Here are the probable results of all 161 played and currently scheduled matches up to and including March 31st, used to calculate the April 2024 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings. Also the already played matches since February 12th, (probably) counting for the April ranking, are presented.
In the first column is indicated if the match is included or not, according to my inclusion-method. You see after the match identification data, the I-factor, the Home Team Win Expectancy (We) according to elo and according to FIFA in %.
For the already played matches the match result and the exchanged points are given.
For the scheduled matches the points exchanged in case of Win, Draw or Loss of the home team are given. In cases where matches can go to PSO, also the points exchanged when the home team wins (PSO-W) of loses (PSO-L) the penalty shoot-out are given.
Normally the home team's gained points will be the away-team's lost points. Still, both are given because there are in FIFA's calculation approach cases when they will not be the same: PSO-matches and knock-out matches in final competitions.
Before posting comments like: "Hey, my team actually beat the other team ! It's a mistake !" please take note that these are calculated predictions of scheduled matches. So no, they don't constitute my personal opinion about the matches. Just mathematics doing the job :)
At the end of this post I present the elo and FIFA prediction success rates for all matches played for the previous (February 2024) ranking. The lowest I've seen in the almost 10 years I'm keeping track of these rates. A good indication of the uncanny many surprises the Asian and African continental final tournaments dished out on us.
|
Already played |
|||||||
|
incl. |
date |
match |
tournament |
I |
We (elo) |
We (FIFA) |
res and exchanged pts |
|
Y |
2024-03-01 |
TRI - JAM |
Friendly 2024 |
5 |
38 |
32 |
L: -1,612/1,612 |
|
Y |
2024-03-03 |
TRI - JAM |
Friendly 2024 |
5 |
36 |
32 |
D: 0,901/-0,901 |
|
incl. |
date |
match |
tournament |
I |
We (elo) |
pred elo |
We (FIFA) |
W |
D |
L |
PSO-W |
PSO-L |
|
Y |
2024-03-14 |
KAZ - TKM |
Friendly 2024 |
5 |
82 |
1 |
63 |
1,9/-1,9 |
-0,6/0,6 |
-3,1/3,1 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-20 |
DJI - LBR |
CAF Nations Cup 2025 Q |
25 |
14 |
2 |
37 |
15,8/-15,8 |
3,3/-3,3 |
-9,2/9,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-20 |
SOM - SWZ |
CAF Nations Cup 2025 Q |
25 |
11 |
2 |
32 |
17,1/-17,1 |
4,6/-4,6 |
-7,9/7,9 |
||
|
N |
2024-03-20 |
SLV - BON |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
96 |
1 |
||||||
|
Y |
2024-03-20 |
SMR - SKN |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
23 |
2 |
23 |
7,7/-7,7 |
2,7/-2,7 |
-2,3/2,3 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-20 |
TGA - SAM |
OFC Nations Cup 2024 Q |
25 |
40 |
X |
46 |
13,5/-13,5 |
1,0/-1,0 |
-11,5/11,5 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
PAN - MEX |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
25 |
46 |
MEX pso win |
34 |
16,6/0,0 |
4,1/0,0 |
0,0/8,4 |
10,3/0,0 |
4,1/2,2 |
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
USA - JAM |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
25 |
80 |
1 |
71 |
7,1/0,0 |
0,0/5,4 |
0,0/17,9 |
0,9/5,4 |
0,0/11,6 |
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
AFG - IND |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
28 |
2 |
36 |
15,9/-15,9 |
3,4/-3,4 |
-9,1/9,1 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
QAT - KUW |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
90 |
1 |
83 |
4,4/-4,4 |
-8,1/8,1 |
-20,6/20,6 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
JPN - PRK |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
97 |
1 |
85 |
3,8/-3,8 |
-8,7/8,7 |
-21,2/21,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
MYA - SYR |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
7 |
2 |
27 |
18,4/-18,4 |
5,9/-5,9 |
-6,6/6,6 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
KOR - THA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
91 |
1 |
80 |
5,0/-5,0 |
-7,5/7,5 |
-20,0/20,0 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
SIN - CHN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
25 |
2 |
27 |
18,1/-18,1 |
5,6/-5,6 |
-6,9/6,9 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
TPE - KGZ |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
21 |
2 |
34 |
16,5/-16,5 |
4,0/-4,0 |
-8,5/8,5 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
OMA - MAS |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
87 |
1 |
68 |
8,0/-8,0 |
-4,5/4,5 |
-17,0/17,0 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
HKG - UZB |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
5 |
2 |
20 |
19,9/-19,9 |
7,4/-7,4 |
-5,1/5,1 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
IRN - TKM |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
98 |
1 |
89 |
2,9/-2,9 |
-9,6/9,6 |
-22,1/22,1 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
IDN - VIE |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
56 |
X |
39 |
15,4/-15,4 |
2,9/-2,9 |
-9,6/9,6 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
IRQ - PHI |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
98 |
1 |
78 |
5,6/-5,6 |
-6,9/6,9 |
-19,4/19,4 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
PAK - JOR |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
2 |
2 |
13 |
21,7/-21,7 |
9,2/-9,2 |
-3,3/3,3 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
KSA - TJK |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
87 |
1 |
70 |
7,5/-7,5 |
-5,0/5,0 |
-17,5/17,5 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
NEP - BHR |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
6 |
2 |
21 |
19,8/-19,8 |
7,3/-7,3 |
-5,2/5,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
UAE - YEM |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
95 |
1 |
78 |
5,5/-5,5 |
-7,0/7,0 |
-19,5/19,5 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
AUS - LIB |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
97 |
1 |
82 |
4,6/-4,6 |
-7,9/7,9 |
-20,4/20,4 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
PLE - BAN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
94 |
1 |
77 |
5,8/-5,8 |
-6,7/6,7 |
-19,2/19,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
RSA - AND |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
94 |
1 |
83 |
1,7/-1,7 |
-3,3/3,3 |
-8,3/8,3 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
CPV - GUY |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
84 |
1 |
80 |
2,0/-2,0 |
-3,0/3,0 |
-8,0/8,0 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
GUI - VAN |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
90 |
1 |
79 |
2,1/-2,1 |
-2,9/2,9 |
-7,9/7,9 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
BLZ - PUR |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
51 |
X |
42 |
5,8/-5,8 |
0,8/-0,8 |
-4,2/4,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
CYP - LVA |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
61 |
X |
54 |
4,6/-4,6 |
-0,4/0,4 |
-5,4/5,4 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
ECU - GUA |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
91 |
1 |
78 |
2,2/-2,2 |
-2,8/2,8 |
-7,8/7,8 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
ITA - VEN |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
74 |
1 |
74 |
2,6/-2,6 |
-2,4/2,4 |
-7,4/7,4 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
MLT - SVN |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
10 |
2 |
14 |
8,6/-8,6 |
3,6/-3,6 |
-1,4/1,4 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
MNE - BLR |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
61 |
X |
60 |
4,0/-4,0 |
-1,0/1,0 |
-6,0/6,0 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
POR - SWE |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
93 |
1 |
69 |
3,1/-3,1 |
-1,9/1,9 |
-6,9/6,9 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
RUS - SRB |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
58 |
X |
48 |
5,2/-5,2 |
0,2/-0,2 |
-4,8/4,8 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
POL - EST |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
93 |
1 |
81 |
4,8/-4,8 |
-7,7/7,7 |
-20,2/20,2 |
-1,4/7,7 |
-7,7/13,9 |
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
WAL - FIN |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
71 |
1 |
61 |
9,7/-9,7 |
-2,8/2,8 |
-15,3/15,3 |
3,4/2,8 |
-2,8/9,1 |
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
BIH - UKR |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
18 |
2 |
31 |
17,3/-17,3 |
4,8/-4,8 |
-7,7/7,7 |
11,0/-4,8 |
4,8/1,5 |
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
ISR - ISL |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
64 |
1 |
48 |
13,0/-13,0 |
0,5/-0,5 |
-12,0/12,0 |
6,7/-0,5 |
0,5/5,8 |
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
GEO - LUX |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
78 |
1 |
53 |
11,9/-11,9 |
-0,6/0,6 |
-13,1/13,1 |
5,6/0,6 |
-0,6/6,9 |
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
GRE - KAZ |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
88 |
1 |
71 |
7,2/-7,2 |
-5,3/5,3 |
-17,8/17,8 |
0,9/5,3 |
-5,3/11,6 |
|
Y |
2024-03-21 |
GIB - LTU |
UEFA Nations League 2023 |
15 |
18 |
2 |
28 |
10,8/-10,8 |
3,3/-3,3 |
-4,2/4,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
CHA - MRI |
CAF Nations Cup 2025 Q |
25 |
64 |
1 |
48 |
13,1/-13,1 |
0,6/-0,6 |
-11,9/11,9 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
STP - SSD |
CAF Nations Cup 2025 Q |
25 |
36 |
2 |
40 |
14,9/-14,9 |
2,4/-2,4 |
-10,1/10,1 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
AIA - TCA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
41 |
X |
47 |
13,3/-13,3 |
0,8/-0,8 |
-11,7/11,7 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
VIR - VGB |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
59 |
X |
49 |
12,8/-12,8 |
0,3/-0,3 |
-12,2/12,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
BOT - RWA |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
56 |
X |
46 |
5,4/-5,4 |
0,4/-0,4 |
-4,6/4,6 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
MAD - BDI |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
68 |
1 |
60 |
4,0/-4,0 |
-1,0/1,0 |
-6,0/6,0 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
ALG - BOL |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
71 |
1 |
68 |
3,2/-3,2 |
-1,8/1,8 |
-6,8/6,8 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
AZE - MNG |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
99 |
1 |
75 |
2,5/-2,5 |
-2,5/2,5 |
-7,5/7,5 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
BUL - TAN |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
63 |
X |
62 |
3,8/-3,8 |
-1,2/1,2 |
-6,2/6,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
EQG - CAM |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
98 |
1 |
81 |
1,9/-1,9 |
-3,1/3,1 |
-8,1/8,1 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
BER - BRU |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
96 |
1 |
60 |
4,0/-4,0 |
-1,0/1,0 |
-6,0/6,0 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
CTA - BHU |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
98 |
1 |
69 |
3,1/-3,1 |
-1,9/1,9 |
-6,9/6,9 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
SRI - PNG |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
13 |
2 |
34 |
6,6/-6,6 |
1,6/-1,6 |
-3,4/3,4 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
CRO - TUN |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
83 |
1 |
70 |
3,0/-3,0 |
-2,0/2,0 |
-7,0/7,0 |
0,5/2,0 |
-2,0/4,5 |
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
EGY - NZL |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
65 |
1 |
76 |
2,4/-2,4 |
-2,6/2,6 |
-7,6/7,6 |
-0,1/2,6 |
-2,6/5,1 |
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
ALB - CHI |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
40 |
X |
40 |
6,0/-6,0 |
1,0/-1,0 |
-4,0/4,0 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
ARG - SLV |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
98 |
1 |
89 |
1,1/-1,1 |
-3,9/3,9 |
-8,9/8,9 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
ARM - KOS |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
60 |
X |
53 |
4,7/-4,7 |
-0,3/0,3 |
-5,3/5,3 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
BFA - LBY |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
79 |
1 |
72 |
2,8/-2,8 |
-2,2/2,2 |
-7,2/7,2 |
||
|
N |
2024-03-22 |
COM - UGA |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
33 |
2 |
41 |
5,9/-5,9 |
0,9/-0,9 |
-4,1/4,1 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
FRO - LIE |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
85 |
1 |
74 |
2,6/-2,6 |
-2,4/2,4 |
-7,4/7,4 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
HUN - TUR |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
73 |
1 |
52 |
4,8/-4,8 |
-0,2/0,2 |
-5,2/5,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
MLI - MTN |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
80 |
1 |
74 |
2,6/-2,6 |
-2,4/2,4 |
-7,4/7,4 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
MDA - MKD |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
21 |
2 |
21 |
7,9/-7,9 |
2,9/-2,9 |
-2,1/2,1 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
MAR - ANG |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
89 |
1 |
84 |
1,6/-1,6 |
-3,4/3,4 |
-8,4/8,4 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
NED - SCO |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
83 |
1 |
71 |
2,9/-2,9 |
-2,1/2,1 |
-7,1/7,1 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
NIG - TOG |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
31 |
2 |
46 |
5,4/-5,4 |
0,4/-0,4 |
-4,6/4,6 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
NOR - CZE |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
63 |
1 |
48 |
5,2/-5,2 |
0,2/-0,2 |
-4,8/4,8 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
PER - NCA |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
95 |
1 |
83 |
1,7/-1,7 |
-3,3/3,3 |
-8,3/8,3 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
ROU - NIR |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
84 |
1 |
63 |
3,7/-3,7 |
-1,3/1,3 |
-6,3/6,3 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
SEN - GAB |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
87 |
1 |
78 |
2,2/-2,2 |
-2,8/2,8 |
-7,8/7,8 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-22 |
ESP - COL |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
57 |
X |
57 |
4,3/-4,3 |
-0,7/0,7 |
-5,7/5,7 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-23 |
CAN - TRI |
Copa America 2024 Q |
25 |
83 |
1 |
70 |
7,4/-7,4 |
-5,1/5,1 |
-17,6/17,6 |
1,1/5,1 |
-5,1/11,4 |
|
Y |
2024-03-23 |
CRC - HON |
Copa America 2024 Q |
25 |
60 |
CRC pso win |
62 |
9,5/-9,5 |
-3,0/3,0 |
-15,5/15,5 |
3,3/3,0 |
-3,0/9,2 |
|
Y |
2024-03-23 |
CIV - BEN |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
83 |
1 |
74 |
2,6/-2,6 |
-2,4/2,4 |
-7,4/7,4 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-23 |
DEN - SUI |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
68 |
1 |
49 |
5,1/-5,1 |
0,1/-0,1 |
-4,9/4,9 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-23 |
DOM - ARU |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
86 |
1 |
65 |
3,5/-3,5 |
-1,5/1,5 |
-6,5/6,5 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-23 |
ENG - BRA |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
65 |
1 |
52 |
4,8/-4,8 |
-0,2/0,2 |
-5,2/5,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-23 |
FRA - GER |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
87 |
1 |
69 |
3,1/-3,1 |
-1,9/1,9 |
-6,9/6,9 |
||
|
N |
2024-03-23 |
FGU - HAI |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
36 |
2 |
||||||
|
Y |
2024-03-23 |
IRL - BEL |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
17 |
2 |
18 |
8,2/-8,2 |
3,2/-3,2 |
-1,8/1,8 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-23 |
SVK - AUT |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
39 |
X |
42 |
5,8/-5,8 |
0,8/-0,8 |
-4,2/4,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-23 |
SAM - COK |
OFC Nations Cup 2024 Q |
25 |
51 |
X |
50 |
12,5/-12,5 |
0,0/0,0 |
-12,5/12,5 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-24 |
USA - MEX |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
25 |
62 |
1 |
51 |
12,2/0,0 |
0,0/0,3 |
0,0/12,8 |
5,9/0,3 |
0,0/6,6 |
|
Y |
2024-03-24 |
PAN - JAM |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
25 |
70 |
1 |
55 |
11,1/0,0 |
0,0/1,4 |
0,0/13,9 |
4,9/1,4 |
0,0/7,6 |
|
Y |
2024-03-24 |
BLZ - PUR |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
51 |
X |
42 |
5,8/-5,8 |
0,8/-0,8 |
-4,2/4,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-24 |
ITA - ECU |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
59 |
X |
68 |
3,2/-3,2 |
-1,8/1,8 |
-6,8/6,8 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-24 |
SMR - SKN |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
23 |
2 |
23 |
7,7/-7,7 |
2,7/-2,7 |
-2,3/2,3 |
||
|
N |
2024-03-24 |
SUR - MTQ |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
31 |
2 |
||||||
|
Y |
2024-03-24 |
VEN - GUA |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
83 |
1 |
73 |
2,7/-2,7 |
-2,3/2,3 |
-7,3/7,3 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-25 |
BOT - BDI |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
60 |
X |
48 |
5,2/-5,2 |
0,2/-0,2 |
-4,8/4,8 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-25 |
MAD - RWA |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
67 |
1 |
58 |
4,2/-4,2 |
-0,8/0,8 |
-5,8/5,8 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-25 |
BOL - AND |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
95 |
1 |
75 |
2,5/-2,5 |
-2,5/2,5 |
-7,5/7,5 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-25 |
AZE - BUL |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
70 |
1 |
39 |
6,1/-6,1 |
1,1/-1,1 |
-3,9/3,9 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-25 |
TAN - MNG |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
97 |
1 |
74 |
2,6/-2,6 |
-2,4/2,4 |
-7,4/7,4 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-25 |
CPV - EQG |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
49 |
X |
56 |
4,4/-4,4 |
-0,6/0,6 |
-5,6/5,6 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-25 |
GUI - BER |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
86 |
1 |
79 |
2,1/-2,1 |
-2,9/2,9 |
-7,9/7,9 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-25 |
CTA - PNG |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
75 |
1 |
62 |
3,8/-3,8 |
-1,2/1,2 |
-6,2/6,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-25 |
SRI - BHU |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
72 |
1 |
41 |
5,9/-5,9 |
0,9/-0,9 |
-4,1/4,1 |
||
|
N |
2024-03-25 |
TUN - NZL |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
70 |
1 |
75 |
2,5/-2,5 |
-2,5/2,5 |
-7,5/7,5 |
0,0/2,5 |
-2,5/5,0 |
|
N |
2024-03-25 |
COM - ANG |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
19 |
2 |
42 |
5,8/-5,8 |
0,8/-0,8 |
-4,2/4,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-25 |
CYP - SRB |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
10 |
2 |
19 |
8,1/-8,1 |
3,1/-3,1 |
-1,9/1,9 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-25 |
MNE - MKD |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
46 |
X |
48 |
5,2/-5,2 |
0,2/-0,2 |
-4,8/4,8 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-25 |
RUS - PAR |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
70 |
1 |
57 |
4,3/-4,3 |
-0,7/0,7 |
-5,7/5,7 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-25 |
SWE - ALB |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
72 |
1 |
64 |
3,6/-3,6 |
-1,4/1,4 |
-6,4/6,4 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
SWZ - SOM |
CAF Nations Cup 2025 Q |
25 |
89 |
1 |
70 |
7,6/-7,6 |
-4,9/4,9 |
-17,4/17,4 |
1,3/4,9 |
-4,9/11,2 |
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
LBR - DJI |
CAF Nations Cup 2025 Q |
25 |
92 |
1 |
65 |
8,8/-8,8 |
-3,7/3,7 |
-16,2/16,2 |
2,5/3,7 |
-3,7/10,0 |
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
MRI - CHA |
CAF Nations Cup 2025 Q |
25 |
46 |
CHA pso win |
50 |
12,5/-12,5 |
0,0/0,0 |
-12,5/12,5 |
6,3/0,0 |
0,0/6,2 |
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
SSD - STP |
CAF Nations Cup 2025 Q |
25 |
67 |
1 |
61 |
9,7/-9,7 |
-2,8/2,8 |
-15,3/15,3 |
3,4/2,8 |
-2,8/9,1 |
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
IND - AFG |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
84 |
1 |
65 |
8,7/-8,7 |
-3,8/3,8 |
-16,3/16,3 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
KUW - QAT |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
25 |
2 |
17 |
20,8/-20,8 |
8,3/-8,3 |
-4,2/4,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
PRK - JPN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
10 |
2 |
15 |
21,3/-21,3 |
8,8/-8,8 |
-3,7/3,7 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
SYR - MYA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
96 |
1 |
74 |
6,4/-6,4 |
-6,1/6,1 |
-18,6/18,6 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
CHN - SIN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
92 |
1 |
74 |
6,6/-6,6 |
-5,9/5,9 |
-18,4/18,4 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
THA - KOR |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
22 |
2 |
19 |
20,1/-20,1 |
7,6/-7,6 |
-4,9/4,9 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
KGZ - TPE |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
93 |
1 |
67 |
8,1/-8,1 |
-4,4/4,4 |
-16,9/16,9 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
MAS - OMA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
31 |
2 |
31 |
17,4/-17,4 |
4,9/-4,9 |
-7,6/7,6 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
TKM - IRN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
5 |
2 |
11 |
22,2/-22,2 |
9,7/-9,7 |
-2,8/2,8 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
UZB - HKG |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
98 |
1 |
80 |
5,0/-5,0 |
-7,5/7,5 |
-20,0/20,0 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
PHI - IRQ |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
6 |
2 |
22 |
19,6/-19,6 |
7,1/-7,1 |
-5,4/5,4 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
VIE - IDN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
72 |
1 |
61 |
9,8/-9,8 |
-2,7/2,7 |
-15,2/15,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
JOR - PAK |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
99 |
1 |
87 |
3,3/-3,3 |
-9,2/9,2 |
-21,7/21,7 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
TJK - KSA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
31 |
2 |
29 |
17,8/-17,8 |
5,3/-5,3 |
-7,2/7,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
BHR - NEP |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
98 |
1 |
80 |
5,0/-5,0 |
-7,5/7,5 |
-20,0/20,0 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
YEM - UAE |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
9 |
2 |
21 |
19,6/-19,6 |
7,1/-7,1 |
-5,4/5,4 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
BAN - PLE |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
10 |
2 |
23 |
19,4/-19,4 |
6,9/-6,9 |
-5,6/5,6 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
LIB - AUS |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
97 |
2 |
18 |
20,5/-20,5 |
8,0/-8,0 |
-4,5/4,5 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
VGB - VIR |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
70 |
1 |
51 |
12,3/-12,3 |
-0,2/0,2 |
-12,7/12,7 |
6,0/0,2 |
-0,2/6,5 |
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
TCA - AIA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
82 |
1 |
53 |
11,8/-11,8 |
-0,7/0,7 |
-13,2/13,2 |
5,5/0,7 |
-0,7/7,0 |
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
ALG - RSA |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
75 |
1 |
57 |
4,3/-4,3 |
-0,7/0,7 |
-5,7/5,7 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
GUY - CAM |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
92 |
1 |
58 |
4,2/-4,2 |
-0,8/0,8 |
-5,8/5,8 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
VAN - BRU |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
94 |
1 |
61 |
3,9/-3,9 |
-1,1/1,1 |
-6,1/6,1 |
||
|
N |
2024-03-26 |
CRO - EGY |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
85 |
1 |
70 |
3,0/-3,0 |
-2,0/2,0 |
-7,0/7,0 |
0,5/2,0 |
-2,0/4,5 |
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
ARG - CRC |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
96 |
1 |
83 |
1,7/-1,7 |
-3,3/3,3 |
-8,3/8,3 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
AUT - TUR |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
73 |
1 |
54 |
4,6/-4,6 |
-0,4/0,4 |
-5,4/5,4 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
BFA - NIG |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
84 |
1 |
75 |
2,5/-2,5 |
-2,5/2,5 |
-7,5/7,5 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
COL - ROU |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
85 |
1 |
67 |
3,3/-3,3 |
-1,7/1,7 |
-6,7/6,7 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
CZE - ARM |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
90 |
1 |
72 |
2,8/-2,8 |
-2,2/2,2 |
-7,2/7,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
DEN - FRO |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
98 |
1 |
87 |
1,3/-1,3 |
-3,7/3,7 |
-8,7/8,7 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
SLV - HON |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
35 |
2 |
49 |
5,1/-5,1 |
0,1/-0,1 |
-4,9/4,9 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
ENG - BEL |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
68 |
1 |
50 |
5,0/-5,0 |
0,0/0,0 |
-5,0/5,0 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
FRA - CHI |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
95 |
1 |
80 |
2,0/-2,0 |
-3,0/3,0 |
-8,0/8,0 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
GER - NED |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
51 |
X |
39 |
6,1/-6,1 |
1,1/-1,1 |
-3,9/3,9 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
HUN - KOS |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
93 |
1 |
78 |
2,2/-2,2 |
-2,8/2,8 |
-7,8/7,8 |
||
|
N |
2024-03-26 |
BIH - ISL |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
62 |
X |
51 |
4,9/-4,9 |
-0,1/0,1 |
-5,1/5,1 |
||
|
N |
2024-03-26 |
LUX - KAZ |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
68 |
1 |
56 |
4,4/-4,4 |
-0,6/0,6 |
-5,6/5,6 |
||
|
N |
2024-03-26 |
EST - FIN |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
28 |
2 |
28 |
7,2/-7,2 |
2,2/-2,2 |
-2,8/2,8 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
LVA - LIE |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
95 |
1 |
74 |
2,6/-2,6 |
-2,4/2,4 |
-7,4/7,4 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
MLT - BLR |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
33 |
2 |
26 |
7,4/-7,4 |
2,4/-2,4 |
-2,6/2,6 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
MAR - MTN |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
94 |
1 |
86 |
1,4/-1,4 |
-3,6/3,6 |
-8,6/8,6 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
NCA - CUB |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
70 |
1 |
61 |
3,9/-3,9 |
-1,1/1,1 |
-6,1/6,1 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
NOR - SVK |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
76 |
1 |
51 |
4,9/-4,9 |
-0,1/0,1 |
-5,1/5,1 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
PER - DOM |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
97 |
1 |
86 |
1,4/-1,4 |
-3,6/3,6 |
-8,6/8,6 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
IRL - SUI |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
38 |
X |
31 |
6,9/-6,9 |
1,9/-1,9 |
-3,1/3,1 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
SCO - NIR |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
91 |
1 |
66 |
3,4/-3,4 |
-1,6/1,6 |
-6,6/6,6 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
SEN - BEN |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
92 |
1 |
82 |
1,8/-1,8 |
-3,2/3,2 |
-8,2/8,2 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
SVN - POR |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
23 |
2 |
23 |
7,7/-7,7 |
2,7/-2,7 |
-2,3/2,3 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
ESP - BRA |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
68 |
1 |
45 |
5,5/-5,5 |
0,5/-0,5 |
-4,5/4,5 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
TOG - LBY |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
50 |
X |
51 |
4,9/-4,9 |
-0,1/0,1 |
-5,1/5,1 |
||
|
N |
2024-03-26 |
UGA - GHA |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
32 |
2 |
39 |
6,1/-6,1 |
1,1/-1,1 |
-3,9/3,9 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
URU - CIV |
Friendly 2024 |
10 |
90 |
1 |
66 |
3,4/-3,4 |
-1,6/1,6 |
-6,6/6,6 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
COK - TGA |
OFC Nations Cup 2024 Q |
25 |
42 |
X |
54 |
11,5/-11,5 |
-1,0/1,0 |
-13,5/13,5 |
||
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
WAL - POL |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
63 |
1 |
51 |
12,3/-12,3 |
-0,2/0,2 |
-12,7/12,7 |
6,1/0,2 |
-0,2/6,4 |
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
UKR - ISR |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
88 |
1 |
70 |
7,4/-7,4 |
-5,1/5,1 |
-17,6/17,6 |
1,2/5,1 |
-5,1/11,3 |
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
GEO - GRE |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
52 |
GEO pso win |
37 |
15,7/-15,7 |
3,2/-3,2 |
-9,3/9,3 |
9,5/-3,2 |
3,2/3,0 |
|
Y |
2024-03-26 |
LTU - GIB |
UEFA Nations League 2023 |
15 |
90 |
1 |
73 |
4,1/-4,1 |
-3,4/3,4 |
-10,9/10,9 |
0,4/3,4 |
-3,4/7,1 |
Prediction success rates
|
based on ELO We |
based on FIFA We |
number of matches included |
||||||
|
period |
all |
friendlies |
competitive |
all |
friendlies |
competitive |
all |
friendlies |
competitive |
|
2024 until now |
49% |
49% |
49% |
48% |
51% |
47% |
150 |
47 |
103 |
|
February ranking |
50% |
52% |
49% |
47% |
48% |
47% |
153 |
50 |
103 |
About me:
Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.
No comments:
Post a Comment