FIFA ranking: April 2022 probable ranking

Here is the probable April 2022 ranking, to be published on Thursday March 31st. This ranking will include the conclusion of World Cup qualification in all confederations. Also a lot of friendlies are scheduled plus the preliminary play-offs in AFCON 2023 qualification. And the  two-legged play-outs (still for the Nations League 2021) Estonia - Cyprus and Moldova - Kazakhstan to decide which two teams will stay in league C and which two will relegate to league D for the next Nations League 2022-2023, with the group stage of that tournament already to be played in June and September this year.

The Russian war in Ukraine that the delusional and fully accountable mister Putin started, have lead to some extraordinary measures taken by FIFA:

• the Russian NT is suspended for the semi-final play-off in path B against Poland. This means that Poland receives a bye to the path B final and will play at home against the winner of Sweden/Czech Republic;
• the semi-final play-off in path A between Scotland and Ukraine is postponed to the June window and as a result also the path A final is postponed to that window. The other semi-final in this path between Wales and Austria will be played as originally scheduled on March 24th.

What the implications will be on the final draw (still scheduled for April 1st) and the seeding of this draw is unknown, as FIFA still hasn't published anything formal about the draw procedures yet. My expectation (and hope) is that it will be completely seeded based on this April ranking and that unknown WC-participants during the draw will be seeded based on highest ranked participant in each play-off still to be played in June. That seems the most fair to me.

This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 145 currently scheduled and according to my method included matches, out of a total of 159 currently scheduled matches. See the probable results for a list of which scheduled matches are included.

pos Apr	team	pts Apr	+/- pos	+/- pts
1	Brazil	1832,69	1	9,27
2	Belgium	1832,00	-1	3,55
3	France	1789,87	0	3,72
4	Argentina	1777,84	0	10,85
5	England	1761,71	0	6,19
6	Italy	1743,74	0	2,97
7	Spain	1709,16	0	4,41
8	Portugal	1676,52	0	16,27
9	Mexico	1670,73	3	22,83
10	Denmark	1658,51	-1	3,97
11	Netherlands	1653,70	-1	-0,03
12	Germany	1650,49	-1	2,16
13	Switzerland	1640,29	1	-2,54
14	USA	1633,91	-1	-9,43
15	Croatia	1626,07	0	5,33
16	Uruguay	1623,23	0	9,18
17	Colombia	1600,52	2	14,63
18	Sweden	1597,28	-1	9,02
19	Senegal	1596,07	-1	8,29
20	Wales	1588,93	0	10,92
21	Iran	1577,19	0	4,30
22	Morocco	1563,85	2	16,43
23	Peru	1562,03	-1	-1,42
24	Japan	1553,85	-1	4,03
25	Serbia	1542,62	0	-4,76
26	Chile	1538,90	0	-4,26
27	Poland	1538,50	1	7,88
28	Ukraine	1535,08	-1	0
29	Korea Republic	1532,30	0	9,45
30	Nigeria	1516,51	2	6,60
31	Canada	1516,49	2	18,67
32	Austria	1500,65	-2	-10,91
33	Czech Republic	1499,77	-2	-10,65
34	Russia	1493,42	1	0
35	Egypt	1488,76	-1	-8,29
36	Australia	1486,99	1	0,13
37	Tunisia	1482,24	-1	-7,68
38	Algeria	1474,36	5	13,43
39	Scotland	1471,82	1	0
40	Cameroon	1467,39	-2	-13,43
41	Hungary	1466,04	0	0,42
42	Costa Rica	1465,87	0	1,81
43	Turkey	1464,53	-4	-8,19
44	Norway	1463,45	1	8,02
45	Mali	1460,43	3	13,94
46	Ecuador	1452,42	-2	-6,21
47	Romania	1451,50	0	-1,68
48	Slovakia	1450,03	-2	-5,33
49	Qatar	1446,37	3	8,46
50	Republic of Ireland	1444,51	-1	0,22
51	Cote d'Ivoire	1435,28	0	-4,34
52	Saudi Arabia	1432,48	1	-1,47
53	Paraguay	1431,09	-3	-9,44
54	Northern Ireland	1428,60	0	3,63
55	Greece	1421,53	0	-0,46
56	Finland	1416,82	1	5,05
57	Burkina Faso	1414,61	-1	-3,97
58	Bosnia-Herzegovina	1398,54	1	7,35
59	Venezuela	1398,14	-1	-13,31
60	Jamaica	1390,68	2	12,06
61	Albania	1376,76	4	1,78
62	Iceland	1375,89	-2	-6,92
63	Ghana	1374,86	-2	-6,59
64	Panama	1369,83	-1	-5,73
65	Slovenia	1368,28	-1	-7,14
66	North Macedonia	1362,42	1	-4,81
67	South Africa	1360,98	1	2,74
68	Congo DR	1353,10	-2	-16,43
69	Montenegro	1342,70	3	-0,19
70	Bulgaria	1338,82	1	-6,65
71	Cape Verde Islands	1338,46	2	1,58
72	Iraq	1338,33	2	12,89
73	El Salvador	1331,86	-3	-14,18
74	United Arab Emirates	1331,73	-5	-21,37
75	Oman	1311,96	4	10,96
76	Israel	1305,96	1	-0,74
77	China PR	1303,72	-2	-10,09
78	Bolivia	1298,81	-2	-9,31
79	Curacao	1298,39	1	0
80	Gabon	1290,65	2	0
81	Guinea	1288,21	0	-4,37
82	Uganda	1282,98	2	3,80
83	Benin	1282,53	0	0
84	Uzbekistan	1281,56	1	4,54
85	Honduras	1277,94	-7	-26,02
86	Bahrain	1275,76	3	12,15
87	Haiti	1266,86	0	-1,19
88	Zambia	1262,43	0	-2,21
89	Georgia	1261,40	-3	-7,84
90	Jordan	1259,84	0	0
91	Syria	1240,61	0	-10,61
92	Armenia	1240,17	0	-2,07
93	Lebanon	1236,50	2	7,53
94	Belarus	1233,23	0	-0,20
95	Luxembourg	1229,69	-2	-6,76
96	Kyrgyzstan	1224,15	0	-4,54
97	Congo	1221,40	0	0
98	Vietnam	1214,97	0	-3,58
99	Equatorial Guinea	1210,07	0	0
100	Madagascar	1209,16	2	3,55
101	Palestine	1208,90	-1	0
102	Trinidad and Tobago	1205,99	-1	0
103	New Zealand	1205,84	8	44,18
104	Kenya	1202,26	-1	0
105	Estonia	1183,84	1	7,34
106	India	1174,04	-2	-8,71
107	Sierra Leone	1173,81	0	0
108	Cyprus	1171,31	-3	-7,34
109	Korea DPR	1169,96	-1	0
110	Thailand	1167,68	2	7,54
111	Kosovo	1163,92	-2	0,87
112	Namibia	1162,93	-2	0
113	Guinea-Bissau	1158,62	0	0
114	Niger	1158,23	0	-0,16
115	Mauritania	1157,43	1	4,91
116	Gambia	1150,69	9	15,51
117	Libya	1149,67	1	0,16
118	Tajikistan	1148,75	-3	-3,81
119	Mozambique	1146,09	-2	-4,92
120	Malawi	1145,08	-1	0
121	Guatemala	1142,85	2	4,45
122	Kazakhstan	1142,45	-2	1,74
123	Faroe Islands	1142,36	1	5,37
124	Zimbabwe	1138,56	-2	0
125	Azerbaijan	1137,00	-4	-2,02
126	Togo	1133,24	0	0
127	Angola	1131,72	0	0
128	Antigua and Barbuda	1131,08	0	0
129	Philippines	1129,00	0	-0,91
130	Central African Republic	1127,20	0	0
131	Comoros	1126,20	0	0
132	Tanzania	1118,76	0	0
133	Sudan	1118,31	0	0
134	Turkmenistan	1117,60	0	0
135	Latvia	1100,06	0	0,03
136	Rwanda	1097,16	0	0
137	Lithuania	1092,01	0	0,24
138	Ethiopia	1081,23	0	0
139	St. Kitts and Nevis	1077,30	0	-0,46
140	Lesotho	1073,67	6	16,05
141	Suriname	1073,39	-1	-4,18
142	Burundi	1072,58	-1	-3,24
143	Eswatini	1070,46	4	16,32
144	Kuwait	1064,90	-1	-0,66
145	Solomon Islands	1064,59	-3	-8,19
146	Nicaragua	1062,21	-2	0
147	Liberia	1058,28	-2	0
148	Hong Kong	1053,39	0	0
149	Botswana	1051,59	0	0
150	Yemen	1046,26	1	0
151	Afghanistan	1046,22	-1	-3,55
152	Myanmar	1044,56	0	0
153	New Caledonia	1040,52	0	5,40
154	Malaysia	1035,11	0	0,58
155	Andorra	1030,18	0	-0,10
156	Dominican Republic	1029,42	0	0
157	Maldives	1025,50	0	3,92
158	Chinese Taipei	1017,78	0	0
159	Tahiti	1016,24	0	1,97
160	Vanuatu	1008,03	4	12,41
161	Indonesia	1001,61	-1	0
162	Singapore	1001,11	-1	0,33
163	Fiji	1000,78	-1	4,51
164	South Sudan	998,45	4	20,64
165	Barbados	995,94	-2	0
166	Bermuda	982,43	0	0
167	Nepal	978,86	0	-3,36
168	Grenada	973,45	1	-0,58
169	Belize	967,42	1	0
170	Cambodia	966,61	1	0
171	Puerto Rico	962,77	1	0
172	Malta	961,61	2	2,66
173	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	960,71	0	0
174	Mauritius	959,01	2	3,83
175	Guyana	958,87	0	0
176	Papua New Guinea	958,69	-11	-31,86
177	St. Lucia	953,45	0	0
178	Montserrat	950,71	0	0
179	Cuba	945,71	0	-3,25
180	Moldova	925,11	1	-1,74
181	Macau	922,10	1	0
182	Chad	919,48	-2	-15,52
183	Dominica	916,72	0	0
184	Mongolia	911,56	0	-5,12
185	Bhutan	910,96	0	0
186	Bangladesh	909,03	0	1,20
187	Sao Tomé e Príncipe	905,74	2	2,43
188	Laos	904,60	-1	0
189	Brunei Darussalam	903,90	-1	0
190	American Samoa	900,27	0	0
191	Liechtenstein	895,11	0	-4,41
192	Samoa	894,26	1	0
193	Cook Islands	879,60	-	-28,40
194	Djibouti	875,98	-2	-20,64
195	Cayman Islands	873,64	0	0
196	Pakistan	866,81	1	0
197	Timor-Leste	865,47	1	0
198	Tonga	861,81	1	0
199	Aruba	859,97	1	0
200	Bahamas	858,50	1	0
201	Somalia	857,39	-7	-16,32
202	Eritrea	855,56	0	0
203	Seychelles	854,58	-7	-16,05
204	Gibraltar	852,20	-1	-1,40
205	Sri Lanka	842,93	-1	0
206	Turks and Caicos Islands	839,84	-1	0
207	Guam	838,33	-1	0
208	US Virgin Islands	816,13	-1	0
209	British Virgin Islands	812,94	-1	0
210	Anguilla	792,34	-1	0
211	San Marino	778,01	-1	-2,32

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Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.