FIFA ranking: November 2021 probable ranking

The FIFA November international match window starts November 8th. All confederations except OFC are still in full swing qualifying mode for the World Cup next year in Qatar. It's even crunch time for teams from Europe and Africa as they play their last two match days in the groups. 

In Europe the 10 group winners will qualify for Qatar while the 10 runners-up qualify for the play-offs in March 2022. The draw for these play-offs is November 26th.

In Africa the 10 group winners qualify for the third and final qualifying round: 5 home-and-away play-offs to be played in March 2022. The draw date for these play-offs is unknown yet, as is the seeding FIFA-ranking to be used in the draw.

Asia plays MDs 5-6 of 10 in the two final groups. North and Central America plays MDs 7-8 of 14 in the octagonal. South America plays MDs 13-14 of 18 in their group.

In Asia it was announced that the final qualification round of the Asian Cup of Nations 2023 will be played as single round-robin groups with only 3 match days in June next year in centralized venues because of ongoing COVID-19 restrictions. The draw of the groups was therefore postponed.

Here is the probable November 2021 ranking, to be published on November 25th.

This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 134 currently scheduled and according to my method included matches, out of a total of 144 currently scheduled matches. See the probable results for a list of which scheduled matches are included.

pos Nov	team	pts Nov	+/- pos	+/- pts
1	Belgium	1840,95	0	8,62
2	Brazil	1826,06	0	5,70
3	France	1785,96	0	6,72
4	Italy	1765,57	0	15,05
5	England	1755,52	0	5,36
6	Argentina	1738,30	0	-0,49
7	Spain	1705,34	0	17,68
8	Portugal	1697,47	0	15,74
9	Denmark	1679,54	1	10,56
10	Netherlands	1666,23	1	14,22
11	Mexico	1663,51	-2	-9,41
12	Germany	1648,70	0	6,23
13	USA	1647,39	0	7,97
14	Uruguay	1633,95	1	8,28
15	Switzerland	1630,47	-1	-3,33
16	Croatia	1620,74	2	11,90
17	Colombia	1619,92	-1	1,16
18	Sweden	1612,68	-1	-6,01
19	Senegal	1573,98	1	9,03
20	Wales	1565,51	-1	-1,26
21	Iran	1557,35	1	12,33
22	Poland	1555,62	1	13,42
23	Chile	1554,12	-2	7,86
24	Peru	1538,65	0	4,59
25	Tunisia	1536,65	2	11,35
26	Japan	1531,53	2	13,84
27	Ukraine	1527,75	-1	0,63
28	Morocco	1525,75	1	12,75
29	Serbia	1522,65	-4	-4,69
30	Algeria	1521,33	0	12,29
31	Austria	1511,56	1	10,47
32	Czech Republic	1510,42	-1	7,19
33	Australia	1509,60	1	19,74
34	Korea Republic	1495,02	1	5,92
35	Russia	1493,42	-2	-4,03
36	Nigeria	1491,28	0	13,10
37	Turkey	1472,43	2	11,90
38	Norway	1467,93	-1	-3,69
39	Slovakia	1467,72	1	13,56
40	Romania	1465,57	1	13,81
41	Egypt	1461,74	3	13,89
42	Paraguay	1454,24	-4	-7,04
43	Canada	1450,07	5	17,73
44	Scotland	1446,82	-2	-4,55
45	Ghana	1441,17	7	16,30
46	Hungary	1440,62	-3	-8,46
47	Costa Rica	1437,72	-2	-1,89
48	Qatar	1436,10	-2	-1,63
49	Greece	1434,59	-2	-0,24
50	Republic of Ireland	1431,79	1	1,20
51	Cote d'Ivoire	1430,36	2	6,24
52	Saudi Arabia	1428,92	-3	-3,29
53	Mali	1428,27	4	15,88
54	Cameroon	1424,85	0	6,64
55	Ecuador	1423,45	0	6,52
56	Venezuela	1421,64	-6	-9,87
57	Bosnia-Herzegovina	1417,39	-1	2,47
58	Northern Ireland	1412,67	0	0,46
59	Finland	1399,46	1	-4,50
60	Jamaica	1399,38	-1	-8,34
61	Burkina Faso	1397,35	0	-3,21
62	Albania	1374,98	1	0,65
63	Iceland	1372,41	-1	-25,08
64	Panama	1367,14	5	12,72
65	Congo DR	1363,44	2	5,83
66	Slovenia	1363,19	-2	-1,77
67	Iraq	1360,30	5	14,10
68	South Africa	1358,54	-2	-3,43
69	El Salvador	1350,33	-4	-14,37
70	Honduras	1344,36	-2	-10,81
71	North Macedonia	1342,53	3	-0,66
72	Bulgaria	1340,34	-2	-9,77
73	United Arab Emirates	1337,91	-2	-11,51
74	Montenegro	1330,67	-1	-15,52
75	Cape Verde Islands	1326,98	1	-0,68
76	China PR	1325,10	-1	-9,10
77	Guinea	1310,56	2	1,41
78	Oman	1307,09	-1	-7,27
79	Israel	1306,70	1	0,94
80	Bolivia	1299,42	-2	-10,33
81	Curacao	1298,39	0	0
82	Uganda	1297,49	0	0,06
83	Benin	1282,23	0	-0,11
84	Uzbekistan	1279,34	0	-0,39
85	Haiti	1268,05	1	0
86	Armenia	1266,88	3	9,71
87	Zambia	1265,13	0	4,34
88	Gabon	1262,27	0	1,88
89	Syria	1257,69	-4	-17,03
90	Bahrain	1255,72	1	4,81
91	Jordan	1252,99	-1	-1,13
92	Lebanon	1246,26	0	-3,82
93	Georgia	1239,48	0	-4,40
94	Belarus	1228,39	1	-5,20
95	Kyrgyzstan	1225,79	1	-4,81
96	Luxembourg	1223,95	-2	-10,18
97	Congo	1221,60	0	-6,56
98	Madagascar	1218,41	1	-0,35
99	Palestine	1211,32	1	0
100	Vietnam	1208,96	-2	-13,94
101	Trinidad and Tobago	1207,94	0	0
102	Kenya	1190,05	2	0,81
103	Mauritania	1189,63	-1	-12,54
104	Namibia	1187,63	4	12,09
105	India	1182,75	1	0
106	Sierra Leone	1179,76	1	0
107	Cyprus	1178,38	-4	-14,54
108	Guinea-Bissau	1177,44	1	2,41
109	Estonia	1176,50	-4	-7,53
110	Korea DPR	1169,96	0	0
111	Libya	1163,26	1	1,55
112	New Zealand	1161,83	-1	0
113	Kosovo	1155,45	0	-5,74
114	Tajikistan	1152,56	0	-5,21
115	Mozambique	1151,01	7	6,16
116	Zimbabwe	1150,65	2	3,31
117	Thailand	1148,63	0	0
118	Azerbaijan	1146,43	1	-0,44
119	Niger	1146,13	2	0,38
120	Kazakhstan	1140,71	5	3,25
121	Guatemala	1138,40	3	0
122	Faroe Islands	1136,99	-6	-11,95
123	Equatorial Guinea	1132,38	3	-3,14
124	Philippines	1131,93	3	0
125	Antigua and Barbuda	1131,08	3	0
126	Malawi	1127,21	-6	-19,04
127	Central African Republic	1127,20	-12	-23,25
128	Sudan	1123,09	-5	-16,58
129	Tanzania	1118,47	1	-5,37
130	Turkmenistan	1117,60	1	0
131	Comoros	1112,00	1	0
132	Angola	1107,02	-3	-17,31
133	Togo	1096,04	1	-14,55
134	Rwanda	1095,04	-1	-16,75
135	Lithuania	1091,77	0	-6,03
136	Latvia	1087,78	0	2,90
137	St. Kitts and Nevis	1077,76	1	0
138	Suriname	1077,57	1	0
139	Solomon Islands	1072,78	1	0
140	Nicaragua	1072,03	3	7,71
141	Burundi	1070,95	0	0
142	Kuwait	1064,02	0	-1,29
143	Ethiopia	1063,19	-6	-16,18
144	Liberia	1058,28	6	10,82
145	Lesotho	1057,62	-1	0
146	Myanmar	1057,44	-1	0
147	Eswatini	1054,14	-1	0
148	Gambia	1053,72	-1	0
149	Hong Kong	1053,39	-1	0
150	Botswana	1051,59	-1	0
151	Yemen	1046,26	0	0
152	Afghanistan	1045,34	0	0
153	New Caledonia	1035,12	1	0
154	Malaysia	1034,87	1	0
155	Maldives	1030,92	1	0
156	Andorra	1030,28	-3	-8,60
157	Dominican Republic	1029,42	0	0
158	Chinese Taipei	1017,78	0	0
159	Tahiti	1014,27	0	0
160	Singapore	1000,35	0	0
161	Fiji	996,27	0	0
162	Barbados	995,94	0	0
163	Vanuatu	995,62	0	0
164	Papua New Guinea	990,55	0	0
165	Indonesia	985,61	0	0
166	Bermuda	982,43	0	0
167	South Sudan	980,25	0	0
168	Grenada	974,03	0	0
169	Nepal	972,45	0	0
170	Cambodia	970,42	0	0
171	Belize	967,42	0	0
172	Mauritius	964,94	0	0
173	Puerto Rico	962,77	1	0
174	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	960,71	1	0
175	Malta	959,09	-2	-5,12
176	Guyana	958,87	0	0
177	St. Lucia	953,45	0	0
178	Montserrat	950,71	0	0
179	Cuba	939,15	0	-7,71
180	Chad	935,00	0	0
181	Moldova	928,35	0	-5,46
182	Macau	922,10	0	0
183	Dominica	916,72	0	0
184	Mongolia	916,68	0	0
185	Laos	912,07	0	0
186	Bhutan	910,96	0	0
187	Bangladesh	907,84	0	0
188	Brunei Darussalam	903,90	1	0
189	Sao Tomé e Príncipe	903,31	2	0
190	American Samoa	900,27	2	0
191	Liechtenstein	899,64	-1	-3,99
192	Djibouti	896,38	-4	-9,45
193	Samoa	894,26	0	0
194	Timor-Leste	879,43	0	0
195	Somalia	873,71	0	0
196	Cayman Islands	873,64	0	0
197	Pakistan	866,81	0	0
198	Seychelles	862,84	1	0
199	Tonga	861,81	1	0
200	Aruba	859,97	1	0
201	Bahamas	858,50	1	0
202	Eritrea	855,56	1	0
203	Gibraltar	853,35	-5	-9,82
204	Sri Lanka	840,11	0	0
205	Turks and Caicos Islands	839,84	0	0
206	Guam	838,33	0	0
207	US Virgin Islands	816,13	0	0
208	British Virgin Islands	812,94	0	0
209	Anguilla	792,34	0	0
210	San Marino	780,33	0	-2,38

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Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.