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Sunday, September 29, 2019

FIFA ranking: October 2019 preview

Here are the minimum and maximum points for each team in the October 2019 ranking. FIFA will publish the ranking on October 24th.

Minimum and maximum points per team are determined with a small piece of software which calculates per match the minimum and maximum possible points for each participating team, given the minimum and maximum starting values of both teams before the match.
Note that only scheduled (and included) matches with both teams known at calculation time are incorporated in this analysis.

September 2019 rank - Team - September 2019 points - Minimum points - Maximum points
1 Belgium 1752 1705 1755
2 France 1725 1689 1739
3 Brazil 1719 1705 1725
4 England 1662 1626 1676
5 Portugal 1643 1607 1657
6 Uruguay 1639 1627 1647
7 Spain 1631 1600 1650
8 Croatia 1625 1594 1644
9 Colombia 1622 1610 1630
10 Argentina 1614 1602 1622
11 Switzerland 1604 1576 1626
12 Mexico 1603 1558 1613
13 Netherlands 1586 1553 1603
14 Denmark 1584 1564 1599
15 Italy 1583 1543 1593
16 Germany 1580 1555 1591
17 Chile 1576 1572 1582
18 Sweden 1560 1526 1576
19 Peru 1551 1543 1563
20 Senegal 1546 1541 1556
21 USA 1545 1505 1555
22 Poland 1532 1494 1544
23 Wales 1522 1499 1549
23 Iran 1522 1481 1531
25 Ukraine 1516 1486 1536
26 Venezuela 1506 1499 1509
27 Austria 1503 1470 1520
28 Republic of Ireland 1496 1468 1518
29 Tunisia 1493 1485 1500
29 Slovakia 1493 1476 1511
31 Romania 1490 1458 1508
31 Japan 1490 1449 1498
33 Northern Ireland 1488 1473 1508
34 Nigeria 1482 1471 1486
35 Serbia 1476 1451 1486
36 Turkey 1475 1453 1503
37 Korea Republic 1470 1429 1478
38 Algeria 1466 1455 1480
39 Morocco 1463 1447 1472
40 Paraguay 1462 1453 1473
41 Iceland 1461 1434 1484
42 Russia 1455 1424 1474
43 Costa Rica 1442 1411 1460
44 Czech Republic 1441 1429 1464
44 Australia 1441 1400 1450
46 Bosnia-Herzegovina 1438 1411 1461
47 Norway 1435 1416 1466
47 Jamaica 1435 1391 1441
49 Egypt 1431 1431 1431
50 Hungary 1430 1404 1454
51 Ghana 1429 1423 1428
52 Scotland 1415 1381 1431
53 Cameroon 1409 1405 1415
54 Finland 1398 1370 1420
55 Congo DR 1395 1389 1404
56 Cote d'Ivoire 1394 1387 1392
57 Mali 1391 1382 1397
58 Slovenia 1390 1366 1416
59 Montenegro 1389 1359 1408
61 Burkina Faso 1381 1382 1387
60 Greece 1382 1363 1413
62 Bulgaria 1377 1358 1408
62 Qatar 1377 1341 1391
64 Albania 1372 1342 1392
65 Ecuador 1370 1368 1378
66 United Arab Emirates 1365 1328 1378
67 Honduras 1359 1343 1368
68 China PR 1340 1302 1351
69 North Macedonia 1339 1319 1369
70 Saudi Arabia 1336 1302 1352
71 South Africa 1331 1327 1337
72 Bolivia 1327 1324 1334
72 El Salvador 1327 1286 1336
74 Guinea 1325 1322 1327
75 Canada 1322 1314 1339
76 Curacao 1320 1305 1340
77 Panama 1316 1305 1340
78 Cape Verde Islands 1315 1315 1315
79 Iraq 1314 1277 1327
80 Uganda 1305 1303 1308
81 Zambia 1299 1297 1302
82 Belarus 1294 1274 1324
83 Benin 1293 1293 1293
84 Oman 1292 1264 1314
85 Syria 1280 1242 1292
86 Israel 1277 1253 1303
86 Haiti 1277 1268 1293
88 Uzbekistan 1272 1237 1288
88 Gabon 1272 1269 1279
90 Congo 1265 1255 1270
91 Georgia 1264 1237 1287
92 Cyprus 1261 1238 1288
93 Luxembourg 1255 1248 1283
94 Lebanon 1253 1217 1267
95 Madagascar 1249 1249 1254
96 Armenia 1242 1214 1264
97 Kyrgyzstan 1237 1202 1252
98 Jordan 1235 1196 1251
99 Vietnam 1231 1195 1245
100 Trinidad and Tobago 1226 1216 1245
101 Palestine 1223 1213 1238
102 Estonia 1212 1197 1246
102 Libya 1212 1206 1221
105 Mauritania 1206 1205 1210
104 India 1207 1188 1213
105 Bahrain 1206 1195 1230
107 Niger 1201 1203 1208
107 Kenya 1201 1201 1201
109 Faroe Islands 1191 1167 1217
109 Azerbaijan 1191 1179 1214
111 Central African Republic 1184 1181 1186
112 Mozambique 1181 1181 1181
113 Korea DPR 1176 1169 1195
114 Thailand 1175 1162 1198
115 Tajikistan 1174 1168 1193
116 Kazakhstan 1169 1156 1206
118 Zimbabwe 1165 1164 1169
117 Sierra Leone 1167 1167 1167
119 Kosovo 1164 1149 1185
121 Angola 1161 1161 1161
120 Namibia 1162 1158 1163
122 New Zealand 1157 1157 1157
123 Guinea-Bissau 1155 1155 1155
124 Togo 1140 1143 1148
124 Malawi 1140 1140 1140
126 Antigua and Barbuda 1137 1104 1154
127 Philippines 1130 1121 1147
128 Sudan 1111 1111 1116
129 Chinese Taipei 1107 1101 1127
130 Rwanda 1104 1103 1108
131 Lithuania 1094 1086 1135
131 Turkmenistan 1094 1085 1110
133 Guatemala 1088 1070 1095
134 Equatorial Guinea 1084 1083 1088
135 Tanzania 1083 1079 1084
136 St. Kitts and Nevis 1081 1051 1101
137 Yemen 1078 1070 1095
137 Lesotho 1078 1074 1079
139 Andorra 1075 1056 1106
139 Latvia 1075 1063 1113
141 Solomon Islands 1073 1073 1073
142 Suriname 1069 1039 1089
143 Hong Kong 1068 1061 1086
144 Burundi 1065 1063 1068
145 Myanmar 1064 1055 1080
146 Afghanistan 1062 1054 1079
147 Comoros 1060 1060 1060
148 Botswana 1059 1056 1061
148 Nicaragua 1059 1028 1078
150 Eswatini 1055 1053 1058
152 Liberia 1053 1021 1075
151 Ethiopia 1054 1049 1054
153 Maldives 1047 1039 1064
154 New Caledonia 1035 1035 1035
155 Dominican Republic 1032 1003 1053
156 Kuwait 1029 1021 1046
157 Singapore 1019 1005 1060
158 Malaysia 1015 1007 1032
159 Tahiti 1014 1014 1014
160 Grenada 1001 1001 1001
161 Mauritius 999 970 1020
161 Nepal 999 987 1037
163 Fiji 996 996 996
163 Vanuatu 996 996 996
165 Papua New Guinea 991 991 991
166 Gambia 988 959 1009
167 Bermuda 987 985 1010
167 Indonesia 987 975 1025
169 Cambodia 982 974 1024
170 Barbados 981 951 1001
170 Belize 981 961 1011
172 Moldova 978 963 1013
173 South Sudan 977 948 998
174 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 969 948 998
174 St. Lucia 969 952 1002
176 Guyana 960 943 993
177 Chad 950 929 979
178 Cuba 940 938 963
179 Malta 933 924 974
180 Dominica 932 913 963
181 Puerto Rico 929 915 940
182 Liechtenstein 928 920 970
183 Mongolia 923 915 965
184 Macau 922 922 922
185 Bhutan 916 916 916
186 Djibouti 913 891 941
187 Bangladesh 912 903 952
187 Laos 912 912 912
187 Montserrat 912 898 948
190 Sao Tomé e Príncipe 905 885 935
191 Brunei Darussalam 904 904 904
192 American Samoa 900 900 900
193 Cayman Islands 895 895 895
194 Samoa 894 894 894
195 Aruba 890 885 935
195 Guam 890 882 932
197 Gibraltar 889 882 917
198 Seychelles 888 867 917
199 Timor-Leste 879 879 879
199 Somalia 879 879 879
201 US Virgin Islands 875 855 905
202 Sri Lanka 872 865 915
203 Pakistan 867 867 867
203 British Virgin Islands 867 854 879
205 Tonga 862 862 862
205 Turks and Caicos Islands 862 862 862
207 Eritrea 856 856 856
208 Bahamas 855 842 867
209 Anguilla 849 831 881
210 San Marino 835 831 881

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17 comments:

  1. AnonymousOctober 3, 2019 at 10:02 PM

    Any chance you can post the September 2019 points totals with decimals like you've done in the past?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. EdOctober 3, 2019 at 10:19 PM

      You mean something like this?

      Delete
    2. AnonymousOctober 3, 2019 at 10:52 PM

      Perfect, thank you! Not sure how I missed it. How do you know the decimals when the official FIFA rankings round off?

      Delete
    3. EdOctober 4, 2019 at 2:35 PM

      By performing the correct unrounded calculation of the points exchange in each included match since June 4th 2018.

      Delete
  2. TarekOctober 4, 2019 at 9:44 PM

    Hi Ed, I'm wondering if you can post the decimal points for each team based on the actual and latest published fifa ranking?
    As there is some differences between your last post with actual fifa ranking.

    ReplyDelete
  3. EdOctober 5, 2019 at 8:10 AM

    To all readers:
    just to be completely tranparant I provide this link to an excel-sheet with detailed calculation information about all matches counting for the FIFA ranking since June 4th 2018.
    On tab Ranking values you will find the unrounded points for each team for each ranking since June 2018.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. AnonymousOctober 6, 2019 at 10:06 PM

      This is amazing. Thank you Ed

      Delete
    2. AnonymousOctober 12, 2019 at 4:47 AM

      Hi Ed. Love the spreadsheet. The data is incredibly useful to a personal project I am working on.

      If you don't mind, would you be able to please explain why CONCACAF Nations League matches have an I value of 25, instead of 15 like UEFA Nations League Matches? Thanks.

      Delete
    3. EdOctober 12, 2019 at 7:17 AM

      You're welcome. If you are ready and willing to share the findings of your project, myabe we can read something about it here :)

      THe CONCACAF Nations League 2019/2020 is used to decide the teams that qualify for the Gold Cup 2021. That makes them continental qualifiers also, hence the I-factor of 25.

      Delete
    4. NigelOctober 13, 2019 at 12:52 PM

      Thanks Ed

      Delete
    5. TarekNovember 19, 2019 at 8:00 PM

      Hi Ed, Can we have the update Link for the excel file of the detailed calculation of each country ranking? Thanks

      Delete
    6. Sonny Bill WillNovember 20, 2019 at 6:15 AM

      This would be greatly appreciated Ed

      Delete
    7. EdNovember 21, 2019 at 10:53 PM

      There you go. This is an overview for the October 2019 ranking.

      Delete
    8. TarekNovember 22, 2019 at 12:01 AM

      Thanks Ed.

      Delete
  4. TarekOctober 5, 2019 at 10:47 AM

    Thanks Ed.. It looks more clear, accurate and beneficial.

    ReplyDelete
  5. AnonymousOctober 7, 2019 at 10:01 PM

    Frendly game Panama-Curacao is canceled. Not good for the changes for Curacao to get the 6th place in the concacaf ranking juni 2020.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. AnonymousOctober 8, 2019 at 12:26 AM

      Probably for the best for them, as they would struggle in the Hex. Outside the Hex, they probably have a better chance of reaching the play-off for the half spot.

      Delete

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