FIFA ranking: August 2021 probable ranking

FIFA will publish the next ranking only on August 12th. This means that all matches played in the extended June window for World Cup qualifying in AFC, CONMEBOL and CONCACAF, together with the CONCACAF Nations League Finals and all friendlies, plus all matches from three complete continental final tournaments (EURO, Copa America and Gold Cup) all will count for this ranking. Movements in the ranking should be guaranteed, one would think.

Here is the probable August 2021 ranking.

This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 175 currently scheduled and according to my method included matches, out of a total of 182 currently scheduled matches. 

Already 162 matches have been played and will be included according to my method, out of a total of 166  already played matches.

In total this probable August ranking includes 337 matches.

See the probable results for a list of which scheduled and already played matches are included.

pos. Aug	team	pts Aug	+/- pos	+/- pts
1	Brazil	1831,91	2	89,26
2	Belgium	1826,34	-1	42,96
3	France	1785,25	-1	27,95
4	England	1733,63	0	46,85
5	Spain	1724,62	1	76,49
6	Italy	1704,12	1	62,06
7	Argentina	1695,34	1	53,39
8	Denmark	1686,83	2	55,28
9	Uruguay	1686,16	0	47,08
11	Portugal	1681,44	-6	15,32
10	Mexico	1682,18	1	52,62
12	Netherlands	1653,01	4	54,97
13	Colombia	1652,45	2	51,79
14	USA	1639,61	6	84,19
15	Germany	1629,71	-3	20,59
16	Switzerland	1606,13	-3	-0,08
17	Sweden	1581,27	1	11,46
18	Croatia	1576,31	-4	-29,44
19	Wales	1550,35	-2	-20,01
20	Poland	1549,54	1	-0,33
21	Senegal	1548,18	1	5,73
22	Chile	1543,03	-3	-26,49
23	Japan	1524,53	5	15,19
24	Iran	1522,04	7	22,52
25	Ukraine	1519,22	-1	4,58
26	Tunisia	1518,32	0	5,44
27	Austria	1517,62	-4	-5,80
28	Serbia	1512,19	-3	-0,71
29	Algeria	1494,59	4	7,90
30	Morocco	1487,89	4	8,57
31	Peru	1484,91	-4	-26,97
32	Turkey	1480,84	-3	-24,21
33	Nigeria	1478,93	-1	-8,23
34	Australia	1477,21	7	19,72
35	Korea Republic	1474,96	4	14,71
36	Qatar	1468,37	22	70,45
37	Paraguay	1464,44	-2	-11,58
38	Venezuela	1463,32	-8	-37,39
39	Russia	1462,71	-1	0,06
40	Czech Republic	1453,72	0	-5,09
41	Norway	1450,12	1	-2,22
42	Jamaica	1449,04	3	16,39
44	Scotland	1441,82	0	0,39
43	Costa Rica	1447,46	7	24,06
45	Romania	1439,70	-2	-9,53
46	Hungary	1439,50	-9	-29,25
47	Slovakia	1435,00	-11	-40,24
48	Egypt	1432,63	-2	0,00
49	Republic of Ireland	1429,44	-2	2,22
50	Greece	1427,04	1	8,34
51	Northern Ireland	1422,29	-3	-3,45
52	Ghana	1420,61	-3	-4,65
53	Iceland	1418,48	-1	2,49
54	Cameroon	1411,33	1	6,46
55	Cote d'Ivoire	1402,90	4	5,13
56	Bosnia-Herzegovina	1401,57	-1	-3,30
57	Mali	1394,62	0	-6,32
58	Ecuador	1386,18	-5	-26,83
59	Saudi Arabia	1386,03	6	21,64
60	Burkina Faso	1383,86	0	-9,04
70	Canada	1346,96	0	6,40
61	Congo DR	1373,16	0	-3,49
62	Slovenia	1371,25	1	1,37
63	Finland	1370,46	-9	-40,36
64	El Salvador	1366,00	5	24,76
65	Montenegro	1363,03	-1	-5,46
66	United Arab Emirates	1362,23	7	32,07
67	Albania	1359,83	-1	-2,26
68	Honduras	1356,43	-1	-4,78
69	Iraq	1354,51	-1	1,69
71	North Macedonia	1342,92	-9	-31,81
72	Panama	1340,90	6	18,93
73	China PR	1340,18	4	17,22
74	Bulgaria	1334,83	-3	-4,20
75	Guinea	1333,15	-3	1,36
76	South Africa	1330,27	-1	4,63
77	Cape Verde Islands	1325,66	-4	-4,50
78	Syria	1315,25	1	11,13
80	Oman	1306,85	0	5,34
81	Curacao	1301,07	-5	-21,99
82	Benin	1289,89	0	-3,21
83	Israel	1287,26	2	3,90
84	Bolivia	1286,25	-3	-13,86
85	Uzbekistan	1284,42	1	3,43
86	Uganda	1282,14	-2	-4,62
79	Haiti	1307,51	4	16,89
87	Gabon	1278,10	1	0,00
88	Zambia	1276,41	-1	-3,74
89	Armenia	1273,67	1	0,39
90	Belarus	1270,75	-1	-6,04
91	Georgia	1264,06	0	4,55
98	Lebanon	1237,96	-5	-18,12
92	Vietnam	1260,81	0	2,75
93	Congo	1259,97	1	4,09
94	Bahrain	1251,29	4	11,19
95	Jordan	1245,31	0	-6,32
96	Luxembourg	1238,59	0	-6,27
97	Madagascar	1238,24	3	0,00
99	Cyprus	1235,30	-2	-5,48
100	Mauritania	1223,35	1	-1,41
101	Kyrgyzstan	1223,31	-2	-16,77
102	Palestine	1216,25	2	19,45
103	Kenya	1205,26	-1	0,00
104	Trinidad and Tobago	1203,01	-1	1,68
105	India	1180,25	0	-4,11
106	Estonia	1177,36	10	15,78
107	Zimbabwe	1175,50	0	0,00
108	Guinea-Bissau	1172,64	0	1,45
109	Thailand	1171,80	-3	-6,27
110	Korea DPR	1169,96	-1	0,00
111	Namibia	1168,44	0	0,00
112	Azerbaijan	1166,44	-2	-2,09
113	Sierra Leone	1165,67	1	3,06
114	Faroe Islands	1165,43	-1	-0,02
115	Malawi	1161,69	0	-0,70
116	Mozambique	1161,55	1	0,00
118	Tajikistan	1157,76	3	6,66
117	Libya	1160,19	2	3,93
120	Niger	1152,28	-8	-13,63
119	Kosovo	1152,64	1	0,91
121	Sudan	1151,64	2	2,50
123	New Zealand	1149,43	-1	0,00
122	Guatemala	1150,29	5	20,99
124	Central African Republic	1147,09	-6	-10,55
125	Philippines	1144,43	0	8,49
126	Kazakhstan	1144,41	-2	-2,94
127	Angola	1135,88	-1	0,00
128	Rwanda	1134,24	1	10,55
129	Antigua and Barbuda	1131,08	-1	2,06
131	Togo	1105,62	2	1,48
132	Equatorial Guinea	1105,20	0	0,00
133	Comoros	1104,45	-2	-1,99
130	Turkmenistan	1117,60	0	11,09
134	Lithuania	1092,18	0	-10,66
135	Tanzania	1088,76	2	0,71
136	Latvia	1081,47	2	-0,19
137	Ethiopia	1079,41	3	0,00
138	St. Kitts and Nevis	1077,76	-3	-13,36
139	Burundi	1074,81	3	-0,83
140	Solomon Islands	1072,78	3	0,00
141	Lesotho	1069,91	5	0,00
142	Kuwait	1067,44	6	11,14
143	Nicaragua	1063,60	4	3,09
144	Suriname	1062,18	-8	-27,25
145	Myanmar	1057,44	-6	-23,82
146	Gambia	1056,13	6	12,68
147	Hong Kong	1053,39	-3	-18,61
148	Botswana	1051,82	2	0,00
149	Afghanistan	1047,17	0	-5,07
150	Chinese Taipei	1046,34	-9	-32,14
151	Yemen	1046,24	-6	-24,30
152	Liberia	1044,92	-1	-2,37
153	Eswatini	1039,24	1	0,00
154	New Caledonia	1035,12	3	0,00
155	Andorra	1031,64	3	-3,26
156	Dominican Republic	1029,42	0	-6,80
157	Maldives	1015,80	-2	-22,51
158	Malaysia	1015,77	-5	-24,25
159	Tahiti	1014,27	2	0,00
160	Singapore	1000,50	-1	-19,77
161	Fiji	996,27	2	0,00
162	Barbados	995,94	0	-15,01
163	Vanuatu	995,62	1	0,00
164	Papua New Guinea	990,55	2	0,00
165	South Sudan	982,84	4	-1,35
165	Bermuda	982,84	3	-4,94
167	Grenada	974,34	-7	-43,23
168	Nepal	972,19	3	4,31
169	Belize	967,42	1	-10,53
170	Mauritius	964,94	2	0,00
171	Puerto Rico	962,77	7	23,91
172	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	961,11	-5	-28,21
173	Guyana	958,87	-8	-31,78
174	Indonesia	955,05	-1	-9,02
175	Moldova	954,15	2	5,99
176	St. Lucia	953,45	0	0,00
177	Malta	952,00	-2	-3,89
178	Montserrat	950,71	2	17,07
179	Cambodia	950,26	-5	-13,53
180	Cuba	940,21	1	17,18
181	Chad	935,00	-2	0,00
182	Macau	922,10	0	0,00
183	Dominica	916,72	5	12,46
184	Mongolia	916,68	8	19,71
185	Djibouti	916,58	-2	-2,33
186	Laos	912,07	-1	0,00
187	Bhutan	910,96	0	0,00
188	Bangladesh	909,18	-4	-8,20
189	Liechtenstein	907,66	-3	-3,39
190	Brunei Darussalam	903,90	-1	0,00
191	Sao Tomé e Príncipe	903,31	-1	0,00
192	American Samoa	900,27	-1	0,00
193	Samoa	894,26	0	0,00
194	Gibraltar	880,27	1	0,11
195	Timor-Leste	879,43	1	0,00
196	Somalia	878,32	1	-0,81
197	Cayman Islands	873,64	-3	-10,80
198	Pakistan	866,81	1	0,00
199	Seychelles	865,69	1	0,00
200	Tonga	861,81	2	0,00
201	Aruba	859,97	4	9,87
202	Bahamas	858,50	-1	-3,34
203	Guam	858,49	-5	-14,34
204	Eritrea	855,56	-1	0,00
205	Sri Lanka	846,54	-1	-6,53
206	Turks and Caicos Islands	839,84	0	-3,81
207	US Virgin Islands	816,13	0	-13,00
208	British Virgin Islands	812,94	0	-13,33
209	San Marino	802,43	1	-2,28
210	Anguilla	792,34	-1	-13,08

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Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.