FIFA will publish the December ranking next Thursday December 23rd. This final preview contains 59 matches, out of 59 matches played since November 17th.
Only today's final matches in group B of the South East Asian Championship 2021 (Malaysia-Indonesia and Vietnam-Cambodia) are to be played and included:
MAS |
IDN |
|||||
pts |
pos |
pts |
pos |
|||
Malaysia win |
1039,53 |
153 |
987,31 |
165 |
||
Malaysia draw |
1037,03 |
153 |
989,81 |
165 |
||
Malaysia loss |
1034,53 |
154 |
992,31 |
164 |
||
VIE |
CAM |
|||||
pts |
pos |
pts |
pos |
|||
Vietnam win |
1212,54 |
98 |
966,61 |
171 |
||
Vietnam draw |
1210,04 |
98 |
969,11 |
170 |
||
Vietnam loss |
1207,54 |
100 |
971,61 |
170 |
Elo predicts a Malaysia draw and a Vietnam win.
NT football year 2021 is concluded with this December ranking. A small recap of the year.
Belgium still clings on to top spot but is likely to lose it to Brazil once the January 2022 qualifiers in South America are finished.
Best movers in positions in 2021:
Canada +32 to 40
Equatorial Guinea +20 to 114
Saudi Arabia +16 to 51
Worst movers in positions in 2021:
Venezuela -31 to 59
Chinese Taipei -20 to 158
Iceland -16 to 62
Faroe Islands -16 to 123
Central African Republic -16 to 130
Best movers in points in 2021:
Canada +130 to 1462
Italy +116 to 1741
Argentina +109 to 1751
Worst movers in points in 2021:
Venezuela -92 to 1409
Chinese Taipei -60 to 1018
Iceland -53 to 1385
For the December ranking:
No team ends the year on a personal high or low note.
Best movers:
3 - Algeria, Qatar, Thailand
Worst movers:
-4 - Myanmar
-3 - Saudi Arabia
-2 - Philippines, Tanzania, Laos, Timor-Leste
Best movers in the top 50:
3 - Algeria, Qatar
1 - USA
Worst movers in the top 50:
-1 - Germany, Tunisia, Austria, Czech Republic
Stay safe and healthy everybody !
pos Dec |
team |
pts Dec |
+/- pos |
+/- pts |
1 |
Belgium |
1828,45 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Brazil |
1826,35 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
France |
1786,15 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
England |
1755,52 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Argentina |
1750,51 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
Italy |
1740,77 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Spain |
1704,75 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Portugal |
1660,25 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
Denmark |
1654,54 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
Netherlands |
1653,73 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
USA |
1648,51 |
1 |
1,37 |
12 |
Germany |
1648,33 |
-1 |
0 |
13 |
Switzerland |
1642,83 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
Mexico |
1638,30 |
0 |
-0,46 |
15 |
Croatia |
1620,74 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
Colombia |
1607,15 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
Uruguay |
1596,66 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
Sweden |
1588,26 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
Wales |
1578,01 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
Senegal |
1561,68 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
Iran |
1557,58 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
Peru |
1551,15 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
Serbia |
1547,38 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
Chile |
1543,42 |
0 |
2,09 |
25 |
Ukraine |
1535,08 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
Japan |
1531,53 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
Poland |
1530,62 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
Morocco |
1529,93 |
0 |
4,43 |
29 |
Algeria |
1516,51 |
3 |
7,97 |
30 |
Tunisia |
1512,72 |
-1 |
0,59 |
31 |
Austria |
1511,56 |
-1 |
0 |
32 |
Czech Republic |
1510,42 |
-1 |
0 |
33 |
Korea Republic |
1507,24 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
Russia |
1493,42 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
Australia |
1484,88 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
Nigeria |
1478,78 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
Turkey |
1472,72 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
Scotland |
1471,82 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
Hungary |
1465,62 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
Canada |
1462,32 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
Norway |
1455,43 |
0 |
0 |
42 |
Slovakia |
1455,36 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
Paraguay |
1454,52 |
0 |
0 |
44 |
Romania |
1453,18 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
Egypt |
1451,77 |
0 |
2,26 |
46 |
Ecuador |
1448,27 |
0 |
-0,47 |
47 |
Republic of Ireland |
1444,29 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
Qatar |
1437,91 |
3 |
6,90 |
49 |
Costa Rica |
1437,43 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
Cameroon |
1437,35 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
Saudi Arabia |
1434,71 |
-3 |
-6,46 |
52 |
Ghana |
1428,97 |
0 |
0 |
53 |
Mali |
1427,98 |
0 |
0 |
54 |
Northern Ireland |
1424,97 |
0 |
0 |
55 |
Greece |
1421,99 |
0 |
0 |
56 |
Cote d'Ivoire |
1417,86 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
Jamaica |
1412,13 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
Finland |
1411,77 |
0 |
0 |
59 |
Venezuela |
1409,14 |
0 |
0 |
60 |
Burkina Faso |
1397,64 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
Bosnia-Herzegovina |
1391,19 |
0 |
-1,37 |
62 |
Iceland |
1385,21 |
0 |
0 |
63 |
Panama |
1379,34 |
0 |
0 |
64 |
Congo DR |
1375,64 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
Slovenia |
1375,42 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
Albania |
1374,98 |
0 |
0 |
67 |
North Macedonia |
1367,23 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
South Africa |
1358,24 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
United Arab Emirates |
1350,39 |
1 |
-0,02 |
70 |
El Salvador |
1349,47 |
-1 |
-1,16 |
71 |
Bulgaria |
1345,47 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
Montenegro |
1342,89 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
Cape Verde Islands |
1339,48 |
0 |
0 |
74 |
China PR |
1337,33 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
Iraq |
1333,03 |
0 |
-2,55 |
76 |
Honduras |
1332,16 |
0 |
0 |
77 |
Bolivia |
1324,21 |
0 |
0 |
78 |
Israel |
1306,70 |
1 |
0 |
79 |
Oman |
1306,01 |
-1 |
-1,08 |
80 |
Curacao |
1298,39 |
0 |
0 |
81 |
Guinea |
1298,32 |
0 |
0 |
82 |
Uganda |
1287,01 |
0 |
1,73 |
83 |
Benin |
1282,53 |
0 |
0 |
84 |
Uzbekistan |
1274,58 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
Georgia |
1269,24 |
1 |
0 |
86 |
Syria |
1268,54 |
-1 |
-1,42 |
87 |
Haiti |
1268,05 |
0 |
0 |
88 |
Zambia |
1264,64 |
0 |
0 |
89 |
Gabon |
1262,00 |
0 |
0 |
90 |
Jordan |
1255,69 |
1 |
2,74 |
91 |
Bahrain |
1252,19 |
-1 |
-3,56 |
92 |
Armenia |
1242,24 |
0 |
0 |
93 |
Luxembourg |
1236,45 |
0 |
0 |
94 |
Belarus |
1233,43 |
1 |
0 |
95 |
Lebanon |
1233,00 |
-1 |
-0,76 |
96 |
Kyrgyzstan |
1228,69 |
0 |
0 |
97 |
Congo |
1221,40 |
0 |
0 |
98 |
Vietnam |
1212,54 |
1 |
3,32 |
99 |
Palestine |
1208,90 |
-1 |
-2,42 |
100 |
Trinidad and Tobago |
1207,94 |
0 |
0 |
101 |
Madagascar |
1205,61 |
0 |
0 |
102 |
Kenya |
1202,26 |
0 |
0 |
103 |
Mauritania |
1190,26 |
0 |
0,03 |
104 |
India |
1182,75 |
0 |
0 |
105 |
Cyprus |
1178,65 |
0 |
0 |
106 |
Guinea-Bissau |
1177,14 |
0 |
0 |
107 |
Estonia |
1176,50 |
0 |
0 |
108 |
Sierra Leone |
1174,12 |
0 |
0 |
109 |
Korea DPR |
1169,96 |
0 |
0 |
110 |
New Zealand |
1165,81 |
0 |
0 |
111 |
Kosovo |
1163,05 |
0 |
0 |
112 |
Namibia |
1162,93 |
0 |
0 |
113 |
Niger |
1158,39 |
0 |
0 |
114 |
Equatorial Guinea |
1156,78 |
0 |
0 |
115 |
Thailand |
1156,16 |
3 |
7,53 |
116 |
Tajikistan |
1152,56 |
-1 |
0 |
117 |
Libya |
1151,06 |
-1 |
0 |
118 |
Mozambique |
1151,01 |
-1 |
0 |
119 |
Kazakhstan |
1140,71 |
0 |
0 |
120 |
Azerbaijan |
1139,02 |
0 |
0 |
121 |
Zimbabwe |
1138,44 |
0 |
0 |
122 |
Guatemala |
1138,40 |
0 |
0 |
123 |
Faroe Islands |
1136,99 |
0 |
0 |
124 |
Togo |
1133,24 |
1 |
0 |
125 |
Sudan |
1131,74 |
-1 |
-4,15 |
126 |
Angola |
1131,72 |
1 |
0 |
127 |
Antigua and Barbuda |
1131,08 |
1 |
0 |
128 |
Philippines |
1129,91 |
-2 |
-2,02 |
129 |
Malawi |
1127,21 |
0 |
0 |
130 |
Central African Republic |
1127,20 |
0 |
0 |
131 |
Comoros |
1117,65 |
1 |
0 |
132 |
Turkmenistan |
1117,60 |
1 |
0 |
133 |
Tanzania |
1117,03 |
-2 |
-1,73 |
134 |
Latvia |
1100,03 |
0 |
0 |
135 |
Rwanda |
1095,34 |
0 |
0 |
136 |
Lithuania |
1091,77 |
0 |
0 |
137 |
Ethiopia |
1087,89 |
0 |
0 |
138 |
St. Kitts and Nevis |
1077,76 |
0 |
0 |
139 |
Suriname |
1077,57 |
0 |
0 |
140 |
Burundi |
1075,82 |
0 |
0 |
141 |
Solomon Islands |
1072,78 |
0 |
0 |
142 |
Kuwait |
1064,02 |
0 |
0 |
143 |
Nicaragua |
1062,21 |
0 |
0 |
144 |
Liberia |
1058,28 |
0 |
0 |
145 |
Lesotho |
1057,62 |
0 |
0 |
146 |
Eswatini |
1054,14 |
0 |
0 |
147 |
Hong Kong |
1053,39 |
0 |
0 |
148 |
Botswana |
1051,59 |
1 |
0 |
149 |
Afghanistan |
1049,77 |
1 |
0 |
150 |
Gambia |
1049,74 |
1 |
0 |
151 |
Yemen |
1046,26 |
1 |
0 |
152 |
Myanmar |
1044,56 |
-4 |
-8,01 |
153 |
Malaysia |
1037,03 |
1 |
2,16 |
154 |
New Caledonia |
1035,12 |
-1 |
0 |
155 |
Andorra |
1030,28 |
0 |
0 |
156 |
Dominican Republic |
1029,42 |
0 |
0 |
157 |
Maldives |
1021,58 |
0 |
0 |
158 |
Chinese Taipei |
1017,78 |
0 |
0 |
159 |
Tahiti |
1014,27 |
0 |
0 |
160 |
Singapore |
1003,39 |
0 |
5,97 |
161 |
Fiji |
996,27 |
0 |
0 |
162 |
Barbados |
995,94 |
0 |
0 |
163 |
Vanuatu |
995,62 |
0 |
0 |
164 |
Papua New Guinea |
990,55 |
0 |
0 |
165 |
Indonesia |
989,81 |
1 |
8,63 |
166 |
Bermuda |
982,43 |
-1 |
0 |
167 |
South Sudan |
980,25 |
0 |
0 |
168 |
Grenada |
974,03 |
0 |
0 |
169 |
Nepal |
972,45 |
0 |
0 |
170 |
Belize |
967,42 |
1 |
0 |
171 |
Cambodia |
966,61 |
-1 |
-3,81 |
172 |
Mauritius |
964,94 |
0 |
0 |
173 |
Puerto Rico |
962,77 |
0 |
0 |
174 |
St. Vincent and the Grenadines |
960,71 |
0 |
0 |
175 |
Malta |
958,95 |
0 |
0 |
176 |
Guyana |
958,87 |
0 |
0 |
177 |
St. Lucia |
953,45 |
0 |
0 |
178 |
Montserrat |
950,71 |
0 |
0 |
179 |
Cuba |
948,96 |
0 |
0 |
180 |
Chad |
935,00 |
0 |
0 |
181 |
Moldova |
928,35 |
0 |
0 |
182 |
Macau |
922,10 |
0 |
0 |
183 |
Dominica |
916,72 |
0 |
0 |
184 |
Mongolia |
916,68 |
0 |
0 |
185 |
Bhutan |
910,96 |
1 |
0 |
186 |
Bangladesh |
907,83 |
1 |
0 |
187 |
Laos |
904,60 |
-2 |
-7,47 |
188 |
Brunei Darussalam |
903,90 |
0 |
0 |
189 |
Sao Tomé e PrÃncipe |
903,31 |
0 |
0 |
190 |
American Samoa |
900,27 |
0 |
0 |
191 |
Liechtenstein |
899,52 |
0 |
0 |
192 |
Djibouti |
896,62 |
0 |
0 |
193 |
Samoa |
894,26 |
0 |
0 |
194 |
Somalia |
873,71 |
1 |
0 |
195 |
Cayman Islands |
873,64 |
1 |
0 |
196 |
Timor-Leste |
873,13 |
-2 |
-6,30 |
197 |
Seychelles |
870,63 |
0 |
1,12 |
198 |
Pakistan |
866,81 |
0 |
0 |
199 |
Tonga |
861,81 |
0 |
0 |
200 |
Aruba |
859,97 |
0 |
0 |
201 |
Bahamas |
858,50 |
0 |
0 |
202 |
Eritrea |
855,56 |
0 |
0 |
203 |
Gibraltar |
853,60 |
0 |
0 |
204 |
Sri Lanka |
842,93 |
0 |
0,13 |
205 |
Turks and Caicos Islands |
839,84 |
0 |
0 |
206 |
Guam |
838,33 |
0 |
0 |
207 |
US Virgin Islands |
816,13 |
0 |
0 |
208 |
British Virgin Islands |
812,94 |
0 |
0 |
209 |
Anguilla |
792,34 |
0 |
0 |
210 |
San Marino |
780,33 |
0 |
0 |
About me:
Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.
Hello. How matches against the Cook Islands will be calculated, as if they had 0 points (because they are unranked), or not?
ReplyDeleteThe Cook Islands are indeed unranked now but they will start their first match since September 2015 in the OFC qualification in March 2022 with 908 points.
ReplyDeleteIt's the tally they had when they were taken out of the ranking in September 2019 after 4 years of not playing a match.
Hi Ed, so ranking points from the double legged semis in Suzuki Cup - played from Wednesday to Sunday coming week - will be added to the January ranking?
ReplyDeleteBtw, whats the next cutoff date of world ranking? - at the end of January, I guess.
Yes, the semis and finals will be included in the next ranking.
ReplyDeleteFIFA has not yet published the ranking schedule for next year. I expect no ranking in January because that whole month a continental final is played. So I guess the next ranking is published only after the AFCON 2022 is completed with the final on Sunday February 6th: Thursday February 10th at the earliest.
I just read on FIFA.com the following three publishing dates for the men's ranking in 2022:
ReplyDeleteFebruary 2022 on Thursday 10 Feb 2022
April 2022 on Thursday 31 Mar 2022
June 2022 on Thursday 23 Jun 2022
The first one confirms my expectations :)
The second one indicates that, as expected, a new ranking is compiled one day before the World Cup Final draw on April 1st, probably including all matches in the March window, so up until and including March 30th.
thanks Ed, do you have a link from FIFA.com to those dates? I can't seem to find the link you read that on
Deleteyes of course, here you can find the dates for the first half of 2022.
Deletethanks, I see it at the very bottom. I should've looked more closely before I bothered you, I was checking their media releases mostly DOH
DeleteThx Ed, - do you know why FIFA have excluded test match Tanzania-Uganda 9 Dec 2021 from the ranks?
ReplyDeleteIndeed, the match Tanzania - Uganda was excluded by FIFA and included by me.
ReplyDeleteI see Uganda used 7 substitutes in that friendly. That's probably the reason to exclude this match from the ranking calculation.
Thx again, Ed.... - next question(s). :-)
ReplyDeleteAccording to the international match calendar only Africa Cup of Nations is listed in January except WC qualifiers from Monday 24 Jan.
Is the match weight in African friendlies in January 10?
Is the match weight in African friendlies today and tomorrow 5?
What is the match weight in Gambia-Syria Wednesday 5 Jan?
FIFA introduced an (extra) match window from January 24th to February 1st for all confederations except UEFA. CONCACAF may extend that period with one day to February 2nd for their extra match day in the octagonal qualifiers.
ReplyDeleteThat means that only friendlies played inside this window are calculated with I=10 and all other friendlies played outside this window in December, January or February are calculated with I=5.
Currently there are 5 friendlies scheduled in this period with AFC, CAF and OFC teams involved.
Hi Ed, will the PSO-rule about ranking calculations be used in UEFA WC playoffs in March?
DeleteYou know.... - "half a win" for a PSO victory, which actually is a deduction in ranking points of one quarter of the match weight for the winning team....
(I'm still pursuing 7th spot for Denmark ahead og WC draw .... :-)
This rule is valid for each match that ends in a penalty shoot-out, so it can (and probably shall) be used in the UEFA WC play-offs in March.
DeleteBecause there will be two single leg semi-finals and a final per path, each match has to get a winner, be it in regular or after extra time or, if the teams are still level after extra time, decided in a PSO.
It's not quite right to state that it's a quarter deduction for the winner. Yeah, compared to the points after a straight win. But because the match ends in a PSO the result of the match is officially a draw, so each team gets half the points of a straight win. And the winner of the PSO receives on top of that another quarter of that amount.
Finally, because both Italy and Portugal are in the same play-off path, only a maximum of one of them can qualify, so the 8th spot in the March/April ranking is already enough to guarantee a pot 1 seeding.
Well.... - host nation Qatar has a pot 1 seeding, right?
DeleteTherefore 7th spot must be the ultimate goal.
And my apologies for lack of preciseness regarding "a quarter deduction".... - I missed out on your "compared to the points after a straight win". So, actually we agree.... :-)
Otherwise we are talking past each other here. :-)
DeleteAccording to world ranks a 7th spot is needed to achieve pot 1 seed at the draw April 3rd as Qatar currently is 49th.
You are right, if Italy (a sure top 6 ranked team in April) qualifies then the composition of pot 1 will be Qatar, Brazil, Belgium, France, England, Argentina, Italy and Spain. Then the team on ranking spot 8 will always be in pot 2, if qualified. Only if Italy does not qualify then ranking spot 8 becomes the last 'pot 1 spot'.
DeleteSo spot 8 is surely not yet a 'guarantee for pot 1'.
Thx, Ed.... - I should have added "7th spot amongst qualified nations". :-)
DeleteIts a fact that two of many conditions for 7th spot for Denmark is that both Italy and Portugal must fail to qualify for World Cup.
Portugal will with to PSO wins in UEFA PO's achieve close 10 ranking points. Denmark will with two ordinary wins in the March window against Netherlands(!) and Serbia achieve about 9 ranking points.
And thats not enough to pass Portugal, unfortunately.
Latest simulations (after the November window) showed then that only Italy, Portugal, USA and Mexico were contenders for the final pot 1 spot.
DeleteOnce the complete UEFA friendly schedule for March is set I will make new simulations and we will see if Denmark can join that group. For that indeed at least both Italy and Portugal should not qualify. In November that event had a 2,01% chance to happen.
Hm, with a second look I see that Denmark in November already had a 0,65% pot 1 chance.
DeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteHi Ed,
ReplyDeleteIs too early to simulate the 4 pots for the world cup draw?
Does a 35 ranked team have a chance to be in pot 3?
Hi Hassan, a post on the latest simulations will follow this week after the January window is completed. Current projections show that Korea Republic (currently spot 29 in the ranking) is right on the edge between pot 3 and 4.
ReplyDeleteSo there's certainly a chance for a spot 35 team to end up in pot 3, but it wouldn't be more than a few percent I guess.