FIFA ranking: April 2024 probable ranking

Here is the probable April 2024 ranking, to be published on Thursday April 4th. A very diverse offering of matches in the upcoming March window:

- match days 3 and 4 in the groups for AFC World Cup 2026 qualification;

- CONCACAF World Cup 2026 qualification starts with the stage 1 home-and-away play-offs between the 4 lowest ranked CONCACAF teams;

- the three qualification play-off paths for the EURO 2024 with two one-off semi finals and a final in each path;

- the two one-off qualification play-offs for the Copa America 2024, played in the USA;

- a three-team qualifier group for the OFC Nations Cup 2024, played in Tonga;

- qualification for the AFCON 2025 starts with preliminary play-offs between the eight lowest ranked African teams;

- the Final Four in the CONCACAF Nations League 2024, played in the USA;

- the two-legged play-off between Lithuania and Gibraltar, deciding which team remains in league C and which team relegates to league D of the UEFA Nations League 2024/25;

- lots of friendlies, both singularly scheduled and in tournament form, with the prototype of the new FIFA Series staged in 4 countries.

This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 161 currently played and scheduled and according to my method included matches, out of a total of 172 currently played and scheduled matches. See the probable results for a list of which scheduled matches are currently included.

pos Apr.	team	pts Apr.	+/- pos	+/- pts
1	Argentina	1857,97	0	2,77
2	France	1850,50	0	5,06
3	England	1809,85	0	9,80
4	Belgium	1795,28	0	-3,18
5	Brazil	1773,79	0	-10,30
6	Portugal	1750,41	1	5,35
7	Netherlands	1747,20	-1	1,72
8	Spain	1737,35	0	4,71
9	Croatia	1720,53	1	2,96
10	Italy	1719,60	-1	0,78
11	USA	1680,99	2	19,29
12	Uruguay	1669,43	-1	3,43
13	Morocco	1666,42	-1	3,03
14	Colombia	1659,37	0	4,08
15	Mexico	1654,86	0	2,16
16	Germany	1629,30	0	-1,92
17	Senegal	1624,70	0	3,96
18	Japan	1621,88	0	7,55
19	Iran	1613,92	1	5,69
20	Denmark	1607,70	1	6,39
21	Switzerland	1606,41	-2	-7,03
22	Korea Republic	1576,11	0	9,90
23	Ukraine	1568,49	1	15,14
24	Australia	1563,93	-1	9,11
25	Austria	1549,91	0	3,81
26	Wales	1543,88	3	22,00
27	Hungary	1532,16	0	7,03
28	Sweden	1531,73	-2	0,60
29	Ecuador	1523,23	2	4,03
30	Nigeria	1522,26	-2	0
31	Serbia	1519,17	1	1,74
32	Peru	1515,82	1	3,14
33	Poland	1512,74	-3	-7,50
34	Qatar	1507,94	3	8,60
35	Scotland	1507,42	-1	0,53
36	Russia	1503,37	2	4,53
37	Egypt	1502,77	-1	2,39
38	Turkey	1495,90	-3	-9,38
39	Cote d'Ivoire	1493,76	0	-0,81
40	Czech Republic	1491,58	0	-2,46
41	Panama	1490,84	3	15,22
42	Tunisia	1488,20	-1	-2,95
43	Algeria	1487,76	0	7,52
44	Chile	1486,80	-2	-3,02
45	Norway	1482,46	1	10,10
46	Romania	1473,08	-1	0,35
47	Mali	1472,39	0	2,58
48	Slovakia	1461,60	0	-4,13
49	Canada	1461,14	1	7,38
50	Greece	1457,92	-1	3,97
51	Saudi Arabia	1456,03	2	14,63
52	Cameroon	1452,59	-1	0
53	Venezuela	1447,29	-1	0,09
54	Costa Rica	1439,17	0	1,60
55	Slovenia	1430,55	0	-0,85
56	Paraguay	1426,38	0	-4,35
57	Jamaica	1422,25	0	0,71
58	Iraq	1420,47	1	11,03
59	South Africa	1407,62	-1	-2,61
60	Burkina Faso	1405,31	1	5,39
61	Republic of Ireland	1399,74	1	0,14
62	Finland	1391,66	-2	-9,65
63	Congo DR	1388,26	0	0
64	Uzbekistan	1386,58	2	10,08
65	Albania	1380,06	-1	-2,63
66	Cape Verde Islands	1378,44	-1	1,38
67	United Arab Emirates	1366,45	2	10,90
68	North Macedonia	1364,09	0	1,92
69	Ghana	1363,42	-2	0
70	Jordan	1350,21	0	6,61
71	Montenegro	1341,81	1	-0,83
72	Bosnia-Herzegovina	1335,60	-1	-7,72
73	Georgia	1333,76	4	21,31
74	Iceland	1329,61	-1	-12,96
75	Israel	1328,97	0	5,54
76	Northern Ireland	1326,10	-2	-7,07
77	Guinea	1324,65	-1	4,23
78	Oman	1323,23	2	15,63
79	Honduras	1319,30	-1	7,87
80	Equatorial Guinea	1313,03	-1	2,53
81	Bahrain	1307,53	1	10,21
82	El Salvador	1300,14	-1	-6,00
83	Gabon	1287,33	1	-2,19
84	China PR	1287,24	4	13,46
85	Bolivia	1283,85	1	-0,70
86	Bulgaria	1282,63	-3	-7,27
87	Syria	1278,55	2	13,04
88	Zambia	1275,71	-1	0
89	Luxembourg	1273,56	-4	-11,85
90	Haiti	1262,50	0	0
91	Curacao	1262,48	0	0
92	Uganda	1246,88	0	0
93	Palestine	1238,66	4	11,46
94	Angola	1236,47	-1	-1,64
94	Belarus	1236,47	1	3,67
96	Armenia	1234,07	-2	-3,08
97	Benin	1220,71	1	-4,39
98	Trinidad and Tobago	1219,96	-2	-8,09
99	Kyrgyzstan	1213,60	5	16,63
100	Kazakhstan	1209,84	0	-5,32
101	Tajikistan	1204,26	-2	-14,63
102	Vietnam	1201,46	3	6,88
103	Kosovo	1200,88	-1	-1,89
104	Thailand	1196,82	-3	-9,90
105	Madagascar	1195,86	4	8,23
106	New Zealand	1195,09	-3	-2,38
107	Namibia	1192,13	0	0
108	Mauritania	1190,50	-2	-3,98
109	Mozambique	1184,49	1	0
110	Guatemala	1183,27	-2	-4,90
111	India	1182,89	6	17,72
112	Azerbaijan	1182,78	1	8,56
113	Kenya	1181,92	-2	0
114	Congo	1179,80	-2	0
115	Togo	1170,25	1	4,51
116	Tanzania	1164,77	3	3,79
117	Guinea-Bissau	1164,01	1	0
118	Korea DPR	1160,57	-4	-7,55
119	Lebanon	1158,96	-4	-9,11
120	Libya	1156,80	0	-2,71
121	Comoros	1156,45	0	0
122	Malawi	1149,40	0	0
123	Zimbabwe	1144,56	1	0
124	Estonia	1143,92	-1	-4,84
125	Cyprus	1141,06	0	-2,36
126	Sierra Leone	1137,36	0	0
127	Sudan	1128,74	0	0
128	Central African Republic	1128,21	1	6,87
129	Niger	1120,57	-1	-7,18
130	Gambia	1114,80	0	0
131	Solomon Islands	1113,57	0	0
132	Nicaragua	1106,39	2	2,13
133	Faroe Islands	1103,45	2	1,35
134	Rwanda	1102,44	-1	-4,60
135	Latvia	1100,91	1	3,07
136	Lithuania	1095,23	2	8,30
137	Malaysia	1094,54	-5	-15,63
138	Kuwait	1085,46	-1	-8,59
139	Burundi	1081,63	1	-4,20
140	Philippines	1075,14	-1	-11,03
141	Antigua and Barbuda	1072,66	1	0
142	Suriname	1071,85	2	0
143	Turkmenistan	1070,70	-2	-7,55
144	Ethiopia	1068,79	1	0
145	Indonesia	1065,77	-3	-6,89
146	Botswana	1065,07	0	0,57
147	St. Kitts and Nevis	1061,61	0	4,56
148	Eswatini	1061,39	1	15,51
149	Lesotho	1047,27	-1	0
150	Dominican Republic	1042,86	0	2,09
151	Liberia	1042,08	1	17,97
152	Moldova	1020,46	3	-2,14
153	Guyana	1020,31	4	2,17
154	Yemen	1017,05	-3	-10,89
155	Hong Kong	1012,83	-1	-10,08
156	South Sudan	1009,07	10	19,78
157	New Caledonia	1008,92	2	0
158	Chinese Taipei	1007,30	-5	-16,63
159	Singapore	1007,03	-3	-13,47
160	Puerto Rico	1005,52	0	-1,67
161	Maldives	1003,48	0	0
162	Afghanistan	999,97	-4	-17,71
163	Tahiti	999,48	0	0
164	Andorra	993,79	0	-4,21
165	Papua New Guinea	990,27	0	-0,34
166	St. Lucia	988,67	1	0
167	Myanmar	987,43	-5	-13,03
168	Vanuatu	982,14	2	1,81
169	Fiji	981,26	-1	0
170	Cuba	976,80	-1	-3,85
171	Bermuda	974,30	0	1,94
172	Malta	963,21	0	-4,08
173	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	953,47	0	0
174	Grenada	950,99	0	0
175	Montserrat	946,08	1	0
176	Barbados	943,80	2	0
177	Chad	939,67	4	19,30
178	Nepal	937,84	-3	-10,21
179	Mauritius	931,90	-2	-13,05
180	Cambodia	925,40	-1	-6,07
181	Dominica	922,25	-1	0
182	Belize	920,35	0	1,67
183	Bangladesh	905,30	0	-11,45
184	Bhutan	904,05	0	-8,97
185	Macau	896,62	2	0
186	Cook Islands	896,30	-1	-1,00
187	Samoa	895,84	-1	-0,94
188	American Samoa	890,97	0	0
189	Laos	889,62	0	0
190	Mongolia	884,07	0	-5,09
191	Aruba	875,82	2	-3,50
192	Sao Tomé e Príncipe	869,16	-1	-19,78
193	Djibouti	864,78	-1	-17,98
194	Brunei Darussalam	862,65	0	-7,98
195	Tonga	858,11	1	1,93
196	Cayman Islands	851,19	1	0
197	Pakistan	849,94	-2	-6,60
198	Seychelles	845,53	1	0
199	Timor-Leste	843,40	1	0
200	Bahamas	835,81	2	0
201	Gibraltar	832,50	0	-8,30
202	Somalia	830,14	-4	-15,52
203	Turks and Caicos Islands	829,53	3	10,96
204	Liechtenstein	827,75	-1	-5,26
205	Sri Lanka	824,46	-1	2,43
206	Guam	821,91	-1	0
207	British Virgin Islands	819,56	0	11,99
208	US Virgin Islands	784,79	0	-11,99
209	Anguilla	774,73	0	-10,96
210	San Marino	737,05	0	-4,56

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Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.