pos Apr. |
team |
pts Apr. |
+/- pos |
+/- pts |
1 |
Argentina |
1840,92 |
1 |
2,54 |
2 |
France |
1838,45 |
1 |
15,06 |
3 |
Brazil |
1834,21 |
-2 |
-6,56 |
4 |
Belgium |
1792,53 |
0 |
11,23 |
5 |
England |
1792,43 |
0 |
18,24 |
6 |
Netherlands |
1731,23 |
0 |
-9,69 |
7 |
Croatia |
1730,02 |
0 |
2,40 |
8 |
Italy |
1713,66 |
0 |
-9,90 |
9 |
Portugal |
1707,22 |
0 |
4,68 |
10 |
Spain |
1682,85 |
0 |
-9,86 |
11 |
Morocco |
1677,79 |
0 |
5,44 |
12 |
Switzerland |
1664,24 |
0 |
9,22 |
13 |
USA |
1653,78 |
0 |
1,04 |
14 |
Germany |
1647,42 |
0 |
0,51 |
15 |
Mexico |
1633,87 |
0 |
-1,91 |
16 |
Uruguay |
1631,29 |
0 |
3,84 |
17 |
Colombia |
1617,08 |
0 |
4,30 |
18 |
Senegal |
1613,21 |
1 |
9,23 |
19 |
Denmark |
1594,53 |
-1 |
-13,58 |
20 |
Japan |
1588,59 |
0 |
-4,49 |
21 |
Peru |
1561,20 |
0 |
-3,10 |
22 |
Sweden |
1558,70 |
1 |
0,25 |
23 |
Poland |
1553,76 |
-1 |
-6,07 |
24 |
Iran |
1553,23 |
0 |
1,50 |
25 |
Serbia |
1541,52 |
4 |
15,06 |
26 |
Wales |
1538,95 |
2 |
8,67 |
27 |
Korea Republic |
1536,01 |
-2 |
-3,48 |
28 |
Tunisia |
1535,76 |
2 |
9,56 |
29 |
Australia |
1532,80 |
-2 |
-1,17 |
30 |
Ukraine |
1530,04 |
-4 |
-6,95 |
31 |
Chile |
1511,32 |
0 |
4,41 |
32 |
Austria |
1508,24 |
2 |
11,00 |
33 |
Hungary |
1504,24 |
3 |
10,91 |
34 |
Algeria |
1504,19 |
6 |
17,47 |
35 |
Egypt |
1500,62 |
4 |
10,28 |
36 |
Scotland |
1500,52 |
6 |
23,58 |
37 |
Russia |
1495,54 |
0 |
4,28 |
38 |
Czech Republic |
1495,04 |
0 |
4,43 |
39 |
Costa Rica |
1491,10 |
-7 |
-9,08 |
40 |
Nigeria |
1480,80 |
-5 |
-13,52 |
41 |
Ecuador |
1478,49 |
0 |
1,17 |
42 |
Cameroon |
1470,21 |
-9 |
-29,09 |
43 |
Turkey |
1465,70 |
1 |
0,32 |
44 |
Norway |
1463,77 |
-1 |
-11,28 |
45 |
Cote d'Ivoire |
1449,95 |
2 |
8,46 |
46 |
Romania |
1444,58 |
6 |
11,94 |
47 |
Canada |
1442,66 |
6 |
11,02 |
48 |
Paraguay |
1440,65 |
-2 |
-4,41 |
49 |
Republic of Ireland |
1436,31 |
-1 |
-2,28 |
50 |
Burkina Faso |
1433,91 |
0 |
-0,90 |
51 |
Slovakia |
1433,77 |
3 |
8,19 |
52 |
Greece |
1433,01 |
-1 |
-0,58 |
53 |
Mali |
1430,75 |
-8 |
-18,30 |
54 |
Saudi Arabia |
1421,46 |
-5 |
-16,67 |
55 |
Venezuela |
1410,47 |
0 |
4,37 |
56 |
Finland |
1405,31 |
0 |
-0,40 |
57 |
Bosnia-Herzegovina |
1403,04 |
0 |
-0,47 |
58 |
Slovenia |
1398,47 |
4 |
9,41 |
59 |
Panama |
1398,20 |
2 |
6,50 |
60 |
Ghana |
1396,01 |
-2 |
-4,01 |
61 |
Qatar |
1388,62 |
-1 |
-4,94 |
62 |
Northern Ireland |
1385,93 |
-3 |
-10,62 |
63 |
Jamaica |
1378,61 |
1 |
-0,68 |
64 |
Iceland |
1369,03 |
-1 |
-11,32 |
65 |
North Macedonia |
1363,07 |
0 |
7,79 |
66 |
South Africa |
1350,08 |
1 |
-0,28 |
67 |
Iraq |
1349,05 |
1 |
6,66 |
68 |
Albania |
1344,95 |
-2 |
-8,08 |
69 |
Montenegro |
1343,28 |
0 |
4,13 |
70 |
Congo DR |
1338,61 |
3 |
4,69 |
71 |
Cape Verde Islands |
1337,05 |
1 |
1,00 |
72 |
United Arab Emirates |
1336,28 |
-2 |
-2,20 |
73 |
Oman |
1333,56 |
2 |
12,32 |
74 |
Uzbekistan |
1318,36 |
3 |
5,72 |
75 |
El Salvador |
1318,30 |
-1 |
-8,56 |
76 |
Bulgaria |
1315,74 |
-5 |
-20,97 |
77 |
Georgia |
1311,51 |
1 |
5,53 |
78 |
Israel |
1307,41 |
-2 |
-8,26 |
79 |
Guinea |
1306,02 |
4 |
15,55 |
80 |
Honduras |
1300,38 |
1 |
-0,40 |
81 |
China PR |
1297,98 |
-1 |
-7,08 |
82 |
Gabon |
1296,74 |
-3 |
-8,73 |
83 |
Bolivia |
1296,42 |
-1 |
1,46 |
84 |
Jordan |
1293,26 |
0 |
3,27 |
85 |
Bahrain |
1282,05 |
0 |
1,78 |
86 |
Zambia |
1280,54 |
2 |
15,39 |
87 |
Haiti |
1275,96 |
0 |
6,89 |
88 |
Curacao |
1272,26 |
-2 |
-6,38 |
89 |
Uganda |
1257,30 |
0 |
-3,39 |
90 |
Syria |
1246,75 |
0 |
-4,71 |
91 |
Luxembourg |
1245,78 |
1 |
0,43 |
92 |
Benin |
1240,35 |
-1 |
-7,12 |
93 |
Palestine |
1239,19 |
0 |
5,47 |
94 |
Equatorial Guinea |
1232,78 |
4 |
17,12 |
95 |
Vietnam |
1229,69 |
1 |
1,06 |
96 |
Kyrgyzstan |
1225,44 |
-2 |
-7,47 |
97 |
Armenia |
1224,08 |
-2 |
-7,68 |
98 |
Belarus |
1210,17 |
-1 |
-11,51 |
99 |
Lebanon |
1202,74 |
1 |
-5,73 |
100 |
New Zealand |
1201,06 |
5 |
7,08 |
101 |
Trinidad and Tobago |
1200,85 |
3 |
5,56 |
102 |
India |
1200,66 |
4 |
8,57 |
103 |
Kenya |
1200,18 |
-2 |
-2,08 |
104 |
Congo |
1197,89 |
-5 |
-10,90 |
105 |
Mauritania |
1194,28 |
-2 |
-3,30 |
106 |
Namibia |
1190,49 |
7 |
26,36 |
107 |
Kosovo |
1186,26 |
0 |
-0,77 |
108 |
Estonia |
1182,50 |
1 |
-3,77 |
109 |
Tajikistan |
1182,23 |
-1 |
-4,79 |
110 |
Madagascar |
1181,21 |
-8 |
-19,53 |
111 |
Cyprus |
1179,45 |
-1 |
-5,72 |
112 |
Kazakhstan |
1177,05 |
3 |
13,96 |
113 |
Guinea-Bissau |
1172,30 |
5 |
13,53 |
114 |
Thailand |
1171,88 |
-3 |
-1,52 |
115 |
Korea DPR |
1169,96 |
-3 |
0 |
116 |
Guatemala |
1163,27 |
3 |
5,71 |
117 |
Sierra Leone |
1161,79 |
-1 |
1,48 |
118 |
Angola |
1158,57 |
-1 |
-0,24 |
119 |
Mozambique |
1154,64 |
-5 |
-8,93 |
120 |
Gambia |
1150,99 |
6 |
13,42 |
121 |
Libya |
1145,82 |
-1 |
-10,92 |
122 |
Central African Republic |
1145,69 |
10 |
28,72 |
123 |
Niger |
1142,57 |
-1 |
-5,96 |
124 |
Azerbaijan |
1142,25 |
-3 |
-9,57 |
125 |
Faroe Islands |
1138,98 |
-2 |
-7,33 |
126 |
Zimbabwe |
1138,56 |
-1 |
0 |
127 |
Malawi |
1133,13 |
-3 |
-11,84 |
128 |
Sudan |
1132,62 |
0 |
5,28 |
129 |
Togo |
1129,81 |
-2 |
0,89 |
130 |
Tanzania |
1125,89 |
0 |
6,00 |
131 |
Comoros |
1111,89 |
-2 |
-11,29 |
132 |
Latvia |
1110,55 |
1 |
-6,41 |
133 |
Antigua and Barbuda |
1107,50 |
-2 |
-9,51 |
134 |
Solomon Islands |
1103,61 |
2 |
7,91 |
135 |
Rwanda |
1098,26 |
2 |
4,60 |
136 |
Philippines |
1097,66 |
-2 |
-15,49 |
137 |
Turkmenistan |
1095,20 |
-2 |
-5,27 |
138 |
Malaysia |
1082,13 |
7 |
15,53 |
139 |
St. Kitts and Nevis |
1081,40 |
1 |
4,49 |
140 |
Nicaragua |
1079,22 |
2 |
7,48 |
141 |
Suriname |
1075,73 |
-2 |
-1,57 |
142 |
Ethiopia |
1075,41 |
-4 |
-15,78 |
143 |
Kuwait |
1070,71 |
5 |
14,07 |
144 |
Eswatini |
1069,89 |
-1 |
-1,00 |
145 |
Burundi |
1069,71 |
-4 |
-5,56 |
146 |
Lithuania |
1068,53 |
-2 |
-0,59 |
147 |
Hong Kong |
1057,03 |
-1 |
-5,36 |
148 |
Liberia |
1049,94 |
2 |
0,28 |
149 |
Lesotho |
1046,41 |
-2 |
-14,99 |
150 |
Indonesia |
1046,14 |
1 |
12,24 |
151 |
Dominican Republic |
1038,13 |
1 |
6,27 |
152 |
Botswana |
1037,31 |
-3 |
-17,12 |
153 |
Andorra |
1030,52 |
0 |
-0,61 |
154 |
Maldives |
1024,72 |
2 |
3,54 |
155 |
Afghanistan |
1023,04 |
0 |
0 |
156 |
Chinese Taipei |
1021,02 |
1 |
0 |
157 |
Yemen |
1020,37 |
-3 |
-3,15 |
158 |
Singapore |
1014,04 |
2 |
7,94 |
159 |
Papua New Guinea |
1007,46 |
-1 |
0 |
160 |
Myanmar |
998,41 |
-1 |
-7,75 |
161 |
New Caledonia |
995,47 |
0 |
-0,11 |
162 |
Tahiti |
995,22 |
0 |
0,11 |
163 |
South Sudan |
993,36 |
2 |
9,38 |
164 |
Vanuatu |
986,65 |
0 |
1,03 |
165 |
Cuba |
986,19 |
3 |
7,54 |
166 |
Puerto Rico |
985,41 |
4 |
11,09 |
167 |
Barbados |
983,96 |
-1 |
1,69 |
168 |
Fiji |
980,48 |
-5 |
-8,95 |
169 |
St. Lucia |
976,48 |
3 |
11,75 |
170 |
Guyana |
975,81 |
1 |
7,07 |
171 |
Moldova |
972,91 |
3 |
14,03 |
172 |
Malta |
972,79 |
-5 |
-6,16 |
173 |
Bermuda |
966,27 |
-4 |
-11,20 |
174 |
Grenada |
962,98 |
-1 |
-0,74 |
175 |
Nepal |
960,88 |
0 |
3,94 |
176 |
Cambodia |
948,59 |
1 |
1,93 |
177 |
Belize |
939,94 |
-1 |
-10,94 |
178 |
St. Vincent and the Grenadines |
938,28 |
0 |
-6,97 |
179 |
Montserrat |
938,02 |
0 |
-2,76 |
180 |
Mauritius |
932,02 |
0 |
0 |
181 |
Chad |
930,22 |
0 |
0 |
182 |
Macau |
917,93 |
0 |
-4,17 |
183 |
Mongolia |
911,74 |
0 |
-1,81 |
184 |
Sao Tomé e PrÃncipe |
906,70 |
2 |
-1,48 |
185 |
Bhutan |
906,36 |
0 |
-4,60 |
186 |
Dominica |
904,84 |
-2 |
-6,67 |
187 |
Laos |
901,80 |
0 |
-3,71 |
188 |
American Samoa |
900,27 |
0 |
0 |
189 |
Cook Islands |
899,33 |
0 |
0 |
190 |
Samoa |
894,26 |
1 |
0 |
191 |
Brunei Darussalam |
891,12 |
-1 |
-6,90 |
192 |
Bangladesh |
885,01 |
0 |
0,56 |
193 |
Djibouti |
875,05 |
0 |
0 |
194 |
Tonga |
861,81 |
2 |
0 |
195 |
Pakistan |
861,18 |
0 |
-3,54 |
196 |
Timor-Leste |
860,45 |
1 |
0 |
197 |
Seychelles |
860,15 |
2 |
0,59 |
198 |
Cayman Islands |
859,83 |
-4 |
-5,89 |
199 |
Liechtenstein |
855,77 |
-1 |
-4,07 |
200 |
Eritrea |
855,56 |
1 |
0 |
201 |
Gibraltar |
854,72 |
-1 |
-3,32 |
201 |
Somalia |
854,72 |
3 |
0 |
203 |
Bahamas |
852,90 |
0 |
-1,90 |
204 |
Aruba |
850,88 |
-2 |
-4,49 |
205 |
Turks and Caicos Islands |
839,39 |
1 |
7,39 |
206 |
Guam |
838,33 |
-1 |
0 |
207 |
Sri Lanka |
825,25 |
0 |
0 |
208 |
US Virgin Islands |
816,59 |
0 |
-7,38 |
209 |
British Virgin Islands |
804,11 |
0 |
-5,21 |
210 |
Anguilla |
785,66 |
0 |
-5,08 |
211 |
San Marino |
759,12 |
0 |
-4,03 |
About me:
Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.
Hello. Is it possible to see all 284 on FIFA site or elsewhere?
ReplyDeleteNot that I know. That's the whole problem with predicting the ranking: I have to make a best guess which friendlies are included. All competitive matches are of course always included.
ReplyDeleteOnce the new ranking is published and I have had the opportunity to compare FIFA's with mine then you can find on the Important Info page (see menu at the top of this blog) a link to the updated excel-sheet with all included matches in the latest published ranking and the detailed points calculation per match.
ReplyDeleteThe currently downloadable sheet however contains the matches included in the December ranking.
Thank you! When can we expect updated EURO qualifying percentages?
ReplyDeleteSoon. Probably this weekend.
DeleteWhen will be next FIFA mens ranking publish?
ReplyDeleteNext ranking will be published on July 20th, so after the Gold Cup has been played. It seems FIFA has decreased the publishing frequency considerably (to maybe only once per quarter).
DeleteHi Ed, after re-calculating included matches for this month's ranking, I still can't get my calculation exactly the same as in the FIFA website. The nations which have major points differences are
ReplyDeleteMexico (2.04 more)
Ecuador (0.36 more)
Guatemala (2.41 less)
Do you know what happened in the calculation for these nations?
Hi Fauzan, Rodrigo mentioned in another comment section that Mexico was sanctioned this January 2023 for playing with an ineligible player in friendly matches in April 2022 and October 2021. A draw against Guatemala in April was therefore converted to a 3-0 forfeited defeat.
ReplyDeleteSee here
Thanks for the info, Ed
DeleteThe forfeited 3-0 loss sanctions for Mexico are applied on:
ReplyDeletefriendly 2021-10-27 MEX-ECU 2:3
friendly 2022-04-27 MEX-GUA 0:0
When you use the points of Mexico and Ecuador on the moment the sanction was applied (January 2023: 1635,7848 resp. 1477,3179) to recalculate the first match with a 0:3 result I get a difference for MEX of +0.400 and for ECU of -0.400.
When you use the points of Mexico and Guatemala on the moment the sanction was applied (January 2023: 1635,7848 resp. 1157,5591) to recalculate the second match with a 0:3 result I get a difference for MEX of -2.436 and for GUA of 2.436.
When you apply the corrections for MEX of (0.400 - 2.436 =) -2.036, for GUA 2.436 and for ECU -0.400 on their January 2023 points and recalculate the April ranking then it still doesn't fit correctly. MEX has a difference of 0.04 in the April ranking, ECU a difference of -0.04. All other differences are solved.
Only when you apply for Mexico starting points of 1645 in the first match recalculation, these 0.04 differences disappear and everything matches. Anybody has any clue as to why we should use 1645 for Mexico ?
Summary of the comparison between the published April ranking and my own calculations presented in the final preview above:
ReplyDeleteFIFA included and I excluded:
2023-03-03 Grenada - St. Lucia 1:2 friendly in Grenada
FIFA excluded and I included:
2022-12-30 Iraq - Kuwait 1:0 friendly in Iraq
2023-02-22 Grenada - Barbados 1:1 friendly in Grenada
2023-02-25 Malawi - Lesotho 1:1 friendly in Malawi
2023-03-11 Jamaica - Trinidad and Tobago 0:1 friendly in Jamaica
2023-03-12 Guatemala - Panama 1:1 friendly in USA
2023-03-15 Bangladesh - Malawi 1:1 friendly in Saudi Arabia
2023-03-19 Ethiopia - Rwanda 1:0 friendly in Ethiopia
2023-03-20 Tahiti - New Caledonia 0:2 friendly in Tahiti
2023-03-23 Tahiti - New Caledonia 2:1 friendly in Tahiti
Also the points of Mexico, Ecuador and Guatemala are adjusted in January 2023 because of FIFA's decision to sanction Mexico for fielding an ineligible player in two friendlies:
2021-10-27 Mexico - Ecuador 2:3 friendly in USA
2022-04-27 Mexico - Guatemala 0:0 friendly in USA
Both friendlies became 0:3 forfeit losses for Mexico and the recalculated matches with the January points totals and 0:3 losses showed that the following correction terms were applied in January:
MEX -2,076
GUA +2,436
ECU -0,360
In the Important info section of this blog you can find a download link to the updated detailed points calculation of the April 2023 ranking.
Care to explain how a match which Ecuador already won and is now awarded changes their points?
DeleteThat's how FIFA processes first played and (long) afterwards forfeited matches: they recalculate the forfeited match result (0:3) with the points of each team on the moment the decision to sanction is taken and correct each team's points tally in January with the difference between the points exchanged for the forfeited result minus the points exchanged for the original match result.
DeleteIn this case, although in the match result nothing changes (2:3 becomes 0:3), the points of Mexico and Ecuador in January 2023 were such that Ecuador now got less points from that match than in October 2021. So their points tally in January was corrected with a negative term of 0.360 points.
Strange, but completely according to FIFA's 'rules' (which are btw never explained anywhere, it is just from past experience that I know how they handle such cases).
Anyone know how these numbers are obtained? If I calculate the awarded matches on this date I get different numbers, namely -3.2375 and 3.2375 for Mexico and Ecuador instead of the -3.6379 and 3.6379 for original match, actually giving Mexico a positive effect of using an illegal player of 0.4003 and Ecuador a negative effect. And then -4.3128 and 4.3128 for Mexico and Ecuador rather than the original -1.8761 and 1.8761 for the original match. This would mean a loss of -2.0363 for Mexico, a loss of -0.4003 for Ecuador and a 2.4357 gain for Guatemala, different from the correction applied above by Ed at least for Mexico and Ecuador.
DeleteSorry, the -4.3128 and 4.3128 are for Mexico and Guatemala, not Mexico and Ecuador for the second match.
DeleteI noted the same anomaly already in my comment above from April 7th 15:58. When using 1645 instead of 1635 as Mexico's starting points for the recalculation of the October friendly against Ecuador, the 0.04 differences are solved and FIFA's April ranking can be matched completely (on the given 2 decimals).
DeleteBut why not use 1635 which is after all Mexico's points tally in January ? I can't think of an explanation.
Ed. What coefficient FIFA gave to 2022 Finalissima and which coefficient thay use for Nations League Groups and Final 4?
ReplyDeleteI assume you mean the match-weight factor (I).
ReplyDeleteThe UEFA-CONMEBOL Finalissima last year was for ranking purposes considered as a friendly so had an I of 10.
UEFA NL group matches have always had an I of 15. CONCACAF NL group matches had in the first edition (2020) an I of 25, but the second and most recent edition (2023) also had I=15 for the group matches. The Nations League Final Four matches, both for UEFA and CONCACAF, have an I of 25.
Bangladesh
ReplyDelete