Saturday, July 13, 2024

FIFA ranking: July 2024 final preview

FIFA will publish the July ranking next Thursday July 18th.

I have included the forfeited WC-qualifier Congo - Niger. There is yet no decision taken by FIFA regarding the postponed WC-qualifier Cuba - Cayman Islands, so I excluded that one from this preview.

This weekend there are still 3 matches to be played: tonight the third place play-off Canada - Uruguay in the Copa America 2024 and tomorrow the two continental finals, in the Copa Argentina - Colombia and in the EURO 2024 Spain - England.


The points and positions of the involved teams will be adjusted as follows:


Canada - Uruguay

CAN pts

CAN pos

URU pts

URU pos

CAN win

1514,66

32

1711,28

11

CAN PSO win

1504,66

34

1711,28

11

URU PSO win

1494,66

40

1713,15

11

URU win

1486,53

43

1723,15

10

Argentina - Colombia

ARG pts

ARG pos

COL pts

COL pos

ARG win

1901,49

1

1727,32

9

ARG PSO win

1891,49

1

1733,28

9

COL PSO win

1887,44

1

1743,28

8

COL win

1887,44

1

1753,28

8

Spain - England

ESP pts

ESP pos

ENG pts

ENG pos

ESP win

1835,67

3

1812,26

4

ESP PSO win

1825,67

3

1812,39

4

ENG PSO win

1815,81

4

1822,39

3

ENG win

1815,81

4

1832,39

3


Elo predicts a win for Uruguay and Spain and a PSO win for Argentina.


This ranking will be used as seeding ranking for the draw of the OFC qualification for the World Cup 2026, to start in the September 2024 window. The draw date is unknown yet.


No teams will reach new highs or drop to new lows in this ranking.


Best movers:

17 - Venezuela

16 - Turkey

13 - New Zealand, Fiji


Worst movers:

-13 - Czech Republic

-11 - Samoa

-10 - Peru


Best movers in the top 50:

17 - Venezuela

16 - Turkey

8 - Panama


Worst movers in the top 50:

-13 - Czech Republic

-10 - Peru

-9 - Scotland



pos Jul.

team

pts Jul.

+/- pos

+/- pts

1

Argentina

1891,49

0

31,35

2

France

1854,91

0

17,44

3

Spain

1835,67

5

105,75

4

England

1812,26

1

24,38

5

Brazil

1785,61

-1

-6,24

6

Belgium

1772,44

-3

-25,54

7

Netherlands

1758,51

0

11,85

8

Portugal

1741,43

-2

-5,61

9

Colombia

1733,28

3

63,84

10

Uruguay

1723,15

4

59,71

11

Italy

1714,29

-1

-10,08

12

Croatia

1701,31

-3

-26,99

13

Germany

1686,02

3

39,24

14

Morocco

1669,44

-2

0

15

Switzerland

1654,10

4

36,86

16

USA

1641,75

-5

-34,77

17

Mexico

1635,11

-2

-17,22

18

Japan

1628,81

-1

0

19

Senegal

1623,34

-1

0

20

Iran

1611,16

0

0

21

Denmark

1607,52

0

-3,24

22

Austria

1591,56

3

31,53

23

Korea Republic

1572,87

-1

0

24

Australia

1571,29

-1

0

25

Ukraine

1567,25

-1

1,88

26

Turkey

1533,60

16

40,22

27

Ecuador

1530,44

3

12,90

28

Poland

1523,53

-2

-17,96

29

Sweden

1522,19

-1

0

30

Wales

1521,40

-1

0

31

Hungary

1518,77

-4

-10,23

32

Serbia

1506,90

0

-7,86

33

Russia

1506,58

0

0

34

Qatar

1504,06

1

0

35

Panama

1502,55

8

20,45

36

Egypt

1502,34

0

0

37

Venezuela

1501,46

17

59,17

38

Cote d'Ivoire

1499,69

-1

0

39

Nigeria

1498,93

-1

0

40

Tunisia

1494,06

1

0

41

Peru

1489,68

-10

-25,33

42

Chile

1489,50

-2

-6,63

43

Canada

1486,53

5

24,79

44

Slovakia

1479,07

1

11,30

45

Romania

1474,70

2

12,35

46

Algeria

1474,13

-2

0

47

Czech Republic

1473,46

-13

-32,77

48

Scotland

1472,30

-9

-24,88

49

Costa Rica

1469,69

3

15,49

50

Norway

1466,48

-4

0

51

Cameroon

1458,47

-2

0

52

Slovenia

1457,06

5

27,32

53

Mali

1456,74

-3

0

54

Greece

1455,95

-3

0

55

Iraq

1433,07

0

0

56

Saudi Arabia

1431,30

0

0

57

South Africa

1415,15

2

-1,51

58

Republic of Ireland

1403,84

2

0

59

Jamaica

1401,56

-6

-41,26

60

Congo DR

1400,93

1

0

61

Uzbekistan

1397,41

1

0

62

Paraguay

1396,80

-4

-30,31

63

Finland

1393,40

0

0

64

Ghana

1381,25

0

0

65

Cape Verde Islands

1380,53

0

0

66

Albania

1375,49

0

-3,91

67

Burkina Faso

1375,16

0

0

68

Jordan

1374,13

0

0

69

United Arab Emirates

1368,84

0

0

70

Georgia

1361,41

4

22,50

71

Iceland

1353,48

-1

0

72

North Macedonia

1348,63

-1

0

73

Montenegro

1345,02

-1

0

74

Northern Ireland

1341,33

-1

0

75

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1332,30

0

0

76

Oman

1326,18

0

0

77

Guinea

1324,80

0

0

78

Israel

1312,54

1

0

79

Honduras

1311,48

-1

-1,57

80

Bahrain

1302,86

1

0

81

El Salvador

1302,11

-1

-1,54

82

Bulgaria

1295,50

0

0

83

Gabon

1288,45

0

0

84

Luxembourg

1276,73

1

0

85

Haiti

1274,46

1

0

86

Curacao

1272,71

1

0

87

China PR

1267,51

1

0

88

Equatorial Guinea

1260,50

1

0

89

Bolivia

1258,56

-5

-23,87

90

Angola

1255,65

2

6,71

91

Benin

1254,18

0

0

92

Zambia

1249,54

-2

-8,86

93

Syria

1246,68

0

0

94

New Zealand

1245,73

13

48,05

95

Uganda

1242,96

-1

0

96

Palestine

1231,25

-1

0

97

Armenia

1230,79

-1

0

98

Namibia

1221,42

-1

1,59

99

Belarus

1219,78

-1

0

100

Trinidad and Tobago

1219,44

-1

0

101

Thailand

1218,56

-1

0

102

Kyrgyzstan

1213,58

-1

0

103

Tajikistan

1212,41

-1

0

104

Mozambique

1208,87

-1

3,05

105

Madagascar

1203,66

-1

0

106

Kosovo

1203,16

-1

0

107

Guatemala

1198,83

-1

-0,37

108

Kenya

1197,73

0

2,28

109

Kazakhstan

1193,62

0

0

110

Korea DPR

1183,96

0

0

111

Azerbaijan

1179,88

0

0

112

Mauritania

1177,50

0

0

113

Tanzania

1174,99

1

0

114

Guinea-Bissau

1168,49

1

0

115

Vietnam

1168,02

1

0

116

Lebanon

1167,64

1

0

117

Libya

1165,73

1

0

118

Congo

1162,73

-5

-13,72

119

Comoros

1159,84

0

1,13

120

Togo

1158,70

0

0

121

Sudan

1152,29

0

0

122

Sierra Leone

1149,40

0

0

123

Estonia

1146,47

0

0

124

India

1139,39

0

0

125

Niger

1139,21

3

13,71

126

Malawi

1137,83

-1

0

127

Cyprus

1136,78

-1

0

128

Central African Republic

1129,30

-1

0

129

Zimbabwe

1126,15

0

3,61

130

Nicaragua

1119,88

0

0

131

Rwanda

1114,15

0

0

132

Gambia

1112,55

0

0

133

Indonesia

1108,73

1

0

134

Malaysia

1107,58

1

0

135

Lithuania

1100,66

1

0

136

Kuwait

1098,42

1

0

137

Latvia

1095,98

1

0

138

Faroe Islands

1093,70

1

0

139

Burundi

1091,24

1

0

140

Suriname

1087,77

1

0

141

Solomon Islands

1075,06

-8

-35,96

142

Liberia

1067,05

0

0

143

Ethiopia

1066,15

0

0

144

Turkmenistan

1065,42

0

0

145

Botswana

1063,64

0

-0,55

146

St. Kitts and Nevis

1059,53

0

0

147

Philippines

1053,03

0

0

148

Antigua and Barbuda

1052,80

0

0

149

Lesotho

1046,54

0

-4,29

150

Dominican Republic

1045,64

0

0

151

Afghanistan

1034,37

0

0

152

Moldova

1033,75

0

0

153

Fiji

1033,09

13

49,28

154

Guyana

1026,61

-1

0

155

Eswatini

1025,28

-1

0,10

156

Yemen

1021,24

-1

0

157

Puerto Rico

1020,22

-1

0

158

Tahiti

1016,83

3

17,35

159

Hong Kong

1011,91

-2

0

160

New Caledonia

1008,92

-2

0

161

Singapore

1008,26

-2

0

162

Vanuatu

1005,49

8

33,35

163

Maldives

1003,48

-3

0

164

Andorra

996,05

-2

0

165

Chinese Taipei

991,34

-2

0

166

Myanmar

988,98

-2

0

167

Papua New Guinea

984,23

-2

-1,09

168

South Sudan

980,02

-1

0

169

St. Lucia

979,57

-1

0

170

Cuba

975,01

-1

0

171

Bermuda

971,15

0

0

172

Malta

970,62

0

0

173

Grenada

953,67

0

0

174

St. Vincent and the Grenadines

938,40

0

0

175

Nepal

935,93

0

0

176

Montserrat

934,46

0

0

177

Barbados

932,63

0

0

178

Chad

929,97

0

0

179

Mauritius

927,94

0

0

180

Cambodia

924,52

0

0

181

Dominica

912,93

1

0

182

Bhutan

904,10

1

0

183

Belize

901,42

1

0

184

Bangladesh

896,67

1

0

185

Macau

896,62

1

0

186

Cook Islands

896,59

1

0

187

American Samoa

890,97

1

0

188

Laos

889,62

1

0

189

Mongolia

884,92

1

0

190

Brunei Darussalam

881,73

1

0

191

Sao Tomé e Príncipe

878,09

1

0

192

Samoa

876,45

-11

-44,09

193

Djibouti

875,13

0

0

194

Aruba

873,90

0

0

195

Cayman Islands

865,34

0

0

196

Timor-Leste

843,40

0

0

197

Pakistan

842,59

0

0

198

Gibraltar

836,14

0

0

199

Liechtenstein

835,83

0

0

200

Tonga

833,12

0

0

201

Seychelles

831,19

0

-0,77

202

Somalia

829,81

0

0

203

Bahamas

823,58

0

0

204

Guam

821,91

0

0

205

Sri Lanka

820,32

0

0

206

Turks and Caicos Islands

817,03

0

0

207

British Virgin Islands

801,29

0

0

208

US Virgin Islands

797,29

0

0

209

Anguilla

779,86

0

0

210

San Marino

739,64

0

0



 


About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

15 comments:

  1. Looks like the draw for the OFC first round is scheduled for Thursday

    ReplyDelete
  2. Yeah, I saw it announced in the wiki for the OFC WC Qualifying OFC for 18 July, but without a source.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I saw the same thing but eventually found it on the FIFA website, so it looks legit

      Delete
    2. https://www.plus.fifa.com/en/content/db1175f3-6372-4f12-b98c-89c2648d6728?gl=us

      Delete
  3. Fifa has published the new ranking. The more interesting thing is the feature they have added in their site, now is possible to view games played in the last time frame. This feature is valid for the past rankings too. For the match Cayman Islands-Cuba, it looks like they have assigned the win for Cuba.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Oh, that's good news, Jos. Finally, we get more insight in the included matches in each ranking.
    Still, only after the ranking is published and not beforehand, but we can't have it all our way, I guess.

    Anyway, this is a major step forward in transparency in the ranking calculation. Well done FIFA!

    ReplyDelete
  5. This new 'Match window' feature is added from the April 2019 ranking onwards.

    ReplyDelete
  6. It also seems FIFA treated the forfeited WC-qualifier Congo vs Niger the "easy" way. They just took the points from June and applied them to this match.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Indeed, FIFA awarded both postponed World Cup qualifiers from the June window, somewhere at the end of June.

    For the Cuba - Cayman Islands match (3:0 awarded to Cuba) the calculation was as if the match was played on the original June 11th, because these two teams didn't play another match until now.
    For the Congo - Niger match however (0:3 awarded to Niger, originally scheduled on June 6th ) Congo played in the meantime another qualifier on June 11th against Morocco and that match was included in the June ranking. The awarded match was indeed calculated with the June points for both teams, so effectively for the calculation both Congo matches were switched. Niger didn't play another match after June 6th.

    ReplyDelete
  8. For a second I thought you'd had a typo and just renamed the competition the "Copa Argentina" which, to be fair, may now just be an appropriate title

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I was just being shorter than short. And then the confusion kicks in :)

      Delete
  9. I am looking forward to the AFC WCQ Stage 3 update when you have the time to run simulations.

    ReplyDelete
  10. The next few weeks I will publish simulations for all new tournaments which start in September:
    - UNL24/25
    - CNL24/25
    - AFCON25q
    - AFC27q
    - WCq: AFC and OFC start and CONMEBOL continues.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. A real international competition sicko's window

      Delete
    2. Cheers Ed, that will be keeping you very busy !

      Delete