FIFA ranking: April 2020 probable ranking

At last the waiting is over: a lot of competitive international matches will be played coming March window. Besides a fair amount of friendlies for (mostly) UEFA teams
- Europe decides via 8 semi-final and 4 final qualification play-offs the final four berths for EURO 2020, 
- Africa plays MD's 3 and 4 (of 6 in total) in CAF Nations Cup 2021 qualification,
- South America starts with the first two MD's in their long, 18 matchdays encompassing WC 2022 qualification,
- Asia continues with MD's 7 and 8 (of 10 in total) in their WC 2022 qualification,
- CONCACAF plays the first stage of home-and-away qualification semi-final play-offs, to be concluded in June with 4 final home-and-away play-offs to fill the final four berths for the Gold Cup 2021,
- and even Oceania sees some action (although still nothing is officially scheduled): a round-robin qualification tournament between the four lowest ranked teams to decide one berth in the OFC Nations Cup 2020, to be played in June in New Zealand. If everything goes as planned we will witness the first match of the Cook Islands since September 2015 and they will be incorporated in the FIFA ranking again. By the way, the format for OFC qualification for WC 2022 is still unclear, but first matches are expected to be played in September this year already. Anyway, it's awfully quiet with news from that distant region.

Here is the probable April 2020 ranking, to be published on April 9th.

This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 163 currently scheduled and according to my method included matches, out of a total of 178 currently scheduled matches. See the probable results for a list of which scheduled matches are included.

Probable April 2020 rank - Team - Probable April 2020 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1	Belgium	1772	0	7,0
2	France	1738	0	5,0
3	Brazil	1725	0	13,0
4	England	1665	0	4,0
5	Uruguay	1662	0	17,0
6	Colombia	1643	4	21,0
7	Croatia	1642	-1	0,0
8	Spain	1640	0	4,0
9	Argentina	1636	0	13,0
10	Portugal	1635	-3	-4,0
11	Mexico	1627	0	6,0
12	Netherlands	1609	2	5,0
13	Italy	1607	0	0,0
14	Switzerland	1605	-2	-3,0
15	Germany	1597	0	-5,0
16	Denmark	1595	0	-3,0
17	Sweden	1585	0	6,0
18	Senegal	1564	2	9,0
19	Poland	1562	0	3,0
20	Chile	1557	-3	-22,0
21	Wales	1549	2	9,0
22	Ukraine	1534	2	-3,0
23	Peru	1533	-2	-11,0
23	USA	1533	-1	-9,0
25	Venezuela	1518	0	1,0
26	Tunisia	1514	1	8,0
27	Japan	1506	1	6,0
28	Nigeria	1504	3	11,0
29	Austria	1502	-3	-5,0
30	Slovakia	1501	2	11,0
31	Iran	1496	2	7,0
32	Algeria	1494	3	12,0
33	Turkey	1493	-4	-1,0
33	Serbia	1493	-4	-1,0
35	Iceland	1482	4	17,0
36	Republic of Ireland	1473	-2	-13,0
37	Korea Republic	1471	3	7,0
38	Norway	1470	6	19,0
39	Morocco	1469	4	13,0
40	Russia	1467	-2	-3,0
41	Australia	1465	1	8,0
42	Romania	1462	-5	-13,0
42	Northern Ireland	1462	-6	-14,0
44	Paraguay	1451	-3	-10,0
44	Bosnia-Herzegovina	1451	5	21,0
46	Ghana	1450	0	11,0
47	Czech Republic	1447	-2	1,0
48	Costa Rica	1443	-2	4,0
49	Jamaica	1438	-1	1,0
50	Egypt	1432	1	12,0
51	Cameroon	1429	2	16,0
52	Scotland	1419	-2	-3,0
53	Hungary	1415	-1	-1,0
54	Qatar	1407	1	11,0
54	Greece	1407	0	-2,0
56	Mali	1403	0	14,0
57	Cote d'Ivoire	1398	4	20,0
58	Burkina Faso	1395	1	14,0
59	Congo DR	1392	-3	3,0
60	Bulgaria	1388	-1	7,0
61	Finland	1381	-3	-5,0
62	Honduras	1372	0	-5,0
63	Montenegro	1368	1	3,0
64	Slovenia	1366	0	1,0
65	Saudi Arabia	1365	2	14,0
66	Albania	1357	0	1,0
67	Ecuador	1355	-4	-13,0
68	Iraq	1354	2	10,0
69	El Salvador	1345	0	-1,0
69	United Arab Emirates	1345	2	11,0
71	South Africa	1343	0	9,0
72	North Macedonia	1341	-4	-6,0
73	Canada	1339	0	7,0
74	Guinea	1337	0	9,0
75	China PR	1333	1	10,0
76	Uganda	1332	1	11,0
77	Syria	1320	2	6,0
77	Cape Verde Islands	1320	1	2,0
79	Bolivia	1314	-4	-10,0
80	Oman	1313	2	10,0
81	Curacao	1312	-1	-1,0
82	Benin	1309	2	14,0
83	Panama	1301	-2	-3,0
84	Uzbekistan	1298	1	9,0
85	Gabon	1297	-2	0,0
86	Georgia	1294	5	27,0
87	Haiti	1285	-1	0,0
88	Congo	1282	1	13,0
89	Zambia	1281	-1	2,0
90	Belarus	1273	-3	-7,0
91	Vietnam	1270	3	12,0
92	Lebanon	1265	-3	-4,0
93	Cyprus	1253	2	2,0
94	Israel	1251	-1	-9,0
95	Madagascar	1248	-4	-19,0
96	Kyrgyzstan	1244	0	4,0
97	Mauritania	1240	3	17,0
98	Libya	1235	3	20,0
99	Bahrain	1231	0	6,0
100	Jordan	1230	-3	-8,0
101	Luxembourg	1228	-3	-8,0
102	Kenya	1218	5	19,0
103	Palestine	1212	0	8,0
104	Estonia	1210	0	8,0
105	Armenia	1208	-3	-5,0
106	Trinidad and Tobago	1193	-1	-8,0
107	Thailand	1187	6	9,0
108	Mozambique	1185	-2	-15,0
109	Azerbaijan	1183	5	6,0
110	India	1179	-2	-8,0
111	Faroe Islands	1178	-1	-3,0
112	Korea DPR	1176	4	6,0
113	Central African Republic	1171	-4	-13,0
114	Zimbabwe	1167	-3	-13,0
115	Kosovo	1166	0	-8,0
116	Kazakhstan	1160	2	5,0
117	Tajikistan	1159	4	7,0
117	Niger	1159	-5	-20,0
119	Guinea-Bissau	1146	-1	-9,0
119	New Zealand	1146	3	-3,0
119	Namibia	1146	-2	-14,0
122	Sierra Leone	1145	-4	-10,0
123	Philippines	1143	1	7,0
124	Angola	1135	0	-1,0
125	Antigua and Barbuda	1127	1	0,0
125	Malawi	1127	-2	-14,0
127	Guatemala	1121	3	15,0
128	Togo	1115	-2	-12,0
129	Turkmenistan	1105	0	-2,0
130	Sudan	1101	-2	-11,0
131	Rwanda	1087	0	-2,0
132	Andorra	1083	3	1,0
133	Lithuania	1080	-2	-9,0
134	Ethiopia	1079	12	18,0
134	Latvia	1079	3	0,0
136	Tanzania	1078	-2	-8,0
137	Chinese Taipei	1076	1	-2,0
138	St. Kitts and Nevis	1074	1	0,0
139	Suriname	1073	2	0,0
139	Solomon Islands	1073	2	0,0
141	Comoros	1069	-8	-19,0
142	Myanmar	1068	-6	-13,0
143	Hong Kong	1061	0	-11,0
144	Kuwait	1060	3	0,0
145	Lesotho	1059	-6	-15,0
146	Yemen	1057	-2	-14,0
147	Afghanistan	1054	2	2,0
148	Botswana	1053	0	-2,0
149	Nicaragua	1051	2	1,0
150	Equatorial Guinea	1049	-5	-17,0
151	Liberia	1047	1	0,0
152	Burundi	1036	-3	-16,0
153	New Caledonia	1032	3	-3,0
154	Eswatini	1027	-1	-15,0
154	Malaysia	1027	0	-13,0
156	Maldives	1026	-1	-12,0
157	Dominican Republic	1019	1	0,0
158	Gambia	1015	1	0,0
158	Grenada	1015	1	0,0
160	Tahiti	1014	1	0,0
161	Singapore	1007	-4	-13,0
162	Guyana	1002	4	14,0
163	Fiji	996	0	0,0
163	Vanuatu	996	0	0,0
165	Barbados	995	-3	-14,0
166	Papua New Guinea	991	-1	0,0
167	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	986	0	0,0
168	Bermuda	983	0	-1,0
169	Belize	974	1	0,0
169	Nepal	974	1	0,0
171	South Sudan	973	-2	-10,0
172	Mauritius	965	0	0,0
173	Moldova	958	2	-1,0
174	Cambodia	954	-1	-10,0
175	St. Lucia	953	1	0,0
176	Indonesia	952	-3	-12,0
177	Puerto Rico	941	1	0,0
178	Cuba	936	1	0,0
179	Chad	934	-2	-9,0
180	Liechtenstein	923	0	-3,0
181	Macau	922	1	0,0
182	Malta	921	2	2,0
183	Djibouti	919	1	0,0
183	Dominica	919	1	0,0
185	Sao Tomé e Príncipe	914	-4	-9,0
186	Laos	912	2	0,0
187	Bhutan	911	2	0,0
188	Montserrat	904	-5	-17,0
188	Brunei Darussalam	904	3	0,0
190	Bangladesh	902	-3	-12,0
191	American Samoa	900	1	0,0
192	Mongolia	897	-2	-9,0
192	Cayman Islands	897	1	0,0
194	Samoa	894	0	0,0
195	Bahamas	880	0	0,0
196	Timor-Leste	879	0	0,0
196	Somalia	879	0	0,0
198	Gibraltar	875	-2	-4,0
199	Aruba	867	1	0,0
199	Pakistan	867	1	0,0
201	Seychelles	866	1	0,0
202	Guam	863	-3	-10,0
203	Tonga	862	0	0,0
203	Turks and Caicos Islands	862	0	0,0
205	Eritrea	856	0	0,0
206	Sri Lanka	845	0	-8,0
207	US Virgin Islands	844	0	0,0
208	British Virgin Islands	842	0	0,0
209	Anguilla	821	1	0,0
210	San Marino	820	-1	-4,0

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Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.