FIFA ranking: April 2023 probable ranking

Yes, you read it correctly, FIFA will publish the next ranking only after the March window. Contrary to previous years there won't be an official ranking in the first week of February, even if there are three tournaments played to a finish this January:

• the South-East Asian Championship 2023 started already in December with the group stage. Tomorrow the semi-finals start. Both semi-finals and final are played over home-and-away legs;
• the Gulf Cup 2023 starts tomorrow in Iraq;
• the African Nations Championship 2023 starts next week in Algeria. For African NT-teams consisting of players playing in domestic leagues only. Matches in this tournament will count for the FIFA ranking, not for the elo rating though.

In the international match window in March the following matches are scheduled:

• match days 3 and 4 in qualification for the African Nations Cup 2024;
• match days 1 and 2 in qualification for the EURO 2024;
• the group stage of the CONCACAF Nations League 2023 is played to a conclusion;
• some friendlies.

Here is the probable April 2023 ranking, to be published on Thursday April 6th. 

This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 202 currently played and scheduled and according to my method included matches, out of a total of 213 currently played and scheduled matches. See the probable results for a list of which scheduled matches are currently included.

pos Apr.	team	pts Apr.	+/- pos	+/- pts
1	Brazil	1840,77	0	0
2	France	1838,45	1	15,06
3	Argentina	1838,38	-1	0
4	Belgium	1788,77	0	7,47
5	England	1767,92	0	-6,27
6	Croatia	1742,28	1	14,66
7	Italy	1738,54	1	14,98
8	Netherlands	1731,23	-2	-9,69
9	Spain	1707,85	1	15,14
10	Portugal	1707,07	-1	4,53
11	Morocco	1678,09	0	5,74
12	Switzerland	1664,44	0	9,42
13	USA	1656,29	0	3,55
14	Germany	1646,91	0	0
15	Mexico	1641,42	0	5,64
16	Uruguay	1627,45	0	0
17	Denmark	1619,68	1	11,57
18	Senegal	1615,93	1	11,95
19	Colombia	1612,97	-2	0,19
20	Japan	1593,08	0	0
21	Peru	1564,30	0	0
22	Sweden	1556,30	1	-2,15
23	Poland	1553,76	-1	-6,07
24	Iran	1551,73	0	0
25	Korea Republic	1539,49	0	0
26	Serbia	1538,57	3	12,11
27	Tunisia	1535,75	3	9,55
28	Australia	1533,97	-1	0
29	Ukraine	1529,55	-3	-7,44
30	Wales	1526,62	-2	-3,66
31	Cameroon	1510,92	2	11,62
32	Austria	1508,12	2	10,88
33	Czech Republic	1507,54	5	16,93
34	Chile	1506,91	-3	0
35	Costa Rica	1506,14	-3	5,96
36	Algeria	1505,76	4	19,04
37	Nigeria	1504,96	-2	10,64
38	Hungary	1504,74	-2	11,41
39	Egypt	1500,67	0	10,33
40	Russia	1491,26	-3	0
41	Ecuador	1477,32	0	0
42	Scotland	1475,52	0	-1,42
43	Turkey	1465,94	1	0,56
44	Norway	1463,73	-1	-11,32
45	Mali	1461,27	0	12,22
46	Cote d'Ivoire	1452,33	1	10,84
47	Burkina Faso	1446,41	3	11,60
48	Paraguay	1445,06	-2	0
49	Romania	1444,58	3	11,94
50	Canada	1442,59	3	10,95
51	Saudi Arabia	1442,36	-2	4,23
52	Republic of Ireland	1436,31	-4	-2,28
53	Greece	1436,06	-2	2,47
54	Slovakia	1433,48	0	7,90
55	Bosnia-Herzegovina	1415,90	2	12,39
56	Ghana	1415,87	2	15,85
57	Venezuela	1407,49	-2	1,39
58	Finland	1399,96	-2	-5,75
59	Qatar	1399,03	1	5,47
60	Northern Ireland	1398,61	-1	2,06
61	Slovenia	1398,47	1	9,41
62	Panama	1385,74	-1	-5,96
63	Jamaica	1375,23	1	-4,06
64	Iceland	1371,43	-1	-8,92
65	South Africa	1362,14	2	11,78
66	North Macedonia	1360,05	-1	4,77
67	Iraq	1350,51	1	8,12
68	Cape Verde Islands	1349,08	4	13,03
69	Albania	1344,95	-3	-8,08
70	Bulgaria	1340,19	1	3,48
71	United Arab Emirates	1336,64	-1	-1,84
72	Congo DR	1336,07	1	2,15
73	El Salvador	1323,52	1	-3,34
74	Oman	1322,37	1	1,13
75	Gabon	1321,82	4	16,35
76	Israel	1319,71	0	4,04
77	Montenegro	1318,75	-8	-20,40
78	Uzbekistan	1312,64	-1	0
79	Georgia	1309,74	-1	3,76
80	China PR	1305,06	0	0
81	Honduras	1295,20	0	-5,58
82	Bolivia	1294,96	0	0
83	Guinea	1293,52	0	3,05
84	Jordan	1289,99	0	0
85	Zambia	1280,52	3	15,37
86	Bahrain	1280,07	-1	-0,20
87	Haiti	1276,12	0	7,05
88	Curacao	1273,28	-2	-5,36
89	Uganda	1263,93	0	3,24
90	Benin	1252,41	1	4,94
91	Syria	1247,14	-1	-4,32
92	Vietnam	1234,69	4	6,06
93	Palestine	1233,72	0	0
94	Luxembourg	1233,43	-2	-11,92
95	Kyrgyzstan	1232,91	-1	0
96	Armenia	1229,08	-1	-2,68
97	Congo	1221,88	2	13,09
98	Equatorial Guinea	1220,28	0	4,62
99	Belarus	1210,17	-2	-11,51
100	Lebanon	1206,58	0	-1,89
101	Madagascar	1206,26	1	5,52
102	Trinidad and Tobago	1204,28	2	8,99
103	Kenya	1202,26	-2	0
104	New Zealand	1193,98	1	0
105	India	1192,09	1	0
106	Mauritania	1190,23	-3	-7,35
107	Tajikistan	1187,02	1	0
108	Kosovo	1186,54	-1	-0,49
109	Thailand	1178,50	2	5,10
110	Estonia	1175,19	-1	-11,08
111	Cyprus	1174,45	-1	-10,72
112	Sierra Leone	1173,81	4	13,50
113	Korea DPR	1169,96	-1	0
114	Guatemala	1160,86	5	3,30
115	Mozambique	1154,52	-1	-9,05
116	Namibia	1153,52	-3	-10,61
117	Kazakhstan	1152,05	-2	-11,04
118	Guinea-Bissau	1148,13	0	-10,64
119	Libya	1145,22	1	-11,52
120	Angola	1143,97	-3	-14,84
121	Azerbaijan	1142,22	0	-9,60
122	Faroe Islands	1142,00	1	-4,31
123	Zimbabwe	1138,56	2	0
124	Niger	1137,52	-2	-11,01
125	Malawi	1134,64	-1	-10,33
126	Gambia	1126,18	0	-11,39
127	Antigua and Barbuda	1122,51	4	5,50
128	Togo	1117,31	-1	-11,61
129	Tanzania	1114,29	1	-5,60
130	Comoros	1111,98	-1	-11,20
131	Latvia	1110,38	2	-6,58
132	Sudan	1109,49	-4	-17,85
133	Central African Republic	1108,82	-1	-8,15
134	Philippines	1106,38	0	-6,77
135	Turkmenistan	1100,47	0	0
136	Solomon Islands	1095,70	0	0
137	Rwanda	1088,72	0	-4,94
138	Ethiopia	1087,90	0	-3,29
139	St. Kitts and Nevis	1081,40	1	4,49
140	Suriname	1075,73	-1	-1,57
141	Burundi	1075,27	0	0
142	Nicaragua	1071,66	0	-0,08
143	Malaysia	1069,52	2	2,92
144	Lithuania	1065,44	0	-3,68
145	Hong Kong	1062,39	1	0
146	Eswatini	1057,86	-3	-13,03
147	Kuwait	1051,59	1	-5,05
148	Botswana	1049,81	1	-4,62
149	Lesotho	1046,02	-2	-15,38
150	Indonesia	1040,58	1	6,68
151	Dominican Republic	1038,13	1	6,27
152	Liberia	1037,87	-2	-11,79
153	Afghanistan	1023,04	2	0
154	Maldives	1021,18	2	0
155	Chinese Taipei	1021,02	2	0
156	Yemen	1020,36	-2	-3,16
157	Andorra	1017,74	-4	-13,39
158	Singapore	1009,36	2	3,26
159	Papua New Guinea	1007,46	-1	0
160	Myanmar	999,52	-1	-6,64
161	New Caledonia	995,58	0	0
162	Tahiti	995,11	0	0
163	Fiji	989,43	0	0
164	Cuba	986,20	4	7,55
165	Vanuatu	985,62	-1	0
166	Puerto Rico	985,41	4	11,09
167	Bermuda	981,11	2	3,64
168	St. Lucia	976,48	4	11,75
169	Malta	972,91	-2	-6,04
170	South Sudan	969,38	-5	-14,60
171	Barbados	969,22	-5	-13,05
172	Guyana	968,53	-1	-0,21
173	Grenada	962,72	0	-1,00
174	Moldova	960,41	0	1,53
175	Nepal	956,94	0	0
176	Cambodia	948,59	1	1,93
177	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	945,78	1	0,53
178	Belize	939,91	-2	-10,97
179	Mauritius	932,02	1	0
180	Montserrat	930,31	-1	-10,47
181	Chad	930,22	0	0
182	Macau	922,10	0	0
183	Mongolia	913,55	0	0
184	Bhutan	910,96	1	0
185	Dominica	904,84	-1	-6,67
186	Laos	901,13	1	-4,38
187	American Samoa	900,27	1	0
188	Cook Islands	899,33	1	0
189	Sao Tomé e Príncipe	894,67	-3	-13,51
190	Samoa	894,26	1	0
191	Brunei Darussalam	891,12	-1	-6,90
192	Bangladesh	884,45	0	0
193	Djibouti	875,05	0	0
194	Pakistan	864,72	1	0
195	Tonga	861,81	1	0
196	Timor-Leste	860,45	1	0
197	Cayman Islands	859,83	-3	-5,89
198	Seychelles	859,56	1	0
199	Liechtenstein	855,79	-1	-4,05
200	Eritrea	855,56	1	0
201	Gibraltar	854,72	-1	-3,32
201	Somalia	854,72	3	0
203	Aruba	850,88	-1	-4,49
204	Bahamas	845,36	-1	-9,44
205	Turks and Caicos Islands	839,39	1	7,39
206	Guam	838,33	-1	0
207	Sri Lanka	825,25	0	0
208	US Virgin Islands	816,59	0	-7,38
209	British Virgin Islands	804,11	0	-5,21
210	Anguilla	785,66	0	-5,08
211	San Marino	759,12	0	-4,03

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Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.