World Cup qualification simulations (14 November 2021)

The November window is halfway. UEFA and CAF stand for their final group matches where the remaining decisions will fall.

On request is here an update of the simulations for the qualification of the World Cup 2022 in Qatar after yesterday's matches.

Denmark and Germany were already qualified. Belgium, France and Brazil joined them last week. In these simulations also England and Argentina are 100% qualified now.

Here are the probabilities (in %) -generated over 10.000 simulations- with all match-results based on NT prediction formula's for goals scored in a match depending on elo win expectancy. The simulations include all scheduled World Cup qualifiers, the AFCON 2021 and all currently scheduled friendlies (including the Arab Cup). 

UEFA

First the group stage of the qualification for the World Cup. The teams are ordered by their average group position:

group A	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th
Portugal	90,16	9,84	0,00	0,00	0,00
Serbia	9,84	90,16	0,00	0,00	0,00
Luxembourg	0,00	0,00	52,83	47,17	0,00
Republic of Ireland	0,00	0,00	47,17	52,83	0,00
Azerbaijan	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	100,00
group B	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th
Spain	91,21	8,79	0,00	0,00	0,00
Sweden	8,79	91,21	0,00	0,00	0,00
Greece	0,00	0,00	100,00	0,00	0,00
Georgia	0,00	0,00	0,00	99,97	0,03
Kosovo	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,03	99,97
group C	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th
Italy	51,94	48,06	0,00	0,00	0,00
Switzerland	48,06	51,94	0,00	0,00	0,00
Northern Ireland	0,00	0,00	90,24	9,76	0,00
Bulgaria	0,00	0,00	9,76	90,24	0,00
Lithuania	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	100,00
group D	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th
France	100,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00
Finland	0,00	68,76	31,24	0,00	0,00
Ukraine	0,00	31,24	35,76	33,00	0,00
Bosnia-Herzegovina	0,00	0,00	33,00	67,00	0,00
Kazakhstan	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	100,00
group E	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th
Belgium	100,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00
Wales	0,00	57,01	42,99	0,00	0,00
Czech Republic	0,00	42,99	57,01	0,00	0,00
Estonia	0,00	0,00	0,00	100,00	0,00
Belarus	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	100,00
group F	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th
Denmark	100,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00
Scotland	0,00	100,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00
Israel	0,00	0,00	67,29	32,71	0,00	0,00
Austria	0,00	0,00	32,71	67,29	0,00	0,00
Faroe Islands	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	99,85	0,15
Moldova	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,15	99,85
group G	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th
Netherlands	89,52	6,16	4,32	0,00	0,00	0,00
Turkey	4,16	82,84	13,00	0,00	0,00	0,00
Norway	6,32	11,00	82,68	0,00	0,00	0,00
Montenegro	0,00	0,00	0,00	100,00	0,00	0,00
Latvia	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	100,00	0,00
Gibraltar	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	100,00
group H	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th
Croatia	61,15	38,85	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00
Russia	38,85	61,15	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00
Slovenia	0,00	0,00	55,64	44,36	0,00	0,00
Slovakia	0,00	0,00	44,36	55,64	0,00	0,00
Malta	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	80,56	19,44
Cyprus	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	19,44	80,56
group I	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th
England	100,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00
Poland	0,00	100,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00
Albania	0,00	0,00	99,12	0,88	0,00	0,00
Hungary	0,00	0,00	0,88	99,12	0,00	0,00
Andorra	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	100,00	0,00
San Marino	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	100,00
group J	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th
Germany	100,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00
North Macedonia	0,00	64,30	35,70	0,00	0,00	0,00
Romania	0,00	35,70	63,84	0,46	0,00	0,00
Armenia	0,00	0,00	0,46	85,60	13,94	0,00
Iceland	0,00	0,00	0,00	13,94	86,06	0,00
Liechtenstein	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	100,00

Then the play-offs. Teams can qualify for the play-offs as group runner-up (column 'nr2') or as one of the two best UNL group winners not already qualified (column 'via UNL'). In column 'PO' you see the total probability to qualify for the play-offs. Teams are ordered by this column. 

The 6 best runners-up are seeded in the draw for the 6 semi-finals in the 3 paths. In columns 'seeded' and 'unseeded' you will find the respective probabilities and finally in column '%seeded' the chance to be seeded, given the team participates in the play-offs.

team	PO	nr2	via UNL	seeded	unseeded	%seeded
Wales	100,00	57,01	42,99	49,17	50,83	49,17
Poland	100,00	100,00	0,00	92,57	7,43	92,57
Austria	100,00	0,00	100,00	0,00	100,00	0,00
Czech Republic	100,00	42,99	57,01	13,55	86,45	13,55
Scotland	100,00	100,00	0,00	40,36	59,64	40,36
Sweden	91,21	91,21	0,00	80,88	10,33	88,67
Serbia	90,16	90,16	0,00	90,16	0,00	100,00
Turkey	82,84	82,84	0,00	18,58	64,26	22,43
Finland	68,76	68,76	0,00	0,07	68,69	0,10
North Macedonia	64,30	64,30	0,00	0,00	64,30	0,00
Russia	61,15	61,15	0,00	60,79	0,36	99,41
Switzerland	51,94	51,94	0,00	51,92	0,02	99,96
Italy	48,06	48,06	0,00	47,97	0,09	99,81
Croatia	38,85	38,85	0,00	31,24	7,61	80,41
Romania	35,70	35,70	0,00	0,00	35,70	0,00
Ukraine	31,24	31,24	0,00	0,00	31,24	0,00
Norway	11,00	11,00	0,00	2,15	8,85	19,55
Portugal	9,84	9,84	0,00	9,84	0,00	100,00
Spain	8,79	8,79	0,00	8,77	0,02	99,77
Netherlands	6,16	6,16	0,00	1,98	4,18	32,14

The probability to win a play-off semi-final. In square brackets the chance to win, given qualification for the play-offs. Also in the last column the difference in percentage-points is given, compared to the previous simulations in October (after MD8).

Poland	77,17		[77,17]		4,50
Serbia	73,97		[82,04]		3,63
Sweden	69,52		[76,22]		24,35
Wales	53,80		[53,80]		6,59
Russia	47,50		[77,68]		9,96
Switzerland	46,50		[89,53]		-20,55
Italy	45,20		[94,05]		23,41
Czech Republic	34,24		[34,24]		-1,38
Scotland	32,92		[32,92]		1,77
Croatia	27,83		[71,63]		-0,77
Turkey	21,82		[26,34]		4,67
Austria	16,43		[16,43]		2,10
Finland	11,12		[16,17]		7,68
Portugal	8,94		[90,85]		-1,86
Spain	8,03		[91,35]		-32,05
Ukraine	7,55		[24,17]		-2,26
North Macedonia	6,58		[10,23]		5,68
Romania	4,32		[12,10]		-5,67
Norway	3,31		[30,09]		-14,65
Netherlands	3,25		[52,76]		-4,71
Bosnia-Herzegovina	0,00		[0,00]		-5,21
Greece	0,00		[0,00]		-3,38
Israel	0,00		[0,00]		-0,51
England	0,00		[0,00]		-0,44
Armenia	0,00		[0,00]		-0,38
Albania	0,00		[0,00]		-0,23
Belgium	0,00		[0,00]		-0,18
France	0,00		[0,00]		-0,09
Iceland	0,00		[0,00]		-0,02

The probability to win a play-off final. In square brackets the chance to win, given qualification for a final. Also in the last column the difference in percentage-points is given, compared to the previous simulations in October (after MD8).

Italy	37,10		[82,08]		20,03
Poland	35,33		[45,78]		4,26
Sweden	34,41		[49,50]		9,79
Serbia	33,24		[44,94]		2,52
Switzerland	32,57		[70,04]		-8,59
Wales	27,53		[51,17]		3,22
Russia	19,34		[40,72]		4,13
Czech Republic	16,97		[49,56]		-0,90
Croatia	13,27		[47,68]		-0,46
Scotland	10,28		[31,23]		0,55
Turkey	7,54		[34,56]		1,33
Austria	6,55		[39,87]		1,60
Portugal	6,00		[67,11]		-1,64
Spain	5,81		[72,35]		-24,91
Finland	4,57		[41,10]		3,24
Ukraine	3,89		[51,52]		-1,00
Netherlands	1,65		[50,77]		-2,95
North Macedonia	1,56		[23,71]		1,42
Norway	1,28		[38,67]		-5,90
Romania	1,11		[25,69]		-1,95
Bosnia-Herzegovina	0,00		[0,00]		-1,84
Greece	0,00		[0,00]		-1,14
England	0,00		[0,00]		-0,29
Israel	0,00		[0,00]		-0,15
Belgium	0,00		[0,00]		-0,15
Armenia	0,00		[0,00]		-0,10
France	0,00		[0,00]		-0,07
Albania	0,00		[0,00]		-0,04
Iceland	0,00		[0,00]		-0,01

Finally the probability to qualify for the World Cup 2022 in Qatar ('Qtot'), composed of the probabilities to become a group winner ('nr1') and to win a play-off ('PO'). Also in the last column the difference in Qtot in percentage-points is given, compared to the previous simulations in October (after MD8).

team	nr1	PO	Qtot		diff
Denmark	100,00	0,00	100,00		0,00
Germany	100,00	0,00	100,00		0,00
Belgium	100,00	0,00	100,00		0,03
France	100,00	0,00	100,00		0,06
England	100,00	0,00	100,00		0,23
Spain	91,21	5,81	97,02		12,20
Portugal	90,16	6,00	96,16		0,42
Netherlands	89,52	1,65	91,17		-0,63
Italy	51,94	37,10	89,04		-4,70
Switzerland	48,06	32,57	80,63		16,14
Croatia	61,15	13,27	74,42		7,76
Russia	38,85	19,34	58,19		-4,09
Sweden	8,79	34,41	43,20		-27,32
Serbia	9,84	33,24	43,08		0,46
Poland	0,00	35,33	35,33		3,74
Wales	0,00	27,53	27,53		3,04
Czech Republic	0,00	16,97	16,97		-0,90
Turkey	4,16	7,54	11,70		4,93
Scotland	0,00	10,28	10,28		0,55
Norway	6,32	1,28	7,60		-11,82
Austria	0,00	6,55	6,55		1,60
Finland	0,00	4,57	4,57		3,16
Ukraine	0,00	3,89	3,89		-1,01
North Macedonia	0,00	1,56	1,56		1,42
Romania	0,00	1,11	1,11		-1,95
Bosnia-Herzegovina	0,00	0,00	0,00		-1,88
Greece	0,00	0,00	0,00		-1,14
Israel	0,00	0,00	0,00		-0,15
Armenia	0,00	0,00	0,00		-0,10
Albania	0,00	0,00	0,00		-0,04
Iceland	0,00	0,00	0,00		-0,01

CAF

First the qualification groups. The teams are ordered by average position in the group.

group A	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Algeria	91,45	8,55	0,00	0,00
Burkina Faso	8,55	91,45	0,00	0,00
Niger	0,00	0,00	100,00	0,00
Djibouti	0,00	0,00	0,00	100,00
group B	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Tunisia	89,31	10,43	0,26	0,00
Equatorial Guinea	10,49	85,68	3,83	0,00
Zambia	0,20	3,89	95,91	0,00
Mauritania	0,00	0,00	0,00	100,00
group C	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Nigeria	90,45	9,55	0,00	0,00
Cape Verde Islands	9,55	90,45	0,00	0,00
Central African Republic	0,00	0,00	59,85	40,15
Liberia	0,00	0,00	40,15	59,85
group D	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Cote d'Ivoire	57,02	42,98	0,00	0,00
Cameroon	42,98	57,02	0,00	0,00
Malawi	0,00	0,00	64,03	35,97
Mozambique	0,00	0,00	35,97	64,03
group E	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Mali	100,00	0,00	0,00	0,00
Uganda	0,00	100,00	0,00	0,00
Kenya	0,00	0,00	84,39	15,61
Rwanda	0,00	0,00	15,61	84,39
group F	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Egypt	100,00	0,00	0,00	0,00
Gabon	0,00	35,05	64,95	0,00
Libya	0,00	49,02	26,54	24,44
Angola	0,00	15,93	8,51	75,56
group G	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Ghana	55,44	44,56	0,00	0,00
South Africa	44,56	55,44	0,00	0,00
Ethiopia	0,00	0,00	74,15	25,85
Zimbabwe	0,00	0,00	25,85	74,15
group H	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Senegal	100,00	0,00	0,00	0,00
Togo	0,00	52,43	46,69	0,88
Namibia	0,00	47,06	51,46	1,48
Congo	0,00	0,51	1,85	97,64
group I	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Morocco	100,00	0,00	0,00	0,00
Guinea-Bissau	0,00	65,68	28,23	6,09
Guinea	0,00	7,41	65,85	26,74
Sudan	0,00	26,91	5,92	67,17
group J	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Congo DR	55,98	34,57	9,45	0,00
Benin	44,02	53,77	2,21	0,00
Tanzania	0,00	11,66	88,34	0,00
Madagascar	0,00	0,00	0,00	100,00

Then the qualification for the play-off round. The top 5 play-off participants are seeded (based on the November 2021 ranking), the other 5 are unseeded. Below you see the probabilities to qualify as seeded or unseeded, the probability to be seeded given that a team is a group winner and the total probability to qualify for the play-offs. Teams are ordered by this column. Also in the last column the difference in total qualification probability in percentage-points is given, compared to the previous simulations in October (after MD4).

team	seeded	unseeded	%seeded	total	diff Total
Senegal	100,00	0,00	100,00	100,00	0,00
Morocco	100,00	0,00	100,00	100,00	0,00
Egypt	21,08	78,92	21,08	100,00	1,59
Mali	0,09	99,91	0,09	100,00	15,28
Algeria	91,45	0,00	100,00	91,45	1,16
Nigeria	90,45	0,00	100,00	90,45	2,19
Tunisia	89,31	0,00	100,00	89,31	-8,06
Cote d'Ivoire	3,80	53,22	6,66	57,02	-12,50
Congo DR	0,00	55,98	0,00	55,98	31,26
Ghana	0,10	55,34	0,18	55,44	8,95
South Africa	0,00	44,56	0,00	44,56	-8,95
Benin	0,00	44,02	0,00	44,02	0,94
Cameroon	3,72	39,26	8,66	42,98	12,50
Equatorial Guinea	0,00	10,49	0,00	10,49	7,87
Cape Verde Islands	0,00	9,55	0,00	9,55	-2,17
Burkina Faso	0,00	8,55	0,00	8,55	-1,16
Zambia	0,00	0,20	0,00	0,20	0,19
Tanzania	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	-31,55
Uganda	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	-15,28
Gabon	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	-0,88
Libya	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	-0,71
Madagascar	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	-0,65
Central African Republic	0,00	0,00	0,00	0,00	-0,02

I've simulated the play-off round by determining the 5 seeds and 5 unseeds in each simulation and perform a random draw to generate the 5 play-off pairings. Also which team in each pairing plays home in the first leg is result of a random draw.

The probabilities to qualify for the World Cup (in square brackets the probability, given qualification for round 3) and in the final column the difference in qualification probability in percentage-points is given, compared to the previous simulations in October (after MD4):

team	qualify				diff Q
Morocco	66,23		[66,23]		-0,74
Algeria	66,18		[72,37]		0,61
Senegal	64,40		[64,40]		-3,10
Nigeria	53,79		[59,47]		1,12
Tunisia	51,61		[57,79]		-9,12
Egypt	43,00		[43,00]		0,52
Mali	38,52		[38,52]		7,72
Cote d'Ivoire	27,50		[48,23]		-5,29
Ghana	21,47		[38,73]		2,62
Cameroon	18,46		[42,95]		6,40
South Africa	15,63		[35,08]		-2,34
Congo DR	14,66		[26,19]		8,62
Benin	10,18		[23,13]		0,77
Burkina Faso	3,41		[39,88]		-0,21
Cape Verde Islands	2,46		[25,76]		-0,30
Equatorial Guinea	2,46		[23,45]		1,86
Zambia	0,04		[20,00]		0,04
Tanzania	0,00		[0,00]		-4,78
Uganda	0,00		[0,00]		-3,93
Gabon	0,00		[0,00]		-0,23
Madagascar	0,00		[0,00]		-0,12
Libya	0,00		[0,00]		-0,11
Central African Republic	0,00		[0,00]		-0,01

CONMEBOL

The probabilities to qualify for the World Cup 2022 in Qatar as number one to four in the group or to qualify for the interconfederational play-off in June 2022 as group number 5. Also columns are given with the difference in qualification probability in percentage-points,  compared to the previous simulations in October (after MD12):

team	WC	diff		IPO	diff
Brazil	100,00	0,00		0,00	0,00
Argentina	100,00	0,11		0,00	-0,11
Colombia	61,11	-5,73		23,07	1,43
Ecuador	56,56	15,72		22,93	-6,82
Uruguay	49,63	-20,95		23,67	6,94
Chile	22,30	11,85		18,69	4,15
Peru	9,63	1,99		10,21	-0,07
Paraguay	0,41	-2,21		0,73	-4,11
Bolivia	0,36	-0,70		0,67	-1,23
Venezuela	0,00	-0,08		0,03	-0,18

CONCACAF

The probabilities to qualify for the World Cup as number one to three in the group or to qualify for the interconfederational play-off in June 2022 as group number 4. Also columns are given with the difference in qualification probability in percentage-points, compared to the previous simulations in October (after MD6):

team	WC	diff		IPO	diff
Mexico	96,39	-2,62		3,20	2,36
USA	96,04	4,60		3,54	-3,07
Canada	80,77	1,07		14,95	1,62
Panama	21,35	6,22		51,52	16,03
Jamaica	2,69	-2,46		11,91	-4,25
Costa Rica	2,56	-5,35		12,66	-6,19
El Salvador	0,13	-1,04		1,62	-3,47
Honduras	0,07	-0,42		0,60	-3,03

AFC

The group results with teams ordered by average group position:

group A	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th
Iran	83,03	16,93	0,04	0,00	0,00	0,00
Korea Republic	16,95	79,82	2,91	0,25	0,07	0,00
Iraq	0,01	1,52	39,00	31,71	19,07	8,69
Lebanon	0,01	1,35	37,69	31,36	20,38	9,21
United Arab Emirates	0,00	0,30	13,40	22,99	34,93	28,38
Syria	0,00	0,08	6,96	13,69	25,55	53,72
group B	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th
Saudi Arabia	45,61	29,66	20,65	4,01	0,07	0,00
Australia	34,15	33,80	26,89	4,95	0,21	0,00
Japan	18,96	32,78	39,32	8,48	0,45	0,01
Oman	1,26	3,60	12,08	68,07	14,34	0,65
China PR	0,02	0,16	1,02	13,66	70,47	14,67
Vietnam	0,00	0,00	0,04	0,83	14,46	84,67

To qualify for the 5th place play-off and to win it. In square brackets to win it when qualified for this play-off. Also columns are given with the difference in probability in percentage-points, compared to the previous simulations in October (after MD4):

team	qualify	diff Q		win		diff win
Japan	39,32	-1,53		24,54	[62,41]	0,77
Iraq	39,00	-3,81		23,89	[61,26]	-3,88
Lebanon	37,69	3,25		10,74	[28,50]	-0,19
Australia	26,89	11,41		16,15	[60,06]	7,39
Saudi Arabia	20,65	-3,31		8,71	[42,18]	-0,86
United Arab Emirates	13,40	2,93		6,01	[44,85]	0,90
Oman	12,08	-4,92		4,58	[37,91]	-0,88
Syria	6,96	1,72		2,69	[38,65]	0,35
Korea Republic	2,91	-3,49		2,22	[76,29]	-2,76
China PR	1,02	-1,45		0,44	[43,14]	-0,28
Iran	0,04	-0,60		0,03	[75,00]	-0,49
Vietnam	0,04	-0,20		0,00	[00,00]	-0,07

To qualify for the World Cup as number one or two in the group. In the final column the difference in qualification probability in percentage-points is given, compared to the previous simulations in October (after MD4):

team	WC	diff
Iran	99,96	0,69
Korea Republic	96,77	4,79
Saudi Arabia	75,27	6,41
Australia	67,95	-12,39
Japan	51,74	9,89
Oman	4,86	-3,63
Iraq	1,53	-2,66
Lebanon	1,36	-2,08
United Arab Emirates	0,30	-0,61
China PR	0,18	-0,27
Syria	0,08	-0,13
Vietnam	0,00	-0,01

Pots for the final draw

These pots are based on the FIFA ranking after the March 2022 window when 30 participants are known. Pot 1 contains Qatar and the 7 top ranked participants, pot 2 contains the next 8 highest ranked participants, etc. The teams are ordered by ascending weighted average pot distribution. In the first column the probability to qualify for the World Cup (without IPO's of course) is given:

team	WC	pot1	pot2	pot3	pot4
Qatar	100,00	100,00	0	0	0
Brazil	100,00	100,00	0	0	0
Belgium	100,00	100,00	0	0	0
France	100,00	100,00	0	0	0
England	100,00	100,00	0	0	0
Argentina	100,00	99,62	0,38	0	0
Spain	97,02	92,02	5,00	0	0
Italy	89,04	89,04	0	0	0
----------------------------
Portugal	96,16	9,04	87,12	0	0
Denmark	100,00	1,42	98,58	0	0
Germany	100,00	0,0	99,12	0,88	0
Mexico	96,39	6,59	86,70	3,10	0
USA	96,04	2,26	88,02	5,76	0
Netherlands	91,17	0,0	91,10	0,07	0
Switzerland	80,63	0,0	80,49	0,14	0
Iran	99,96	0,0	1,17	98,09	0,70
----------------------------
Croatia	74,42	0	42,25	32,17	0
Korea Republic	96,77	0	0,01	49,02	47,74
Colombia	61,11	0,01	44,97	16,13	0
Senegal	64,40	0	11,19	52,25	0,96
Uruguay	49,63	0	39,01	10,62	0
Algeria	66,18	0	4,33	54,98	6,87
Morocco	66,23	0	3,23	55,01	7,99
Canada	80,77	0	0	7,66	73,11
----------------------------
Australia	67,95	0	0	36,05	31,90
Saudi Arabia	75,27	0	0	1,00	74,27
Russia	58,19	0	0	39,57	18,62
Japan	51,74	0	0,06	48,77	2,91
Sweden	43,20	0	11,30	31,90	0
Tunisia	51,61	0	0,38	32,71	18,52
Nigeria	53,79	0	0,09	26,75	26,95
Serbia	43,08	0	0	42,60	0,48
Ecuador	56,56	0	0	1,41	55,15
Poland	35,33	0	0,47	34,86	0
Egypt	43,00	0	0,02	9,33	33,65
Mali	38,52	0	0	3,47	35,05
Wales	27,53	0	3,44	24,09	0
Chile	22,30	0	1,20	21,10	0
Cote d'Ivoire	27,50	0	0	6,99	20,51
Czech Republic	16,97	0	0,01	16,26	0,70
Ghana	21,47	0	0	2,48	18,99
Panama	21,35	0	0	0	21,35
Cameroon	18,46	0	0	7,38	11,08
South Africa	15,63	0	0	0	15,63
Congo DR	14,66	0	0	0	14,66
Peru	9,63	0	0,35	9,28	0
Turkey	11,70	0	0	2,57	9,13
Scotland	10,28	0	0	2,67	7,61
Benin	10,18	0	0	0	10,18
Austria	6,55	0	0	6,29	0,26
Norway	7,60	0	0	1,49	6,11
Ukraine	3,89	0	0,01	3,87	0,01
Oman	4,86	0	0	0	4,86
Finland	4,57	0	0	0,05	4,52
Burkina Faso	3,41	0	0	0,25	3,16
Jamaica	2,69	0	0	0,15	2,54
Costa Rica	2,56	0	0	0,37	2,19
Cape Verde Islands	2,46	0	0	0,02	2,44
Equatorial Guinea	2,46	0	0	0	2,46
North Macedonia	1,56	0	0	0	1,56
Iraq	1,53	0	0	0	1,53
Lebanon	1,36	0	0	0	1,36
Romania	1,11	0	0	0,16	0,95
Paraguay	0,41	0	0	0,23	0,18
Bolivia	0,36	0	0	0	0,36
United Arab Emirates	0,30	0	0	0	0,30
China PR	0,18	0	0	0	0,18
El Salvador	0,13	0	0	0	0,13
Syria	0,08	0	0	0	0,08
Honduras	0,07	0	0	0	0,07
Zambia	0,04	0	0	0	0,04

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About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.