AFC MA Ranking update (14 October 2016)

The 2016 edition of the MA ranking, set to be announced at the end of the AFC club competition season, will be used to determine the slot allocations for 2017 and 2018 seasons. This has been announced by the AFC Competitions Committee on 12 April 2016.


See the previous update (23 September).

Club points updated after the end of the AFC CL and AFC Cup semifinals first legs.

FIFA ranking points computed for November 2016, considering scheduled matches as defeats.

Rank - Association - Total - NT Point - Club Points - 2014  Rank

1	Korea Republic	94.409	24.409	70.000	1
2	Saudi Arabia	87.313	23.189	64.124	2
3	United Arab Emirates	86.927	19.567	67.360	7
4	Iran	80.158	30.000	50.158	3
5	Qatar	78.514	14.646	63.869	9
6	Australia	74.470	24.567	49.903	6
7	China PR	73.878	15.630	58.248	8
8	Japan	73.867	20.984	52.883	4
9	Uzbekistan	57.969	21.181	36.788	5
10	Kuwait	37.477	4.606	32.871	11
11	Iraq	36.597	10.709	25.888	10
12	Syria	34.937	13.307	21.630	19
13	Thailand	33.735	7.165	26.569	13
14	Jordan	31.856	11.929	19.927	12
15	Hong Kong	31.664	6.969	24.696	20
16	Vietnam	29.532	8.583	20.949	15
17	Malaysia	29.134	5.630	23.504	22
18	Bahrain	28.408	10.354	18.054	16
19	India	27.789	8.543	19.246	23
20	Lebanon	22.192	6.693	15.499	17
21	Indonesia	20.654	3.622	17.032	18
22	Oman	19.853	10.315	9.538	14
23	Myanmar	17.761	5.157	12.603	21
24	Tajikistan	17.398	7.520	9.878	28
25	Maldives	15.863	6.496	9.367	26
26	Philippines	15.527	9.055	6.472	27
27	Singapore	13.529	4.843	8.686	24
28	Palestine	12.002	8.425	3.577	25
29	Turkmenistan	11.962	7.874	4.088	30
30	Kyrgyzstan	10.419	10.079	0.341	32
31	Korea DPR	8.780	8.780	0.000	31
32	Afghanistan	7.441	7.441	0.000	29
33	Yemen	7.244	7.244	0.000	35
34	Laos	6.178	4.134	2.044	33
35	Chinese Taipei	5.394	5.394	0.000	43
36	Cambodia	4.370	4.370	0.000	42
37	Bangladesh	4.329	3.307	1.022	37
38	Bhutan	4.055	4.055	0.000	46
39	Guam	3.189	3.189	0.000	34
40	Nepal	2.874	2.874	0.000	38
41	Timor-Leste	2.362	2.362	0.000	39
42	Sri Lanka	1.850	1.850	0.000	36
43	Pakistan	1.575	1.575	0.000	39
43	Macau	1.575	1.575	0.000	41
45	Brunei Darussalam	1.260	1.260	0.000	45
46	Mongolia	0.512	0.512	0.000	44

Saudi Arabia's win vs. United Arab Emirates propelled them to the top of the West region and triggers some changes in the play-off pairings.

I've ran 1000 simulations for the remaining club and national team matches. Here's the outcome:

• Hong Kong now safe in 6th place in the East
• 3 MAs fighting for 2nd in East region (3 direct GS slots): Japan 49.45%, Australia 34.88%, China PR 15.67%
• The door is almost closed for the Philippines. 3 MAs fighting for the last 2 top 24 spots: Myanmar 98.69%, Tajikistan 98.05%, Philippines 3.26%

Using the same conditions as those in the 2016 AFC CL (i.e. Kuwait suspended; Iraq, Oman, Bahrain, Lebanon and Syria with no licensed clubs), this is how allocations and qualification shape up - assuming Tajikistan's champions get the license. I also assume Tajikistan will be moved to the East - to have 12 MAs in each region.

West

GS = Group Stage
PO = Play-off round
PR2 = 2nd preliminary round
PR1 = 1st preliminary round

Association - GS - PO - PR2 - PR1

Saudi Arabia	3	1	0	0
United Arab Emirates	3	1	0	0
Iran	3	1	0	0
Qatar	2	2	0	0
Uzbekistan	1	2	0	0
Jordan	0	1	0	0

Matches

Play-off round

Al-Taawoun (Saudi Arabia) vs. Al-Wehdat (Jordan)
Al-Wahda (United Arab Emirates) vs. Uzbekistan 3
Esteghlal (Iran)  vs. Al-Sadd (Qatar)
El Jaish (Qatar) vs. Uzbekistan 2

East

Association - GS - PO - PR2 - PR1

Korea Republic	3	1	0	0
Australia	3	0	0	0
China PR	2	1	1	0
Japan	2	1	1	0
Thailand	1	0	2	0
Hong Kong	1	0	1	0
Vietnam	0	0	1	0
Malaysia	0	0	1	0
India	0	0	1	0
Indonesia	0	0	1	0
Myanmar	0	0	0	1
Tajikistan	0	0	0	1

Matches

Preliminary round 1

[1] Yadanarbon (Myanmar) vs. Tajikistan 1

Preliminary round 2

[2] China PR 4 vs. Match [1] winners
[3] Japan 4 vs. Indonesia 1
[4] Thailand 2 vs. Bengaluru FC (India)
[5] Thailand 3 vs. Johor Darul Ta'zim (Malaysia)
[6] Southern District (Hong Kong) vs. Hà Nội T&T (Vietnam)

Play-off round

Korea Republic 4 vs. Match [6] winners
China PR 3 vs. Match [5] winners
Japan 3 vs. Match [4] winners
Match [2] winners vs. Match [3] winners

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.