FIFA ranking: October 2022 probable ranking

Here is the probable October 2022 ranking, to be published on Thursday October 6th. This ranking will include the matches in the September window in the conclusion of the UEFA Nations League group stage plus a lot of (preparatory) friendlies for WC-participants all over the world. Also the Melanesian Cup will be played again -for the first time in 22 years- in Vanuatu.

The originally scheduled match days three and four of AFCON 2023 qualifying are recently postponed to next March because the AFCON 2023 in Cote d'Ivoire is also postponed from July 2023 to January 2024, again with the argument that football in July in the Tropics is not a good idea. Now this window is used to give the African participants at the World Cup the opportunity for some much needed interconfederational practice.

In this ranking the second and final round of qualification play-offs for the African Nations Championship 2023 are also included. And o yeah, the postponed qualifier between Brazil and Argentina is finally definitely cancelled. Really no one was waiting for that match anyway.

This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 139 currently played and scheduled and according to my method included matches, out of a total of 158 currently played and scheduled matches. See the probable results for a list of which scheduled matches are included.

pos Oct.	team	pts Oct.	+/- pos	+/- pts
1	Brazil	1841,29	0	3,73
2	Belgium	1816,71	0	-5,21
3	Argentina	1773,88	0	3,23
4	France	1767,38	0	2,53
5	England	1728,69	0	-8,77
6	Spain	1722,40	0	5,47
7	Italy	1718,47	0	4,61
8	Netherlands	1694,51	0	15,10
9	Portugal	1676,89	0	-1,76
10	Denmark	1666,46	0	0,99
11	Germany	1665,00	0	6,04
12	Uruguay	1648,63	1	7,68
13	Mexico	1644,94	-1	-4,63
14	USA	1637,39	0	2,38
15	Croatia	1630,74	0	-1,41
16	Switzerland	1621,23	0	-0,20
17	Colombia	1606,00	0	1,93
18	Wales	1584,82	1	2,69
19	Senegal	1579,58	-1	-5,01
20	Peru	1563,04	1	0,80
21	Sweden	1560,64	-1	-2,80
22	Morocco	1558,55	1	0,20
23	Serbia	1556,33	2	6,80
24	Japan	1554,63	0	-0,06
25	Iran	1554,42	-3	-4,22
26	Ukraine	1551,70	1	8,91
27	Korea Republic	1535,30	1	9,28
28	Poland	1533,59	-2	-12,59
29	Chile	1514,57	0	-0,29
30	Tunisia	1505,67	0	-2,19
31	Austria	1500,35	2	-2,12
32	Czech Republic	1499,40	0	-3,50
33	Costa Rica	1498,59	1	-1,47
34	Nigeria	1498,47	-3	-6,23
35	Norway	1495,33	1	6,76
36	Russia	1493,42	-1	0
37	Algeria	1489,10	4	8,51
38	Hungary	1484,88	-1	-1,88
39	Australia	1483,72	0	-0,01
40	Egypt	1482,63	0	0
41	Turkey	1482,49	1	7,36
42	Cameroon	1476,44	-4	-8,51
43	Canada	1475,08	0	1,26
44	Ecuador	1469,30	0	5,56
45	Scotland	1464,85	0	1,89
46	Greece	1452,38	3	10,93
47	Mali	1451,25	-1	8,37
48	Paraguay	1448,72	2	8,59
49	Slovakia	1447,91	2	7,92
50	Republic of Ireland	1440,09	-3	-2,39
51	Qatar	1439,94	-3	-2,03
52	Cote d'Ivoire	1437,06	0	1,15
53	Saudi Arabia	1427,87	0	-7,87
54	Burkina Faso	1425,74	1	0,10
55	Romania	1419,79	-1	-8,05
56	Bosnia-Herzegovina	1410,90	1	6,92
57	Finland	1405,49	2	7,08
58	Venezuela	1405,17	-2	0
59	Northern Ireland	1396,77	-1	-2,33
60	Ghana	1393,03	0	-0,44
61	Panama	1388,37	0	-0,90
62	Jamaica	1378,86	0	-3,20
63	North Macedonia	1373,51	1	-1,69
64	Iceland	1371,74	-1	-7,87
65	Slovenia	1361,73	0	-10,75
66	Albania	1361,53	0	-0,28
67	Montenegro	1348,64	0	-5,95
68	South Africa	1343,74	0	-6,81
69	United Arab Emirates	1342,01	0	-4,08
70	Iraq	1338,91	0	0
71	Congo DR	1334,60	1	1,76
72	El Salvador	1333,48	-1	0
73	Israel	1326,55	3	10,20
74	Cape Verde Islands	1326,05	-1	-5,41
75	Oman	1323,03	0	0
76	Bulgaria	1320,36	-2	-4,80
77	Georgia	1307,34	5	10,88
78	China PR	1305,06	0	0
79	Uzbekistan	1304,98	-2	-1,65
80	Gabon	1301,84	-1	0
81	Bolivia	1301,28	0	2,47
82	Honduras	1296,98	-2	-2,71
83	Bahrain	1295,55	2	6,30
84	Guinea	1294,11	-1	-0,78
85	Curacao	1293,35	-1	0
86	Jordan	1279,74	0	0
87	Haiti	1269,07	1	0
88	Uganda	1268,21	2	3,65
89	Zambia	1266,27	-2	-4,53
90	Syria	1265,03	-1	0
91	Benin	1258,71	0	0
92	Luxembourg	1236,50	1	1,14
93	Armenia	1234,01	-1	-8,41
94	Palestine	1233,72	0	0
95	Kyrgyzstan	1232,91	0	0
96	Vietnam	1226,70	1	7,86
97	Equatorial Guinea	1217,68	1	2,35
98	Congo	1214,18	1	-0,91
99	Belarus	1213,74	-3	-12,81
100	Lebanon	1211,71	0	0
101	Trinidad and Tobago	1205,85	0	0
102	Kenya	1202,26	0	0
103	New Zealand	1198,98	0	0,02
104	India	1197,04	0	-1,61
105	Madagascar	1195,01	0	1,23
106	Kosovo	1186,79	0	2,89
107	Mauritania	1186,68	0	4,82
108	Estonia	1184,64	2	7,24
109	Tajikistan	1179,10	0	0
110	Kazakhstan	1173,91	4	7,63
111	Thailand	1170,69	0	0
112	Korea DPR	1169,96	0	0
113	Cyprus	1169,04	-5	-11,48
114	Sierra Leone	1167,13	-1	-2,58
115	Mozambique	1165,22	1	-0,19
116	Namibia	1164,13	1	0
117	Guatemala	1161,70	1	-0,26
118	Guinea-Bissau	1160,71	-3	-4,82
119	Angola	1155,90	1	6,82
120	Niger	1155,02	-1	-0,21
121	Libya	1147,10	0	-1,26
122	Malawi	1144,97	0	0,20
123	Zimbabwe	1138,56	0	0
124	Gambia	1137,47	0	0
125	Latvia	1136,39	4	11,03
126	Togo	1130,43	0	0,21
127	Sudan	1127,69	3	2,78
128	Comoros	1127,44	-1	0
129	Faroe Islands	1124,81	-4	-11,48
130	Azerbaijan	1124,43	-2	-2,74
131	Tanzania	1118,26	0	-3,65
132	Antigua and Barbuda	1117,01	0	0
133	Central African Republic	1116,97	0	0,91
134	Philippines	1115,13	0	0
135	Turkmenistan	1100,47	0	0
136	Rwanda	1092,48	0	-2,56
137	Ethiopia	1090,83	1	2,56
138	Solomon Islands	1090,74	-1	-1,82
139	Lithuania	1077,05	3	2,97
140	St. Kitts and Nevis	1076,91	0	0
141	Nicaragua	1076,79	-2	-2,39
142	Burundi	1076,26	-1	0
143	Suriname	1072,30	0	0,06
144	Eswatini	1070,89	0	0
145	Hong Kong	1067,39	2	9,02
146	Lesotho	1061,40	-1	0
147	Botswana	1058,95	-1	-1,22
148	Malaysia	1057,59	0	0
149	Kuwait	1053,41	0	0
150	Liberia	1051,25	0	0
151	Dominican Republic	1031,86	0	0
152	Yemen	1023,52	1	0
153	Afghanistan	1023,04	1	0
154	Maldives	1022,27	2	4,02
155	Andorra	1020,51	-3	-8,19
156	Indonesia	1019,19	-1	0
157	Chinese Taipei	1017,78	0	0
158	New Caledonia	1003,00	2	3,30
159	Myanmar	1002,89	-1	-9,02
160	Fiji	1000,57	3	7,20
161	Papua New Guinea	998,76	0	1,16
162	Singapore	998,50	-3	-6,25
163	Tahiti	995,11	-1	0
164	Vanuatu	985,71	0	-4,84
165	South Sudan	983,98	0	0
166	Barbados	982,27	0	0
167	Cuba	978,65	0	0
168	Bermuda	977,47	0	0
169	Puerto Rico	974,32	1	0
170	Grenada	969,00	1	0
171	Guyana	968,74	1	0
172	Malta	967,92	-3	-6,76
173	St. Lucia	965,66	0	0
174	Cambodia	958,62	0	4,32
175	Nepal	954,77	1	4,32
176	Belize	950,88	-1	0
177	Moldova	946,54	0	1,58
178	Montserrat	940,78	0	0
179	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	939,97	0	0
180	Mauritius	932,02	0	0
181	Chad	930,22	0	-1,76
182	Macau	922,10	0	0
183	Mongolia	913,55	1	0
184	Dominica	911,51	1	0
185	Bhutan	910,96	1	0
186	Laos	910,51	-3	-4,15
187	Sao Tomé e Príncipe	908,18	0	0
188	American Samoa	900,27	0	0
189	Cook Islands	899,33	0	0
190	Brunei Darussalam	897,23	0	0,13
191	Samoa	894,26	0	0
192	Djibouti	875,05	1	-2,79
193	Bangladesh	874,54	-1	-8,64
194	Liechtenstein	869,57	0	-4,42
195	Pakistan	866,81	0	0
196	Cayman Islands	865,72	0	0
197	Tonga	861,81	0	0
198	Timor-Leste	860,06	1	0
199	Seychelles	859,56	-1	-0,92
200	Eritrea	855,56	1	0
201	Aruba	855,37	1	0
202	Bahamas	854,80	1	0
203	Somalia	854,72	1	0
204	Gibraltar	852,16	-4	-4,39
205	Guam	838,33	0	0
206	Turks and Caicos Islands	832,00	0	0
207	Sri Lanka	825,25	0	0
208	US Virgin Islands	823,97	0	0
209	British Virgin Islands	809,32	0	0
210	Anguilla	790,74	0	0
211	San Marino	762,22	0	-1,60

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Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.