FIFA ranking: July 2023 probable ranking

The July 2023 ranking, to be published on Thursday July 20th, will only be the second ranking of 2023. It seems FIFA decided from now on to publish a ranking only after a NT window has been completed. In this case, immediately following the June window, the Gold Cup will be played so the publication was delayed a bit more to mid July to be able to include that continental final tournament.

In the upcoming June window the following tournaments will be played, besides a lot of friendlies:

• the inaugural Central Asian Nations Cup in Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan;
• matchday 5 in the group stage of the African Cup of Nations 2023 qualification;
• the Final Four of the UEFA Nations League in the Netherlands;
• the Final Four of the CONCACAF Nations League in the USA;
• the final qualification round for the CONCACAF Gold Cup 2023, three paths of semi final and final play-offs to determine the last three participants for the final tournament which will start one week later;
• matchdays 3 and 4 in the group stage of the UEFA EURO 2024 qualification;
• the South Asian Championship in India;
• the CONCACAF Gold Cup in the USA (with 1 match in Canada);
• the COSAFA Cup in South Africa (no match schedule published yet, a schedule for the group stage matches has been assumed to be able to compile this preview).

Here is the probable July 2023 ranking. This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 222 currently played and scheduled and according to my method included matches, out of a total of 235 currently played and scheduled matches. See the probable results for a list of which scheduled matches are currently included.

pos Jul.	team	pts Jul.	+/- pos	+/- pts
1	Argentina	1843,73	0	2,80
2	France	1843,54	0	5,09
3	Brazil	1838,37	0	4,16
4	Belgium	1800,96	0	8,43
5	England	1797,37	0	4,94
6	Netherlands	1754,91	0	23,68
7	Croatia	1730,02	0	0
8	USA	1728,47	5	74,70
9	Italy	1720,30	-1	6,64
10	Portugal	1718,44	-1	11,22
11	Spain	1689,84	-1	6,99
12	Mexico	1689,63	3	57,76
13	Morocco	1685,42	-2	7,63
14	Switzerland	1673,62	-2	9,38
15	Germany	1655,09	-1	7,67
16	Uruguay	1633,13	0	1,84
17	Senegal	1615,01	1	1,80
18	Colombia	1615,00	-1	-2,08
19	Denmark	1609,87	0	15,34
20	Japan	1590,91	0	2,32
21	Peru	1561,25	0	0,05
22	Poland	1557,06	1	3,30
23	Iran	1557,03	1	3,80
24	Serbia	1551,78	1	10,26
25	Sweden	1546,81	-3	-11,89
26	Wales	1542,94	0	3,99
27	Tunisia	1541,72	1	5,96
28	Korea Republic	1539,26	-1	3,25
29	Ukraine	1537,43	1	7,39
30	Australia	1530,45	-1	-2,34
31	Hungary	1516,76	2	12,52
32	Austria	1515,86	0	7,62
33	Chile	1511,31	-2	-0,01
34	Algeria	1511,18	0	6,99
35	Costa Rica	1509,71	4	18,59
36	Egypt	1508,71	-1	8,04
37	Scotland	1508,01	-1	7,49
38	Czech Republic	1503,58	0	8,54
39	Russia	1495,53	-2	0
40	Canada	1488,30	7	45,64
41	Ecuador	1486,57	0	8,44
42	Nigeria	1486,48	-2	5,68
43	Turkey	1472,56	0	6,86
44	Norway	1470,75	0	6,98
45	Cameroon	1468,47	-3	-1,74
46	Cote d'Ivoire	1458,53	-1	8,58
47	Paraguay	1442,63	1	1,98
48	Greece	1441,06	4	8,05
49	Mali	1438,01	4	7,26
50	Slovakia	1434,66	1	0,89
51	Burkina Faso	1431,56	-1	-2,35
52	Romania	1431,48	-6	-13,10
53	Republic of Ireland	1426,26	-4	-10,05
54	Saudi Arabia	1421,46	0	0
55	Finland	1419,47	1	14,16
56	Panama	1418,34	2	19,11
57	Venezuela	1417,19	-2	6,72
58	Bosnia-Herzegovina	1406,21	-1	3,17
59	Ghana	1403,63	1	7,62
60	Jamaica	1394,99	3	13,12
61	Qatar	1388,12	0	-0,49
62	Northern Ireland	1386,17	0	0,24
63	Slovenia	1378,54	-4	-19,93
64	Iceland	1365,29	0	-3,74
65	Albania	1357,39	3	12,44
66	North Macedonia	1350,45	-1	-12,62
67	South Africa	1348,90	-1	-1,18
68	Iraq	1345,21	-1	-2,63
69	Oman	1341,35	4	7,81
70	Cape Verde Islands	1337,27	1	0,22
71	United Arab Emirates	1336,28	1	0
72	Montenegro	1331,06	-3	-12,22
73	Uzbekistan	1329,60	1	11,24
74	Congo DR	1325,11	-4	-13,50
75	Israel	1323,81	3	16,40
76	Bulgaria	1315,24	0	-0,50
77	Georgia	1312,54	0	1,03
78	Gabon	1310,25	4	13,51
79	China PR	1304,78	2	6,80
80	Guinea	1296,75	-1	-9,17
81	Bolivia	1295,09	2	-1,33
82	Jordan	1291,34	2	-1,92
83	Haiti	1290,44	4	14,48
84	El Salvador	1286,71	-9	-31,59
85	Bahrain	1282,05	0	0
86	Zambia	1276,38	0	-4,14
87	Curacao	1270,60	1	-1,66
88	Honduras	1259,25	-8	-41,13
89	Uganda	1250,32	0	-6,98
90	Syria	1246,62	0	-0,13
91	Luxembourg	1242,53	0	-3,25
92	Benin	1235,63	0	-4,82
93	Vietnam	1233,23	2	3,54
94	Palestine	1233,02	-1	-6,17
95	Armenia	1228,17	2	4,09
96	Equatorial Guinea	1226,83	-2	-5,95
97	Kyrgyzstan	1220,87	-1	-4,57
98	Lebanon	1210,63	1	7,89
99	India	1209,88	2	9,22
100	Kenya	1207,17	2	6,99
101	Kosovo	1204,69	6	18,43
102	Namibia	1202,02	4	11,53
103	New Zealand	1200,78	-3	-0,28
104	Mauritania	1192,81	1	-1,47
105	Congo	1190,63	-2	-7,26
106	Belarus	1187,28	-8	-22,89
107	Guatemala	1182,78	9	18,14
108	Estonia	1179,39	0	-3,11
109	Thailand	1179,32	5	7,44
110	Guinea-Bissau	1178,93	3	6,63
111	Tajikistan	1177,04	-2	-5,20
112	Madagascar	1173,59	-2	-7,62
113	Kazakhstan	1173,24	-1	-3,81
114	Korea DPR	1169,96	1	0
115	Trinidad and Tobago	1167,71	-11	-29,90
116	Cyprus	1163,95	-5	-15,50
117	Angola	1161,69	1	3,12
118	Gambia	1159,82	2	8,83
119	Mozambique	1156,87	0	2,23
120	Sierra Leone	1156,11	-3	-5,68
121	Central African Republic	1146,00	1	0,31
122	Azerbaijan	1143,22	2	0,97
123	Tanzania	1138,79	7	12,90
124	Zimbabwe	1138,56	2	0
125	Malawi	1135,01	2	0,37
126	Sudan	1134,10	2	1,48
127	Libya	1130,75	-6	-15,07
128	Niger	1129,67	-5	-12,90
129	Togo	1128,38	0	-1,43
130	Faroe Islands	1126,30	-5	-12,68
131	Comoros	1107,57	0	-4,32
132	Antigua and Barbuda	1107,51	1	0
133	Philippines	1105,61	3	7,94
134	Rwanda	1101,96	1	1,29
135	Solomon Islands	1097,61	-1	-6,00
136	Latvia	1095,62	-4	-14,93
137	Malaysia	1091,57	1	9,44
138	Turkmenistan	1087,35	-1	-7,85
139	Suriname	1086,07	2	10,35
140	Kuwait	1080,17	3	8,25
141	Ethiopia	1074,01	1	1,02
142	St. Kitts and Nevis	1073,28	-3	-8,12
143	Eswatini	1068,05	1	-1,84
144	Burundi	1060,06	1	-9,65
145	Lithuania	1057,79	1	-10,74
146	Nicaragua	1053,00	-6	-26,17
147	Liberia	1049,94	1	0
148	Hong Kong	1049,78	-1	-7,25
149	Botswana	1049,43	3	12,12
150	Indonesia	1047,46	-1	1,32
151	Lesotho	1045,59	-1	-0,43
152	Dominican Republic	1036,74	-1	-1,39
153	Maldives	1024,54	1	-0,18
154	Andorra	1022,30	-1	-8,22
155	Yemen	1020,37	2	0
156	Afghanistan	1020,32	-1	-2,72
157	Singapore	1014,78	1	0,74
158	Chinese Taipei	1013,23	-2	-7,79
159	Papua New Guinea	1003,28	0	-4,18
160	Myanmar	1000,26	0	1,85
161	New Caledonia	995,58	0	0
162	Tahiti	995,11	0	0
163	Vanuatu	986,39	1	-0,26
164	South Sudan	984,53	-1	-8,83
165	Barbados	981,73	2	-2,32
166	Guyana	980,61	4	4,80
167	Fiji	980,48	1	0
168	St. Lucia	978,91	1	0
169	Cuba	975,34	-4	-10,86
170	Puerto Rico	975,05	-4	-10,36
171	Malta	967,89	1	-4,90
172	Bermuda	966,27	1	0
173	Moldova	965,69	-2	-7,22
174	Nepal	955,53	0	-7,57
175	Cambodia	952,97	1	4,38
176	Grenada	948,27	-1	-12,13
177	Belize	939,96	0	0
178	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	938,28	0	0
179	Montserrat	938,02	0	0
180	Mauritius	931,00	0	-1,02
181	Chad	930,22	0	0
182	Macau	913,68	0	-4,25
183	Dominica	904,88	3	0
184	Mongolia	903,76	-1	-7,98
185	Bhutan	900,60	0	-5,76
186	American Samoa	900,27	1	0
187	Sao Tomé e Príncipe	900,07	-3	-6,63
188	Laos	899,58	0	0
189	Cook Islands	899,33	0	0
190	Samoa	894,26	0	0
191	Brunei Darussalam	891,12	0	0
192	Bangladesh	879,21	0	-4,67
193	Djibouti	868,30	0	-6,75
194	Tonga	861,81	0	0
195	Timor-Leste	860,45	1	0
196	Cayman Islands	859,83	2	0
197	Seychelles	856,62	0	-3,51
198	Eritrea	855,56	2	0
199	Pakistan	854,95	-4	-6,23
200	Somalia	854,72	1	0
201	Bahamas	852,87	2	0
202	Gibraltar	851,64	-1	-3,08
203	Aruba	850,88	1	0
204	Liechtenstein	848,78	-5	-6,99
205	Turks and Caicos Islands	839,39	0	0
206	Guam	838,33	0	0
207	Sri Lanka	825,25	0	0
208	US Virgin Islands	816,59	0	0
209	British Virgin Islands	804,11	0	0
210	Anguilla	785,69	0	0
211	San Marino	753,11	0	-6,01

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About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.