FIFA ranking: February 2021 probable ranking

As usual the February ranking does not include matches played in an official FIFA international match window. And this year only the African Nations Championship is scheduled from today in Cameroon. Not to be confused with the continental showpiece African Cup of Nations, for the 16 teams in this tournament only players playing in domestic African competitions can be selected. Especially the top dogs in African football with all their stars playing in other continents are severely weakened by this rule, so traditional powerhouses are not to be overestimated (if they could qualify for this tournament in the first place). The matches do count for the FIFA ranking though, but only as friendlies.

There are a few preparatory friendlies played for this tournament, but it is yet unclear if they will be included in the FIFA ranking or not. For now they are excluded.

Here is the probable February 2021 ranking, to be published on February 18th.

This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 40 currently scheduled and according to my method included matches, out of a total of 51 currently scheduled matches. See the probable results for a list of which scheduled matches are included.

Feb rank	team	Feb pts	+/- pos	+/- pts
1	Belgium	1779,53	0	0
2	France	1755,05	0	0
3	Brazil	1742,65	0	0
4	England	1670,25	0	0
5	Portugal	1662,23	0	0
6	Spain	1645,33	0	0
7	Argentina	1641,95	0	0
8	Uruguay	1639,08	0	0
9	Mexico	1632,12	0	0
10	Italy	1624,77	0	0
11	Croatia	1616,77	0	0
12	Denmark	1613,88	0	0
13	Germany	1609,91	0	0
14	Netherlands	1608,88	0	0
15	Colombia	1600,66	0	0
16	Switzerland	1592,58	0	0
17	Chile	1566,83	0	0
18	Wales	1561,84	0	0
19	Poland	1558,88	0	0
20	Senegal	1558,37	0	0
20	Sweden	1557,53	0	0
22	USA	1546,31	0	1
23	Austria	1530,94	0	0
24	Ukraine	1521,15	0	0
25	Peru	1511,88	0	0
26	Tunisia	1502,87	0	0
27	Japan	1502,49	0	0
28	Venezuela	1500,71	0	0
29	Iran	1496,25	0	0
29	Serbia	1495,64	1	1
31	Algeria	1487,67	0	0
32	Turkey	1486,98	0	0
33	Morocco	1481,09	2	7
34	Slovakia	1477,62	-1	0
35	Paraguay	1476,02	-1	0
36	Nigeria	1474,35	-1	0
37	Romania	1465,63	0	0
38	Korea Republic	1464,89	0	0
39	Russia	1461,48	0	0
40	Hungary	1460,45	0	0
41	Australia	1457,49	0	0
42	Republic of Ireland	1456,50	0	0
42	Czech Republic	1455,79	0	0
44	Norway	1450,04	0	0
45	Northern Ireland	1440,02	0	0
46	Cameroon	1439,27	4	11
47	Iceland	1438,18	-1	0
48	Jamaica	1436,60	-1	0
49	Scotland	1436,32	-1	0
50	Egypt	1432,32	-1	0
51	Costa Rica	1426,73	0	0
52	Ghana	1424,22	0	0
53	Greece	1412,84	0	0
54	Finland	1411,40	0	0
55	Bosnia-Herzegovina	1409,98	0	0
56	Ecuador	1409,00	0	0
57	Mali	1408,45	0	0
58	Qatar	1391,06	0	0
58	Congo DR	1390,90	2	5
58	Burkina Faso	1390,59	0	0
61	Cote d'Ivoire	1384,21	0	0
62	Slovenia	1379,19	0	0
63	Montenegro	1370,00	0	0
64	Honduras	1366,64	0	0
65	North Macedonia	1362,33	0	0
66	Albania	1359,51	0	0
67	Saudi Arabia	1352,95	0	0
68	Bulgaria	1350,13	0	0
69	Iraq	1347,18	0	0
70	El Salvador	1344,14	0	-2
71	South Africa	1340,96	0	0
72	Canada	1331,56	0	0
73	Guinea	1330,30	0	1
74	United Arab Emirates	1326,46	0	0
75	China PR	1322,96	0	0
76	Syria	1313,10	0	0
76	Curacao	1312,96	0	0
78	Panama	1310,88	0	0
79	Bolivia	1306,81	0	0
80	Cape Verde Islands	1305,83	1	0
81	Uganda	1305,37	-2	-2
82	Oman	1302,89	0	0
83	Benin	1301,60	0	0
84	Haiti	1284,80	0	0
85	Uzbekistan	1283,08	0	0
86	Gabon	1279,64	0	0
87	Israel	1279,36	0	0
88	Zambia	1268,91	2	4
88	Belarus	1268,84	0	0
90	Georgia	1266,52	-1	0
91	Congo	1264,00	0	0
92	Lebanon	1263,15	0	0
93	Vietnam	1258,06	0	0
94	Madagascar	1256,88	0	0
95	Jordan	1244,45	0	0
96	Kyrgyzstan	1240,08	0	0
97	Bahrain	1238,15	0	0
98	Luxembourg	1235,32	0	0
99	Armenia	1233,27	0	0
100	Cyprus	1223,75	0	0
101	Mauritania	1207,30	0	0
102	Palestine	1200,81	0	-3
102	Trinidad and Tobago	1200,72	1	0
104	Kenya	1187,19	0	0
104	India	1186,98	0	0
106	Mozambique	1184,99	0	0
107	Faroe Islands	1182,52	0	0
108	Azerbaijan	1180,39	1	0
108	Estonia	1179,98	1	0
110	Thailand	1178,07	1	0
110	Libya	1177,77	1	0
112	Zimbabwe	1176,11	-4	-5
113	Central African Republic	1171,29	1	0
114	Korea DPR	1169,96	1	0
115	Niger	1166,87	-2	-6
116	Sierra Leone	1164,82	0	0
117	Kosovo	1154,81	0	0
118	New Zealand	1149,43	0	0
119	Guinea-Bissau	1145,99	1	0
120	Namibia	1143,41	-1	-4
120	Tajikistan	1142,96	1	0
122	Kazakhstan	1141,72	0	0
123	Malawi	1139,86	0	0
124	Philippines	1135,94	0	0
125	Angola	1134,19	0	0
126	Antigua and Barbuda	1127,35	0	0
127	Sudan	1124,11	0	0
128	Guatemala	1114,02	3	3
128	Lithuania	1113,61	1	0
130	Togo	1112,31	-2	-3
130	Comoros	1112,13	0	0
132	Turkmenistan	1106,51	0	0
133	Equatorial Guinea	1097,31	1	0
133	Rwanda	1096,84	0	-2
135	Tanzania	1082,48	0	-3
135	Latvia	1082,30	1	0
137	Myanmar	1081,26	0	0
138	Chinese Taipei	1078,48	0	0
138	Burundi	1077,93	0	0
140	St. Kitts and Nevis	1073,86	0	0
141	Suriname	1073,39	0	0
141	Solomon Islands	1072,78	0	0
143	Lesotho	1072,02	0	0
143	Hong Kong	1072,00	0	0
145	Yemen	1070,54	0	0
146	Botswana	1065,70	0	0
146	Ethiopia	1065,55	0	0
148	Kuwait	1063,11	0	3
149	Nicaragua	1054,61	0	0
150	Afghanistan	1052,24	0	0
151	Andorra	1047,83	0	0
152	Liberia	1047,45	0	0
153	Malaysia	1040,02	0	0
153	Eswatini	1039,70	0	0
155	Maldives	1038,31	0	0
156	New Caledonia	1035,12	0	0
157	Gambia	1034,21	0	0
158	Dominican Republic	1020,79	1	2
159	Singapore	1020,27	-1	0
160	Grenada	1014,55	0	0
161	Tahiti	1014,27	0	0
162	Barbados	1008,78	0	0
163	South Sudan	997,86	0	0
164	Fiji	996,27	0	0
164	Vanuatu	995,62	0	0
166	Papua New Guinea	990,55	0	0
167	Guyana	988,40	0	0
168	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	985,75	0	0
169	Bermuda	983,27	0	0
170	Belize	973,98	0	0
171	Nepal	968,37	0	0
172	Mauritius	964,94	0	0
173	Indonesia	964,07	0	0
173	Cambodia	963,79	0	0
175	St. Lucia	953,45	0	0
176	Malta	951,37	0	0
177	Moldova	950,34	0	0
178	Chad	946,67	0	0
179	Cuba	935,97	1	0
179	Puerto Rico	935,56	0	-5
181	Liechtenstein	924,09	0	0
182	Macau	922,10	0	0
183	Montserrat	920,53	0	0
184	Djibouti	918,91	0	0
184	Dominica	918,70	0	0
186	Bangladesh	916,89	0	0
187	Sao Tomé e Príncipe	914,07	0	0
188	Laos	912,07	0	0
189	Bhutan	910,96	0	0
190	Mongolia	906,34	0	0
191	Brunei Darussalam	903,90	0	0
192	American Samoa	900,27	0	0
193	Cayman Islands	896,65	0	0
194	Samoa	894,26	0	0
195	Gibraltar	887,55	0	0
196	Bahamas	879,61	0	0
197	Timor-Leste	879,43	0	0
197	Somalia	879,13	0	0
199	Guam	872,83	0	0
200	Aruba	867,44	0	0
200	Pakistan	866,81	0	0
202	Seychelles	865,69	0	0
203	Tonga	861,81	0	0
203	Turks and Caicos Islands	861,56	0	0
205	Eritrea	855,56	0	0
206	Sri Lanka	853,07	0	0
207	US Virgin Islands	844,16	0	0
208	British Virgin Islands	841,73	0	0
209	Anguilla	821,24	0	0
210	San Marino	810,17	0	0

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Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.