Saturday, August 17, 2024

FIFA ranking: September 2024 probable ranking

Here is the probable September 2024 ranking, to be published on Thursday September 19th. In the September window we see a varied menu of matches:

- the 12 qualification groups for the AFCON 2025 in Morocco start with the first two match days;

- the CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 starts with the first two match days for the groups in leagues A and B and even a third match day in the 3-team groups in league C;

- in the qualification for the AFC Nations Cup 2027 in Saudi Arabia the third stage is played: 3 home-and-away play-offs between the stage 1 losers;

- in World Cup 2026 qualification Asia starts with stage 3, a group stage with 3 groups of 6 teams. The first two match days in a total of 10 are played (until June next year). The group winners and runners-up qualify for the World Cup. Group numbers 3 and 4 progress to stage 4;

- in World Cup 2026 qualification South America continues where they left off last November: match days 7 and 8 in a total of 18 match days are played (until September next year). Group numbers 1 to 6 in the final  group standing qualify for the World Cup, number 7 qualifies for the IPO;

- in World Cup 2026 qualification Oceania starts with stage 1, two one-off semi-finals and a final between the 4 lowest ranked OFC-teams. The winner qualifies for stage 2;

- the UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 starts with the first two match days for all groups in all leagues;

- several friendlies (partly in tournament form like the Merdeka tournament in Malaysia and the Intercontinental Cup in India).

After the window there is a home-and-away play-off scheduled between Brunei Darussalam and Timor-Leste, to qualify for the South East Asian Championship 2024.


This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 199 currently played and scheduled and according to my method included matches. See the probable results for a list of which scheduled matches are currently included.


pos Sep.

team

pts Sep.

+/- pos

+/- pts

1

Argentina

1901,79

0

0,30

2

France

1866,71

0

11,80

3

Spain

1843,92

0

8,25

4

England

1817,28

0

5,02

5

Brazil

1796,85

0

11,24

6

Belgium

1768,35

0

-4,09

7

Netherlands

1767,45

0

8,94

8

Portugal

1752,31

0

10,88

9

Colombia

1738,45

0

11,13

10

Uruguay

1714,67

1

1,52

11

Italy

1711,44

-1

-2,85

12

Croatia

1699,41

0

-1,90

13

Germany

1684,69

0

-1,33

14

Morocco

1676,14

0

6,70

15

Switzerland

1648,50

0

-5,60

16

USA

1647,13

0

5,38

17

Japan

1639,19

1

10,38

18

Mexico

1635,58

-1

0,47

19

Senegal

1633,00

0

9,66

20

Iran

1622,43

0

11,27

21

Denmark

1614,20

0

6,68

22

Austria

1587,98

0

-3,58

23

Korea Republic

1584,88

0

12,01

24

Australia

1581,35

0

10,06

25

Ukraine

1570,69

0

3,44

26

Turkey

1538,52

0

4,92

27

Ecuador

1535,13

0

4,69

28

Sweden

1528,18

1

5,99

29

Wales

1519,03

1

-2,37

30

Qatar

1518,77

4

14,71

31

Hungary

1518,56

0

-0,21

32

Egypt

1515,64

4

13,30

33

Venezuela

1513,32

4

11,86

34

Nigeria

1510,35

5

11,42

35

Poland

1510,27

-7

-13,26

36

Cote d'Ivoire

1509,01

2

9,32

37

Russia

1506,58

-4

0

38

Tunisia

1504,86

3

10,80

39

Panama

1502,55

-4

0

40

Serbia

1497,58

-8

-9,32

41

Chile

1492,48

2

2,98

42

Canada

1492,40

-2

-2,26

43

Slovakia

1485,89

1

6,82

44

Algeria

1485,87

2

11,74

45

Romania

1481,53

0

6,83

46

Scotland

1476,58

2

4,28

47

Costa Rica

1473,58

2

3,89

48

Czech Republic

1473,29

-1

-0,17

49

Norway

1472,06

1

5,58

50

Peru

1471,00

-8

-18,68

51

Cameroon

1470,81

0

12,34

52

Mali

1467,51

1

10,77

53

Slovenia

1462,89

-1

5,83

54

Greece

1461,68

0

5,73

55

Iraq

1448,20

0

15,13

56

Saudi Arabia

1445,39

0

14,09

57

South Africa

1427,42

0

12,27

58

Congo DR

1416,71

2

15,78

59

Uzbekistan

1413,06

2

15,65

60

Jamaica

1402,85

-1

1,29

61

Republic of Ireland

1402,13

-3

-1,71

62

Ghana

1397,46

2

16,21

63

Jordan

1389,47

5

15,34

64

Paraguay

1386,67

-2

-10,13

65

Finland

1384,36

-2

-9,04

66

Cape Verde Islands

1379,17

-1

-1,36

67

Burkina Faso

1375,73

0

0,57

68

Albania

1370,52

-2

-4,97

69

Georgia

1363,11

1

1,70

70

North Macedonia

1358,58

2

9,95

71

Iceland

1355,75

0

2,27

72

United Arab Emirates

1352,70

-3

-16,14

73

Northern Ireland

1347,14

1

5,81

74

Montenegro

1340,18

-1

-4,84

75

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1324,89

0

-7,41

76

Guinea

1323,58

1

-1,22

77

Honduras

1318,90

2

7,42

78

Oman

1309,51

-2

-16,67

79

Israel

1307,67

-1

-4,87

80

El Salvador

1307,05

1

4,94

81

Bulgaria

1295,18

1

-0,32

82

Gabon

1292,88

1

4,43

83

Bahrain

1290,91

-3

-11,95

84

Haiti

1278,56

1

4,10

85

Luxembourg

1276,95

-1

0,22

86

Curacao

1276,38

0

3,67

87

Equatorial Guinea

1263,36

1

2,86

88

Angola

1256,67

2

1,02

89

China PR

1254,04

-2

-13,47

90

Zambia

1253,08

2

3,54

91

Syria

1252,92

2

6,24

92

Benin

1245,48

-1

-8,70

93

Uganda

1245,43

2

2,47

94

Bolivia

1244,26

-5

-14,30

95

New Zealand

1242,14

-1

-3,59

96

Armenia

1230,54

1

-0,25

97

Thailand

1218,56

4

0

98

Palestine

1217,04

-2

-14,21

99

Tajikistan

1214,48

4

2,07

100

Namibia

1214,11

-2

-7,31

101

Belarus

1214,07

-2

-5,71

102

Mozambique

1213,83

2

4,96

103

Trinidad and Tobago

1213,25

-3

-6,19

104

Kenya

1208,66

4

10,93

105

Kosovo

1205,75

1

2,59

106

Kyrgyzstan

1201,11

-4

-12,47

107

Madagascar

1196,56

-2

-7,10

108

Guatemala

1192,33

-1

-6,50

109

Kazakhstan

1185,79

0

-7,83

110

Mauritania

1179,04

2

1,54

111

Libya

1178,67

6

12,94

112

Tanzania

1175,46

1

0,47

113

Azerbaijan

1173,15

-2

-6,73

114

Korea DPR

1170,93

-4

-13,03

115

Lebanon

1168,07

1

0,43

116

Vietnam

1168,02

-1

0

117

Guinea-Bissau

1165,72

-3

-2,77

118

Congo

1160,03

0

-2,70

119

Comoros

1159,64

0

-0,20

120

Togo

1158,52

0

-0,18

121

Sudan

1153,92

0

1,63

122

Sierra Leone

1146,47

0

-2,93

123

Malawi

1141,68

3

3,85

124

Estonia

1140,39

-1

-6,08

125

India

1135,42

-1

-3,97

126

Central African Republic

1130,70

2

1,40

127

Cyprus

1122,27

0

-14,51

128

Niger

1120,36

-3

-18,85

129

Nicaragua

1117,94

1

-1,94

130

Malaysia

1112,06

4

4,48

131

Zimbabwe

1110,19

-2

-15,96

132

Gambia

1109,05

0

-3,50

133

Lithuania

1105,76

2

5,10

134

Indonesia

1099,63

-1

-9,10

135

Rwanda

1098,50

-4

-15,65

136

Latvia

1097,87

1

1,89

137

Suriname

1086,89

3

-0,88

138

Kuwait

1086,82

-2

-11,60

139

Faroe Islands

1082,11

-1

-11,59

140

Solomon Islands

1079,06

1

4,00

141

Burundi

1077,15

-2

-14,09

142

St. Kitts and Nevis

1068,25

4

8,72

143

Turkmenistan

1065,42

1

0

144

Dominican Republic

1057,55

6

11,91

145

Antigua and Barbuda

1057,00

3

4,20

146

Liberia

1052,63

-4

-14,42

147

Ethiopia

1051,14

-4

-15,01

148

Botswana

1050,15

-3

-13,49

149

Philippines

1048,55

-2

-4,48

150

Moldova

1042,70

2

8,95

151

Fiji

1038,24

2

5,15

152

Afghanistan

1034,37

-1

0

153

Lesotho

1034,02

-4

-12,52

154

Guyana

1027,49

0

0,88

155

Puerto Rico

1021,62

2

1,40

156

Yemen

1021,24

0

0

157

Tahiti

1016,83

1

0

158

Eswatini

1012,33

-3

-12,95

159

New Caledonia

1008,92

1

0

160

Singapore

1008,26

1

0

161

Vanuatu

1005,49

1

0

162

Maldives

1003,48

1

0

163

Hong Kong

1002,76

-4

-9,15

164

Andorra

994,12

0

-1,93

165

Chinese Taipei

991,34

0

0

166

Myanmar

988,98

0

0

167

Cuba

984,33

0

-0,59

168

Papua New Guinea

984,23

0

0

169

St. Lucia

968,08

1

-11,49

170

South Sudan

967,98

-1

-12,04

171

Bermuda

966,05

0

-5,10

172

Malta

964,46

0

-6,16

173

Grenada

961,49

0

7,82

174

Barbados

944,10

3

11,47

175

St. Vincent and the Grenadines

938,30

-1

-0,10

176

Nepal

935,93

-1

0

177

Cambodia

932,20

3

7,68

178

Montserrat

931,64

-2

-2,82

179

Mauritius

925,66

0

-2,28

180

Chad

920,04

-2

-9,93

181

Belize

913,42

2

12,00

182

Macau

908,42

3

11,80

183

Mongolia

907,38

6

22,46

184

Bhutan

904,10

-2

0

185

Samoa

902,23

7

25,78

186

Dominica

901,93

-5

-11,00

187

Bangladesh

896,67

-3

0

188

Cook Islands

894,64

-2

-1,95

189

Laos

889,62

-1

0

190

American Samoa

878,13

-3

-12,84

191

Sao Tomé e Príncipe

878,09

0

0

192

Djibouti

875,13

1

0

193

Brunei Darussalam

872,20

-3

-9,53

194

Aruba

868,40

0

-5,50

195

Cayman Islands

857,37

0

1,94

196

Gibraltar

845,19

2

9,05

197

Pakistan

842,59

0

0

198

Liechtenstein

834,40

1

-1,43

199

Seychelles

831,19

2

0

200

Somalia

829,81

2

0

201

Bahamas

824,65

2

1,07

202

Tonga

822,13

-2

-10,99

203

Guam

821,91

1

0

204

Timor-Leste

818,67

-8

-24,73

205

Turks and Caicos Islands

817,60

1

0,57

206

Sri Lanka

812,64

-1

-7,68

207

British Virgin Islands

790,63

0

-10,66

208

US Virgin Islands

784,75

0

-12,54

209

Anguilla

767,29

0

-12,57

210

San Marino

731,16

0

-8,48



About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

2 comments:

  1. Sorry, can you answer my Aug 16 email please? Hypercube responded not as expected.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Not many surprises this time. FIFA excluded the matches between Jordan and North Korea, the match between Guatemala and Uruguay (7 substitutes each), and the match between Libya and Botswana.

    ReplyDelete