FIFA will publish the June ranking next Thursday June 20th. I expect yesterday June 11th though as the deadline for this ranking instead of the normal June 16th.
I have excluded both postponed WC-qualifiers Congo - Niger and Cuba - Cayman Islands from this preview, because there's yet no decision taken by FIFA regarding these cases.
This ranking will be used as seeding ranking for the draw of the third stage in Asian qualification for the World Cup 2026, scheduled for June 27th.
No teams will reach new highs or drop to new lows in this ranking.
Best movers:
8 - Mozambique, Korea DPR
6 - Benin, Madagascar, Sudan
Worst movers:
-8 - Nigeria
-7 - Mauritania, Togo, Zimbabwe
Best movers in the top 50:
3 - Slovakia
2 - Poland, Russia, Czech Republic, Chile, Panama, Cameroon
Worst movers in the top 50:
-8 - Nigeria
-6 - Mali
-2 - Ukraine, Turkey
Stay safe and healthy everybody !
pos Jun. |
team |
pts Jun. |
+/- pos |
+/- pts |
1 |
Argentina |
1860,14 |
0 |
2,14 |
2 |
France |
1838,50 |
0 |
-2,09 |
3 |
Belgium |
1797,97 |
0 |
2,74 |
4 |
Brazil |
1792,41 |
1 |
3,76 |
5 |
England |
1787,88 |
-1 |
-7,02 |
6 |
Portugal |
1747,04 |
0 |
-1,07 |
7 |
Netherlands |
1746,66 |
0 |
4,37 |
8 |
Spain |
1729,92 |
0 |
2,42 |
9 |
Croatia |
1728,30 |
1 |
7,23 |
10 |
Italy |
1724,37 |
-1 |
-0,23 |
11 |
USA |
1675,97 |
0 |
-5,16 |
12 |
Morocco |
1669,44 |
1 |
8,02 |
12 |
Colombia |
1669,44 |
0 |
5,16 |
14 |
Uruguay |
1663,45 |
1 |
4,06 |
15 |
Mexico |
1653,27 |
-1 |
-7,84 |
16 |
Germany |
1646,78 |
0 |
2,57 |
17 |
Japan |
1628,81 |
1 |
6,93 |
18 |
Senegal |
1623,34 |
-1 |
-1,39 |
19 |
Switzerland |
1617,24 |
0 |
0,83 |
20 |
Iran |
1611,16 |
0 |
-2,80 |
21 |
Denmark |
1610,76 |
0 |
8,04 |
22 |
Korea Republic |
1572,87 |
1 |
8,88 |
23 |
Australia |
1571,29 |
1 |
7,36 |
24 |
Ukraine |
1565,37 |
-2 |
-3,49 |
25 |
Austria |
1560,03 |
0 |
5,17 |
26 |
Poland |
1541,49 |
2 |
10,00 |
27 |
Hungary |
1529,00 |
-1 |
-3,20 |
28 |
Sweden |
1522,19 |
-1 |
-9,49 |
29 |
Wales |
1521,40 |
0 |
-9,98 |
30 |
Ecuador |
1516,09 |
1 |
-2,14 |
31 |
Peru |
1515,01 |
1 |
-0,81 |
32 |
Serbia |
1514,76 |
1 |
0,56 |
33 |
Russia |
1506,58 |
2 |
2,56 |
34 |
Czech Republic |
1506,23 |
2 |
4,76 |
35 |
Qatar |
1504,06 |
-1 |
-3,88 |
36 |
Egypt |
1502,34 |
1 |
2,62 |
37 |
Cote d'Ivoire |
1499,69 |
1 |
0,89 |
38 |
Nigeria |
1498,93 |
-8 |
-21,34 |
39 |
Scotland |
1497,18 |
0 |
-0,28 |
40 |
Chile |
1496,13 |
2 |
4,42 |
41 |
Tunisia |
1494,62 |
0 |
1,50 |
42 |
Turkey |
1493,38 |
-2 |
-2,56 |
43 |
Panama |
1482,06 |
2 |
6,44 |
44 |
Algeria |
1474,13 |
-1 |
-8,58 |
45 |
Slovakia |
1467,77 |
3 |
6,22 |
46 |
Norway |
1466,48 |
1 |
-1,03 |
47 |
Romania |
1462,35 |
-1 |
-5,82 |
48 |
Canada |
1461,75 |
1 |
0,59 |
49 |
Cameroon |
1458,47 |
2 |
5,88 |
50 |
Mali |
1456,74 |
-6 |
-21,16 |
51 |
Greece |
1455,95 |
-1 |
-1,94 |
52 |
Costa Rica |
1454,17 |
0 |
8,79 |
53 |
Jamaica |
1442,82 |
2 |
7,49 |
54 |
Venezuela |
1442,29 |
0 |
0 |
55 |
Iraq |
1433,08 |
3 |
12,61 |
56 |
Saudi Arabia |
1431,30 |
-3 |
-12,23 |
57 |
Slovenia |
1429,74 |
0 |
1,90 |
58 |
Paraguay |
1427,11 |
-2 |
-3,62 |
59 |
South Africa |
1416,66 |
0 |
8,99 |
60 |
Republic of Ireland |
1403,84 |
0 |
4,10 |
61 |
Congo DR |
1400,93 |
2 |
12,67 |
62 |
Uzbekistan |
1397,41 |
2 |
10,83 |
63 |
Finland |
1393,40 |
-2 |
-1,04 |
64 |
Ghana |
1381,25 |
4 |
22,48 |
65 |
Cape Verde Islands |
1380,53 |
0 |
-2,91 |
66 |
Albania |
1379,40 |
0 |
4,30 |
67 |
Burkina Faso |
1375,16 |
-5 |
-15,22 |
68 |
Jordan |
1374,13 |
3 |
23,92 |
69 |
United Arab Emirates |
1368,84 |
-2 |
2,39 |
70 |
Iceland |
1353,48 |
2 |
6,66 |
71 |
North Macedonia |
1348,63 |
-2 |
-5,56 |
72 |
Montenegro |
1345,02 |
-2 |
-6,70 |
73 |
Northern Ireland |
1341,33 |
0 |
0,28 |
74 |
Georgia |
1338,91 |
1 |
5,15 |
75 |
Bosnia-Herzegovina |
1332,30 |
-1 |
-3,30 |
76 |
Oman |
1326,18 |
1 |
2,95 |
77 |
Guinea |
1324,80 |
-1 |
0,15 |
78 |
Honduras |
1313,05 |
4 |
11,13 |
79 |
Israel |
1312,54 |
-1 |
1,15 |
80 |
Equatorial Guinea |
1308,74 |
-1 |
0,71 |
81 |
El Salvador |
1303,69 |
0 |
-1,33 |
82 |
Bahrain |
1302,86 |
-2 |
-4,67 |
83 |
Bulgaria |
1295,50 |
0 |
2,91 |
84 |
Gabon |
1288,45 |
0 |
1,12 |
85 |
Bolivia |
1282,93 |
0 |
-0,96 |
86 |
Luxembourg |
1275,70 |
1 |
-2,24 |
87 |
Haiti |
1274,46 |
3 |
11,96 |
88 |
Curacao |
1272,71 |
3 |
10,23 |
89 |
China PR |
1267,51 |
-1 |
-7,71 |
90 |
Zambia |
1258,39 |
-4 |
-19,87 |
91 |
Benin |
1254,18 |
6 |
28,50 |
92 |
Angola |
1248,94 |
2 |
13,18 |
93 |
Syria |
1246,68 |
-4 |
-19,84 |
94 |
Uganda |
1242,96 |
-2 |
0,81 |
95 |
Palestine |
1231,25 |
-2 |
-7,41 |
96 |
Armenia |
1230,79 |
-1 |
1,61 |
97 |
Trinidad and Tobago |
1222,45 |
1 |
1,80 |
98 |
Belarus |
1219,78 |
-2 |
-6,76 |
99 |
Thailand |
1218,56 |
2 |
9,63 |
100 |
Kyrgyzstan |
1213,58 |
0 |
-0,02 |
101 |
Tajikistan |
1212,41 |
-2 |
-4,35 |
102 |
Mozambique |
1205,82 |
8 |
21,33 |
103 |
Madagascar |
1203,66 |
6 |
17,80 |
104 |
Kosovo |
1203,16 |
-2 |
-2,69 |
105 |
Guatemala |
1199,20 |
3 |
10,93 |
106 |
New Zealand |
1197,68 |
-2 |
0 |
107 |
Kenya |
1195,45 |
0 |
4,21 |
108 |
Namibia |
1194,43 |
-2 |
2,30 |
109 |
Kazakhstan |
1193,62 |
-6 |
-10,02 |
110 |
Korea DPR |
1183,96 |
8 |
23,39 |
111 |
Azerbaijan |
1179,88 |
1 |
2,05 |
112 |
Mauritania |
1177,50 |
-7 |
-18,00 |
113 |
Congo |
1176,45 |
-2 |
-3,35 |
114 |
Tanzania |
1174,47 |
5 |
14,66 |
115 |
Guinea-Bissau |
1168,49 |
1 |
5,05 |
116 |
Vietnam |
1168,02 |
-1 |
3,48 |
117 |
Lebanon |
1167,64 |
3 |
8,68 |
118 |
Libya |
1165,73 |
-4 |
-0,98 |
119 |
Comoros |
1158,71 |
-2 |
-4,31 |
120 |
Togo |
1158,70 |
-7 |
-11,64 |
121 |
Sudan |
1152,55 |
6 |
23,23 |
122 |
Sierra Leone |
1149,40 |
4 |
12,04 |
123 |
Estonia |
1146,47 |
0 |
5,34 |
124 |
India |
1139,39 |
-3 |
-6,55 |
125 |
Malawi |
1138,95 |
0 |
-1,98 |
126 |
Cyprus |
1136,78 |
-2 |
-4,25 |
127 |
Central African Republic |
1129,30 |
1 |
1,13 |
128 |
Niger |
1125,50 |
1 |
0 |
129 |
Zimbabwe |
1122,56 |
-7 |
-21,10 |
130 |
Nicaragua |
1119,88 |
5 |
17,34 |
131 |
Rwanda |
1114,17 |
0 |
1,73 |
132 |
Gambia |
1112,55 |
-2 |
-2,25 |
133 |
Solomon Islands |
1111,02 |
-1 |
0 |
134 |
Indonesia |
1108,99 |
0 |
6,29 |
135 |
Malaysia |
1107,58 |
3 |
13,04 |
136 |
Lithuania |
1100,66 |
1 |
5,43 |
137 |
Kuwait |
1098,42 |
2 |
12,96 |
138 |
Latvia |
1095,98 |
-2 |
0,07 |
139 |
Faroe Islands |
1093,70 |
-6 |
-9,73 |
140 |
Burundi |
1091,24 |
0 |
9,61 |
141 |
Suriname |
1087,83 |
3 |
15,98 |
142 |
Ethiopia |
1066,15 |
3 |
-2,33 |
143 |
Turkmenistan |
1065,42 |
0 |
-7,10 |
144 |
Botswana |
1064,19 |
2 |
-0,88 |
145 |
St. Kitts and Nevis |
1059,53 |
2 |
2,92 |
146 |
Philippines |
1053,04 |
-5 |
-22,10 |
147 |
Antigua and Barbuda |
1052,80 |
-5 |
-19,86 |
148 |
Lesotho |
1051,47 |
1 |
3,89 |
149 |
Dominican Republic |
1045,64 |
1 |
2,78 |
150 |
Liberia |
1042,42 |
2 |
12,84 |
151 |
Afghanistan |
1034,37 |
0 |
-2,55 |
152 |
Moldova |
1033,75 |
1 |
4,90 |
153 |
Eswatini |
1025,18 |
-5 |
-23,71 |
154 |
Guyana |
1023,57 |
0 |
3,26 |
155 |
Yemen |
1021,24 |
1 |
4,19 |
156 |
Puerto Rico |
1020,22 |
4 |
13,87 |
157 |
Hong Kong |
1011,91 |
0 |
-0,92 |
158 |
New Caledonia |
1008,92 |
0 |
0 |
159 |
Singapore |
1008,26 |
-4 |
-10,80 |
160 |
Maldives |
1003,48 |
1 |
0 |
161 |
Tahiti |
999,48 |
1 |
0 |
162 |
Andorra |
996,05 |
2 |
-2,70 |
163 |
Chinese Taipei |
991,34 |
-4 |
-15,96 |
164 |
Myanmar |
988,98 |
-1 |
-10,48 |
165 |
Papua New Guinea |
985,32 |
1 |
0 |
166 |
Fiji |
983,81 |
2 |
0 |
167 |
South Sudan |
980,03 |
0 |
-4,62 |
168 |
St. Lucia |
979,57 |
-3 |
-9,10 |
169 |
Cuba |
975,01 |
0 |
-5,64 |
170 |
Vanuatu |
972,14 |
2 |
0 |
171 |
Bermuda |
971,15 |
-1 |
-3,15 |
172 |
Malta |
970,62 |
-1 |
-2,52 |
173 |
Grenada |
951,31 |
1 |
0,32 |
174 |
St. Vincent and the Grenadines |
940,80 |
-1 |
-12,67 |
175 |
Nepal |
935,93 |
3 |
-1,91 |
176 |
Montserrat |
934,46 |
-1 |
-11,62 |
177 |
Barbados |
932,63 |
0 |
-11,17 |
178 |
Chad |
929,97 |
-2 |
-15,95 |
179 |
Mauritius |
927,94 |
4 |
8,54 |
180 |
Cambodia |
924,52 |
-1 |
-0,88 |
181 |
Samoa |
920,54 |
0 |
0 |
182 |
Dominica |
912,93 |
-2 |
-9,32 |
183 |
Bhutan |
904,10 |
2 |
0 |
184 |
Belize |
901,35 |
-2 |
-18,17 |
185 |
Bangladesh |
896,67 |
-1 |
-8,63 |
186 |
Macau |
896,62 |
0 |
0 |
187 |
Cook Islands |
896,59 |
0 |
0 |
188 |
American Samoa |
890,97 |
1 |
0 |
189 |
Laos |
889,62 |
1 |
0 |
190 |
Mongolia |
884,92 |
1 |
0,88 |
191 |
Brunei Darussalam |
881,73 |
3 |
9,08 |
192 |
Sao Tomé e PrÃncipe |
877,54 |
-4 |
-16,04 |
193 |
Djibouti |
875,13 |
-1 |
-2,15 |
194 |
Aruba |
873,90 |
-1 |
-1,92 |
195 |
Cayman Islands |
865,34 |
1 |
17,53 |
196 |
Timor-Leste |
843,40 |
2 |
0 |
197 |
Pakistan |
842,59 |
-2 |
-7,35 |
198 |
Gibraltar |
836,14 |
5 |
3,64 |
199 |
Liechtenstein |
835,83 |
3 |
3,08 |
200 |
Tonga |
833,12 |
1 |
0 |
201 |
Seychelles |
831,96 |
-4 |
-13,57 |
202 |
Somalia |
829,81 |
-3 |
-12,83 |
203 |
Bahamas |
823,62 |
-3 |
-12,19 |
204 |
Guam |
821,91 |
1 |
0 |
205 |
Sri Lanka |
820,32 |
-1 |
-9,09 |
206 |
Turks and Caicos Islands |
817,03 |
0 |
0 |
207 |
British Virgin Islands |
801,29 |
0 |
-12,02 |
208 |
US Virgin Islands |
797,29 |
0 |
0 |
209 |
Anguilla |
779,86 |
0 |
-13,62 |
210 |
San Marino |
739,64 |
0 |
-2,41 |
About me:
Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.
Portugal and Ukraine played 3 matches ( the Max. number of matches is two )
ReplyDeletebut june window is not for UEFA
If the coefficient is 5 for UEFA team ,
What's the coefficient for France/Netherlands (UEFA team) vs Canada (CONCACAF team)? 5 or 10.
We will see what I-factor will be used, but I expect that the 'June window is not for UEFA' shall have no effect on the ranking calculation. In the preview above the mentioned friendlies are calculated with I=10.
DeleteAnd all friendlies for UEFA teams are included, even the three for Portugal and Ukraine.
i-factor, schmai-factor. All matches for Portugal and Ukraine just have an importance of 10, as do the matches for Netherlands and France against Canada.
DeleteThe only irregular thing (apart from the "normal" irregular things!!!) is that the calculations for the awarded matches involving Equatorial Guinea are not "logical" by calculating the ranking difference using the nations' points at the start of the ranking. While I calculate that Equatorial Guinea should lose -51.5245 points, FIFA calculates that they lose something like 50.3865 points. I calculate that Namibia should gain around 25.8764 points, but actually only gain 25.2184 points. And for Liberia I reckon it should be 25.6481, but it is more like 25.1681.
And as expected the cut-off for matches is either 12 or 13 June, but with no matches on 13 June let's assume it is 12. So this ranking doesn't take into account any Euro 2024 matches. The only matches receiving 5 "I" (eye) points are the matches played on 12 June. And finally, indeed the first Thursday after the continental championship finals is the next FIFA ranking date, namely 18 July.
Indeed, all friendlies are calculated with I=10 as long as they are played in the June window.
ReplyDeleteAll three friendlies for Ukraine and Portugal, all played inside the June window, are included.
In the June ranking the friendlies played on 12 June are included.
FIFA excluded the following friendlies that I included in the preview above:
2024-05-13 Trinidad and Tobago - Guyana 2:1 friendly in Trinidad and Tobago
2024-05-15 Sudan - Tanzania 2:1 friendly in Saudi Arabia
2024-05-15 Trinidad and Tobago - Guyana 2:0 friendly in Trinidad and Tobago
2024-05-19 Sudan - Tanzania 1:1 friendly in Saudi Arabia
2024-05-26 Grenada - St. Vincent and the Grenadines 0:3 friendly in Grenada
2024-05-31 Bolivia - Mexico 0:1 friendly in USA
2024-06-01 Lesotho - Namibia 1:1 friendly in South Africa
2024-06-02 Indonesia - Tanzania 0:0 friendly in Indonesia
2024-06-05 France - Luxembourg 3:0 friendly in France
The forfeited WC qualifiers of Equatorial Guinea against Namibia (15/11/2023) and Liberia (20/11/2023) are corrected before the start of the June window. I've given up calculating the exact correction term because it doesn't match the correction FIFA uses in the ranking anyway. So I applied the following correction terms to match FIFA's ranking on two decimals for the concerned teams:
EQG -50,39
LBR +25,17
NAM +25,22
The postponed WC-qualifiers from this June window are indeed excluded from this ranking.
Next ranking is published on Thursday July 18th.
Why did FIFA excluded so much matches? Especially France - Luxembourg? Could anyone explain me?
DeleteWhile for some matches we can make educated guesses, like:
Delete- France v Luxembourg (France used 7 substitutes)
- Indonesia v Tanzania (Indonesia used 10 substitutes)
- Bolivia v Mexico (Bolivia used 7, Mexico used 8 substitutes)
- Trinidad & Tobago v Guyana (second match: T&T used 8, Guyana used 7 substitutes)
- Trinidad & Tobago v Guyana (fist match: Guyana used 7 substitutes)
for other matches:
- Lesotho v Namibia
- Grenada v St. Vincent & the Grenadines
- Sudan v Tanzania (x2)
they may have used local rather than neutral referees for example. As FIFA prefer to hide behind self-protecting secrecy rather than full openness, we'll never know.