FIFA will publish the ranking on 24 November.
This is how the points and ranks could change for these 10 teams:
Team - Minimum points - Maximum points - Worst rank - Best rank
St. Kitts and Nevis | 432 | 464 | 82 | 76 |
Philippines | 283 | 302 | 118 | 113 |
Estonia | 256 | 285 | 127 | 117 |
Thailand | 223 | 235 | 132 | 129 |
Vietnam | 219 | 235 | 136 | 129 |
Malaysia | 147 | 158 | 160 | 156 |
Singapore | 132 | 149 | 167 | 157 |
Myanmar | 131 | 151 | 167 | 156 |
Cambodia | 129 | 138 | 168 | 162 |
Indonesia | 100 | 128 | 179 | 169 |
In the table below I've used the minimum points for these teams.
Best movers:
38 - Armenia
25 - Israel
23 - Tahiti
Worst movers:
-49 - Chad
-29 - Turkmenistan
-24 - Kyrgyzstan
Best movers in the top 50:
17 - Burkina Faso
10 - Republic of Ireland, Egypt, Nigeria
Worst movers in the top 50:
-14 - Uzbekistan
-8 - Australia, Ghana
-5 - Romania
Three teams will improve their best ever ranking:
Guinea-Bissau (68 - 69 in October 2016)
Curaçao (75 - 77 in October 2016)
Comoros (139 - 143 in October 2016)
Peru will return to their best ever ranking (19th in July 2013).
British Virgin Islands will return to their worst ever ranking (204th in July 2016).
Nine teams will drop to new lows:
Russia (55 - 53 in October 2016)
Norway (84 - 81 in October 2016)
Angola (144 - 137 in July 2016)
FYR Macedonia (at most 162 - 155 in October 2016)
Kuwait (at most 172 - 167 in October 2016)
St. Vincent and the Grenadines (at most 177 - 170 in February 2004)
Malta (182 - 178 in October 2016)
Liechtenstein (189 - 183 in October 2016)
Sri Lanka (195 - 194 in November 2015)
Some teams will reach their best ranking in the last couple of years:
Namibia (98 - 98 in November 2001) - 14 years and 10 months
Brazil (2 - 1 in May 2010) - 6 years and 4 months
Syria (94 - 94 in September 2010) - 6 years
Chinese Taipei (at least 159 - 147 in March 2011) - 5 years and 6 months
Others will drop to their worst ever ranking in the last couple of years:
Gabon (111 - 112 in January 2005) - 11 years and 8 months
Ghana (53 - 62 in September 2005) - 11 years
Tanzania (at most 160 - 167 in May 2006) - 10 years and 4 months
Jordan (109 - 111 in December 2009) - 6 years and 9 months
Cape Verde Islands (at most 80 - 91 in September 2011) - 5 years
Poland will be ranked above Italy for the first time ever.
Peru will be ranked above Netherlands for the first time ever.
Senegal will be ranked above Côte d'Ivoire for the first time in the last 10 years and 4 months.
Congo DR will be ranked above Ghana for the first time in the last 11 years and 3 months.
Burkina Faso will be ranked above Russia for the first time ever.
Burkina Faso will be ranked above Ghana for the first time in the last 12 years and 3 months.
Benin will be ranked above Scotland for the first time ever.
Guinea-Bissau will be ranked above Guinea for the first time ever.
Haiti, Antigua and Barbuda, China PR will be ranked above Norway for the first time ever.
Curaçao will be ranked above Jamaica, and Trinidad and Tobago for the first time ever.
Lesotho will be ranked above Angola for the first time ever.
Cambodia and Laos will be ranked above Kuwait for the first time ever.
November 2016 rank - Team - November 2016 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
1 | Argentina | 1634 | 0 | 13 |
2 | Brazil | 1544 | 1 | 134 |
3 | Germany | 1433 | -1 | -32 |
4 | Chile | 1404 | 2 | 131 |
5 | Belgium | 1368 | -1 | -14 |
6 | Colombia | 1345 | -1 | -16 |
7 | France | 1305 | 0 | 34 |
8 | Portugal | 1229 | 0 | -2 |
9 | Uruguay | 1187 | 0 | 12 |
10 | Spain | 1166 | 0 | -2 |
11 | Switzerland | 1129 | 3 | 58 |
12 | Wales | 1121 | -1 | 8 |
13 | England | 1114 | -1 | 24 |
14 | Croatia | 1103 | 2 | 76 |
15 | Poland | 1089 | 0 | 60 |
16 | Italy | 1083 | -3 | 1 |
17 | Costa Rica | 1041 | 1 | 70 |
18 | Mexico | 1012 | -1 | 11 |
19 | Peru | 965 | 4 | 100 |
20 | Ecuador | 890 | -1 | -42 |
21 | Iceland | 889 | 0 | -9 |
22 | Netherlands | 887 | -2 | -14 |
23 | Republic of Ireland | 858 | 10 | 82 |
24 | Turkey | 851 | 1 | 8 |
25 | Slovakia | 837 | 1 | -3 |
26 | Hungary | 826 | -4 | -65 |
27 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 825 | 1 | 18 |
28 | USA | 822 | -4 | -30 |
29 | Ukraine | 804 | 0 | 1 |
30 | Iran | 797 | -3 | -40 |
31 | Austria | 773 | -1 | -19 |
32 | Northern Ireland | 767 | 4 | 28 |
33 | Senegal | 755 | -1 | -28 |
34 | Côte d'Ivoire | 738 | -3 | -52 |
34 | Tunisia | 738 | 4 | 17 |
36 | Egypt | 719 | 10 | 93 |
37 | Korea Republic | 699 | 7 | 59 |
38 | Algeria | 692 | -3 | -49 |
39 | Romania | 690 | -5 | -56 |
40 | Paraguay | 684 | -3 | -54 |
41 | Sweden | 675 | -2 | -40 |
42 | Greece | 674 | 0 | 18 |
43 | Czech Republic | 671 | -3 | 8 |
44 | Serbia | 647 | -1 | -3 |
45 | Japan | 644 | 6 | 43 |
46 | Denmark | 643 | 4 | 37 |
47 | Congo DR | 638 | 2 | 29 |
48 | Australia | 636 | -8 | -27 |
49 | Albania | 618 | -2 | -1 |
50 | Nigeria | 616 | 10 | 54 |
50 | Slovenia | 616 | 2 | 21 |
50 | Burkina Faso | 616 | 17 | 97 |
53 | Ghana | 611 | -8 | -17 |
54 | Israel | 595 | 25 | 145 |
55 | Russia | 592 | -2 | -2 |
56 | Saudi Arabia | 589 | -2 | -4 |
57 | Morocco | 587 | 3 | 25 |
58 | Panama | 584 | 5 | 33 |
59 | Venezuela | 581 | 9 | 65 |
60 | South Africa | 571 | 2 | 12 |
61 | Mali | 569 | -3 | 1 |
62 | Uzbekistan | 558 | -14 | -59 |
63 | Montenegro | 549 | -7 | -21 |
64 | United Arab Emirates | 537 | 6 | 24 |
65 | Cameroon | 534 | -6 | -33 |
66 | Benin | 526 | 0 | 1 |
67 | Scotland | 524 | -10 | -45 |
68 | Guinea-Bissau | 515 | 1 | 0 |
69 | Haiti | 505 | 18 | 100 |
70 | Congo | 504 | -15 | -71 |
71 | Guinea | 500 | -7 | -39 |
72 | Bulgaria | 492 | 17 | 97 |
73 | Uganda | 488 | -1 | -12 |
74 | Belarus | 470 | 3 | 18 |
75 | Curaçao | 467 | 2 | 15 |
76 | Honduras | 461 | 10 | 50 |
76 | Jamaica | 461 | -1 | -3 |
78 | Trinidad and Tobago | 454 | -13 | -79 |
79 | Guatemala | 450 | 4 | 16 |
80 | Cape Verde Islands | 443 | -9 | -65 |
81 | Antigua and Barbuda | 433 | 1 | -2 |
82 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 432 | -9 | -40 |
83 | China PR | 423 | 1 | 4 |
84 | Faroe Islands | 422 | -10 | -47 |
84 | Norway | 422 | -3 | -16 |
86 | Libya | 417 | -10 | -44 |
87 | Armenia | 412 | 38 | 142 |
88 | Qatar | 409 | 3 | 24 |
89 | Kenya | 397 | -4 | -19 |
90 | Azerbaijan | 386 | -2 | -18 |
91 | Togo | 374 | 2 | -1 |
91 | Zambia | 374 | 3 | 0 |
93 | Finland | 368 | 8 | 31 |
94 | Syria | 363 | 2 | 6 |
95 | Bolivia | 359 | -15 | -85 |
96 | Sierra Leone | 357 | 1 | 5 |
97 | Kazakhstan | 354 | -7 | -32 |
98 | Namibia | 347 | 20 | 47 |
99 | Nicaragua | 346 | 8 | 21 |
100 | Swaziland | 343 | 6 | 13 |
101 | Rwanda | 336 | 6 | 11 |
102 | Liberia | 327 | 2 | -5 |
102 | Malawi | 327 | -2 | -11 |
104 | Central African Republic | 325 | 3 | 0 |
105 | Lithuania | 324 | -7 | -23 |
106 | Zimbabwe | 323 | 4 | 0 |
107 | Mauritania | 322 | 8 | 14 |
108 | Mozambique | 320 | -13 | -39 |
109 | Jordan | 313 | -5 | -19 |
110 | New Zealand | 311 | 6 | 5 |
111 | Gabon | 308 | -1 | -15 |
112 | Latvia | 304 | 4 | -2 |
113 | Botswana | 296 | -12 | -41 |
114 | Equatorial Guinea | 293 | -22 | -87 |
115 | Ethiopia | 291 | 11 | 24 |
116 | Cyprus | 290 | 23 | 62 |
117 | Philippines | 283 | 7 | 12 |
118 | Canada | 282 | -8 | -41 |
119 | Georgia | 281 | 3 | 5 |
120 | Iraq | 279 | -7 | -35 |
121 | Korea DPR | 274 | 5 | 7 |
122 | Oman | 266 | 7 | 6 |
123 | Kyrgyzstan | 265 | -24 | -78 |
124 | Cuba | 264 | 18 | 38 |
125 | Dominican Republic | 263 | -4 | -18 |
126 | Bahrain | 259 | -3 | -13 |
127 | Estonia | 256 | -8 | -43 |
128 | Niger | 246 | 0 | -16 |
129 | Tajikistan | 231 | 11 | 4 |
130 | Luxembourg | 230 | 0 | -22 |
131 | Thailand | 223 | 15 | 16 |
132 | Burundi | 222 | 6 | -7 |
132 | Palestine | 222 | -12 | -63 |
134 | Guyana | 221 | -3 | -26 |
135 | Madagascar | 220 | -2 | -23 |
136 | Vietnam | 219 | 0 | -12 |
137 | India | 217 | 0 | -13 |
138 | El Salvador | 216 | -3 | -16 |
139 | Comoros | 206 | 4 | -17 |
140 | Hong Kong | 205 | 0 | -22 |
140 | Sudan | 205 | 8 | 1 |
142 | Lesotho | 202 | 8 | 1 |
143 | Turkmenistan | 200 | -29 | -109 |
144 | Angola | 199 | -10 | -37 |
145 | Mauritius | 194 | 6 | 0 |
145 | Puerto Rico | 194 | 6 | 0 |
147 | Afghanistan | 189 | -2 | -19 |
148 | Lebanon | 185 | 1 | -17 |
149 | Tahiti | 184 | 23 | 64 |
149 | Yemen | 184 | -17 | -60 |
151 | Suriname | 183 | -4 | -22 |
152 | Chad | 179 | -49 | -155 |
153 | São Tomé e Príncipe | 177 | 0 | 0 |
154 | Maldives | 165 | 4 | 4 |
155 | Barbados | 163 | 2 | 0 |
156 | Grenada | 150 | -2 | -22 |
157 | Chinese Taipei | 149 | 4 | 4 |
158 | Malaysia | 147 | 6 | 12 |
158 | Aruba | 147 | 2 | 0 |
160 | Tanzania | 146 | -16 | -66 |
161 | Belize | 141 | 2 | 0 |
162 | FYR Macedonia | 138 | -7 | -29 |
162 | Moldova | 138 | 11 | 19 |
164 | Kosovo | 135 | 0 | 0 |
165 | Singapore | 132 | 6 | 10 |
166 | Myanmar | 131 | -10 | -34 |
167 | Laos | 130 | 8 | 23 |
168 | Cambodia | 129 | -1 | 6 |
169 | South Sudan | 123 | -2 | 0 |
169 | New Caledonia | 123 | -3 | -5 |
171 | Papua New Guinea | 122 | -12 | -30 |
172 | Kuwait | 117 | -5 | -6 |
173 | Dominica | 110 | 1 | 0 |
174 | Gambia | 106 | 2 | 0 |
174 | Vanuatu | 106 | 3 | 3 |
176 | Bhutan | 103 | 3 | 10 |
177 | Fiji | 102 | 2 | 9 |
177 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 102 | -15 | -40 |
179 | Indonesia | 100 | 0 | 7 |
180 | St. Lucia | 95 | -13 | -28 |
181 | Nepal | 90 | 5 | 16 |
182 | Malta | 85 | -4 | -12 |
183 | Bangladesh | 84 | 5 | 11 |
184 | Macau | 82 | 12 | 42 |
185 | Guam | 81 | -3 | -5 |
186 | Seychelles | 79 | -2 | 0 |
187 | Bermuda | 77 | -2 | 0 |
187 | Solomon Islands | 77 | 6 | 21 |
189 | Liechtenstein | 75 | -6 | -6 |
190 | Brunei Darussalam | 74 | 2 | 17 |
191 | American Samoa | 64 | -2 | 0 |
191 | Cook Islands | 64 | -2 | 0 |
191 | Samoa | 64 | -2 | 0 |
191 | Timor-Leste | 64 | -5 | -10 |
195 | Sri Lanka | 44 | -1 | -4 |
195 | US Virgin Islands | 44 | 0 | 0 |
197 | Pakistan | 40 | 0 | 1 |
198 | Mongolia | 38 | 4 | 25 |
199 | Montserrat | 30 | -1 | 0 |
200 | Cayman Islands | 21 | -1 | 0 |
201 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 20 | -1 | 0 |
202 | San Marino | 17 | -1 | 0 |
203 | Andorra | 12 | 0 | 1 |
204 | British Virgin Islands | 11 | -1 | 0 |
205 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
205 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
205 | Djibouti | 0 | 0 | 0 |
205 | Eritrea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
205 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
205 | Somalia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
205 | Tonga | 0 | 0 | 0 |
When calculating points for Chilean awarded win vs. Bolivia, shouldn't the August 2016 ranking be taken into account (Bolivia were 110th), instead of the October ranking (Bolivia on 80th spot)?
ReplyDeleteFIFA have used the ranking available at the date the match was awarded.
DeleteNogomet, any sane human being would think so, but no: when FIFA adds a match to the fixture list or awards a match later on, they calculate the matchpoints with the opponents position from the current ranking at the moment the decision was taken instead of taking the position from the ranking at the moment the match was actually played.
ReplyDeleteThat's just crazy. It's difficult to find an issue where FIFA doesn't screw it up. :)
DeleteWhen will the Chile-Bolivia match switch to the 0.5 timeframe? A year after the match was actually played, or a year after the decision was made?
Why FIFA didn't include the match Vietnam won Syria 2-0 in May 2016 ?
DeleteTimeframe switches are always determined by date of play.
ReplyDeleteThat´s why the presentation of matchdates in the fixturelist on their site is so confusing. A match in the Americas is dated one day later than it is actually played just because I look at their site from a European timezone. Talking about crazy and very unlogical.
ReplyDeleteCroatia are scheduled to play two matches in the "China Cup" in January 2017, alongside China, Chile and Iceland.
ReplyDeleteI don't know about other teams, but Croatia will play only with players from the domestic league, meaning that only a few players from the usual 23 player roster will be present. Is there a way that these matches will not be considered as "A matches" and thus not included for the FIFA ranking calculations because too many A team players are missing?
substitute 7 players is one way; about other ways, I think it's hard to happen.
Deletenogomet, here is the official FIFA-circulaire that states the rules for including a friendly in the fixture list.
DeleteThanks. So both teams need to field "their first representative team". This most certainly will not be the case for Croatia, probably Chile as well, but there is no word on the mechanics FIFA uses to assess whether a team is "first representative".
DeleteWell, I remember the Asia-trip the Netherlands made in the Summer of 2013 with matches against Indonesia and China. The selection for that trip consisted for ca. 70% of non-regular internationals and they played both matches with some 60% non-regular internationals. But the friendlies (both wins) did count for the ranking though.
DeleteAs long as a team is not defined beforehand as an U23 or other age-restricted team, I think FIFA just looks at the rules and can't take the 'feeling' about a team into consideration here.
The only way for Croatia to express this feeling is by 'breaking the rules' as Dinh already suggested.
For FIFA the distinction of pure B-teams that African top-countries so regularly make for friendlies, can't be made that easily for European countries. And even the matches in the last two editions of the African Championship of Nations (with restrictions about players playing in homeland competitions only) are now included in the ranking.
Why in earth Elo Ratings awards +12 points for a previsible 0-2 win for the Brazilian side against Venezuela but only +6 points for Germany in their 3-0 win over Czech Republic? I mean, neither of the matches can be considered a upset but Czech Republic qualified for Euros while Venezuela lies last in South American qualifiers. In this case Germany defeated a slightly (at least) stronger opponent by a greater margin but received less points. How did they came out with this difference? Which part of their formula allowed such result? http://www.eloratings.net/Brazil.htm http://www.eloratings.net/Germany.htm
ReplyDeleteone in away; one in home.
DeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDelete