Here is the probable July 2024 ranking, to be published on Thursday July 18th. All results up until yesterday July 2nd are included. Still scheduled matches are:
- EURO 2024, quarter finals and beyond;
- the Copa America 2024, the knock-out phase starting with the quarter finals;
- the last group stage matches in the COSAFA Cup 2024, plus the knock-out phase, starting with the semi finals.
The postponed WC qualifier Congo-Niger has last week indeed been awarded 0:3 to Niger, because of a no-show of Congo on June 6th in Kinshasa (Congo DR). This match is also included in this second ranking preview.
This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 21 currently scheduled matches and the results of 102 already played matches since June 13th. The remaining predictions are presented after the ranking.
|
pos Jul. |
team |
pts Jul. |
+/- pos |
+/- pts |
|
1 |
Argentina |
1909,44 |
0 |
49,30 |
|
2 |
France |
1889,52 |
0 |
52,05 |
|
3 |
England |
1811,87 |
2 |
23,99 |
|
4 |
Spain |
1786,56 |
4 |
56,64 |
|
5 |
Brazil |
1785,61 |
-1 |
-6,24 |
|
6 |
Belgium |
1772,44 |
-3 |
-25,54 |
|
7 |
Netherlands |
1760,23 |
0 |
13,57 |
|
8 |
Portugal |
1737,20 |
-2 |
-9,84 |
|
9 |
Uruguay |
1724,27 |
5 |
60,83 |
|
10 |
Colombia |
1717,32 |
2 |
47,88 |
|
11 |
Italy |
1714,29 |
-1 |
-10,08 |
|
12 |
Croatia |
1701,31 |
-3 |
-26,99 |
|
13 |
Germany |
1689,48 |
3 |
42,70 |
|
14 |
Morocco |
1669,44 |
-2 |
0 |
|
15 |
Switzerland |
1648,86 |
4 |
31,62 |
|
16 |
USA |
1641,75 |
-5 |
-34,77 |
|
17 |
Mexico |
1635,11 |
-2 |
-17,22 |
|
18 |
Japan |
1628,81 |
-1 |
0 |
|
19 |
Senegal |
1623,34 |
-1 |
0 |
|
20 |
Iran |
1611,16 |
0 |
0 |
|
21 |
Denmark |
1607,52 |
0 |
-3,24 |
|
22 |
Austria |
1591,56 |
3 |
31,53 |
|
23 |
Korea Republic |
1572,87 |
-1 |
0 |
|
24 |
Australia |
1571,29 |
-1 |
0 |
|
25 |
Ukraine |
1567,25 |
-1 |
1,88 |
|
26 |
Turkey |
1533,60 |
16 |
40,22 |
|
27 |
Poland |
1523,53 |
-1 |
-17,96 |
|
28 |
Sweden |
1522,19 |
0 |
0 |
|
29 |
Wales |
1521,40 |
0 |
0 |
|
30 |
Venezuela |
1520,47 |
24 |
78,18 |
|
31 |
Hungary |
1518,77 |
-4 |
-10,23 |
|
32 |
Ecuador |
1518,43 |
-2 |
0,89 |
|
33 |
Serbia |
1506,90 |
-1 |
-7,86 |
|
34 |
Russia |
1506,58 |
-1 |
0 |
|
35 |
Qatar |
1504,06 |
0 |
0 |
|
36 |
Panama |
1502,55 |
7 |
20,45 |
|
37 |
Egypt |
1502,34 |
-1 |
0 |
|
38 |
Cote d'Ivoire |
1499,69 |
-1 |
0 |
|
39 |
Nigeria |
1498,93 |
-1 |
0 |
|
40 |
Tunisia |
1494,06 |
1 |
0 |
|
41 |
Peru |
1489,68 |
-10 |
-25,33 |
|
42 |
Chile |
1489,50 |
-2 |
-6,63 |
|
43 |
Slovakia |
1479,07 |
2 |
11,30 |
|
44 |
Canada |
1475,54 |
4 |
13,80 |
|
45 |
Romania |
1474,70 |
2 |
12,35 |
|
46 |
Algeria |
1474,13 |
-2 |
0 |
|
47 |
Czech Republic |
1473,46 |
-13 |
-32,77 |
|
48 |
Scotland |
1472,30 |
-9 |
-24,88 |
|
49 |
Costa Rica |
1469,69 |
3 |
15,49 |
|
50 |
Norway |
1466,48 |
-4 |
0 |
|
51 |
Cameroon |
1458,47 |
-2 |
0 |
|
52 |
Slovenia |
1457,06 |
5 |
27,32 |
|
53 |
Mali |
1456,74 |
-3 |
0 |
|
54 |
Greece |
1455,95 |
-3 |
0 |
|
55 |
Iraq |
1433,07 |
0 |
0 |
|
56 |
Saudi Arabia |
1431,30 |
0 |
0 |
|
57 |
South Africa |
1415,15 |
2 |
-1,51 |
|
58 |
Republic of Ireland |
1403,84 |
2 |
0 |
|
59 |
Jamaica |
1401,56 |
-6 |
-41,26 |
|
60 |
Congo DR |
1400,93 |
1 |
0 |
|
61 |
Uzbekistan |
1397,41 |
1 |
0 |
|
62 |
Paraguay |
1396,80 |
-4 |
-30,31 |
|
63 |
Finland |
1393,40 |
0 |
0 |
|
64 |
Ghana |
1381,25 |
0 |
0 |
|
65 |
Cape Verde Islands |
1380,53 |
0 |
0 |
|
66 |
Albania |
1375,49 |
0 |
-3,91 |
|
67 |
Burkina Faso |
1375,16 |
0 |
0 |
|
68 |
Jordan |
1374,13 |
0 |
0 |
|
69 |
United Arab Emirates |
1368,84 |
0 |
0 |
|
70 |
Georgia |
1361,41 |
4 |
22,50 |
|
71 |
Iceland |
1353,48 |
-1 |
0 |
|
72 |
North Macedonia |
1348,63 |
-1 |
0 |
|
73 |
Montenegro |
1345,02 |
-1 |
0 |
|
74 |
Northern Ireland |
1341,33 |
-1 |
0 |
|
75 |
Bosnia-Herzegovina |
1332,30 |
0 |
0 |
|
76 |
Oman |
1326,18 |
0 |
0 |
|
77 |
Guinea |
1324,80 |
0 |
0 |
|
78 |
Israel |
1312,54 |
1 |
0 |
|
79 |
Honduras |
1311,48 |
-1 |
-1,57 |
|
80 |
Bahrain |
1302,86 |
1 |
0 |
|
81 |
El Salvador |
1302,11 |
-1 |
-1,54 |
|
82 |
Bulgaria |
1295,50 |
0 |
0 |
|
83 |
Gabon |
1288,45 |
0 |
0 |
|
84 |
Luxembourg |
1276,73 |
1 |
0 |
|
85 |
Haiti |
1274,46 |
1 |
0 |
|
86 |
Curacao |
1272,71 |
1 |
0 |
|
87 |
China PR |
1267,51 |
1 |
0 |
|
88 |
Equatorial Guinea |
1260,50 |
1 |
0 |
|
89 |
Bolivia |
1258,56 |
-5 |
-23,87 |
|
90 |
Angola |
1255,87 |
2 |
6,93 |
|
91 |
Benin |
1254,18 |
0 |
0 |
|
92 |
Zambia |
1249,54 |
-2 |
-8,86 |
|
93 |
Syria |
1246,68 |
0 |
0 |
|
94 |
New Zealand |
1245,73 |
13 |
48,05 |
|
95 |
Uganda |
1242,96 |
-1 |
0 |
|
96 |
Palestine |
1231,25 |
-1 |
0 |
|
97 |
Armenia |
1230,79 |
-1 |
0 |
|
98 |
Namibia |
1221,20 |
-1 |
1,37 |
|
99 |
Belarus |
1219,78 |
-1 |
0 |
|
100 |
Trinidad and Tobago |
1219,44 |
-1 |
0 |
|
101 |
Thailand |
1218,56 |
-1 |
0 |
|
102 |
Kyrgyzstan |
1213,58 |
-1 |
0 |
|
103 |
Tajikistan |
1212,41 |
-1 |
0 |
|
104 |
Mozambique |
1206,53 |
-1 |
0,71 |
|
105 |
Madagascar |
1203,66 |
-1 |
0 |
|
106 |
Kosovo |
1203,16 |
-1 |
0 |
|
107 |
Guatemala |
1198,83 |
-1 |
-0,37 |
|
108 |
Kenya |
1197,73 |
0 |
2,28 |
|
109 |
Kazakhstan |
1193,62 |
0 |
0 |
|
110 |
Korea DPR |
1183,96 |
0 |
0 |
|
111 |
Azerbaijan |
1179,88 |
0 |
0 |
|
112 |
Mauritania |
1177,50 |
0 |
0 |
|
113 |
Tanzania |
1174,99 |
1 |
0 |
|
114 |
Guinea-Bissau |
1168,49 |
1 |
0 |
|
115 |
Vietnam |
1168,02 |
1 |
0 |
|
116 |
Lebanon |
1167,64 |
1 |
0 |
|
117 |
Libya |
1165,73 |
1 |
0 |
|
118 |
Congo |
1162,73 |
-5 |
-13,72 |
|
119 |
Comoros |
1162,19 |
0 |
3,48 |
|
120 |
Togo |
1158,70 |
0 |
0 |
|
121 |
Sudan |
1152,29 |
0 |
0 |
|
122 |
Sierra Leone |
1149,40 |
0 |
0 |
|
123 |
Estonia |
1146,47 |
0 |
0 |
|
124 |
India |
1139,39 |
0 |
0 |
|
125 |
Niger |
1139,21 |
3 |
13,71 |
|
126 |
Malawi |
1137,83 |
-1 |
0 |
|
127 |
Cyprus |
1136,78 |
-1 |
0 |
|
128 |
Central African Republic |
1129,30 |
-1 |
0 |
|
129 |
Zimbabwe |
1126,15 |
0 |
3,61 |
|
130 |
Nicaragua |
1119,88 |
0 |
0 |
|
131 |
Rwanda |
1114,15 |
0 |
0 |
|
132 |
Gambia |
1112,55 |
0 |
0 |
|
133 |
Indonesia |
1108,73 |
1 |
0 |
|
134 |
Malaysia |
1107,58 |
1 |
0 |
|
135 |
Lithuania |
1100,66 |
1 |
0 |
|
136 |
Kuwait |
1098,42 |
1 |
0 |
|
137 |
Latvia |
1095,98 |
1 |
0 |
|
138 |
Faroe Islands |
1093,70 |
1 |
0 |
|
139 |
Burundi |
1091,24 |
1 |
0 |
|
140 |
Suriname |
1087,77 |
1 |
0 |
|
141 |
Solomon Islands |
1075,06 |
-8 |
-35,96 |
|
142 |
Liberia |
1067,05 |
0 |
0 |
|
143 |
Ethiopia |
1066,15 |
0 |
0 |
|
144 |
Turkmenistan |
1065,42 |
0 |
0 |
|
145 |
Botswana |
1063,64 |
0 |
-0,55 |
|
146 |
St. Kitts and Nevis |
1059,53 |
0 |
0 |
|
147 |
Philippines |
1053,03 |
0 |
0 |
|
148 |
Antigua and Barbuda |
1052,80 |
0 |
0 |
|
149 |
Lesotho |
1046,54 |
0 |
-4,29 |
|
150 |
Dominican Republic |
1045,64 |
0 |
0 |
|
151 |
Afghanistan |
1034,37 |
0 |
0 |
|
152 |
Moldova |
1033,75 |
0 |
0 |
|
153 |
Fiji |
1033,09 |
13 |
49,28 |
|
154 |
Guyana |
1026,61 |
-1 |
0 |
|
155 |
Eswatini |
1025,28 |
-1 |
0,10 |
|
156 |
Yemen |
1021,24 |
-1 |
0 |
|
157 |
Puerto Rico |
1020,22 |
-1 |
0 |
|
158 |
Tahiti |
1016,83 |
3 |
17,35 |
|
159 |
Hong Kong |
1011,91 |
-2 |
0 |
|
160 |
New Caledonia |
1008,92 |
-2 |
0 |
|
161 |
Singapore |
1008,26 |
-2 |
0 |
|
162 |
Vanuatu |
1005,49 |
8 |
33,35 |
|
163 |
Maldives |
1003,48 |
-3 |
0 |
|
164 |
Andorra |
996,05 |
-2 |
0 |
|
165 |
Chinese Taipei |
991,34 |
-2 |
0 |
|
166 |
Myanmar |
988,98 |
-2 |
0 |
|
167 |
Papua New Guinea |
984,23 |
-2 |
-1,09 |
|
168 |
South Sudan |
980,02 |
-1 |
0 |
|
169 |
St. Lucia |
979,57 |
-1 |
0 |
|
170 |
Cuba |
975,01 |
-1 |
0 |
|
171 |
Bermuda |
971,15 |
0 |
0 |
|
172 |
Malta |
970,62 |
0 |
0 |
|
173 |
Grenada |
953,67 |
0 |
0 |
|
174 |
St. Vincent and the Grenadines |
938,40 |
0 |
0 |
|
175 |
Nepal |
935,93 |
0 |
0 |
|
176 |
Montserrat |
934,46 |
0 |
0 |
|
177 |
Barbados |
932,63 |
0 |
0 |
|
178 |
Chad |
929,97 |
0 |
0 |
|
179 |
Mauritius |
927,94 |
0 |
0 |
|
180 |
Cambodia |
924,52 |
0 |
0 |
|
181 |
Dominica |
912,93 |
1 |
0 |
|
182 |
Bhutan |
904,10 |
1 |
0 |
|
183 |
Belize |
901,42 |
1 |
0 |
|
184 |
Bangladesh |
896,67 |
1 |
0 |
|
185 |
Macau |
896,62 |
1 |
0 |
|
186 |
Cook Islands |
896,59 |
1 |
0 |
|
187 |
American Samoa |
890,97 |
1 |
0 |
|
188 |
Laos |
889,62 |
1 |
0 |
|
189 |
Mongolia |
884,92 |
1 |
0 |
|
190 |
Brunei Darussalam |
881,73 |
1 |
0 |
|
191 |
Sao Tomé e PrÃncipe |
878,09 |
1 |
0 |
|
192 |
Samoa |
876,45 |
-11 |
-44,09 |
|
193 |
Djibouti |
875,13 |
0 |
0 |
|
194 |
Aruba |
873,90 |
0 |
0 |
|
195 |
Cayman Islands |
865,34 |
0 |
0 |
|
196 |
Timor-Leste |
843,40 |
0 |
0 |
|
197 |
Pakistan |
842,59 |
0 |
0 |
|
198 |
Gibraltar |
836,14 |
0 |
0 |
|
199 |
Liechtenstein |
835,83 |
0 |
0 |
|
200 |
Tonga |
833,12 |
0 |
0 |
|
201 |
Seychelles |
831,19 |
0 |
-0,77 |
|
202 |
Somalia |
829,81 |
0 |
0 |
|
203 |
Bahamas |
823,58 |
0 |
0 |
|
204 |
Guam |
821,91 |
0 |
0 |
|
205 |
Sri Lanka |
820,32 |
0 |
0 |
|
206 |
Turks and Caicos Islands |
817,03 |
0 |
0 |
|
207 |
British Virgin Islands |
801,29 |
0 |
0 |
|
208 |
US Virgin Islands |
797,29 |
0 |
0 |
|
209 |
Anguilla |
779,86 |
0 |
0 |
|
210 |
San Marino |
739,64 |
0 |
0 |
Scheduled | ||||||||||||
incl. | date | match | tournament | I | We (elo) | pred elo | We (FIFA) | W | D | L | PSO-W | PSO-L |
Y | 2024-07-03 | LES - ANG | COSAFA Cup 2024 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 32 | 3,4/-3,4 | 0,9/-0,9 | -1,6/1,6 | ||
Y | 2024-07-03 | NAM - SEY | COSAFA Cup 2024 | 5 | 96 | 1 | 82 | 0,9/-0,9 | -1,6/1,6 | -4,1/4,1 | ||
Y | 2024-07-04 | ARG - ECU | Copa America 2024 | 40 | 85 | 1 | 80 | 8,0/0,0 | 0,0/12,0 | 0,0/32,0 | 0,0/12,0 | 0,0/22,0 |
Y | 2024-07-05 | VEN - CAN | Copa America 2024 | 40 | 62 | 1 | 52 | 19,0/0,0 | 0,0/1,0 | 0,0/21,0 | 9,0/1,0 | 0,0/11,0 |
Y | 2024-07-05 | COM - NAM | COSAFA Cup 2024 | 5 | 42 | NAM pso win | 44 | 2,8/-2,8 | 0,3/-0,3 | -2,2/2,2 | 1,5/-0,3 | 0,3/1,0 |
Y | 2024-07-05 | MOZ - ANG | COSAFA Cup 2024 | 5 | 38 | 2 | 46 | 2,7/-2,7 | 0,2/-0,2 | -2,3/2,3 | 1,5/-0,2 | 0,2/1,0 |
Y | 2024-07-05 | POR - FRA | UEFA EURO 2024 | 40 | 32 | 2 | 39 | 24,2/0,0 | 4,2/0,0 | 0,0/15,8 | 14,2/0,0 | 4,2/5,8 |
Y | 2024-07-05 | ESP - GER | UEFA EURO 2024 | 40 | 45 | ESP pso win | 59 | 16,5/0,0 | 0,0/3,5 | 0,0/23,5 | 6,5/3,5 | 0,0/13,5 |
Y | 2024-07-06 | COL - PAN | Copa America 2024 | 40 | 85 | 1 | 68 | 13,0/0,0 | 0,0/7,0 | 0,0/27,0 | 3,0/7,0 | 0,0/17,0 |
Y | 2024-07-06 | URU - BRA | Copa America 2024 | 40 | 51 | URU pso win | 42 | 23,3/0,0 | 3,3/0,0 | 0,0/16,7 | 13,3/0,0 | 3,3/6,7 |
Y | 2024-07-06 | ENG - SUI | UEFA EURO 2024 | 40 | 61 | 1 | 63 | 14,8/0,0 | 0,0/5,2 | 0,0/25,2 | 4,8/5,2 | 0,0/15,2 |
Y | 2024-07-06 | NED - TUR | UEFA EURO 2024 | 40 | 71 | 1 | 69 | 12,3/0,0 | 0,0/7,7 | 0,0/27,7 | 2,3/7,7 | 0,0/17,7 |
Y | 2024-07-07 | NAM - ANG | COSAFA Cup 2024 | 5 | 32 | 2 | 47 | 2,6/-2,6 | 0,1/-0,1 | -2,4/2,4 | 1,4/-0,1 | 0,1/1,1 |
Y | 2024-07-07 | COM - MOZ | COSAFA Cup 2024 | 5 | 40 | MOZ pso win | 46 | 2,7/-2,7 | 0,2/-0,2 | -2,3/2,3 | 1,5/-0,2 | 0,2/1,0 |
Y | 2024-07-09 | ARG - VEN | Copa America 2024 | 40 | 86 | 1 | 80 | 7,8/0,0 | 0,0/12,2 | 0,0/32,2 | 0,0/12,2 | 0,0/22,2 |
Y | 2024-07-09 | ESP - FRA | UEFA EURO 2024 | 40 | 49 | FRA pso win | 42 | 23,1/0,0 | 3,1/0,0 | 0,0/16,9 | 13,1/0,0 | 3,1/6,9 |
Y | 2024-07-10 | URU - COL | Copa America 2024 | 40 | 48 | COL pso win | 50 | 19,8/0,0 | 0,0/0,2 | 0,0/20,2 | 9,8/0,2 | 0,0/10,2 |
Y | 2024-07-10 | NED - ENG | UEFA EURO 2024 | 40 | 49 | ENG pso win | 46 | 21,7/0,0 | 1,7/0,0 | 0,0/18,3 | 11,7/0,0 | 1,7/8,3 |
Y | 2024-07-13 | VEN - URU | Copa America 2024 | 40 | 26 | 2 | 32 | 27,0/0,0 | 7,0/0,0 | 0,0/13,0 | 17,0/0,0 | 7,0/3,0 |
Y | 2024-07-14 | ARG - COL | Copa America 2024 | 40 | 68 | 1 | 67 | 13,4/0,0 | 0,0/6,6 | 0,0/26,6 | 3,4/6,6 | 0,0/16,6 |
Y | 2024-07-14 | FRA - ENG | UEFA EURO 2024 | 40 | 64 | 1 | 56 | 17,7/0,0 | 0,0/2,3 | 0,0/22,3 | 7,7/2,3 | 0,0/12,3 |
About me:
Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.
Thanks Ed
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