FIFA ranking: July 2024 probable ranking

Here is the probable July 2024 ranking, to be published on Thursday July 18th. At least, that's what I expect since FIFA doesn't publish a schedule of publication dates of rankings on their site anymore. It contains the matches in the upcoming three final continental tournaments and the last preparatory friendlies for teams from CONMEBOL and CONCACAF: 

- EURO 2024, starting tomorrow with host Germany versus Scotland;

- the OFC Nations Cup 2024, starting Saturday with host Vanuatu versus Solomon Islands. From this 8-team tournament New Caledonia has recently withdrawn, due to the ongoing political unrest in the French overseas territory;

- the Copa America 2024, starting June 20th with Argentina - Canada.

This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 103 currently played and scheduled and according to my method included matches. See the probable results for a list of which scheduled matches are currently included.

pos Jul.	team	pts Jul.	+/- pos	+/- pts
1	France	1925,34	1	86,84
2	Argentina	1918,31	-1	58,17
3	Belgium	1833,56	0	35,59
4	England	1830,27	1	42,39
5	Brazil	1823,10	-1	30,69
6	Portugal	1788,82	0	41,78
7	Netherlands	1767,31	0	20,65
8	Croatia	1748,86	1	20,56
9	Spain	1748,51	-1	18,59
10	Italy	1733,14	0	8,77
11	Germany	1727,47	5	80,69
12	Colombia	1724,08	0	54,64
13	Uruguay	1699,19	1	35,74
14	USA	1675,62	-3	-0,35
15	Morocco	1669,44	-3	0
16	Mexico	1635,53	-1	-17,74
17	Japan	1628,81	0	0
18	Senegal	1623,34	0	0
19	Iran	1611,16	1	0
20	Denmark	1607,00	1	-3,76
21	Switzerland	1594,63	-2	-22,61
22	Ecuador	1586,87	8	70,78
23	Ukraine	1582,48	1	17,11
24	Korea Republic	1572,87	-2	0
25	Australia	1571,29	-2	0
26	Austria	1556,06	-1	-3,97
27	Sweden	1522,19	1	0
28	Wales	1521,40	1	0
29	Hungary	1517,63	-2	-11,37
30	Czech Republic	1507,87	4	1,64
31	Peru	1506,81	0	-8,20
32	Russia	1506,58	1	0
33	Poland	1506,45	-7	-35,04
34	Serbia	1506,33	-2	-8,43
35	Qatar	1504,06	0	0
36	Egypt	1502,34	0	0
37	Cote d'Ivoire	1499,69	0	0
38	Nigeria	1498,93	0	0
39	Turkey	1496,58	3	3,20
40	Tunisia	1494,62	1	0
41	Scotland	1489,84	-2	-7,34
42	Chile	1488,91	-2	-7,22
43	Algeria	1474,13	1	0
44	Panama	1470,78	-1	-11,28
45	Norway	1466,48	1	0
46	Canada	1458,63	2	-3,12
47	Cameroon	1458,47	2	0
48	Mali	1456,74	2	0
49	Greece	1455,95	2	0
50	Venezuela	1451,73	4	9,44
51	Slovakia	1446,34	-6	-21,43
52	Romania	1441,36	-5	-20,99
53	Costa Rica	1435,65	-1	-18,52
54	Iraq	1433,08	1	0
55	Saudi Arabia	1431,30	1	0
56	South Africa	1416,66	3	0
57	Slovenia	1414,55	0	-15,19
58	Paraguay	1411,78	0	-15,33
59	Republic of Ireland	1403,84	1	0
60	Jamaica	1400,97	-7	-41,85
61	Congo DR	1400,93	0	0
62	Uzbekistan	1397,41	0	0
63	Finland	1393,40	0	0
64	Ghana	1381,25	0	0
65	Cape Verde Islands	1380,53	0	0
66	Burkina Faso	1375,16	1	0
67	Jordan	1374,13	1	0
68	United Arab Emirates	1368,84	1	0
69	Albania	1358,01	-3	-21,39
70	Iceland	1353,48	0	0
71	North Macedonia	1348,63	0	0
72	Montenegro	1345,02	0	0
73	Northern Ireland	1341,33	0	0
74	Bosnia-Herzegovina	1332,30	1	0
75	Oman	1326,18	1	0
76	Guinea	1324,80	1	0
77	Israel	1312,54	2	0
78	Honduras	1311,48	0	-1,57
79	Georgia	1309,22	-5	-29,69
80	Equatorial Guinea	1308,74	0	0
81	Bahrain	1302,86	1	0
82	El Salvador	1302,15	-1	-1,54
83	Bulgaria	1295,50	0	0
84	Gabon	1288,45	0	0
85	Luxembourg	1275,70	1	0
86	Haiti	1274,46	1	0
87	Curacao	1272,71	1	0
88	China PR	1267,51	1	0
89	Zambia	1258,39	1	0
90	Bolivia	1256,74	-5	-26,19
91	Benin	1254,18	0	0
92	New Zealand	1250,19	14	52,51
93	Angola	1248,94	-1	0
94	Syria	1246,68	-1	0
95	Uganda	1242,96	-1	0
96	Palestine	1231,25	-1	0
97	Armenia	1230,79	-1	0
98	Trinidad and Tobago	1222,45	-1	0
99	Belarus	1219,78	-1	0
100	Thailand	1218,56	-1	0
101	Kyrgyzstan	1213,58	-1	0
102	Tajikistan	1212,41	-1	0
103	Mozambique	1205,82	-1	0
104	Madagascar	1203,66	-1	0
105	Kosovo	1203,16	-1	0
106	Guatemala	1198,83	-1	-0,37
107	Kenya	1195,45	0	0
108	Namibia	1194,43	0	0
109	Kazakhstan	1193,62	0	0
110	Korea DPR	1183,96	0	0
111	Azerbaijan	1179,88	0	0
112	Mauritania	1177,50	0	0
113	Congo	1176,45	0	0
114	Tanzania	1174,47	0	0
115	Guinea-Bissau	1168,49	0	0
116	Vietnam	1168,02	0	0
117	Lebanon	1167,64	0	0
118	Libya	1165,73	0	0
119	Comoros	1158,71	0	0
120	Togo	1158,70	0	0
121	Sudan	1152,55	0	0
122	Sierra Leone	1149,40	0	0
123	Estonia	1146,47	0	0
124	India	1139,39	0	0
125	Malawi	1138,95	0	0
126	Cyprus	1136,78	0	0
127	Central African Republic	1129,30	0	0
128	Niger	1125,50	0	0
129	Zimbabwe	1122,56	0	0
130	Nicaragua	1119,88	0	0
131	Solomon Islands	1116,05	2	5,03
132	Rwanda	1114,17	-1	0
133	Gambia	1112,55	-1	0
134	Indonesia	1108,99	0	0
135	Malaysia	1107,58	0	0
136	Lithuania	1100,66	0	0
137	Kuwait	1098,42	0	0
138	Latvia	1095,98	0	0
139	Faroe Islands	1093,70	0	0
140	Burundi	1091,24	0	0
141	Suriname	1087,83	0	0
142	Ethiopia	1066,15	0	0
143	Turkmenistan	1065,42	0	0
144	Botswana	1064,19	0	0
145	St. Kitts and Nevis	1059,53	0	0
146	Philippines	1053,04	0	0
147	Antigua and Barbuda	1052,80	0	0
148	Lesotho	1051,47	0	0
149	Dominican Republic	1045,64	0	0
150	Fiji	1045,61	16	61,80
151	Liberia	1042,42	-1	0
152	Afghanistan	1034,37	-1	0
153	Moldova	1033,75	-1	0
154	Eswatini	1025,18	-1	0
155	Guyana	1023,57	-1	0
156	Yemen	1021,24	-1	0
157	Puerto Rico	1020,22	-1	0
158	Tahiti	1013,23	3	13,75
159	Hong Kong	1011,91	-2	0
160	New Caledonia	1008,92	-2	0
161	Singapore	1008,26	-2	0
162	Maldives	1003,48	-2	0
163	Andorra	996,05	-1	0
164	Chinese Taipei	991,34	-1	0
165	Myanmar	988,98	-1	0
166	South Sudan	980,03	1	0
167	St. Lucia	979,57	1	0
168	Cuba	975,01	1	0
169	Bermuda	971,15	2	0
170	Malta	970,62	2	0
171	Papua New Guinea	967,30	-6	-18,02
172	Grenada	951,31	1	0
173	Vanuatu	949,60	-3	-22,54
174	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	940,80	0	0
175	Nepal	935,93	0	0
176	Montserrat	934,46	0	0
177	Barbados	932,63	0	0
178	Chad	929,97	0	0
179	Mauritius	927,94	0	0
180	Cambodia	924,52	0	0
181	Dominica	912,93	1	0
182	Bhutan	904,10	1	0
183	Belize	901,35	1	0
184	Bangladesh	896,67	1	0
185	Macau	896,62	1	0
186	Cook Islands	896,59	1	0
187	American Samoa	890,97	1	0
188	Laos	889,62	1	0
189	Mongolia	884,92	1	0
190	Brunei Darussalam	881,73	1	0
191	Sao Tomé e Príncipe	877,54	1	0
192	Samoa	875,87	-11	-44,67
193	Djibouti	875,13	0	0
194	Aruba	873,90	0	0
195	Cayman Islands	865,34	0	0
196	Timor-Leste	843,40	0	0
197	Pakistan	842,59	0	0
198	Gibraltar	836,14	0	0
199	Liechtenstein	835,83	0	0
200	Tonga	833,12	0	0
201	Seychelles	831,96	0	0
202	Somalia	829,81	0	0
203	Bahamas	823,62	0	0
204	Guam	821,91	0	0
205	Sri Lanka	820,32	0	0
206	Turks and Caicos Islands	817,03	0	0
207	British Virgin Islands	801,29	0	0
208	US Virgin Islands	797,29	0	0
209	Anguilla	779,86	0	0
210	San Marino	739,64	0	0

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Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.