FIFA ranking: October 2023 probable ranking

Here is the probable October 2023 ranking, to be published on Thursday October 26th. In the upcoming October window matches for the following tournaments will be played:

- the CONCACAF Nations League 2024 group stage continues with match days 3 and 4. In league A these are already the final group matches. Numbers 1 and 2 in both groups will continue to the new quarter finals in November against one of the four CONCACAF top seeds;

- match days 7 and 8 of qualification for EURO 2024;

- qualification for the World Cup 2026: match days 3 and 4 in the South American group and the first round home-and-away play-offs in Asia;

- lots of friendlies, most involving African and Asian teams, some also in tournaments like the Melanesian Cup and the Merdeka tournament in Malaysia.

- the postponed qualifier between Morocco and Liberia for the African Cup of Nations 2023. Morocco is already qualified. The draw for this tournament in January 2024 in Cote d'Ivoire will be staged on October 12th.

This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 154 currently played and scheduled and according to my method included matches, out of a total of 176 currently played and scheduled matches. See the probable results for a list of which scheduled matches are currently included.

pos Oct.	team	pts Oct.	+/- pos	+/- pts
1	Argentina	1861,50	0	10,09
2	Brazil	1849,20	1	11,59
3	France	1840,69	-1	-0,07
4	England	1795,38	0	1,04
5	Belgium	1793,95	0	1,31
6	Croatia	1761,39	0	13,56
7	Netherlands	1751,32	0	8,17
8	Portugal	1739,83	0	11,25
9	Italy	1730,31	0	2,94
10	Spain	1725,97	0	15,25
11	USA	1680,85	0	2,14
12	Mexico	1663,90	0	2,44
13	Morocco	1663,49	0	5,17
14	Switzerland	1663,36	0	9,25
15	Colombia	1638,82	1	9,22
16	Germany	1638,54	-1	0,64
17	Japan	1612,99	2	7,79
18	Denmark	1612,15	0	5,31
19	Uruguay	1606,73	-2	-19,79
20	Senegal	1600,86	0	3,85
21	Iran	1563,85	0	2,59
22	Ukraine	1549,33	2	10,91
23	Austria	1547,37	2	10,01
24	Peru	1544,86	-2	-7,05
25	Korea Republic	1540,32	1	7,31
26	Hungary	1534,10	6	16,37
27	Sweden	1533,02	-4	-5,82
28	Poland	1531,78	2	7,17
29	Australia	1531,25	-2	-0,47
30	Serbia	1525,40	-2	-4,09
31	Tunisia	1516,14	-2	-9,09
32	Czech Republic	1514,37	5	13,93
33	Algeria	1512,90	1	3,40
34	Scotland	1512,26	-3	-10,41
35	Egypt	1511,95	0	3,02
36	Ecuador	1508,59	2	10,93
37	Wales	1504,19	-4	-6,33
38	Russia	1497,85	1	2,32
39	Chile	1491,31	-3	-13,45
40	Nigeria	1490,48	0	1,62
41	Turkey	1473,50	1	-1,90
42	Cameroon	1471,74	-1	-3,86
43	Norway	1469,56	0	-1,32
44	Panama	1461,17	1	8,92
45	Romania	1458,86	2	10,84
46	Canada	1454,95	-2	-3,63
47	Costa Rica	1452,10	-1	0
48	Slovakia	1445,07	0	2,23
49	Mali	1444,75	0	3,03
50	Cote d'Ivoire	1439,27	0	1,38
51	Paraguay	1436,96	1	4,88
52	Venezuela	1433,17	1	10,34
53	Greece	1430,90	-2	-6,36
54	Slovenia	1428,10	5	23,38
55	Republic of Ireland	1419,33	0	3,01
56	Jamaica	1413,99	0	0,26
57	Saudi Arabia	1413,85	0	1,03
58	Finland	1413,46	-4	-4,97
59	Burkina Faso	1407,38	-1	-1,49
60	Qatar	1395,11	1	-0,46
61	Ghana	1394,77	-1	-5,23
62	Albania	1372,29	0	-5,18
63	Bosnia-Herzegovina	1368,30	0	-2,07
64	South Africa	1366,25	1	-2,00
65	Congo DR	1366,18	-1	-3,41
66	Iceland	1365,54	1	13,61
67	North Macedonia	1358,64	-1	-4,31
68	Iraq	1350,35	1	2,97
69	United Arab Emirates	1348,87	1	6,44
70	Montenegro	1344,30	-2	-5,04
71	Oman	1334,37	2	0
72	Cape Verde Islands	1333,89	-1	-3,40
73	Uzbekistan	1332,20	2	3,85
74	Israel	1327,36	-2	-8,98
75	Northern Ireland	1325,06	-1	-8,14
76	Honduras	1312,42	1	6,64
77	Georgia	1312,14	2	12,82
78	El Salvador	1307,00	-2	0
79	Bulgaria	1303,66	-1	2,92
80	China PR	1302,03	0	4,78
81	Guinea	1293,11	0	0
82	Zambia	1286,63	0	-3,01
83	Jordan	1283,78	1	-2,58
84	Bahrain	1281,46	2	7,92
85	Haiti	1277,40	2	6,64
86	Bolivia	1271,09	-3	-16,77
87	Gabon	1270,55	1	0
88	Armenia	1259,02	3	4,55
89	Uganda	1256,65	0	-3,32
90	Luxembourg	1254,44	-5	-19,11
91	Curacao	1254,01	-1	-5,39
92	Equatorial Guinea	1250,46	0	1,48
93	Syria	1245,81	0	0
94	Benin	1245,44	0	0
95	Vietnam	1232,13	0	-11,01
96	Palestine	1227,48	1	3,43
97	Kyrgyzstan	1224,03	-1	-4,57
98	Trinidad and Tobago	1217,54	0	0,30
99	Mauritania	1207,39	0	0
100	India	1198,69	2	-6,19
101	New Zealand	1198,41	3	-0,63
102	Lebanon	1198,25	-1	-7,31
103	Guatemala	1196,34	0	-3,84
104	Kazakhstan	1194,65	-4	-12,29
105	Kosovo	1194,02	6	12,11
106	Guinea-Bissau	1190,76	0	-0,12
107	Congo	1189,90	0	0
108	Estonia	1189,10	7	16,85
109	Madagascar	1187,80	-1	0
110	Belarus	1187,73	-5	-10,49
111	Tajikistan	1186,05	-1	3,04
112	Kenya	1181,82	-3	-2,32
113	Mozambique	1176,80	0	-2,23
114	Namibia	1172,41	0	0
115	Thailand	1172,39	-3	-8,82
116	Korea DPR	1169,96	0	0
117	Angola	1169,54	0	1,84
118	Gambia	1160,55	0	0
119	Togo	1158,24	0	0
120	Tanzania	1146,46	2	0
121	Malawi	1144,29	2	0
122	Sierra Leone	1144,16	2	0
123	Cyprus	1141,27	-3	-14,68
124	Zimbabwe	1138,14	1	-0,42
125	Libya	1133,60	1	0
126	Azerbaijan	1131,45	-5	-16,24
127	Central African Republic	1126,72	0	0
128	Niger	1120,01	0	0
129	Comoros	1118,62	0	0
130	Sudan	1109,22	0	0
131	Malaysia	1102,12	3	7,22
132	Solomon Islands	1100,16	1	2,55
133	Nicaragua	1099,70	5	10,68
134	Faroe Islands	1098,01	-3	-8,51
135	Antigua and Barbuda	1097,57	2	8,27
136	Philippines	1095,94	-4	-3,35
137	Kuwait	1090,60	-2	-2,78
138	Rwanda	1087,03	1	0
139	Turkmenistan	1086,12	1	0
140	Burundi	1080,43	1	0
141	Latvia	1076,70	-5	-13,29
142	Ethiopia	1072,54	0	0
143	Hong Kong	1070,01	5	17,75
144	Indonesia	1069,82	3	16,95
145	Suriname	1064,45	0	1,39
146	Eswatini	1063,30	-2	-2,39
147	Lithuania	1061,28	-4	-10,93
148	St. Kitts and Nevis	1058,06	-2	0
149	Botswana	1052,35	0	1,66
150	Liberia	1045,69	0	-2,16
151	Dominican Republic	1041,74	0	5,63
152	Chinese Taipei	1040,70	2	17,04
153	Yemen	1036,09	3	15,72
154	Lesotho	1034,18	-2	0
155	Afghanistan	1033,80	3	19,55
156	Singapore	1032,89	1	16,42
157	Maldives	1027,92	-2	6,07
158	Myanmar	1024,23	3	19,77
159	Andorra	1011,84	-6	-12,74
160	Moldova	1005,95	-1	-4,15
161	New Caledonia	1004,02	2	8,44
162	Papua New Guinea	1003,49	0	0,21
163	Guyana	1002,34	2	7,89
164	Puerto Rico	1000,34	-4	-7,89
165	Tahiti	995,11	-1	0
166	St. Lucia	987,66	0	0
167	South Sudan	986,56	0	0
168	Fiji	980,48	2	0
169	Nepal	975,73	6	21,88
170	Vanuatu	975,23	-2	-11,21
171	Cuba	974,52	-2	-6,63
172	Malta	968,25	-1	-3,77
173	Bermuda	965,24	1	6,76
174	Barbados	964,27	-2	-5,64
175	Cambodia	955,89	2	7,25
176	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	953,60	0	0
177	Grenada	950,88	-4	-8,29
178	Mauritius	942,64	0	0
179	Chad	930,22	2	0
180	Montserrat	929,20	-1	-10,68
181	Belize	925,67	-1	-6,77
182	Dominica	917,42	0	6,09
183	Cook Islands	899,33	4	0
184	Sao Tomé e Príncipe	897,69	4	0
185	Bangladesh	894,41	4	0,18
186	Djibouti	889,20	4	0
187	Mongolia	889,16	-4	-19,55
188	Bhutan	888,02	-4	-17,76
189	Macau	884,12	-4	-19,77
190	Laos	877,71	-4	-21,87
191	Brunei Darussalam	870,63	0	-16,95
192	Aruba	865,40	1	6,90
193	Cayman Islands	858,50	3	6,91
194	Somalia	854,72	0	0
195	Seychelles	853,50	0	0
196	Pakistan	846,66	1	-1,01
197	Timor-Leste	843,40	-5	-17,05
198	Gibraltar	842,18	0	-3,22
199	Liechtenstein	837,73	0	-5,90
200	Bahamas	833,56	0	-8,28
201	Turks and Caicos Islands	832,16	2	7,23
202	Guam	821,91	-1	-16,42
203	Sri Lanka	809,53	-1	-15,72
204	US Virgin Islands	803,40	0	-13,81
205	British Virgin Islands	798,80	0	-13,32
206	Anguilla	785,69	0	0
207	San Marino	746,98	0	-3,29

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Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.