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Wednesday, July 3, 2024

FIFA ranking: July 2024 probable ranking (II)

Here is the probable July 2024 ranking, to be published on Thursday July 18th. All results up until yesterday July 2nd are included. Still scheduled matches are: 


- EURO 2024, quarter finals and beyond;

- the Copa America 2024, the knock-out phase starting with the quarter finals;

- the last group stage matches in the COSAFA Cup 2024, plus the knock-out phase, starting with the semi finals.


The postponed WC qualifier Congo-Niger has last week indeed been awarded 0:3 to Niger, because of a no-show of Congo on June 6th in Kinshasa (Congo DR). This match is also included in this second ranking preview.


This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 21 currently scheduled matches and the results of 102 already played matches since June 13th. The remaining predictions are presented after the ranking.


pos Jul.

team

pts Jul.

+/- pos

+/- pts

1

Argentina

1909,44

0

49,30

2

France

1889,52

0

52,05

3

England

1811,87

2

23,99

4

Spain

1786,56

4

56,64

5

Brazil

1785,61

-1

-6,24

6

Belgium

1772,44

-3

-25,54

7

Netherlands

1760,23

0

13,57

8

Portugal

1737,20

-2

-9,84

9

Uruguay

1724,27

5

60,83

10

Colombia

1717,32

2

47,88

11

Italy

1714,29

-1

-10,08

12

Croatia

1701,31

-3

-26,99

13

Germany

1689,48

3

42,70

14

Morocco

1669,44

-2

0

15

Switzerland

1648,86

4

31,62

16

USA

1641,75

-5

-34,77

17

Mexico

1635,11

-2

-17,22

18

Japan

1628,81

-1

0

19

Senegal

1623,34

-1

0

20

Iran

1611,16

0

0

21

Denmark

1607,52

0

-3,24

22

Austria

1591,56

3

31,53

23

Korea Republic

1572,87

-1

0

24

Australia

1571,29

-1

0

25

Ukraine

1567,25

-1

1,88

26

Turkey

1533,60

16

40,22

27

Poland

1523,53

-1

-17,96

28

Sweden

1522,19

0

0

29

Wales

1521,40

0

0

30

Venezuela

1520,47

24

78,18

31

Hungary

1518,77

-4

-10,23

32

Ecuador

1518,43

-2

0,89

33

Serbia

1506,90

-1

-7,86

34

Russia

1506,58

-1

0

35

Qatar

1504,06

0

0

36

Panama

1502,55

7

20,45

37

Egypt

1502,34

-1

0

38

Cote d'Ivoire

1499,69

-1

0

39

Nigeria

1498,93

-1

0

40

Tunisia

1494,06

1

0

41

Peru

1489,68

-10

-25,33

42

Chile

1489,50

-2

-6,63

43

Slovakia

1479,07

2

11,30

44

Canada

1475,54

4

13,80

45

Romania

1474,70

2

12,35

46

Algeria

1474,13

-2

0

47

Czech Republic

1473,46

-13

-32,77

48

Scotland

1472,30

-9

-24,88

49

Costa Rica

1469,69

3

15,49

50

Norway

1466,48

-4

0

51

Cameroon

1458,47

-2

0

52

Slovenia

1457,06

5

27,32

53

Mali

1456,74

-3

0

54

Greece

1455,95

-3

0

55

Iraq

1433,07

0

0

56

Saudi Arabia

1431,30

0

0

57

South Africa

1415,15

2

-1,51

58

Republic of Ireland

1403,84

2

0

59

Jamaica

1401,56

-6

-41,26

60

Congo DR

1400,93

1

0

61

Uzbekistan

1397,41

1

0

62

Paraguay

1396,80

-4

-30,31

63

Finland

1393,40

0

0

64

Ghana

1381,25

0

0

65

Cape Verde Islands

1380,53

0

0

66

Albania

1375,49

0

-3,91

67

Burkina Faso

1375,16

0

0

68

Jordan

1374,13

0

0

69

United Arab Emirates

1368,84

0

0

70

Georgia

1361,41

4

22,50

71

Iceland

1353,48

-1

0

72

North Macedonia

1348,63

-1

0

73

Montenegro

1345,02

-1

0

74

Northern Ireland

1341,33

-1

0

75

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1332,30

0

0

76

Oman

1326,18

0

0

77

Guinea

1324,80

0

0

78

Israel

1312,54

1

0

79

Honduras

1311,48

-1

-1,57

80

Bahrain

1302,86

1

0

81

El Salvador

1302,11

-1

-1,54

82

Bulgaria

1295,50

0

0

83

Gabon

1288,45

0

0

84

Luxembourg

1276,73

1

0

85

Haiti

1274,46

1

0

86

Curacao

1272,71

1

0

87

China PR

1267,51

1

0

88

Equatorial Guinea

1260,50

1

0

89

Bolivia

1258,56

-5

-23,87

90

Angola

1255,87

2

6,93

91

Benin

1254,18

0

0

92

Zambia

1249,54

-2

-8,86

93

Syria

1246,68

0

0

94

New Zealand

1245,73

13

48,05

95

Uganda

1242,96

-1

0

96

Palestine

1231,25

-1

0

97

Armenia

1230,79

-1

0

98

Namibia

1221,20

-1

1,37

99

Belarus

1219,78

-1

0

100

Trinidad and Tobago

1219,44

-1

0

101

Thailand

1218,56

-1

0

102

Kyrgyzstan

1213,58

-1

0

103

Tajikistan

1212,41

-1

0

104

Mozambique

1206,53

-1

0,71

105

Madagascar

1203,66

-1

0

106

Kosovo

1203,16

-1

0

107

Guatemala

1198,83

-1

-0,37

108

Kenya

1197,73

0

2,28

109

Kazakhstan

1193,62

0

0

110

Korea DPR

1183,96

0

0

111

Azerbaijan

1179,88

0

0

112

Mauritania

1177,50

0

0

113

Tanzania

1174,99

1

0

114

Guinea-Bissau

1168,49

1

0

115

Vietnam

1168,02

1

0

116

Lebanon

1167,64

1

0

117

Libya

1165,73

1

0

118

Congo

1162,73

-5

-13,72

119

Comoros

1162,19

0

3,48

120

Togo

1158,70

0

0

121

Sudan

1152,29

0

0

122

Sierra Leone

1149,40

0

0

123

Estonia

1146,47

0

0

124

India

1139,39

0

0

125

Niger

1139,21

3

13,71

126

Malawi

1137,83

-1

0

127

Cyprus

1136,78

-1

0

128

Central African Republic

1129,30

-1

0

129

Zimbabwe

1126,15

0

3,61

130

Nicaragua

1119,88

0

0

131

Rwanda

1114,15

0

0

132

Gambia

1112,55

0

0

133

Indonesia

1108,73

1

0

134

Malaysia

1107,58

1

0

135

Lithuania

1100,66

1

0

136

Kuwait

1098,42

1

0

137

Latvia

1095,98

1

0

138

Faroe Islands

1093,70

1

0

139

Burundi

1091,24

1

0

140

Suriname

1087,77

1

0

141

Solomon Islands

1075,06

-8

-35,96

142

Liberia

1067,05

0

0

143

Ethiopia

1066,15

0

0

144

Turkmenistan

1065,42

0

0

145

Botswana

1063,64

0

-0,55

146

St. Kitts and Nevis

1059,53

0

0

147

Philippines

1053,03

0

0

148

Antigua and Barbuda

1052,80

0

0

149

Lesotho

1046,54

0

-4,29

150

Dominican Republic

1045,64

0

0

151

Afghanistan

1034,37

0

0

152

Moldova

1033,75

0

0

153

Fiji

1033,09

13

49,28

154

Guyana

1026,61

-1

0

155

Eswatini

1025,28

-1

0,10

156

Yemen

1021,24

-1

0

157

Puerto Rico

1020,22

-1

0

158

Tahiti

1016,83

3

17,35

159

Hong Kong

1011,91

-2

0

160

New Caledonia

1008,92

-2

0

161

Singapore

1008,26

-2

0

162

Vanuatu

1005,49

8

33,35

163

Maldives

1003,48

-3

0

164

Andorra

996,05

-2

0

165

Chinese Taipei

991,34

-2

0

166

Myanmar

988,98

-2

0

167

Papua New Guinea

984,23

-2

-1,09

168

South Sudan

980,02

-1

0

169

St. Lucia

979,57

-1

0

170

Cuba

975,01

-1

0

171

Bermuda

971,15

0

0

172

Malta

970,62

0

0

173

Grenada

953,67

0

0

174

St. Vincent and the Grenadines

938,40

0

0

175

Nepal

935,93

0

0

176

Montserrat

934,46

0

0

177

Barbados

932,63

0

0

178

Chad

929,97

0

0

179

Mauritius

927,94

0

0

180

Cambodia

924,52

0

0

181

Dominica

912,93

1

0

182

Bhutan

904,10

1

0

183

Belize

901,42

1

0

184

Bangladesh

896,67

1

0

185

Macau

896,62

1

0

186

Cook Islands

896,59

1

0

187

American Samoa

890,97

1

0

188

Laos

889,62

1

0

189

Mongolia

884,92

1

0

190

Brunei Darussalam

881,73

1

0

191

Sao Tomé e Príncipe

878,09

1

0

192

Samoa

876,45

-11

-44,09

193

Djibouti

875,13

0

0

194

Aruba

873,90

0

0

195

Cayman Islands

865,34

0

0

196

Timor-Leste

843,40

0

0

197

Pakistan

842,59

0

0

198

Gibraltar

836,14

0

0

199

Liechtenstein

835,83

0

0

200

Tonga

833,12

0

0

201

Seychelles

831,19

0

-0,77

202

Somalia

829,81

0

0

203

Bahamas

823,58

0

0

204

Guam

821,91

0

0

205

Sri Lanka

820,32

0

0

206

Turks and Caicos Islands

817,03

0

0

207

British Virgin Islands

801,29

0

0

208

US Virgin Islands

797,29

0

0

209

Anguilla

779,86

0

0

210

San Marino

739,64

0

0



Scheduled

incl.

date

match

tournament

I

We (elo)

pred elo

We (FIFA)

W

D

L

PSO-W

PSO-L

Y

2024-07-03

LES - ANG

COSAFA Cup 2024

5

18

2

32

3,4/-3,4

0,9/-0,9

-1,6/1,6

Y

2024-07-03

NAM - SEY

COSAFA Cup 2024

5

96

1

82

0,9/-0,9

-1,6/1,6

-4,1/4,1

Y

2024-07-04

ARG - ECU

Copa America 2024

40

85

1

80

8,0/0,0

0,0/12,0

0,0/32,0

0,0/12,0

0,0/22,0

Y

2024-07-05

VEN - CAN

Copa America 2024

40

62

1

52

19,0/0,0

0,0/1,0

0,0/21,0

9,0/1,0

0,0/11,0

Y

2024-07-05

COM - NAM

COSAFA Cup 2024

5

42

NAM pso win

44

2,8/-2,8

0,3/-0,3

-2,2/2,2

1,5/-0,3

0,3/1,0

Y

2024-07-05

MOZ - ANG

COSAFA Cup 2024

5

38

2

46

2,7/-2,7

0,2/-0,2

-2,3/2,3

1,5/-0,2

0,2/1,0

Y

2024-07-05

POR - FRA

UEFA EURO 2024

40

32

2

39

24,2/0,0

4,2/0,0

0,0/15,8

14,2/0,0

4,2/5,8

Y

2024-07-05

ESP - GER

UEFA EURO 2024

40

45

ESP pso win

59

16,5/0,0

0,0/3,5

0,0/23,5

6,5/3,5

0,0/13,5

Y

2024-07-06

COL - PAN

Copa America 2024

40

85

1

68

13,0/0,0

0,0/7,0

0,0/27,0

3,0/7,0

0,0/17,0

Y

2024-07-06

URU - BRA

Copa America 2024

40

51

URU pso win

42

23,3/0,0

3,3/0,0

0,0/16,7

13,3/0,0

3,3/6,7

Y

2024-07-06

ENG - SUI

UEFA EURO 2024

40

61

1

63

14,8/0,0

0,0/5,2

0,0/25,2

4,8/5,2

0,0/15,2

Y

2024-07-06

NED - TUR

UEFA EURO 2024

40

71

1

69

12,3/0,0

0,0/7,7

0,0/27,7

2,3/7,7

0,0/17,7

Y

2024-07-07

NAM - ANG

COSAFA Cup 2024

5

32

2

47

2,6/-2,6

0,1/-0,1

-2,4/2,4

1,4/-0,1

0,1/1,1

Y

2024-07-07

COM - MOZ

COSAFA Cup 2024

5

40

MOZ pso win

46

2,7/-2,7

0,2/-0,2

-2,3/2,3

1,5/-0,2

0,2/1,0

Y

2024-07-09

ARG - VEN

Copa America 2024

40

86

1

80

7,8/0,0

0,0/12,2

0,0/32,2

0,0/12,2

0,0/22,2

Y

2024-07-09

ESP - FRA

UEFA EURO 2024

40

49

FRA pso win

42

23,1/0,0

3,1/0,0

0,0/16,9

13,1/0,0

3,1/6,9

Y

2024-07-10

URU - COL

Copa America 2024

40

48

COL pso win

50

19,8/0,0

0,0/0,2

0,0/20,2

9,8/0,2

0,0/10,2

Y

2024-07-10

NED - ENG

UEFA EURO 2024

40

49

ENG pso win

46

21,7/0,0

1,7/0,0

0,0/18,3

11,7/0,0

1,7/8,3

Y

2024-07-13

VEN - URU

Copa America 2024

40

26

2

32

27,0/0,0

7,0/0,0

0,0/13,0

17,0/0,0

7,0/3,0

Y

2024-07-14

ARG - COL

Copa America 2024

40

68

1

67

13,4/0,0

0,0/6,6

0,0/26,6

3,4/6,6

0,0/16,6

Y

2024-07-14

FRA - ENG

UEFA EURO 2024

40

64

1

56

17,7/0,0

0,0/2,3

0,0/22,3

7,7/2,3

0,0/12,3



About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

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