	0
204	Djibouti	0	0	0
204	Eritrea	0	0	0
204	Somalia	0	0	0
204	Tonga	0	0	0

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.