Here is the probable February 2022 ranking, to be published on Thursday February 10th.
This ranking will include the semi finals and finals of the South East Asian Championship, the complete African Cup of Nations 2022 in Cameroon and the WC-qualifiers in CONCACAF, AFC and CONMEBOL in the (added) January 2022 match window. Furthermore, quite a few friendlies will be played in this month.
This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 114 currently scheduled and according to my method included matches, out of a total of 124 currently scheduled matches. See the probable results for a list of which scheduled matches are included.
pos Feb |
team |
pts Feb |
+/- pos |
+/- pts |
1 |
Brazil |
1835,92 |
1 |
9,57 |
2 |
Belgium |
1828,45 |
-1 |
0 |
3 |
France |
1786,15 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Argentina |
1767,54 |
1 |
17,03 |
5 |
England |
1755,52 |
-1 |
0 |
6 |
Italy |
1740,77 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Spain |
1704,75 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Portugal |
1660,25 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
Mexico |
1660,12 |
5 |
21,82 |
10 |
USA |
1656,08 |
1 |
7,57 |
11 |
Denmark |
1654,54 |
-2 |
0 |
12 |
Netherlands |
1653,73 |
-2 |
0 |
13 |
Germany |
1648,33 |
-1 |
0 |
14 |
Switzerland |
1642,83 |
-1 |
0 |
15 |
Croatia |
1620,74 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
Algeria |
1610,66 |
13 |
94,15 |
17 |
Colombia |
1610,40 |
-1 |
3,25 |
18 |
Senegal |
1602,00 |
2 |
40,32 |
19 |
Uruguay |
1601,81 |
-2 |
5,15 |
20 |
Sweden |
1588,26 |
-2 |
0 |
21 |
Wales |
1578,01 |
-2 |
0 |
22 |
Iran |
1572,84 |
-1 |
15,26 |
23 |
Morocco |
1568,62 |
5 |
38,69 |
24 |
Peru |
1553,61 |
-2 |
2,46 |
25 |
Japan |
1549,82 |
1 |
18,29 |
26 |
Serbia |
1547,38 |
-3 |
0 |
27 |
Ukraine |
1535,08 |
-2 |
0 |
28 |
Poland |
1530,62 |
-1 |
0 |
28 |
Chile |
1530,62 |
-4 |
-12,80 |
30 |
Tunisia |
1530,45 |
0 |
17,73 |
31 |
Korea Republic |
1522,86 |
2 |
15,62 |
32 |
Cameroon |
1513,53 |
18 |
76,18 |
33 |
Austria |
1511,56 |
-2 |
0 |
34 |
Czech Republic |
1510,42 |
-2 |
0 |
35 |
Egypt |
1499,55 |
10 |
47,78 |
36 |
Australia |
1499,36 |
-1 |
14,48 |
37 |
Russia |
1493,42 |
-3 |
0 |
38 |
Nigeria |
1493,18 |
-2 |
14,40 |
39 |
Canada |
1486,09 |
1 |
23,77 |
40 |
Turkey |
1472,72 |
-3 |
0 |
41 |
Scotland |
1471,82 |
-3 |
0 |
42 |
Hungary |
1465,62 |
-3 |
0 |
43 |
Mali |
1461,07 |
10 |
33,09 |
44 |
Norway |
1455,43 |
-3 |
0 |
45 |
Slovakia |
1455,36 |
-3 |
0 |
46 |
Romania |
1453,18 |
-2 |
0 |
47 |
Paraguay |
1453,03 |
-4 |
-1,49 |
48 |
Republic of Ireland |
1444,29 |
-1 |
0 |
49 |
Ghana |
1440,70 |
3 |
11,73 |
50 |
Costa Rica |
1439,30 |
-1 |
1,87 |
51 |
Qatar |
1437,91 |
-3 |
0 |
52 |
Saudi Arabia |
1433,95 |
-1 |
-0,76 |
53 |
Ecuador |
1433,39 |
-7 |
-14,88 |
54 |
Cote d'Ivoire |
1425,69 |
2 |
7,83 |
55 |
Northern Ireland |
1424,97 |
-1 |
0 |
56 |
Greece |
1421,99 |
-1 |
0 |
57 |
Finland |
1411,77 |
1 |
0 |
58 |
Venezuela |
1411,14 |
1 |
2 |
59 |
Bosnia-Herzegovina |
1391,19 |
2 |
0 |
60 |
Jamaica |
1390,78 |
-3 |
-21,35 |
61 |
Burkina Faso |
1389,31 |
-1 |
-8,33 |
62 |
Iceland |
1385,30 |
0 |
0,09 |
63 |
Slovenia |
1375,42 |
2 |
0 |
64 |
Albania |
1374,98 |
2 |
0 |
65 |
Congo DR |
1374,48 |
-1 |
-1,16 |
66 |
Panama |
1373,46 |
-3 |
-5,88 |
67 |
North Macedonia |
1367,23 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
South Africa |
1358,24 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
United Arab Emirates |
1353,10 |
0 |
2,71 |
70 |
Bulgaria |
1345,47 |
1 |
0 |
71 |
Montenegro |
1342,89 |
1 |
0 |
72 |
Cape Verde Islands |
1336,39 |
1 |
-3,09 |
73 |
Honduras |
1328,77 |
3 |
-3,39 |
74 |
China PR |
1326,31 |
0 |
-11,02 |
75 |
Iraq |
1323,25 |
0 |
-9,78 |
76 |
El Salvador |
1321,34 |
-6 |
-28,13 |
77 |
Bolivia |
1318,75 |
0 |
-5,46 |
78 |
Guinea |
1311,14 |
3 |
12,82 |
79 |
Israel |
1306,70 |
-1 |
0 |
80 |
Curacao |
1298,39 |
0 |
0 |
81 |
Oman |
1288,50 |
-2 |
-17,51 |
82 |
Uganda |
1284,27 |
0 |
-1,01 |
83 |
Benin |
1282,53 |
0 |
0 |
84 |
Uzbekistan |
1273,56 |
0 |
-1,02 |
85 |
Georgia |
1269,24 |
0 |
0 |
86 |
Haiti |
1268,05 |
1 |
0 |
87 |
Zambia |
1264,64 |
1 |
0 |
88 |
Jordan |
1254,84 |
2 |
-0,85 |
89 |
Bahrain |
1253,35 |
2 |
1,16 |
90 |
Gabon |
1252,70 |
-1 |
-9,30 |
91 |
Syria |
1251,22 |
-5 |
-17,32 |
92 |
Armenia |
1242,24 |
0 |
0 |
93 |
Luxembourg |
1236,45 |
0 |
0 |
94 |
Belarus |
1233,43 |
0 |
0 |
95 |
Lebanon |
1228,92 |
0 |
-4,08 |
96 |
Kyrgyzstan |
1228,69 |
0 |
0 |
97 |
Congo |
1221,40 |
0 |
0 |
98 |
Palestine |
1208,90 |
1 |
0 |
99 |
Trinidad and Tobago |
1207,94 |
1 |
0 |
100 |
Vietnam |
1206,05 |
-2 |
-6,49 |
101 |
Madagascar |
1205,61 |
0 |
0 |
102 |
Kenya |
1202,26 |
0 |
0 |
103 |
India |
1182,75 |
1 |
0 |
104 |
Cyprus |
1178,65 |
1 |
0 |
105 |
Estonia |
1176,50 |
2 |
0 |
106 |
Guinea-Bissau |
1175,21 |
0 |
-1,93 |
107 |
Korea DPR |
1169,96 |
2 |
0 |
108 |
Mauritania |
1169,60 |
-5 |
-20,66 |
109 |
New Zealand |
1167,69 |
1 |
1,88 |
110 |
Kosovo |
1163,05 |
1 |
0 |
111 |
Namibia |
1162,93 |
1 |
0 |
112 |
Thailand |
1160,14 |
3 |
3,98 |
113 |
Niger |
1158,39 |
0 |
0 |
114 |
Sierra Leone |
1156,78 |
-6 |
-17,34 |
115 |
Tajikistan |
1152,56 |
1 |
0 |
116 |
Libya |
1151,06 |
1 |
0 |
117 |
Mozambique |
1151,01 |
1 |
0 |
118 |
Equatorial Guinea |
1141,30 |
-4 |
-15,48 |
119 |
Kazakhstan |
1140,71 |
0 |
0 |
120 |
Azerbaijan |
1139,02 |
0 |
0 |
121 |
Guatemala |
1137,28 |
1 |
-1,12 |
122 |
Faroe Islands |
1136,99 |
1 |
0 |
123 |
Togo |
1133,24 |
1 |
0 |
124 |
Angola |
1131,72 |
2 |
0 |
125 |
Antigua and Barbuda |
1131,08 |
2 |
0 |
126 |
Philippines |
1129,91 |
2 |
0 |
127 |
Central African Republic |
1127,20 |
3 |
0 |
128 |
Zimbabwe |
1120,01 |
-7 |
-18,43 |
129 |
Tanzania |
1118,76 |
2 |
0 |
130 |
Turkmenistan |
1117,60 |
3 |
0 |
131 |
Malawi |
1111,84 |
-2 |
-15,37 |
132 |
Latvia |
1100,03 |
2 |
0 |
133 |
Sudan |
1099,14 |
-8 |
-32,60 |
134 |
Rwanda |
1097,18 |
1 |
1,84 |
135 |
Lithuania |
1091,77 |
1 |
0 |
136 |
Comoros |
1089,33 |
-4 |
-28,32 |
137 |
St. Kitts and Nevis |
1077,76 |
1 |
0 |
138 |
Suriname |
1077,57 |
1 |
0 |
139 |
Burundi |
1075,82 |
1 |
0 |
140 |
Solomon Islands |
1072,78 |
1 |
0 |
141 |
Ethiopia |
1065,84 |
-4 |
-22,05 |
142 |
Kuwait |
1064,02 |
0 |
0 |
143 |
Nicaragua |
1062,21 |
0 |
0 |
144 |
Liberia |
1058,28 |
0 |
0 |
145 |
Lesotho |
1057,62 |
0 |
0 |
146 |
Eswatini |
1054,14 |
0 |
0 |
147 |
Hong Kong |
1053,39 |
0 |
0 |
148 |
Botswana |
1051,59 |
0 |
0 |
149 |
Afghanistan |
1049,77 |
0 |
0 |
150 |
Yemen |
1046,26 |
1 |
0 |
151 |
Myanmar |
1044,56 |
1 |
0 |
152 |
Gambia |
1042,78 |
-2 |
-6,96 |
153 |
New Caledonia |
1035,12 |
0 |
0 |
154 |
Malaysia |
1034,53 |
0 |
0 |
155 |
Andorra |
1030,28 |
0 |
0 |
156 |
Dominican Republic |
1029,42 |
0 |
0 |
157 |
Maldives |
1021,58 |
0 |
0 |
158 |
Chinese Taipei |
1017,78 |
0 |
0 |
159 |
Tahiti |
1014,27 |
0 |
0 |
160 |
Singapore |
1000,78 |
0 |
-2,61 |
161 |
Fiji |
996,27 |
0 |
0 |
162 |
Barbados |
995,94 |
0 |
0 |
163 |
Vanuatu |
995,62 |
0 |
0 |
164 |
Indonesia |
993,96 |
0 |
1,65 |
165 |
Papua New Guinea |
990,55 |
0 |
0 |
166 |
Bermuda |
982,43 |
0 |
0 |
167 |
South Sudan |
980,25 |
0 |
0 |
168 |
Grenada |
974,03 |
0 |
0 |
169 |
Nepal |
972,31 |
0 |
-0,14 |
170 |
Belize |
967,42 |
0 |
0 |
171 |
Cambodia |
966,61 |
0 |
0 |
172 |
Mauritius |
965,08 |
0 |
0,14 |
173 |
Puerto Rico |
962,77 |
0 |
0 |
174 |
St. Vincent and the Grenadines |
960,71 |
0 |
0 |
175 |
Malta |
958,95 |
0 |
0 |
176 |
Guyana |
958,87 |
0 |
0 |
177 |
St. Lucia |
953,45 |
0 |
0 |
178 |
Montserrat |
950,71 |
0 |
0 |
179 |
Cuba |
948,96 |
0 |
0 |
180 |
Chad |
935,00 |
0 |
0 |
181 |
Moldova |
926,84 |
0 |
-1,51 |
182 |
Macau |
922,10 |
0 |
0 |
183 |
Dominica |
916,72 |
0 |
0 |
184 |
Mongolia |
916,68 |
0 |
0 |
185 |
Bhutan |
910,96 |
0 |
0 |
186 |
Bangladesh |
907,83 |
0 |
0 |
187 |
Laos |
904,60 |
0 |
0 |
188 |
Brunei Darussalam |
903,90 |
0 |
0 |
189 |
Sao Tomé e Príncipe |
903,31 |
0 |
0 |
190 |
American Samoa |
900,27 |
0 |
0 |
191 |
Liechtenstein |
899,52 |
0 |
0 |
192 |
Djibouti |
896,62 |
0 |
0 |
193 |
Samoa |
894,26 |
0 |
0 |
194 |
Somalia |
873,71 |
0 |
0 |
195 |
Cayman Islands |
873,64 |
0 |
0 |
196 |
Timor-Leste |
873,13 |
0 |
0 |
197 |
Seychelles |
870,63 |
0 |
0 |
198 |
Pakistan |
866,81 |
0 |
0 |
199 |
Tonga |
861,81 |
0 |
0 |
200 |
Aruba |
859,97 |
0 |
0 |
201 |
Bahamas |
858,50 |
0 |
0 |
202 |
Eritrea |
855,56 |
0 |
0 |
203 |
Gibraltar |
853,60 |
0 |
0 |
204 |
Sri Lanka |
842,93 |
0 |
0 |
205 |
Turks and Caicos Islands |
839,84 |
0 |
0 |
206 |
Guam |
838,33 |
0 |
0 |
207 |
US Virgin Islands |
816,13 |
0 |
0 |
208 |
British Virgin Islands |
812,94 |
0 |
0 |
209 |
Anguilla |
792,34 |
0 |
0 |
210 |
San Marino |
780,33 |
0 |
0 |
About me:
Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.
Out of nowhere, 94 (!) projected points for Algeria and they suddenly become a favorite to end up in Pot 2 in the World Cup. Wow!
ReplyDeleteAlgeria are undefeated since October 2018 with a series of 33 consecutive games (excluding their 6 games with no defeats in the Arab Cup played recently in Qatar). The African Cup of Nation will be a tough competition but if Algeria manage to conserve their title, they well deserve a place in Pot 2 in the World Cup seeding.
Deletec'est le classement actuel de l'Algérie qui n'est pas normal, championne d'Afrique en 2019, 33 matchs sans défaite, toujours 29 ème mondiale et 3 ème en Afrique après le Sénégal que l'Algérie a gagner 2 fois en 2019.
Deletec'est le changement du système de calcul et la procédure de classement de la FIFA de 2018 qui a jouer en défaveur de l'Algérie sinon a aurait été classée a la 18 éme place actuellement
Yeah, if elo predicts 6 straight and 1 pso win for Algeria in the AFCON 2022 then the African champion to be ends on these kind of won points.
ReplyDeleteThe last simulation for the WC pots however showed only a 4% chance to reach pot 2 for Algeria (with the complete AFCON included already) and I still think that's a more realistic estimate, also given some yet unscheduled friendlies for other pot 2 contenders.
Let's see what Algeria will do in Cameroon first.
Algeria will be one of the teams to watch in the next World Cup in Qatar. If ALgeria succeed in wining the AFCON 2021 in Cameroon, they will reach pot 2 for the WC seeding, Senegal missing that slightly behind. I see at least one of the two seeded in Pot2. This isn't too much for Africa by the way.
Delete39 matchs sans défaite si on rajoute les 6 matchs de la coupe arabe que l'Algérie a gagner avec son 2éme équipe
ReplyDeleteCanada will keep climbing as they are undefeated in qualifying. I guess they are not only focusing on hockey!!
ReplyDelete