2014 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2016 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2018 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting.
See the previous update (31 March 2017). For sims, see here.
Best movers:
3 - Netherlands, Slovakia, Sweden, Ukraine
2 - Poland, Turkey, Northern Ireland, Albania, Montenegro, Cyprus, Belarus
Worst movers:
-4 - Bosnia and Herzegovina, Wales, Republic of Ireland
-3 - Israel
-2 - France, Czech Republic, Hungary
Belarus replace Azerbaijan in League C.
1 1 Germany 35687 2 3 Portugal 33675 3 4 Belgium 33022 4 2 France 32488 5 5 Spain 32210 6 7 Italy 31646 7 6 England 31291 8 8 Switzerland 31246 9 11 Poland 29262 10 9 Russia 29258 11 10 Croatia 28299 12 12 Iceland 27435 ---------------------------------- 13 13 Austria 26598 14 17 Netherlands 26225 15 18 Slovakia 26114 16 19 Sweden 25906 17 20 Ukraine 25886 18 14 Bosnia and Herzegovina 25740 19 15 Wales 25609 20 16 Republic of Ireland 25409 21 23 Turkey 25018 22 24 Northern Ireland 24687 23 21 Czech Republic 24567 24 22 Hungary 24106 ---------------------------------- 25 26 Slovenia 23508 26 25 Romania 23217 27 28 Denmark 22891 28 30 Albania 22870 29 28 Greece 22051 30 27 Israel 21632 31 31 Scotland 21541 32 34 Montenegro 21491 33 32 Serbia 21166 34 33 Bulgaria 20531 35 35 Norway 20508 36 38 Cyprus 18391 37 36 Lithuania 17861 38 37 Finland 17261 39 41 Belarus 17028 ---------------------------------- 40 39 Azerbaijan 16621 41 40 Estonia 16521 42 43 Georgia 15763 43 42 Armenia 15626 44 44 Latvia 14241 45 45 Faroe Islands 13970 46 46 FYR Macedonia 13771 47 48 Moldova 13290 48 47 Kazakhstan 13191 49 49 Luxembourg 12371 50 50 Liechtenstein 11250 51 51 Malta 10650 52 53 Andorra 10440 53 52 Kosovo 10250 54 54 San Marino 8590 55 55 Gibraltar 8125
League A
Pot 1: Germany, Portugal, Belgium, France
Pot 2: Spain, Italy, England, Switzerland
Pot 3: Poland, Russia, Croatia, Iceland
League B
Pot 1: Austria, Netherlands, Slovakia, Sweden
Pot 2: Ukraine, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Wales, Republic of Ireland
Pot 3: Turkey, Northern Ireland, Czech Republic, Hungary
League C
Pot 1: Slovenia, Romania, Denmark, Albania
Pot 2: Greece, Israel, Scotland, Montenegro
Pot 3: Serbia, Bulgaria, Norway, Cyprus
Pot 4: Lithuania, Finland, Belarus
League D
Pot 1: Azerbaijan, Estonia, Georgia, Armenia
Pot 2: Latvia, Faroe Islands, FYR Macedonia, Moldova
Pot 3: Kazakhstan, Luxembourg, Liechtenstein, Malta
Pot 4: Andorra, Kosovo, San Marino, Gibraltar
I'm not sure that World Cup host - Russia - will be really in League A. Each football site gives different information on that question. For example, please look at that photo:
ReplyDeletehttps://twitter.com/Maciej_Sawicki/status/874586807664562176/photo/1?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Fpulsembed.eu%2Fp2em%2FB1RJwo1X-%2F
It depends on methodology used for interim ranking. This site uses the one that is in favour of Russia, because all the points of remaining matches of other teams are counted as zeros - so Russia's points will remain the same, and other teams will gather more for sure. Uefa calculate differrently - they include only played matches, therefore in that ranking Russia is 15th, which is more accurate. It is almost clear that Russia won't have enough points for league A, unless their direct rivals Slovakia, Sweden, Iceland begin to lose and Netherlands, Ukraine, Bosnia and some other teams don't improve.
DeletePeeotreck, the photo shows the current UEFA NT-ranking. Edgar presents a prediction of this ranking with all remaining qualifying matches regarded as losses. After the conclusion of the UEFA qualifying campaign in October both rankings should be the same.
ReplyDeleteWhat will UEFA do when the WC qualifying comes and they need to allocate only 13 spots for the entire confederation with this system? Will it be only 10 berths through normal qualifying route, with only group winners being awarded a berth, and each one of the remaining three (and it should be four according to the system, clearly something doesn't feel right) being allocated to an UNL division? This way there's a big chance that UEFA will end up preventing a considerably strong team from League A from reaching the World Cup, which would have lost the play-off for their division and narrowly missing out in the normal qualifiers (and actually it could happen even to a powerhouse like Italy or England, as in the worst case scenario they'd need just to be a little unlucky for the disaster of finishing second in their qualifying group and losing the play-off against possibly a very strong League A opposition). And that would be done in exchange of giving a World Cup ticket to the likes of Azerbaijan, Estonia or even Luxembourg, teams which are far from standing a realistic chance of reaching the knockout stage of a tournament on this level and probably would be serious candidates of finishing with one of the worst records ever in World Cup history. Is that really what UEFA wants? Did they even think about such weird things that could happen because of their qualifying system? Or will they do something different about that and I'm missing some detail?
ReplyDelete