FIFA ranking: February 2020 probable ranking

These are quiet times in international football. Only the final matchday of the East Asian Championship 2019 and a few friendlies are played since the December 2019 ranking. The Bangabandhu Cup in Bangladesh (counting as friendlies) and some more friendlies are scheduled.

But there's something to spice it up: the fight for the final place in the CONCACAF Hexagonal this autumn between El Salvador and Canada is already casting it's shadow ahead. At the moment there's only a 15 points gap between them in favor of El Salvador, but both have only friendlies to play between now and the July 2020 ranking to improve or maintain position. The July ranking will probably be used to seed the draw for the CONCACAF qualifying groups for the World Cup 2022 in Qatar as there is no June 2020 ranking foreseen by FIFA.


We see that Canada has scheduled no less than three friendlies already in this January period. El Salvador couldn't stay behind to protect their position and arranged also a  friendly against a strong opponent (which may or may not count for the ranking, that's uncertain). Exciting strategic stuff so early in the year.

Here is the probable February 2020 ranking, to be published on February 20th.

This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 13 currently scheduled and according to my method included matches, out of a total of 15 currently scheduled matches. See the probable results for a list of which scheduled matches are included.


Probable February 2020 rank - Team - Probable February 2020 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1	Belgium	1765	0	0,0
2	France	1733	0	0,0
3	Brazil	1712	0	0,0
4	England	1661	0	0,0
5	Uruguay	1645	0	0,0
6	Croatia	1642	0	0,0
7	Portugal	1639	0	0,0
8	Spain	1636	0	0,0
9	Argentina	1623	0	0,0
10	Colombia	1622	0	0,0
11	Mexico	1621	0	0,0
12	Switzerland	1608	0	0,0
13	Italy	1607	0	0,0
14	Netherlands	1604	0	0,0
15	Germany	1602	0	0,0
16	Denmark	1598	0	0,0
17	Sweden	1580	0	1,0
18	Chile	1579	-1	0,0
19	Poland	1559	0	0,0
20	Senegal	1555	0	0,0
21	Peru	1544	0	0,0
22	USA	1542	0	2,0
23	Wales	1540	-1	0,0
24	Ukraine	1537	0	0,0
25	Venezuela	1517	0	0,0
26	Austria	1507	0	0,0
27	Tunisia	1506	0	0,0
28	Japan	1503	0	0,0
29	Turkey	1494	0	0,0
29	Serbia	1494	0	0,0
31	Nigeria	1493	0	0,0
32	Slovakia	1490	0	0,0
33	Iran	1489	0	0,0
34	Republic of Ireland	1486	0	0,0
35	Algeria	1482	0	0,0
36	Northern Ireland	1476	0	0,0
37	Romania	1475	0	0,0
38	Russia	1470	0	0,0
39	Iceland	1465	0	1,0
40	Korea Republic	1461	0	0,0
40	Paraguay	1461	0	0,0
42	Australia	1457	0	0,0
43	Morocco	1456	0	0,0
44	Norway	1451	0	0,0
45	Czech Republic	1446	0	0,0
46	Costa Rica	1439	0	-3,0
46	Ghana	1439	1	0,0
48	Jamaica	1437	0	0,0
49	Bosnia-Herzegovina	1430	0	0,0
50	Scotland	1422	0	0,0
51	Egypt	1420	0	0,0
52	Hungary	1416	0	0,0
53	Cameroon	1413	0	0,0
54	Greece	1409	0	0,0
55	Qatar	1396	0	0,0
56	Mali	1389	0	0,0
56	Congo DR	1389	0	0,0
58	Finland	1386	0	0,0
59	Bulgaria	1381	0	0,0
59	Burkina Faso	1381	0	0,0
61	Cote d'Ivoire	1380	0	0,0
62	Honduras	1377	0	0,0
63	Ecuador	1368	0	0,0
64	Montenegro	1365	0	0,0
64	Slovenia	1365	0	0,0
66	Albania	1356	0	0,0
67	Saudi Arabia	1351	0	0,0
68	North Macedonia	1347	0	0,0
69	Iraq	1344	1	0,0
69	El Salvador	1344	0	-2,0
71	United Arab Emirates	1334	0	0,0
71	South Africa	1334	0	0,0
71	Canada	1334	2	3,0
74	Guinea	1328	0	0,0
75	Bolivia	1324	0	0,0
76	China PR	1322	0	0,0
77	Uganda	1321	0	0,0
78	Cape Verde Islands	1318	0	0,0
79	Syria	1314	0	0,0
80	Curacao	1313	0	0,0
81	Panama	1304	0	0,0
82	Oman	1303	0	0,0
83	Gabon	1297	0	0,0
84	Benin	1295	0	0,0
85	Uzbekistan	1289	0	0,0
86	Haiti	1285	0	0,0
87	Belarus	1280	0	0,0
88	Zambia	1277	0	0,0
89	Congo	1269	0	0,0
89	Lebanon	1269	0	0,0
91	Madagascar	1267	0	0,0
91	Georgia	1267	0	0,0
93	Israel	1260	0	0,0
94	Vietnam	1258	0	0,0
95	Cyprus	1251	0	0,0
96	Kyrgyzstan	1240	0	0,0
97	Jordan	1238	0	0,0
98	Luxembourg	1236	0	0,0
99	Bahrain	1225	0	0,0
100	Mauritania	1223	0	0,0
101	Libya	1215	0	0,0
102	Armenia	1213	0	0,0
103	Palestine	1204	3	5,0
104	Estonia	1202	-1	0,0
105	Trinidad and Tobago	1201	-1	0,0
106	Mozambique	1200	-1	0,0
107	Kenya	1199	-1	0,0
108	India	1187	0	0,0
109	Central African Republic	1184	0	0,0
110	Faroe Islands	1181	0	0,0
111	Zimbabwe	1180	0	0,0
112	Niger	1179	0	0,0
113	Thailand	1178	0	0,0
114	Azerbaijan	1177	0	0,0
115	Kosovo	1174	0	0,0
116	Korea DPR	1170	0	0,0
117	Namibia	1160	0	0,0
118	Kazakhstan	1155	0	0,0
118	Sierra Leone	1155	0	0,0
118	Guinea-Bissau	1155	0	0,0
121	Tajikistan	1152	0	0,0
122	New Zealand	1149	0	0,0
123	Malawi	1141	0	0,0
124	Philippines	1136	0	0,0
124	Angola	1136	0	0,0
126	Antigua and Barbuda	1127	0	0,0
126	Togo	1127	0	0,0
128	Sudan	1112	0	0,0
129	Turkmenistan	1107	0	0,0
130	Guatemala	1106	0	0,0
131	Rwanda	1089	0	0,0
131	Lithuania	1089	0	0,0
133	Comoros	1088	0	0,0
134	Tanzania	1086	0	0,0
135	Andorra	1082	0	0,0
136	Myanmar	1081	0	0,0
137	Latvia	1079	0	0,0
138	Chinese Taipei	1078	0	0,0
139	Lesotho	1074	0	0,0
139	St. Kitts and Nevis	1074	0	0,0
141	Hong Kong	1073	0	0,0
141	Suriname	1073	0	0,0
141	Solomon Islands	1073	0	0,0
144	Yemen	1071	0	0,0
145	Equatorial Guinea	1066	0	0,0
146	Ethiopia	1061	0	0,0
147	Kuwait	1060	0	0,0
148	Botswana	1055	0	0,0
149	Burundi	1052	2	3,0
149	Afghanistan	1052	0	0,0
151	Nicaragua	1050	-1	0,0
152	Liberia	1047	0	0,0
153	Eswatini	1042	0	0,0
154	Malaysia	1040	0	0,0
155	Maldives	1038	0	0,0
156	New Caledonia	1035	0	0,0
157	Singapore	1020	0	0,0
158	Dominican Republic	1019	0	0,0
159	Gambia	1015	0	0,0
159	Grenada	1015	0	0,0
161	Tahiti	1014	0	0,0
162	Barbados	1009	0	-2,0
163	Fiji	996	0	0,0
163	Vanuatu	996	0	0,0
165	Papua New Guinea	991	0	0,0
166	Guyana	988	0	0,0
167	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	986	0	0,0
168	Bermuda	984	0	0,0
169	South Sudan	983	0	0,0
170	Nepal	974	0	0,0
170	Belize	974	0	0,0
172	Mauritius	966	0	-2,0
173	Indonesia	964	0	0,0
173	Cambodia	964	0	0,0
175	Moldova	958	0	-1,0
176	St. Lucia	953	0	0,0
177	Chad	943	0	0,0
178	Puerto Rico	941	0	0,0
179	Cuba	936	0	0,0
180	Liechtenstein	926	0	0,0
181	Sao Tomé e Príncipe	923	0	0,0
182	Macau	922	0	0,0
183	Montserrat	921	0	0,0
184	Malta	919	0	0,0
184	Djibouti	919	0	0,0
184	Dominica	919	0	0,0
187	Bangladesh	914	0	-1,0
188	Laos	912	0	0,0
189	Bhutan	911	0	0,0
190	Mongolia	906	0	0,0
191	Brunei Darussalam	904	0	0,0
192	American Samoa	900	0	0,0
193	Cayman Islands	897	0	0,0
194	Samoa	894	0	0,0
195	Bahamas	880	0	0,0
196	Timor-Leste	879	0	0,0
196	Gibraltar	879	0	0,0
196	Somalia	879	0	0,0
199	Guam	873	0	0,0
200	Aruba	867	1	0,0
200	Pakistan	867	1	0,0
202	Seychelles	864	-2	-4,0
203	Tonga	862	0	0,0
203	Turks and Caicos Islands	862	0	0,0
205	Eritrea	856	0	0,0
206	Sri Lanka	853	-1	-3,0
207	US Virgin Islands	844	0	0,0
208	British Virgin Islands	842	0	0,0
209	San Marino	824	0	0,0
210	Anguilla	821	0	0,0

---

About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.